Alert archive / North Carolina / Brunswick County
Weather alerts in Brunswick County, North Carolina, 2015
210 weather alerts in 2015, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Brunswick County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2015. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 210
- Warnings
- 45
- Watches
- 18
- Advisories
- 89
- Busiest month
- October48 alerts
- Busiest day
- May 10, 201511 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
1 of 2 tornado warnings covering Brunswick County in 2015 had a tornado report inside them; 1 of 1 tornado reports fell inside a warning, on average 1 minutes after it went out.
Brunswick County, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 2 | 1 | 50% | 1 | 100% | 1 min |
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 13 | 9 | 31% | 6 | 67% | 14 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 6 | 5 | 17% | 6 | 100% | 217 min |
Each office's whole area, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Wilmington, NC: tornado warnings | 6 | 3 | 50% | 9 | 56% | 5 min |
| NWS Wilmington, NC: severe thunderstorm warnings | 89 | 56 | 37% | 153 | 72% | 22 min |
| NWS Wilmington, NC: flash flood warnings | 15 | 12 | 20% | 74 | 97% | 175 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 8:44 PM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | ILM | 7 hr |
| Jan 4, 1:39 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 96 min |
| Jan 7, 3:50 AM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | ILM | 30 hr |
| Jan 12, 9:44 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 61 min |
| Jan 12, 11:44 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 46 min |
| Jan 12, 7:13 PM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | ILM | 8 hr |
| Feb 13, 4:04 PM EST | Fire Weather Watch | ILM | 12 hr |
| Feb 14, 3:46 AM EST | Red Flag Warning | ILM | 15 hr |
| Feb 14, 3:56 AM EST | Wind Advisory | ILM | 24 hr |
| Feb 16, 3:28 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | ILM | 32 hr |
| Feb 18, 3:56 AM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | ILM | 54 hr |
| Feb 18, 9:45 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 2 hr |
| Feb 18, 11:45 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 60 min |
| Feb 23, 4:03 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | ILM | 28 hr |
| Feb 24, 4:21 PM EST | Ice Storm Warning | ILM | 4 hr |
| Mar 2, 2:45 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | ILM | 7 hr |
| Mar 3, 10:54 PM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | ILM | 35 hr |
| Mar 5, 10:18 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | ILM | 8 hr |
| Mar 5, 3:25 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 3 hr |
| Mar 10, 8:24 PM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | ILM | 28 hr |
| Mar 22, 8:56 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 5 hr |
| Mar 27, 2:08 PM EDT | Freeze Watch | ILM | 13 hr |
| Mar 28, 3:25 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | ILM | 30 hr |
| Mar 29, 4:01 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | ILM | 14 hr |
| Apr 9, 7:52 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 23 min |
| Apr 9, 8:26 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 64 min |
| Apr 9, 9:04 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 56 min |
| Apr 9, 11:14 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 61 min |
| Apr 17, 4:52 AM EDT | Rip Current Statement | ILM | 14 hr |
| Apr 19, 5:01 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Apr 19, 7:11 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 94 min |
| Apr 19, 9:06 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 54 min |
| Apr 26, 5:57 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 63 min |
| May 6, 3:31 PM EDT | Rip Current Statement | ILM | 28 hr |
| May 7, 4:17 PM EDT | Flood Watch | ILM | 12 hr |
| May 7, 4:41 PM EDT | Rip Current Statement | ILM | 53 hr |
| May 7, 11:00 PM EDT | Tropical Storm Watch | NHC | 45 hr |
| May 7, 11:42 PM EDT | Tropical Storm Watch | ILM | 12 hr |
| May 7, 11:42 PM EDT | Tropical Storm Warning | ILM | 63 hr |
| May 8, 11:00 AM EDT | Tropical Storm Warning | NHC | 51 hr |
| May 9, 4:46 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 44 min |
| May 9, 6:08 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 37 min |
| May 9, 3:29 PM EDT | Flood Watch | ILM | 31 hr |
| May 10, 12:51 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 84 min |
| May 10, 2:19 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 116 min |
| May 10, 2:36 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | ILM | 3 hr |
| May 10, 5:23 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | ILM | 3 hr |
| May 10, 2:41 PM EDT | Beach Hazards Statement | ILM | 6 hr |
| May 10, 2:41 PM EDT | Rip Current Statement | ILM | 6 hr |
| May 10, 3:49 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 3 hr |
| May 10, 5:33 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 117 min |
| May 10, 6:34 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 3 hr |
| May 10, 7:44 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 106 min |
| May 10, 7:49 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 101 min |
| May 12, 1:55 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| May 21, 12:11 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 94 min |
| May 21, 12:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| May 21, 3:24 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 96 min |
| May 21, 4:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | 33 min |
| May 21, 4:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | 38 min |
| Jun 9, 1:37 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 53 min |
| Jun 9, 3:02 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 3 hr |
| Jun 9, 3:40 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 2 hr |
| Jun 9, 3:54 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | ILM | 3 hr |
| Jun 9, 9:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | 30 min |
| Jun 14, 3:21 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | ILM | 28 hr |
| Jun 15, 3:03 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | ILM | 28 hr |
| Jun 17, 2:33 AM EDT | Heat Advisory | ILM | 16 hr |
| Jun 18, 4:06 AM EDT | Heat Advisory | ILM | 15 hr |
| Jun 18, 3:12 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | ILM | 28 hr |
| Jun 18, 5:32 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 3 hr |
| Jun 18, 5:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | 49 min |
| Jun 18, 6:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | 45 min |
| Jun 18, 6:56 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 34 min |
| Jun 19, 3:00 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | ILM | 28 hr |
| Jun 19, 10:35 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 55 min |
| Jun 19, 11:18 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 57 min |
| Jun 20, 1:57 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 63 min |
| Jun 20, 2:53 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | ILM | 28 hr |
| Jun 21, 3:04 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | ILM | 29 hr |
| Jun 22, 4:07 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | ILM | 27 hr |
| Jun 23, 3:39 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | ILM | 28 hr |
| Jun 24, 3:46 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | ILM | 28 hr |
| Jun 24, 8:37 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 53 min |
| Jun 24, 9:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | 64 min |
| Jun 24, 9:39 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 66 min |
| Jun 27, 3:00 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | ILM | 12 min |
| Jun 27, 3:58 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 32 min |
| Jun 27, 5:29 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | ILM | 31 min |
| Jun 27, 8:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | 46 min |
| Jun 27, 9:29 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 61 min |
| Jun 30, 5:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jun 30, 7:22 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 83 min |
| Jul 2, 4:11 PM EDT | Rip Current Statement | ILM | 28 hr |
| Jul 2, 7:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | 63 min |
| Jul 2, 8:47 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 58 min |
| Jul 3, 4:58 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 77 min |
| Jul 13, 1:55 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 2 hr |
| Jul 13, 2:40 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 65 min |
| Jul 13, 2:54 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 3 hr |
| Jul 13, 3:46 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 59 min |
| Jul 13, 3:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | 41 min |
| Jul 13, 3:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | 61 min |
| Jul 14, 2:01 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 29 min |
| Jul 18, 3:00 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | ILM | 28 hr |
| Jul 19, 2:58 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | ILM | 28 hr |
| Jul 20, 2:51 PM EDT | Excessive Heat Warning | ILM | 28 hr |
| Jul 20, 2:51 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | ILM | 28 hr |
| Jul 23, 12:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jul 23, 3:58 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 23, 4:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | 38 min |
| Jul 23, 4:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | 60 min |
| Jul 23, 4:53 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 3 hr |
| Jul 23, 4:58 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 62 min |
| Jul 23, 5:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | 33 min |
| Jul 31, 3:57 PM EDT | Rip Current Statement | ILM | 28 hr |
| Jul 31, 5:44 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 2 hr |
| Jul 31, 6:17 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | ILM | 118 min |
| Aug 3, 5:24 AM EDT | Rip Current Statement | ILM | 15 hr |
| Aug 5, 3:44 AM EDT | Heat Advisory | ILM | 15 hr |
| Aug 21, 6:35 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 55 min |
| Aug 21, 8:28 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 62 min |
| Sep 3, 2:04 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 3 hr |
| Sep 3, 2:38 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 67 min |
| Sep 3, 3:31 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 3 hr |
| Sep 9, 2:38 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 3 hr |
| Sep 10, 5:42 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Sep 25, 2:19 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 56 min |
| Sep 25, 3:45 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 6 hr |
| Sep 27, 3:37 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 8 hr |
| Sep 27, 3:37 PM EDT | Rip Current Statement | ILM | 28 hr |
| Sep 28, 3:23 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 10 hr |
| Sep 28, 3:16 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 10 hr |
| Sep 28, 3:16 PM EDT | Rip Current Statement | ILM | 29 hr |
| Sep 29, 3:36 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 9 hr |
| Sep 29, 3:49 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 10 hr |
| Sep 29, 3:49 PM EDT | Rip Current Statement | ILM | 7 days |
| Sep 30, 3:40 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 10 hr |
| Sep 30, 2:20 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 12 hr |
| Sep 30, 3:05 PM EDT | Flood Watch | ILM | 69 hr |
| Sep 30, 3:54 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 2 hr |
| Oct 2, 3:54 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 3 hr |
| Oct 2, 5:24 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 10 hr |
| Oct 2, 7:03 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 57 min |
| Oct 2, 7:51 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | ILM | 3 hr |
| Oct 2, 3:01 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 3 hr |
| Oct 2, 3:28 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 2 hr |
| Oct 2, 4:07 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | ILM | 3 hr |
| Oct 2, 6:05 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 55 min |
| Oct 2, 6:12 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | ILM | 6 hr |
| Oct 2, 7:53 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 8 hr |
| Oct 3, 1:19 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 116 min |
| Oct 3, 4:26 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 13 hr |
| Oct 3, 9:19 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | ILM | 3 hr |
| Oct 3, 11:50 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | ILM | 52 hr |
| Oct 3, 3:25 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 14 hr |
| Oct 3, 7:43 PM EDT | Wind Advisory | ILM | 46 hr |
| Oct 4, 3:11 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 6 hr |
| Oct 4, 7:19 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | ILM | 116 min |
| Oct 4, 9:30 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Warning | ILM | 9 hr |
| Oct 4, 9:55 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 35 min |
| Oct 4, 1:12 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILM | 6 hr |
| Oct 4, 2:54 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | ILM | 3 hr |
| Oct 4, 6:00 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILM | 6 hr |
| Oct 4, 6:50 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 11 hr |
| Oct 4, 11:58 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILM | 6 hr |
| Oct 5, 2:11 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILM | 4 hr |
| Oct 5, 4:10 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 12 hr |
| Oct 5, 4:33 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 57 min |
| Oct 5, 5:56 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILM | 6 hr |
| Oct 5, 7:16 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILM | 3 hr |
| Oct 5, 7:52 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 11 hr |
| Oct 5, 11:03 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 117 min |
| Oct 6, 12:02 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | ILM | 3 hr |
| Oct 6, 3:09 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | ILM | 2 hr |
| Oct 6, 5:00 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 15 hr |
| Oct 6, 1:59 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 3 hr |
| Oct 7, 3:41 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 16 hr |
| Oct 10, 3:45 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | ILM | 24 hr |
| Oct 10, 3:16 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | ILM | 3 hr |
| Oct 10, 4:01 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | ILM | 3 hr |
| Oct 19, 3:23 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | ILM | 18 hr |
| Oct 22, 12:57 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | ILM | 8 hr |
| Oct 26, 10:58 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 13 hr |
| Oct 27, 3:40 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Watch | ILM | 9 hr |
| Oct 27, 3:40 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 8 hr |
| Oct 28, 12:57 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 12 hr |
| Oct 28, 1:09 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Oct 29, 2:00 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 12 hr |
| Nov 3, 8:14 AM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | 3 hr |
| Nov 3, 8:54 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | ILM | 6 hr |
| Nov 3, 9:03 AM EST | Flood Watch | ILM | 9 hr |
| Nov 3, 2:40 PM EST | Areal Flood Warning | ILM | 3 hr |
| Nov 5, 1:13 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | ILM | 9 hr |
| Nov 8, 3:20 PM EST | Flood Watch | ILM | 30 hr |
| Nov 8, 9:51 PM EST | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 12 hr |
| Nov 9, 11:08 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Nov 14, 2:54 AM EST | Frost Advisory | ILM | 29 hr |
| Nov 21, 3:02 PM EST | Freeze Watch | ILM | 22 hr |
| Nov 22, 3:22 PM EST | Freeze Watch | ILM | 21 hr |
| Nov 23, 2:00 AM EST | Freeze Warning | ILM | 30 hr |
| Nov 24, 10:34 PM EST | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 12 hr |
| Nov 26, 2:34 AM EST | Coastal Flood Advisory | ILM | 8 hr |
| Dec 1, 11:45 PM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | ILM | 8 hr |
| Dec 2, 8:01 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | ILM | 119 min |
| Dec 13, 9:47 PM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | ILM | 8 hr |
| Dec 22, 12:11 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 49 min |
| Dec 22, 1:10 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | ILM | 50 min |
| Dec 25, 9:21 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | ILM | 3 hr |
| Dec 26, 10:20 PM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | ILM | 8 hr |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 13 |
| Tornado Warning | 2 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 3 |
| Tornado Watch | 1 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 11 |
| Special Weather Statement | 36 |
| Flooding | |
| Areal Flood Warning | 16 |
| Flash Flood Warning | 6 |
| Flash Flood Watch | 2 |
| Flood Watch | 5 |
| Areal Flood Advisory | 26 |
| Winter | |
| Ice Storm Warning | 1 |
| Winter Weather Advisory | 2 |
| Heat | |
| Excessive Heat Warning | 1 |
| Heat Advisory | 15 |
| Cold | |
| Freeze Warning | 2 |
| Freeze Watch | 3 |
| Frost Advisory | 3 |
| Wind Chill Advisory | 2 |
| Wind and dust | |
| Wind Advisory | 2 |
| Fire | |
| Red Flag Warning | 1 |
| Fire Weather Watch | 1 |
| Fog and smoke | |
| Dense Fog Advisory | 13 |
| Tropical | |
| Tropical Storm Warning | 2 |
| Tropical Storm Watch | 2 |
| Coast and beach | |
| Coastal Flood Warning | 1 |
| Coastal Flood Watch | 1 |
| Coastal Flood Advisory | 26 |
| Beach Hazards Statement | 1 |
| Rip Current Statement | 10 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20142016
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.