Flash Flood Warning 5, NWS Wilmington, NC

735 
WGUS72 KILM 041900
FFSILM

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
300 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

NCC019-047-129-SCC051-042300-
/O.CON.KILM.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-151004T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COLUMBUS NC-BRUNSWICK NC-NEW HANOVER NC-HORRY SC-
300 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHERN COLUMBUS...BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER AND NORTHEASTERN HORRY
COUNTIES...

AT 250 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE MODERATE TO   
HEAVY RAIN OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST STREAMING ONSHORE. MUCH OF 
THE WARNED AREA HAS RECEIVED 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE PAST FEW 
DAYS...WITH A FEW LOCATIONS REPORTING EVEN MORE. AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 
6 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING THIS EVENING. 

THE COMBINATION OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AND SLOWLY RECEDING HIGH TIDE 
COULD CREATE DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING SITUATIONS 
IN SOME AREAS.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
OAK ISLAND...CAROLINA BEACH...SHALLOTTE...SUNSET BEACH...KURE
BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...CASWELL BEACH...BALD HEAD
ISLAND...SNOWS CUT...OCEAN CREST PIER...YAUPON BEACH...SOUTH
MASONBORO ISLAND...IREDELL...BOILING SPRING LAKES...ST. JAMES...
CAROLINA SHORES...SOUTHPORT...TABOR CITY AND CALABASH.

THIS INCLUDES US ROUTE 17 IN BRUNSWICK COUNTY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1
AND 38.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT ENTER OR CROSS FLOWING WATER OR WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. 

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON
AT 800 - 697 - 3901...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3384 7797 3390 7806 3392 7830 3385 7856
      3413 7890 3416 7918 3428 7909 3415 7785

$$

III

763 
WGUS72 KILM 042114
FFSILM

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
514 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

NCC019-047-129-SCC051-042300-
/O.CON.KILM.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-151004T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COLUMBUS NC-BRUNSWICK NC-NEW HANOVER NC-HORRY SC-
514 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHERN COLUMBUS...BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER AND NORTHEASTERN HORRY
COUNTIES...

AT 504 PM EDT...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES MOVING ACROSS 
BRUNSWICK AND SOUTHERN NEW HANOVER COUNTIES. WIDESPREAD ROAD 
CLOSURES AND WASHOUTS ARE BEING REPORTED ACROSS THE WARNED 
AREA...INCLUDING ROUTE 17 NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH CAROLINA 
BORDER. 

ANYWHERE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN WITHIN THE WARNING IN 
THE PAST FEW HOURS WITH AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE IN SOME 
LOCATIONS. 

THIS CONTINUES TO BE AN HISTORIC AND POTENTIALLY DEADLY EVENT.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
OAK ISLAND...CAROLINA BEACH...SHALLOTTE...SUNSET BEACH...KURE
BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...CASWELL BEACH...BALD HEAD
ISLAND...SNOWS CUT...OCEAN CREST PIER...YAUPON BEACH...SOUTH
MASONBORO ISLAND...IREDELL...BOILING SPRING LAKES...ST. JAMES...
CAROLINA SHORES...SOUTHPORT...TABOR CITY AND CALABASH.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT ENTER OR CROSS FLOWING WATER OR WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. 

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON
AT 800 - 697 - 3901...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3384 7797 3390 7806 3392 7830 3385 7856
      3413 7890 3416 7918 3428 7909 3415 7785

$$

III

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
112 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
VERY HEAVY RAIN WITH LIFE THREATENING FLOODING WILL CONTINUE INTO
MONDAY AS PERSISTENT TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVES ACROSS THE CAROLINAS. A
DRYING TREND WILL GET UNDERWAY TUESDAY. RIVER FLOODING WILL WORSEN
IN THE UPCOMING NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 115 PM SUNDAY...WIDESPREAD RAINFALL CONTINUES OVER OUR SC
COUNTIES AND FOR OUR SOUTHERNMOST NC COUNTIES...WITH SCATTERED
CONVECTION ELSEWHERE. FORECAST REMAINS UNCHANGED...WITH DANGEROUS
FLOODING OCCURRING...ESPECIALLY OVER SC. PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS
FOLLOW:

LAST UPDATE INCREASES POPS TO 100 PERCENT OVER VIRTUALLY THE
ENTIRE FORECAST AREA AND UPGRADES THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY TO A
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR ALL OUR NC AND SC BEACHES AND FOR THE
LOWER CAPE FEAR RIVER. OCEAN RUN-UP AT HIGH TIDE WILL OVER-WASH
ROADS AND COULD ENTER HOMES AND BUSINESSES IN LOW LYING AREAS
ALONG THE COAST. HAVE ALSO RAISED QPF TOTALS
SIGNIFICANTLY...ESPECIALLY OVER OUR SC COUNTIES WHERE THE HISTORIC
FLOODING EVENT CONTINUES UNABATED. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS:

A DANGEROUS SITUATION SETTING UP AS ADDITIONAL RAIN TODAY AND
MONDAY OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS SC FALLS ON GROUND AND SOILS
ALREADY SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS RAINS. BECAUSE OF THE TROPICAL
CHARACTER OF THE AIR MASS...RAIN IS LIKELY TO BECOME OCCASIONALLY
TORRENTIAL AT TIMES...WITH RAIN-RATES OF 2-3 INCHES PER HOUR AS A
CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATE. LESSER RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
NC TODAY COMPARED TO SC...BUT BY MONDAY THE HEAVY RAIN AXIS
TRAINING OFF THE OCEAN WILL SHIFT NORTHWARD INTO NC.
ADDITIONALLY...STRONG ONSHORE WINDS TODAY AND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH
COUPLED WITH SODDEN GROUNDS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR TOPPLED
TREES...POTENTIALLY RESULTING IN POWER OUTAGES AND DAMAGE TO HOMES
AND VEHICLES. DUE TO THE MASSIVE WEIGHT OF LARGE TREES...THIS
COULD ALSO PRESENT A REAL THREAT TO HUMAN LIFE WHILE EVEN IN
PLACES OF RESIDENCE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH AND WIND ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT FOR NE SC AND SE NC TODAY...AND COULD EXTEND INTO MONDAY.
ALSO...CREEKS AND STREAMS AND RIVERS WILL BE ON THE RAPID
RISE...POSSIBLY OVER-SPILLING THEIR BANKS...WORSENING AN ALREADY
TREACHEROUS SCENARIO. THOSE RESIDING IN AND NEAR FLOOD PRONE AREAS
SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER AN EVACUATION PLAN TO ANOTHER LOCATION
LESS SUBJECT TO FLOODING ESPECIALLY ACROSS NE SC.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 345 AM SUNDAY...MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE IS QPF AND LONGEVITY
OF HEAVY RAIN MAINLY MONDAY BEFORE THE MID LEVEL LOW GETS KICKED
OUT TO SEA TUESDAY. FOLLOWING THE GFS...I HAVE TWEAKED POPS TO
SHOW HIGHER VALUES SOUTH EARLY MONDAY AND INLAND LATER MONDAY INTO
EARLY TUESDAY AM. I MADE SIMILAR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE QPF AMOUNTS
WITH THE 1200-1800 UTC PERIOD MONDAY THE FINAL BRUNT OF HEAVY
RAIN. OF COURSE BY THIS POINT ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL BE
TROUBLESOME. TUESDAY LOOKS LIKE THERE COULD BE A GOOD BIT OF
SUNSHINE WHICH WILL CERTAINLY BE A WELCOME SITE. NO CHANGES TO THE
TEMPERATURE FORECAST WHICH ARE COOL WITH LIMITED DIURNAL RANGES.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 345 AM SUNDAY...MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE SHOWS AN OMEGA PATTERN
DEVELOPING ACROSS THE CONUS AS CLOSED LOW PRESSURE MEANDERS OUT
WEST WITH A MORE OPEN WAVE 500MB TROUGH ACROSS THE EAST. AT THE
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD DOWN FROM THE NORTH ON THE HEELS
OF THE RIDGE IN THE OMEGA PATTERN. THIS MAINTAINS A DRY FORECAST
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THERE IS STILL SOME HINT AT A MOSTLY DRY
BACKDOOR FRONT MOVING ACROSS AT THE END OF THE PERIOD BUT IT
APPEARS TO HAVE LITTLE IMPACT OTHER THAN A WIND SHIFT.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 12Z...TREMENDOUS CONVERGENCE OVER SOUTH CAROLINA WITH RAINFALL
RATES AVERAGING THREE INCHES PER HOUR. THIS ENTIRE BAND WILL WILL MOVE
NORTHWARD ABOUT 5 MPH THROUGH THE DAY...REACHING THE NORTHERN TERMINALS
BY THIS EVENING. TORRENTIAL RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDER IS EXPECTED WITH
WIDESPREAD ROADS IMPASSABLE. CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...EXPECT RAIN...SOMETIMES HEAVY...WITH MVFR/TEMPO
IFR POSSIBLY INTO TUESDAY WITH CLEARING TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 115 PM SUNDAY...GALE WARNINGS FOR OUR NC COUNTIES AND SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR OUR SC COUNTIES CONTINUE. THE LATEST UPDATE
HAS NO CHANGES...ALTHOUGH COASTAL INTERESTS SHOULD NOTE THAT A
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR HIGH OCEAN RUN-UP
DURING HIGH TIDE TODAY. SEE LATEST ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS FOR
DETAILS. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS:

THREATENING MARINE CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING AND MARINERS ARE URGED
TO REMAIN IN PORT. SEAS OF 7-12 FT AND SHARPLY LIMITED
VISIBILITIES IN HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED. GALES POSTED FOR NC
AND ADVISORIES FOR SC. DANGEROUS CONDITIONS WILL EXIST ACROSS
INLETS AND ENTRANCES AS INCOMING SWELL ENERGY INTERACTS WITH
OUTGOING TIDES. HIGH WATERS RUN-UP AND SHOALING WAVE ENERGY WILL
PRODUCE DANGEROUS BREAKERS WHERE NONE NORMALLY WOULD EXIST.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 345 AM SUNDAY...RUGGED CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE
COASTAL WATERS MONDAY. EXPECT NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20-25
KNOTS INITIALLY AS LOW PRESSURE CONSOLIDATES OFFSHORE. WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DECREASE BUT WITH THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE LOW AND HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN...WINDS WILL STILL BE 15-20 KNOTS TUESDAY.
SEAS WILL BE ELEVATED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD WITH 4-8 FEET COMMON.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 345 AM SUNDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTH
AS LOW PRESSURE DEPARTS OFF INTO THE ATLANTIC. THIS LEADS TO A NORTH
TO NORTHEAST FLOW OF 10-15 KNOTS THROUGH THE PERIOD. SEAS WILL
REMAIN SOMEWHAT ELEVATED WITH VARIOUS SWELL COMPONENTS FROM TROPICAL
ACTIVITY AND THE DEPARTING BAROCLINIC LOW. EXPECT SMALL CRAFT
CONDITIONS TO LINGER THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY DROPPING BELOW
CRITERIA ALL WATERS BY THURSDAY.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
AS OF 115 PM SUNDAY...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS NOW OCCURRING
ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES AND EXPECT THIS TO BECOME MODERATE
FLOODING AS HIGH TIDE APPROACHES. COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN
EFFECT. PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS FOLLOW:

HAVE UPDATED COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY TO A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING
FOR ALL BEACHES AND FOR THE LOWER CAPE FEAR RIVER. PREVIOUS
DISCUSSION FOLLOWS:

STRONG ONSHORE WINDS/WAVES WILL LEAD TO COASTAL FLOODING ON ALL
AREA BEACHES THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE HIGH TIDE. HIGH WATER RUN-
UP...AND EVEN OVERWASH OF DUNE WEAKNESSES IS EXPECTED. COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL BEACHES AND ALSO FOR THE
LOWER CAPE FEAR RIVER...AS WATER RUN-OFF FROM PREVIOUS AND TODAYS
RAIN ELEVATES WATER LEVELS. COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE LIKELY
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS COINCIDING WITH HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR SCZ017-023-024-
     032-033-039-053>056.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR SCZ017-023-024-
     032-033-039-053>056.
     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR SCZ054-
     056.
     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR SCZ054-
     056.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR NCZ087-096-099-
     105>110.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NCZ087-096-099-
     105>110.
     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR NCZ106-
     108-110.
     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NCZ106-
     108-110.
     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NCZ107.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY FOR AMZ254-256.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR AMZ250-252.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SHK
NEAR TERM...MJC/REK
SHORT TERM...SHK
LONG TERM...SHK
AVIATION...DL
MARINE...MJC/REK/SHK
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...REK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
933 AM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

NCZ087-096-099-105-109-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053-055-051345-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-
DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-
INLAND GEORGETOWN-
933 AM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ250-252-051345-
SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM-
CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20 NM-
933 AM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ106-108-110-SCZ054-056-051345-
COASTAL PENDER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-COASTAL HORRY-
COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
933 AM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ107-051345-
INLAND NEW HANOVER-
933 AM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ254-256-051345-
LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT 20 NM-
MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT 20 NM-
933 AM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1118 AM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

NCZ099-041545-
COLUMBUS-
1118 AM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

...A THUNDERSTORM WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN COLUMBUS
COUNTY...

AT 1117 AM EDT...A THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLY PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 45
MPH WAS LOCATED NEAR FREEMAN...OR 19 MILES WEST OF LELAND...MOVING
WEST AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  LAKE WACCAMAW AROUND 1135 AM EDT.
  REDBUG AND HALLSBORO AROUND 1145 AM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE BOLTON.

THIS INCLUDES US ROUTE 74 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 396 AND 416.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THUNDERSTORMS CAN POSE A VARIETY OF THREATS INCLUDING GUSTY WINDS...
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU REMAIN INDOORS
UNTIL THE STORMS PASS.

LAT...LON 3436 7830 3430 7829 3420 7861 3439 7865
TIME...MOT...LOC 1517Z 085DEG 28KT 3432 7834

TRA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1138 AM EDT SUN OCT 04 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1131 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MYRTLE BEACH            33.70N  78.89W
10/04/2015                   HORRY              SC   MEDIA

            SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ON 48TH AVE. MANY NEIGHBORHOOD
            ROADS ARE FLOODED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1500383

43

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1144 AM EDT SUN OCT 04 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1143 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MYRTLE BEACH            33.70N  78.89W
10/04/2015                   HORRY              SC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            5TH AVE AT POST OFFICE IMPASSABLE... CAR STALLED IN
            ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1500384

43

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1159 AM EDT SUN OCT 04 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1158 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MYRTLE BEACH            33.70N  78.89W
10/04/2015                   HORRY              SC   PUBLIC

            OCEAN LAKES COMPLEX TWO FEET DEEP.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1500385

43

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1212 PM EDT SUN OCT 04 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 WNW PAWLEY'S ISLAND   33.42N  79.13W
10/04/2015  M7.43 INCH       GEORGETOWN         SC   COCORAHS

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1500386

43

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1247 PM EDT SUN OCT 04 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1246 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MYRTLE BEACH            33.70N  78.89W
10/04/2015                   HORRY              SC   MEDIA

            48TH AVE BEING SHUT DOWN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1500387

MBB