Alert archive / Montana / Jefferson County
Weather alerts in Jefferson County, Montana, 2020
87 weather alerts in 2020, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Jefferson County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2020. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 87
- Warnings
- 21
- Watches
- 19
- Advisories
- 0
- Busiest month
- August30 alerts
- Busiest day
- August 6, 20205 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
Jefferson County, 2020
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 1 | 0 | 100% | 0 | ||
| Flash flood warnings | 0 | 0 |
Each office's whole area, 2020
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Great Falls, MT: tornado warnings | 2 | 0 | 100% | 0 | ||
| NWS Great Falls, MT: severe thunderstorm warnings | 65 | 27 | 58% | 108 | 44% | 14 min |
| NWS Great Falls, MT: flash flood warnings | 1 | 0 | 100% | 0 |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 1:06 AM MST | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 39 min |
| Jan 9, 5:51 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 39 min |
| Jan 29, 10:02 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 118 min |
| Jan 30, 1:54 PM MST | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 24 hr |
| Feb 23, 6:45 PM MST | Snow Squall Warning | TFX | 30 min |
| Feb 23, 7:10 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 50 min |
| Mar 25, 2:44 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 61 min |
| Mar 25, 4:50 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 25 min |
| Apr 23, 7:42 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 33 min |
| Apr 30, 1:29 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 46 min |
| Apr 30, 3:18 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 42 min |
| Apr 30, 4:02 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 43 min |
| May 15, 11:59 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 61 min |
| May 15, 1:07 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 38 min |
| May 15, 2:39 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 51 min |
| May 15, 4:00 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 3 hr |
| May 15, 7:23 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 112 min |
| May 19, 1:36 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 114 min |
| May 19, 2:34 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| May 19, 5:10 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 19, 11:26 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 34 min |
| May 30, 5:00 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 90 min |
| Jun 5, 8:28 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 32 min |
| Jun 6, 4:12 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 33 min |
| Jun 14, 9:38 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 37 min |
| Jun 24, 2:29 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 24, 6:36 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 24 min |
| Jun 24, 6:38 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 33 min |
| Jun 27, 7:05 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 25 min |
| Jun 27, 7:34 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 26 min |
| Jul 3, 5:01 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 44 min |
| Jul 4, 2:54 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 16, 2:06 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | MSO | 30 hr |
| Jul 17, 2:41 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 23, 11:39 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 23, 2:10 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 35 min |
| Jul 24, 9:31 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 29 min |
| Aug 5, 3:01 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 23 hr |
| Aug 6, 1:53 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 6, 2:23 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 31 hr |
| Aug 6, 4:18 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 27 min |
| Aug 6, 5:20 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 25 min |
| Aug 6, 5:49 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 26 min |
| Aug 6, 6:28 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 32 min |
| Aug 9, 1:57 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | MSO | 21 hr |
| Aug 9, 2:27 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 21 hr |
| Aug 10, 11:22 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | MSO | 58 hr |
| Aug 10, 11:42 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 57 hr |
| Aug 16, 1:48 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 38 hr |
| Aug 17, 12:28 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | MSO | 20 hr |
| Aug 18, 3:29 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 65 hr |
| Aug 19, 2:34 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | MSO | 31 hr |
| Aug 19, 2:45 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 19, 3:05 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Aug 19, 5:15 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 30 min |
| Aug 19, 5:40 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 35 min |
| Aug 21, 3:50 AM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | MSO | 27 hr |
| Aug 22, 3:32 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | MSO | 17 hr |
| Aug 25, 4:21 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 24 min |
| Aug 25, 4:53 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 22 min |
| Aug 26, 2:44 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 91 min |
| Aug 27, 2:47 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | MSO | 24 hr |
| Aug 28, 4:01 AM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 11 hr |
| Aug 28, 2:19 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | MSO | 34 hr |
| Aug 28, 2:36 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 33 hr |
| Aug 30, 2:54 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 12 hr |
| Aug 31, 3:09 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 66 hr |
| Sep 3, 11:14 AM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | MSO | 25 hr |
| Sep 3, 2:50 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 21 hr |
| Sep 4, 11:21 AM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 16 hr |
| Sep 4, 11:21 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 33 hr |
| Sep 4, 12:29 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | MSO | 34 hr |
| Sep 12, 3:47 AM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 24 hr |
| Sep 12, 1:55 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | MSO | 18 hr |
| Sep 13, 3:17 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 40 hr |
| Sep 13, 7:40 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | MSO | 37 hr |
| Sep 16, 1:50 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | MSO | 23 hr |
| Sep 17, 1:08 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | MSO | 32 hr |
| Sep 22, 2:46 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 24 hr |
| Sep 23, 2:37 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 30 hr |
| Oct 8, 1:57 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 12 hr |
| Oct 9, 1:46 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 42 hr |
| Oct 9, 11:27 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | MSO | 31 hr |
| Oct 23, 4:36 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 4 hr |
| Nov 4, 11:35 AM MST | Red Flag Warning | MSO | 30 hr |
| Nov 11, 7:20 AM MST | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 85 min |
| Nov 25, 9:00 AM MST | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 3 hr |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 1 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 1 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 12 |
| Special Weather Statement | 35 |
| Winter | |
| Snow Squall Warning | 1 |
| Fire | |
| Red Flag Warning | 19 |
| Fire Weather Watch | 18 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20192021
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.