Alert archive / Montana / Jefferson County

Weather alerts in Jefferson County, Montana, 2014

32 weather alerts in 2014, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Jefferson County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2014. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
32
Warnings
2
Watches
5
Advisories
4
Busiest month
July11 alerts
Busiest day
August 15, 20145 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

Jefferson County, 2014

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings00
Severe thunderstorm warnings10100%0
Flash flood warnings010%

Each office's whole area, 2014

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Great Falls, MT: tornado warnings020%
NWS Great Falls, MT: severe thunderstorm warnings422345%6763%22 min
NWS Great Falls, MT: flash flood warnings010%

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Mar 6, 8:28 AM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTFX4 days
Mar 10, 2:53 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTFX36 hr
Mar 11, 1:26 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTFX6 days
Apr 22, 1:58 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Apr 22, 3:04 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX41 min
Apr 22, 4:20 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC85 min
May 18, 12:37 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC83 min
May 27, 6:12 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC48 min
May 28, 2:12 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
May 28, 2:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Jun 8, 4:28 AM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX42 hr
Jun 9, 4:20 AM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX18 hr
Jun 20, 2:24 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC66 min
Jul 3, 4:33 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX42 min
Jul 3, 5:38 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC67 min
Jul 3, 5:39 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX66 min
Jul 3, 6:22 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTFX6 hr
Jul 11, 10:22 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX38 min
Jul 14, 2:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jul 14, 5:42 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC63 min
Jul 14, 8:16 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC59 min
Jul 15, 1:08 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX67 min
Jul 22, 2:49 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC86 min
Jul 23, 8:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Aug 12, 10:17 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX58 min
Aug 12, 11:25 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX65 min
Aug 15, 12:11 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC64 min
Aug 15, 12:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
Aug 15, 12:54 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX51 min
Aug 15, 1:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX39 min
Aug 15, 2:49 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC56 min
Oct 15, 5:50 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX70 min

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20132015

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.