Alert archive / Montana / Flash Flood Warnings

Flash Flood Warnings in Montana, 2008

14 flash flood warnings in 2008. An alert counts here when it covered any part of the state, so the counties below add up to more than the state. The archive of flash flood warnings reaches back to 1986.

Flash Flood Warnings by county

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2008. Tap one for its archive.

Flash Flood Warnings
14
Busiest month
July8 flash flood warnings
Busiest day
July 22, 20083 flash flood warnings

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

4 of 14 flash flood warnings covering Montana in 2008 had a flash flood report inside them; 6 of 9 flash flood reports fell inside a warning, on average 129 minutes after it went out.

Montana, 2008

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Flash flood warnings14471%967%129 min

Each office's whole area, 2008

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Glasgow, MT: flash flood warnings30100%0
NWS Billings, MT: flash flood warnings8363%683%155 min
NWS Great Falls, MT: flash flood warnings3167%333%3 min
NWS Missoula, MT: flash flood warnings110%978%50 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 2, 3:22 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZCarter6 hr
Jun 18, 1:17 AM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZYellowstone7 hr
Jun 18, 2:35 AM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZTreasure6 hr
Jun 22, 7:18 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGGWMcCone, Roosevelt, Valley6 hr
Jun 22, 10:46 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGGWDaniels2 hr
Jul 6, 2:20 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZBig Horn, Custer, Powder River, Rosebud, Treasure3 hr
Jul 6, 7:46 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZPowder River, Rosebud6 hr
Jul 21, 5:20 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZCarbon4 hr
Jul 22, 4:32 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningTFXBeaverhead, Madison118 min
Jul 22, 5:04 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningTFXGallatin, Jefferson, Madison3 hr
Jul 22, 5:21 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZPowder River7 hr
Jul 22, 6:29 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningTFXBeaverhead, Madison2 hr
Jul 27, 1:17 AM MDTFlash Flood WarningGGWDawson, McCone3 hr
Aug 4, 12:23 AM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZCarter4 hr

By county

Every county with at least one alert. A county page lists each alert that covered it.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordThe radar archive20072009

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.