Alert archive / Michigan

Weather alerts in Montmorency County, Michigan

1,531 weather alerts since 1986, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Montmorency County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
1,531
Warnings
387
Watches
242
Advisories
540
Busiest year
2008104 alerts
Average year
39over 39 years on file

Over time

By year

Before late 2005 the archive holds only tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings, and from 1997 SPC's watches, so the jump that year is the archive widening, not the weather.

By month of the year

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, of tornado reports in Montmorency County fell inside a tornado warning, and 100% of the tornado warnings had no report inside them.

Tornado warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
201410100%0
201810100%0
202210100%0

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
200814379%9100%8 min
200910100%0
201020100%0
20119456%8100%19 min
20122150%1100%9 min
20137614%580%6 min
201420100%0
20154325%1100%6 min
20167443%683%32 min
20172150%0
20183233%0
2019110%0
20207271%40%
20216267%4100%14 min
20223233%0
202430100%0
202540100%0

Flash flood warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
200810100%0
201510100%0
202010100%10%

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The latest warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 27, 5:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX25 min
Jul 13, 2:59 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX19 min
Jul 1, 10:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX41 min
Jul 1, 12:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX34 min
Jul 1, 12:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatAPX56 min
Jun 16, 3:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX58 min
Jun 16, 2:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX49 min
Jun 16, 1:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX64 min
Jun 10, 8:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX42 min
May 20, 1:22 PM EDTFreeze WarningAPX20 hr
May 18, 2:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX25 min
May 16, 9:29 AM EDTRed Flag WarningAPX11 hr

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.