Alert archive / Michigan / Manistee County

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Manistee County, Michigan

144 severe thunderstorm warnings since 1986. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Manistee County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
144
Busiest year
201116 severe thunderstorm warnings
Average year
4over 38 years on file

Over time

By year

Before October 2007 these were issued for whole counties, and a storm crossing three counties was often three warnings; since then one polygon follows the storm. The count changed with the practice, not only with the weather.

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 54% of hail, wind and damage reports in Manistee County fell inside a severe thunderstorm warning issued on average 22 minutes before, and 63% of the severe thunderstorm warnings had no report inside them.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
20087271%850%6 min
20092150%2100%31 min
20103167%0
201116381%825%35 min
20125260%333%18 min
2013110%580%42 min
201430100%0
20153233%1100%16 min
201620100%0
20174325%450%18 min
20185420%1100%19 min
20194175%10%
20205260%3100%32 min
20219456%560%22 min
202210100%20%
20233167%10%
20244250%771%10 min
20254175%10%

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The latest severe thunderstorm warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 1, 11:59 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX24 min
Jul 1, 11:13 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX47 min
Jun 10, 6:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX74 min
May 17, 7:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX49 min
May 17, 6:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX58 min
Apr 13, 11:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX50 min
Mar 31, 2:25 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX24 min
Mar 31, 2:00 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX30 min
Mar 31, 1:15 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX30 min
Mar 31, 12:40 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX35 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.