Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2026

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 10, NWS Gaylord, MI

March 31, 20264 counties in Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 31, 2026, 2:00 AM EDT for 4 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 31, 2026, 2:00 AM EDT (06:00 UTC)
Expired
Mar 31, 2026, 2:30 AM EDT
In force
30 min
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
50.0 mph

Counties Benzie County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Manistee County, MI, Wexford County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 00:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 278 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2026-03-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 260 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2026-03-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 207 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
260 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-24 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1124 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
207 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
413 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
2.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 31, 1:45 AM EDT, 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 31, 1:45 AM EDT, 15 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 30, 3:30 PM EDT, 10 hours 30 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
330 PM EDT Mon Mar 30 2026

MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-086>088-095>099-311100-
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-
Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
330 PM EDT Mon Mar 30 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for Eastern Upper Michigan and
Northern Lower Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Thunderstorms will be possible tonight across northern Lower,
some stronger storms will be possible south of the M-32 corridor.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Thunderstorms will be possible into Tuesday across northern
Lower, some stronger storms will be possible south of the M-72
corridor.

A messy wintry mix of precipitation, including the potential for
accumulating snow and ice, is possible Wednesday night through
Thursday night across parts of northern Michigan.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-311100-
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
330 PM EDT Mon Mar 30 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for the northern Michigan
nearshore waters of Lake Huron, Lake Michigan and Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.

JPB

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 30, 11:39 PM EDT, 2 hours 21 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1139 PM EDT Mon Mar 30 2026

MIZ033-034-310415-
Roscommon MI-Missaukee MI-
1139 PM EDT Mon Mar 30 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT ROSCOMMON AND SOUTHEASTERN
MISSAUKEE COUNTIES THROUGH 1215 AM EDT...

At 1139 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Roscommon Township, or 8 miles southwest of Houghton Lake, moving
northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Houghton Lake, Prudenville, St. Helen, Moddersville, Roscommon County
Airport, Nester Township, Roscommon Township, Lake St. Helen, and
Twin Lakes Area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4416 8495 4423 8500 4449 8440 4444 8436
      4421 8437 4416 8457
TIME...MOT...LOC 0339Z 243DEG 40KT 4420 8483

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

JLD
Special weather statement, Mar 31, 12:31 AM EDT, 1 hour 29 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1231 AM EDT Tue Mar 31 2026

MIZ022-023-028-029-310515-
Otsego MI-Montmorency MI-Oscoda MI-Crawford MI-
1231 AM EDT Tue Mar 31 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN OTSEGO...
NORTHEASTERN CRAWFORD...SOUTHWESTERN MONTMORENCY AND NORTHWESTERN
OSCODA COUNTIES THROUGH 115 AM EDT...

At 1230 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Hartwick Pines State Park, or 10 miles northeast of Grayling, moving
east at 45 mph. Significant amounts of small hail covering roadways
will be possible, leading to hazardous travel.

HAZARD...Nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lewiston, Lovells, Hetherton, Garland, Chester Township, and Loud
Township.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4473 8462 4484 8470 4505 8429 4487 8397
TIME...MOT...LOC 0430Z 259DEG 39KT 4480 8461

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

JLD
Local storm report, Mar 31, 12:43 AM EDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1243 AM EDT Tue Mar 31 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1157 PM     Hail             2 N Bellaire            45.00N 85.21W
03/30/2026  M0.75 Inch       Antrim             MI   Public

            Social media picture of hail smaller than
            nickel size on M-88 north of Bellaire. Time
            estimated via radar.

&&
Local storm report, Mar 31, 12:46 AM EDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1246 AM EDT Tue Mar 31 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1218 AM     Hail             3 E Lake City           44.32N 85.16W
03/31/2026  M0.50 Inch       Missaukee          MI   Public

            Social media picture of half in hail 3 miles
            east of Lake City at intersection of South
            Burkett RD and West Beeler Rd. Time
            estimated via radar.

&&
Local storm report, Mar 31, 1:03 AM EDT, 57 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
103 AM EDT Tue Mar 31 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1233 AM     Hail             2 N Merritt             44.35N 84.94W
03/31/2026  M0.50 Inch       Missaukee          MI   Public

            Social media picture of hail slightly larger
            than 1 cm halfway between Lake City and
            Houghton Lake. Time estimated via radar.

&&
Special weather statement, Mar 31, 1:49 AM EDT, 11 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
149 AM EDT Tue Mar 31 2026

MIZ031-032-310615-
Manistee MI-Wexford MI-
149 AM EDT Tue Mar 31 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN WEXFORD AND CENTRAL
MANISTEE COUNTIES THROUGH 215 AM EDT...

At 149 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Norwalk, or 10 miles northeast of Manistee, moving east at 60 mph.

HAZARD...Nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Sherman, Kaleva, Onekama, Mesick, Bear Lake, Harrietta, Brethren,
Norwalk, Yuma, Orchard Beach State Park, and Wildwood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4437 8632 4439 8630 4451 8571 4429 8566
      4427 8634
TIME...MOT...LOC 0549Z 258DEG 52KT 4434 8616

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

JLD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 30, 11:03 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXKalkaska27 min
Mar 30, 11:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXGladwin27 min
Mar 30, 11:34 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXGrand Traverse26 min
Mar 30, 11:39 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXRoscommon36 min
Mar 30, 11:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXArenac, Gladwin13 min
Mar 30, 11:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAntrim, Crawford, Kalkaska38 min
Mar 31, 12:02 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXMissaukee, Wexford15 min
Mar 31, 12:06 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXArenac15 min
Mar 31, 12:18 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX42 min
Mar 31, 12:31 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXMontmorency44 min
Mar 31, 12:36 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXMissaukee, Roscommon39 min
Mar 31, 12:40 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXManistee35 min
Mar 31, 1:07 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX23 min
Mar 31, 1:15 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXManistee, Wexford30 min
Mar 31, 1:24 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX66 min
Mar 31, 1:43 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXMissaukee, Wexford32 min
Mar 31, 1:49 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXManistee26 min
Mar 31, 2:15 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXMissaukee, Roscommon30 min
Mar 31, 2:25 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXManistee24 min
Mar 31, 3:01 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXArenac, Gladwin, Iosco, Ogemaw, Roscommon29 min
Mar 31, 3:35 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXGladwin40 min
Mar 31, 11:01 AM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAPX5 hr
Mar 31, 11:43 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXBenzie, Grand Traverse, Manistee, Wexford77 min
Mar 31, 1:55 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXKalkaska, Manistee, Missaukee, Wexford95 min
Mar 31, 3:40 PM EDTWinter Storm WatchAPXAlpena, Charlevoix, Cheboygan, Chippewa, Emmet, Mackinac and 3 more22 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Michigan, 2026Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.