Alert archive / Florida / Polk County / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Polk County, Florida, 2014

21 severe thunderstorm warnings in 2014. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Polk County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2014. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
21
Busiest month
June11 severe thunderstorm warnings
Busiest day
June 8, 20143 severe thunderstorm warnings

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

6 of 21 severe thunderstorm warnings covering Polk County in 2014 had a qualifying storm report inside them; 11 of 19 hail, wind and damage reports fell inside a warning, on average 17 minutes after it went out.

Polk County, 2014

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Severe thunderstorm warnings21671%1958%17 min

Each office's whole area, 2014

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Tampa Bay, FL: severe thunderstorm warnings733947%9572%19 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Feb 12, 6:10 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW35 min
Mar 29, 1:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW38 min
Mar 29, 3:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW35 min
Apr 15, 1:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW46 min
May 29, 4:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW34 min
May 29, 5:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW31 min
Jun 8, 6:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW32 min
Jun 8, 6:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW24 min
Jun 8, 7:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW29 min
Jun 10, 4:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW26 min
Jun 10, 5:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW36 min
Jun 13, 8:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW17 min
Jun 15, 6:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW36 min
Jun 16, 4:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW36 min
Jun 19, 6:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW54 min
Jun 21, 6:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW44 min
Jun 27, 6:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW29 min
Jul 2, 6:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW25 min
Jul 11, 5:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW27 min
Aug 7, 6:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW24 min
Aug 29, 4:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW25 min

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20132015

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.