Severe Thunderstorm Warning 59, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

099 
WWUS52 KTBW 022248
SVSTBW

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
648 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2014

FLC057-105-022257-
/O.CAN.KTBW.SV.W.0059.000000T0000Z-140702T2300Z/
POLK FL-HILLSBOROUGH FL-
648 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN HILLSBOROUGH AND
WESTERN POLK COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE 
LIMITS. ALTHOUGH THIS THUNDERSTORM IS NO LONGER SEVERE...FREQUENT 
LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE.

LAT...LON 2817 8227 2818 8217 2817 8211 2819 8210
      2820 8202 2814 8198 2801 8194 2795 8206
      2796 8225
TIME...MOT...LOC 2247Z 336DEG 4KT 2808 8211

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
248 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2014

.SHORT TERM...
METEOROLOGICAL FEATURE OF INTEREST CONTINUES TO BE TROPICAL STORM
ARTHUR POSITIONED WELL OFFSHORE THE NORTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA.
ARTHUR CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE NORTH UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST AND AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS IA/MO/IL THIS AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE ACROSS WEST-
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED
ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER
CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY PROPAGATED TOWARD THE
PINELLAS AND HILLSBOROUGH COASTLINE EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON
PRODUCING WEST WIND GUSTS AROUND 20 KNOTS AND A FEW ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. EXPECT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALONG THE
COASTAL COUNTIES...MAINLY SOUTH OF PASCO COUNTY...ASSOCIATED WITH
DIURNAL FORCING. FARTHER INLAND OVER SUMTER-POLK-HIGHLANDS
COUNTIES HOWEVER ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND ARTHUR AND SUFFICIENT
INSTABILITY AND DIURNAL FORCING.

AS ARTHUR MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST ALONG THE SOUTHEAST U.S.
COASTLINE TOMORROW...THE FORECAST AREA WILL RESIDE IN A SOUTHWEST
FLOW PATTERN WITHIN A MID-LEVEL SHEAR/VORT AXIS EXTENDING FROM
ARTHUR AND OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. ANOTHER ROUND OF
MORNING CONVECTION CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST WITH THE
ONSHORE FLOW AND SUFFICIENT PWATS AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE. A
RETURN TO A MORE SEASONAL CONVECTIVE PATTERN FRIDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

.PREVIOUS LONG TERM (FRIDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY)...
WEAK UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER FLORIDA DURING THE LONG
TERM PERIOD...AS LOW AND MID LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS INTO SOUTHERN
FLORIDA DURING THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEKEND. WITH ONSHORE
FLOW...MORNING SHOWERS OVER THE GULF AND COASTAL REGIONS WILL GIVE
WAY TO THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE INTERIOR DURING THE
AFTERNOON ALONG SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES THOUGH SUNDAY. BY THE START
OF THE WORK WEEK...THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL LIFT NORTH TO A POSITION
ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA...WITH THE FOCUS FOR AFTERNOON CONVECTION
CLOSER TO THE COAST...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLY WARM...WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW
90S...AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. ONSHORE FLOW PATTERN
WILL SUPPORT MORNING CONVECTION FROM TPA-PIE-SRQ WITH AFTERNOON
CONVECTION AT LAL AND PGD-FMY-RSW.

&&

.MARINE...
NW TO W FLOW WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHWEST BY THURSDAY MORNING AS
TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR BEGINS TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE FL EAST COAST.
WINDS WILL STAY IN THE 10-15 KNOT RANGE OVER THE WATERS WITH SEAS 3
FT OR LESS THROUGH THE PERIOD. THEREFORE NO HEADLINES EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ANY TSTM
ACTIVITY OVER THE WATERS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO FLAGS EXPECTED AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES REMAIN ABOVE
CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  78  92  80  90 /  20  30  20  40
FMY  77  92  78  93 /  20  30  10  30
GIF  75  93  78  92 /  20  40  20  40
SRQ  77  92  80  91 /  20  30  10  30
BKV  74  92  76  92 /  20  30  20  40
SPG  80  90  81  90 /  20  30  20  30

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM/AVIATION/FIRE WEATHER...10/LAMARRE
MARINE...11/MCKAUGHAN
PREVIOUS LONG TERM...18/FLEMING

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
458 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2014

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-030900-
SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY-
COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO-
COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS-
INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-
INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
458 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR IS POSITIONED JUST EAST OF FLORIDA...AND
WILL HELP PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA. THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...AND DEADLY LIGHTNING STRIKES.

...EXCESSIVE HEAT IMPACT...
TEMPERATURES CLIMBING INTO THE MID 90S COMBINED WITH HIGH HUMIDITY
LEVELS WILL CREATE HEAT INDICES IN THE 100 TO 105 DEGREE RANGE
THIS AFTERNOON. TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME
OUTDOORS TODAY. WHEN POSSIBLE RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITIES TO
EARLY MORNING OR THE EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT
EXHAUSTION AND HEAT STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING
CLOTHING WHEN POSSIBLE AND MAKE SURE YOU DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT DAILY CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS
OVER FLORIDA. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY
WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...AND DEADLY LIGHTNING STRIKES.

...EXCESSIVE HEAT IMPACT...
HIGH HUMIDITY LEVELS COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING INTO
THE 90S WILL CREATE HEAT INDICES IN THE 100 TO 105 DEGREE RANGE
EACH DAY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU
WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTDOORS. WHEN POSSIBLE RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS
ACTIVITIES TO EARLY MORNING OR THE EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND
SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT
AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN POSSIBLE AND MAKE SURE YOU DRINK
PLENTY OF WATER.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
ONSHORE WINDS WILL SUPPORT A RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ON THURSDAY. RIP
CURRENTS CAN PULL EVEN STRONG SWIMMERS OUT INTO DEEPER WATERS. DO
NOT SWIM AT UNGUARDED BEACHES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

FLEMING

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
319 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2014

FLZ162-262-021945-
INLAND CHARLOTTE-COASTAL CHARLOTTE-
319 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2014

...EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING WILL AFFECT CENTRAL CHARLOTTE COUNTY...

AT 318 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED NEAR BABCOCK WEBB WMA...OR 10 MILES EAST OF
PUNTA GORDA...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. THESE STRONG STORMS WILL AFFECT
CLEVELAND...CHARLOTTE COUNTY AIRPORT...BABCOCK WEBB WMA AND BABCOCK
RANCH...UNTIL 345 PM EDT.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 75 BETWEEN EXITS 158 AND 161.

GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45 MPH WILL OCCUR ALONG WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING.
TO BE SAFE GO INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...FIND A LOW
SPOT...AND STAY AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AND WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 2703 8162 2678 8167 2685 8202 2703 8201
TIME...MOT...LOC 1918Z 281DEG 10KT 2694 8187

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
509 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2014

FLZ056-057-022200-
HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-
509 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2014

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL HARDEE AND WEST
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS COUNTIES...

AT 509 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED NEAR CREWSVILLE...OR 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
SEBRING...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH...WILL AFFECT CREWSVILLE AND
SEBRING...UNTIL 600 PM EDT.

GUSTY WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH WILL OCCUR. FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED.
TO BE SAFE GO INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...FIND A LOW
SPOT...AND STAY AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AND WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 2747 8134 2731 8141 2739 8171 2754 8164
TIME...MOT...LOC 2109Z 283DEG 8KT 2745 8154

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
536 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2014

FLZ142-148-149-242-248-249-022215-
INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO-
INLAND PASCO-COASTAL CITRUS-
536 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2014

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT HERNANDO...PASCO AND WESTERN
CITRUS COUNTIES...

AT 535 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CRYSTAL
MANOR TO DARBY...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES NORTHWEST
OF CRYSTAL RIVER TO 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF DADE CITY. THIS CLUSTER OF
STORMS WAS MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH...AND WILL AFFECT CRYSTAL
RIVER...CRYSTAL RIVER AIRPORT...HOMOSASSA SPRINGS AND LAKE
LINDSEY...THROUGH 615 PM EDT.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 75 BETWEEN EXITS 285 AND 293.

GUSTY WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH ALONG WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED.
TO BE SAFE GO INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...FIND A LOW
SPOT...AND STAY AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AND WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 2903 8272 2901 8261 2903 8260 2903 8251
      2845 8223 2824 8218 2826 8273 2833 8274
      2854 8266 2867 8270 2868 8268 2871 8273
      2877 8270 2879 8271 2877 8273 2878 8276
      2886 8274 2889 8270 2898 8276
TIME...MOT...LOC 2135Z 020DEG 14KT 2899 8270 2844 8232

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
604 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2014

FLZ249-251-022230-
INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND PASCO-
604 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2014

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EXTREME NORTHEASTERN
HILLSBOROUGH AND SOUTHEASTERN PASCO COUNTIES...

AT 604 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM LOCATED NEAR ZEPHYRHILLS...MOVING SLOWLY
SOUTHEAST AT AROUND 5 MPH. THIS STORM WILL AFFECT WESLEY
CHAPEL...ZEPHYRHILLS...ZEPHYRHILLS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT AND
HILLSBOROUGH RIVER STATE PARK...UNTIL 630 PM EDT.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 75 BETWEEN EXITS 279 AND 285.

GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING.
TO BE SAFE GO INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...FIND A LOW
SPOT...AND STAY AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AND WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 2834 8216 2826 8207 2826 8211 2818 8211
      2817 8206 2806 8206 2805 8222 2818 8236
      2837 8239
TIME...MOT...LOC 2204Z 326DEG 6KT 2821 8218