Flash Flood Warning 74, NWS Tulsa, OK

378 
WGUS54 KTSA 121113
FFWTSA
OKC121-121400-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FF.W.0074.000000T0000Z-260712T1400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
613 AM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Central Pittsburg County in southeastern Oklahoma...

* Until 900 AM CDT.

* At 613 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 3 inches of rain 
  have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to 1 inch are possible 
  in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
  shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Mcalester...                       Krebs...
  Savanna...                         Alderson...
  Mcalester Regional Airport...      Bache...
  Dow...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3497 9561 3489 9556 3482 9564 3480 9576
      3483 9594 3500 9590

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

06

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1150 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1150 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

 - Scattered storms continue through the night, gradually shifting
   to the south.

 - Storm chances continue into Sunday and into early next week,
   and temperatures trend nearer to seasonal normals through at
   the middle of next week.

 - Hot and mostly dry conditions build back in by late next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Through Sunday)
Issued at 1150 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

Scattered convection continues to develop within a deep moist axis
situated from near Pawnee southeastward to the Fort Smith area
currently. Expectation is that this axis/elevated frontal zone
will slowly shift southward through the overnight hours, with
higher storm chances also shifting south across southeast Oklahoma
and west central Arkansas. The severe threat has waned with the
loss of daytime heating as instability has decreased substantially
over the area. Still, some occasional pulse storms could briefly
become strong to severe with gusty downburst winds around 50 to
60 mph at times and marginally severe hail through the night. Best
severe chances will generally be from near I-40 and points to the
south where better instability resides. The main threat overnight
will be locally heavy rainfall owing to anomalously high PWAT
values and observed rainfall rates from earlier this evening in
the 3 to 4 inch per hour range. Localized flash flooding could
develop rapidly as storm motions continue to be slow to nearly
stationary at times. Overall, activity should decrease some in
coverage through the night, though more development could be
possible near sunrise across portions of northeast Oklahoma again.

A lull in activity is expected from late morning through mid
afternoon, with relatively low coverage of storms expected during
this timeframe. More cloud cover along with northerly winds in
the wake of the boundary will keep temperatures in check tomorrow
for most locations... especially across northeast Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas. Highs are forecast to be in the upper 80s to
near 90 across the north, while low to mid 90s are forecast across
the south. The stalled or slowly moving frontal zone will likely
be placed across southeast Oklahoma by tomorrow afternoon, with
another round of scattered thunderstorms likely to develop along
the boundary from mid to late afternoon. A damaging wind threat
will be the primary concern once again with any stronger cells,
along with locally heavy rainfall and frequent lightning. This
activity should slowly sag southward through late afternoon and
push south of the Red River during the evening hours.

Bowlan

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 1150 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

Upper ridging builds over the Northern and Central Plains through
the middle part of next week, which will begin to limit the storm
chances over much of the forecast area. Daily, mainly afternoon
scattered thunderstorm chances tied to the peak heating will be
possible across southeast Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas from
the beginning through middle part of the week. Temperatures will
remain near seasonal normals with some drier low level air
continuing to filter in thanks to a light easterly to
northeasterly wind for several days. This will mean several days
of no heat headlines through mid week. By late week, the ridge
looks to broaden and expand across the central CONUS. The result
will be warming temperatures back above normal and a mostly dry
forecast heading into next weekend.

Bowlan

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1144 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

A cluster of showers and thunderstorms will continue to slowly
move south overnight. This will mean locally reduced visibility,
gusty erratic winds, lightning, and heavy rain. Overall, storm
coverage will reduce with time, but isolated to scattered storms
remain possible for all terminals through the night. Elected to
drop the mention of storms after about 08Z north of I-40 as the
potential will drop below 30% by then. Winds will be erratic but
favor the northeast tonight.

Scattered clouds in the low to mid levels will persist through
Sunday, especially in the south. A renewal of showers and storms
is possible, especially near KMLC. All areas should dry out with
diminishing clouds after sunset.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   74  90  72  91 /  60  20   0   0
FSM   75  92  74  93 /  70  50  10  10
MLC   75  90  73  91 /  50  50  20  20
BVO   70  89  68  90 /  60  10   0   0
FYV   69  89  68  89 /  60  20   0   0
BYV   67  88  67  89 /  30   0   0   0
MKO   72  89  71  90 /  70  30   0  10
MIO   69  90  68  90 /  20   0   0   0
F10   72  88  70  89 /  60  30  10  10
HHW   75  90  72  89 /  30  70  40  30

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....04
AVIATION...06

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
859 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

ARZ001-002-010-011-119-120-129-219-220-229-OKZ049-053-055>071-
073>075-154-172-176-254-272-276-354-376-130200-
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Northern Crawford-
Northern Franklin-North and Central Sebastian-Southern Crawford-
Central and Southern Franklin-Southern Sebastian-Pushmataha-
Choctaw-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-
Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair-
Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-Western Osage-
Northern Sequoyah-Northern Le Flore-Northeast Osage-
Central and Southern Sequoyah-Central Le Flore-Southeast Osage-
Southern Le Flore-
859 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Mainly Along and North of Interstate 40.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms continue this evening over northeastern Oklahoma and
northwestern Arkansas. The atmosphere remains moderately unstable and
wind shear is weak, resulting in mostly disorganized, short-lived but
intense thunderstorms. Areas along and north of I-40 have the
highest chance of seeing severe weather through late evening, with
damaging winds to 70 mph the main threat. The shower and thunderstorm
axis will shift southward with time into southeast Oklahoma after
midnight tonight, although the potential for additional severe
weather is likely to have diminished. Locally heavy rain will be a
concern areawide through the overnight, with localized flooding
potential highest in areas that see multiple rounds of thunderstorms.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY through WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A few showers and thunderstorms may linger into the daylight hours on
Sunday, with additional afternoon development mainly near the Red
River possible. A low chance of severe weather will exist for this
area Sunday afternoon. Cooler and drier conditions will exist for
most of the area Sunday, extending into early next week, with
afternoon temperatures near seasonal normals. Low shower and
thunderstorm chances will persist each day, particularly during the
afternoon and focused in the higher terrain areas of southeast
Oklahoma and western Arkansas. A shift in the overall weather pattern
may lead to a return in above normal temperatures toward the latter
part of next week and into next weekend.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

69

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
905 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0622 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     5 NNW Broken Arrow      36.12N 95.83W
07/11/2026                   Tulsa              OK   Broadcast Media

            large tree down in yard; time estimated from
            radar.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1019 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

OKZ070-074-172-272-120345-
Haskell OK-Northern Sequoyah OK-Central and Southern Sequoyah OK-
Muskogee OK-
1019 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL HASKELL...
NORTHWESTERN SEQUOYAH AND SOUTHEASTERN MUSKOGEE COUNTIES THROUGH 1045
PM CDT...

At 1019 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated a strong thunderstorm near
Webbers Falls, moving south at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects.

Locations in or near the path include...
Gore...                           Porum...
Webbers Falls...                  Box...

This includes Interstate 40 in Oklahoma between mile markers 278 and
294.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3560 9521 3558 9496 3532 9505 3538 9534
TIME...MOT...LOC 0319Z 021DEG 15KT 3547 9517

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

69

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1122 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

OKZ066-070-071-120500-
Muskogee OK-Okmulgee OK-McIntosh OK-
1122 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN MCINTOSH...
SOUTHEASTERN OKMULGEE AND WEST CENTRAL MUSKOGEE COUNTIES THROUGH
MIDNIGHT CDT...

At 1122 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated a strong thunderstorm near
Council Hill, moving south at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects.

Locations in or near the path include...
Boynton...                        Council Hill...
Hoffman...                        Wainwright...
Hitchita...                       Eram...

This includes Interstate 40 in Oklahoma between mile markers 253 and
261.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3572 9578 3570 9553 3544 9558 3546 9585
TIME...MOT...LOC 0422Z 021DEG 15KT 3560 9567

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

69