Flash Flood Warning 19, NWS Tulsa, OK

425 
WGUS74 KTSA 061857
FFSTSA

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
157 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

OKC037-062130-
/O.CON.KTSA.FF.W.0019.000000T0000Z-260606T2130Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Creek OK-
157 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT THIS 
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEASTERN CREEK COUNTY...

At 157 PM CDT, emergency management reported thunderstorms producing 
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 4 and 7 inches of rain 
have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to 2 inches are possible 
in the warned area. Flash flooding is already occurring. Portions of 
several county roads have been washed out between Bristow and 
Kellyville.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding.

SOURCE...Emergency management reported.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
         urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Bristow...                         Kellyville...
Slick...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3564 9629 3564 9631 3564 9634 3564 9638
      3564 9641 3564 9643 3586 9643 3592 9642
      3594 9642 3595 9616 3588 9620

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1250 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1249 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

 - Widespread showers and a few thunderstorms Saturday through
   Sunday. Heavy rain and localized flooding are the main
   concerns.

 - Minor flooding forecast for Polecat Creek near Sapulpa through
   Sunday morning.

 - A few storms could become marginally severe mainly Sunday
   afternoon. Main hazards will be damaging wind gusts and large
   hail.

 - Hot and humid weather arrives next week, with heat headlines
   likely.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Through tonight)
Issued at 1216 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

Widespread showers with embedded thunderstorms are ongoing late
this morning across much of eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
Creek and Tulsa counties have seen the heaviest rainfall this
morning, with MRMS estimates of 2 to 4 inches across a large part
of this area and rainfall continuing. The Bristow Mesonet
observation is approaching 6 inches of rain since midnight. The
localized heavy rainfall is leading to a rapid rise on Polecat
Creek near Sapulpa, with minor flooding currently forecast there
later today through tomorrow morning.

Additional thunderstorm development is possible this afternoon,
primarily across portions of southeast Oklahoma where a higher
likelihood of seeing some breaks in the cloudiness exists. The
better chance of this appears to be just west of the forecast
area, however, given current satellite observations and recent
trends. Any storms in southeast Oklahoma would have potential for
isolated marginally severe hail and wind, although again, the
better potential for this is just west of the forecast area. The
existing activity and any additional development later today will
continue to push to the north and east into the evening and
overnight as the upper low currently spinning over the South Texas
Plains moves to the north and east. A relative lull in the
coverage will likely occur from mid to late evening into early
Sunday morning, with an increasing chance for showers and
thunderstorms once again from west to east beginning just before
dawn Sunday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Saturday)
Issued at 1216 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

The immediate concern in the longer term is the increased
potential for flash flooding during the day Sunday, especially
given this morning/s rains. A Flood Watch has been posted from 12Z
Sunday to 00Z Monday for much of northeast Oklahoma. Localized
potential for 3 to 4 inches of rainfall will exist given what has
occurred today and 90th percentile NBM QPF also in this range. The
watch may need to be expanded south and eastward at a later time,
depending on how things evolve this afternoon and evening.

Showers and thunderstorms should be ongoing Sunday morning, along
and west of Highway 75, having developed to the west and moved
eastward along with the aforementioned upper low Saturday night.
In addition to the heavy rain/flash flooding threat, a lower end
severe weather threat will also exist across much of the area
during the day and possibly, into the overnight. Given the
location of the upper low, this will include a tornado threat. The
showers and thunderstorm coverage will decrease from southwest to
northeast Sunday night and into Monday.

Early next week, upper level ridging builds into the area,
bringing fairly typical heat and humidity for this time of year to
the region. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms will
exist Monday night near the Kansas and Missouri borders in
association with a disturbance moving along the periphery of the
ridge, but otherwise, a couple of days of dry weather looks
likely. Heat headlines look like a good bet during the period,
especially given the current rainfall and its likely impact on the
dew points.

Toward the latter part of the next week, an upper level trough in
the western United States will move toward the Northern and
Central Plains, which looks to bring a front into the area,
bringing additional shower and thunderstorm chances and reduced
humidity to at least northern parts of the area Friday and
possibly into Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1249 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

Showers with embedded thunderstorms continue to move across all of
the sites this afternoon, with widespread MVFR/IFR ceilings and
visibilities. Some improvement is possible ern OK sites later this
afternoon and across nwrn AR sites this evening. MVFR ceilings return
most areas tonight with areas of fog and scattered showers. Another
round of showers and thunderstorms expected to develop into the area
late tonight continuing into Sunday morning with continued aviation
impacts.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  82  73  89 /  80  90  60  10
FSM   72  85  73  91 /  70  90  50  10
MLC   70  85  75  90 /  80  90  30   0
BVO   68  82  70  89 /  80  90  70  10
FYV   70  81  71  86 /  70  90  60  30
BYV   69  81  71  86 /  50  90  60  40
MKO   70  82  72  88 /  70  90  50  10
MIO   69  81  70  88 /  60  90  70  30
F10   70  83  74  89 /  80  90  30   0
HHW   71  84  74  90 /  60  70  20   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flood Watch from Sunday morning through Sunday evening for
     OKZ055>067-154-254-354.

AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...22
LONG TERM....22
AVIATION...69

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
108 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

ARZ001-002-010-011-119-120-129-219-220-229-OKZ049-053-055>071-
073>075-154-172-176-254-272-276-354-376-071815-
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Northern Crawford-
Northern Franklin-North and Central Sebastian-Southern Crawford-
Central and Southern Franklin-Southern Sebastian-Pushmataha-
Choctaw-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-
Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair-
Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-Western Osage-
Northern Sequoyah-Northern Le Flore-Northeast Osage-
Central and Southern Sequoyah-Central Le Flore-Southeast Osage-
Southern Le Flore-
108 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

...LOCAL FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL MAINLY NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS WEEKEND...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Mainly Southeast Oklahoma.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Mainly Northeast Oklahoma.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Significant.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Widespread showers and isolated embedded thunderstorms persist
across eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas early this afternoon,
with localized pockets of very heavy rain leading to isolated
flash flood potential. Additional thunderstorm development remains
possible this afternoon into early evening, primarily across
southeast Oklahoma. An isolated, marginally severe storm may
occur. The existing activity, as well as any afternoon and evening
storms, will shift to the north and east into the overnight.
Another round of showers and thunderstorms will approach areas
along and west of Highway 75 in eastern Oklahoma after midnight,
moving in before dawn.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm and Heavy Rain Potential.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm and Dangerous Heat Potential.
TUESDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...Thunderstorm...High Wind...and Dangerous Heat Potential.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm and Dangerous Heat Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms will likely be
ongoing at daybreak Sunday, with an increasing threat for heavy
rain and flooding focused across northeast Oklahoma. A Flood Watch
is in effect through early Sunday evening. Conditions support a
low chance for severe weather across parts of the area during the
day Sunday, including a very low but nonzero chance for
tornadoes. The overall potential for thunderstorms is expected to
shift to the north and east into Sunday night and Monday.

Hot and humid conditions will develop early next week and continue
into the early part of the weekend for some areas. Widespread
triple digit heat index values should be expected, with heat
headlines likely to be necessary during the period.

A front looks to move into parts of the area late in the week,
bringing additional thunderstorm chances and possibly bringing
less humid conditions to northern areas.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1241 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

OKZ070-071-061815-
Muskogee OK-McIntosh OK-
1241 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN MCINTOSH AND
SOUTHEASTERN MUSKOGEE COUNTIES THROUGH 115 PM CDT...

At 1241 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated a strong thunderstorm 6 miles
southwest of Warner, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects.

Locations in or near the path include...
Warner...

This includes Interstate 40 in Oklahoma between mile markers 267 and
280.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3559 9541 3552 9520 3532 9534 3538 9551
TIME...MOT...LOC 1741Z 205DEG 14KT 3542 9537

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH