Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2026

Tornado Watch 52

March 15, 202615 counties in Illinois; 40 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 15, 2026, 1:33 PM CDT for 15 counties in Illinois; 40 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 15, 2026, 1:33 PM CDT (18:33 UTC)
Expired
Mar 15, 2026, 7:34 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 55 counties

Bond County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Pike County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Washington County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Camden County, MO, Christian County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Maries County, MO, Miller County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Osage County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pike County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

34 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 15, 1:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden, Maries, Miller23 min
Mar 15, 2:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Stone, Taney32 min
Mar 15, 2:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent, Douglas, Howell, Oregon, Phelps, Pulaski and 3 more48 min
Mar 15, 3:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Howell, Oregon, Ozark, Taney43 min
Mar 15, 3:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Warren49 min
Mar 15, 3:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Howell, Ozark, Texas, Wright51 min
Mar 15, 3:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun35 min
Mar 15, 3:42 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFDouglas, Howell, Texas33 min
Mar 15, 3:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun46 min
Mar 15, 3:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford, Franklin, Gasconade, Washington42 min
Mar 15, 3:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXGreene, Jersey58 min
Mar 15, 3:57 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFShannon, Texas33 min
Mar 15, 3:59 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXCalhoun, Jersey33 min
Mar 15, 4:05 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFShannon, Texas25 min
Mar 15, 4:10 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFDent, Shannon32 min
Mar 15, 4:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHowell, Oregon, Shannon52 min
Mar 15, 4:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford, Iron, Reynolds, Washington57 min
Mar 15, 4:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXJefferson, Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis47 min
Mar 15, 4:47 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXSaint Louis, City of Saint Louis23 min
Mar 15, 4:52 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFOregon, Shannon28 min
Mar 15, 5:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMadison, Monroe, Saint Clair44 min
Mar 15, 5:05 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXMadison, Saint Clair34 min
Mar 15, 5:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSainte Genevieve, Saint Francois38 min
Mar 15, 5:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMacoupin36 min
Mar 15, 5:13 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXSainte Genevieve, Saint Francois32 min
Mar 15, 5:19 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXMonroe, Saint Clair47 min
Mar 15, 5:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXReynolds15 min
Mar 15, 5:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Randolph, Saint Clair47 min
Mar 15, 5:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBond, Montgomery44 min
Mar 15, 5:34 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXMonroe, Randolph, Saint Clair34 min
Mar 15, 5:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXClinton, Washington54 min
Mar 15, 5:54 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXClinton, Washington37 min
Mar 15, 6:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMadison13 min
Mar 15, 6:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLSXMarion58 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 290 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2026-03-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2026-03-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 389 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1382 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
389 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
410 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 15, 12:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Clinton, Greene, Jackson, Jersey and 13 more2 hr
Mar 15, 3:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Jackson and 8 more93 min
Mar 15, 3:43 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCass, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Coles and 23 more5 hr
Mar 15, 3:57 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 13 more7 hr
Mar 15, 5:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCIroquois, Kankakee59 min
Mar 15, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFord, Iroquois, Kankakee, Livingston6 hr
Mar 15, 5:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Champaign, Clark, Clay, Clinton, Coles and 22 more88 min
Mar 15, 6:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Massac, Pulaski, Union2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2026Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2026Every tornado watch in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.