Flash Flood Warning 11, NWS Springfield, MO

636 
WGUS73 KSGF 162204
FFSSGF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
504 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

MOC131-170000-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0011.000000T0000Z-260417T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Miller MO-
504 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING 
FOR SOUTHEASTERN MILLER COUNTY...

At 504 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated that the thunderstorms that 
produced heavy rain across the warned area have moved out of the 
area. Runoff from the heavy rainfall this afternoon will still 
continue into this evening. Between 2 and 3 inches of rain have 
fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Iberia.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Many flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3805 9237 3816 9233 3816 9218 3815 9218
      3814 9218 3813 9218 3809 9218 3805 9218
      3804 9219

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

EW

304 
WGUS73 KSGF 162359
FFSSGF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
659 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

MOC131-170009-
/O.EXP.KSGF.FF.W.0011.000000T0000Z-260417T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Miller MO-
659 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR 
SOUTHEASTERN MILLER COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding along Tavern Creek will occur 
this evening into tonight from the earlier heavy rainfall. A Flood 
Warning has been issued until 6AM CDT Friday morning. Please 
continue to heed remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3805 9237 3816 9233 3816 9218 3815 9218
      3814 9218 3813 9218 3809 9218 3805 9218
      3804 9219

$$

EW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
136 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Strong to severe convection this afternoon with large hail and
  damaging wind the main severe weather risks. This is expected
  mainly over south central Missouri through the late afternoon.

- Severe thunderstorms expected on Friday, with an Enhanced
  (level 3 of 5) Risk of severe weather beginning in the
  afternoon and continuing through the overnight hours into
  early Saturday morning.

- Excessive rainfall concerns through the week in areas that
  see repeated strong storms and/or training precipitation.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 135 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

Synoptic overview and current conditions: Upper level analysis
and water vapor imagery show a shortwave currently pushing over
western Missouri and interacting with low/mid level moisture and
increased instability for scattered convection over the eastern
CWA. Morning soundings and CAM forecast soundings are favorable
for hail development with this convection and have had a few
severe warnings for this already. Another strong upper low and
jet streak were moving east across the northern and central
great basin region eastward into the northern and central
Rockies. West-southwest flow aloft was occurring ahead of this
feature west of the previously mentioned shortwave over western
MO.

This afternoon into tonight: CAMS are indicating the scattered
strong to severe convection over the eastern Ozarks lingering
through the afternoon before exiting the region to the
east/southeast. Hail to the size of golf balls and wind gusts up
to 60 mph will be possible with the strongest storms. The
remainder of the night should generally be free of storms with
the shortwave passing to the east.

Friday-Friday night: Things are coming together for another
round of severe storms late Friday into Friday night. The large
scale trough will shift east into the plains during the day
Friday and gusty low level winds will draw Gulf moisture back
into the area ahead of the surface front and upper wave.
Instability will be increasing throughout the day. By late
afternoon surface based CAPES from 1500-2500 j/kg develop along
and ahead of the front with 0-6km shear of 35-45kts over our
western CWA. CAMS are showing the potential for some supercell
activity out ahead of the front in the western CWA and west of
the CWA prior to a squall line developing and pushing through
the area during the evening into the overnight hours. Shear
increases significantly during the evening with curved
hodographs and helicity values getting over 300-400. All modes
of severe storms will be possible, especially early in the
evolution. When the squall line moves through the primary severe
risk will become damaging wind with the potential remaining for
embedded spin up tornadoes within the squall line. In addition
to the severe storm potential, heavy rain will accompany the
storms, on top of what the area received yesterday and last
night which may lead to a flooding risk, especially if storms
train across the same locations.

Saturday: The front should be through most if not all of the CWA
by 12z Saturday morning with a few remaining showers possible
early in the morning. A cooler and drier air mass will then move
in behind the front throughout the day on Saturday with highs
from the upper 50s to mid 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 135 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

Cold temperatures Saturday night: The high pressure system at
the surface will be over the area with a dry air mass in place.
Temperatures are expected to dip into the mid 30s for lows with
25th-75th percentile temperatures ranging from the low to upper
30s. Will need to continue monitoring this for a minor frost
potential.

Sunday-Wednesday: Expecting generally dry conditions through the
period with a warming trend back into the 70s for highs by
Monday and lows back in the 50s by Monday night.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1208 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

For the 18z TAFS, convection has developed late this morning
east of SGF to north of BBG. CAMS are generally keeping this
activity east of the TAF sites for now and not enough
probability to mention in a prob30 at this time for any of the
TAF sites. We do have widespread MVFR conditions with the lower
ceilings over the area and have this continuing through the
afternoon. Should become VFR this evening. Friday morning, we'll
start to see winds increase with some gusts up to 25 kts around
14-15z.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.

&&

SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Lindenberg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
208 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-171915-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
208 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Marginal tornado risk.
  Slight hail risk.
  Slight thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

Strong to severe storms will remain possible this afternoon into
the early evening. Large hail to the size of golf balls and
damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph will be the main severe weather
risks, with the main focus for severe storms east of highway 65.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Severe thunderstorms expected on Friday, with an Enhanced (level
3 of 5) Risk of severe weather beginning in the afternoon and
continuing through the overnight hours into early Saturday
morning.

All modes of severe weather possible, but widespread damaging
winds in excess of 70-80+ mph will be the primary severe hazard
as a squall line with several bowing segments develops along the
cold front.

Flooding will be possible in areas that receive multiple rounds
of heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 Spotter activation is not expected through tonight, however
reports of hail and damaging wind with the storms that develop are
welcome.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Lindenberg

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
126 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0123 PM     Hail             Moody                   36.53N 91.99W
04/16/2026  M0.70 Inch       Howell             MO   Public

            Hail up to dime size was reported.

&&

FEH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
148 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

MOZ069-080-081-161945-
Dallas MO-Camden MO-Laclede MO-
148 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN DALLAS...NORTHWESTERN
LACLEDE AND SOUTHWESTERN CAMDEN COUNTIES THROUGH 245 PM CDT...

At 148 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles northeast of Buffalo, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Bennett Spring State Park, Ha Ha Tonka State Park, Macks Creek,
Bennett Springs, Climax Springs, Louisburg, Windyville, Eldridge,
Leadmine, Tunas, Pumpkin Center, Branch, Decaturville, Plad, and
Roach.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3784 9252 3760 9303 3776 9316 3791 9312
      3790 9307 3811 9306
TIME...MOT...LOC 1848Z 231DEG 18KT 3774 9303

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Hatch

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
153 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

MOZ057-058-161945-
Maries MO-Miller MO-
153 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN MARIES AND
SOUTHEASTERN MILLER COUNTIES THROUGH 245 PM CDT...

At 153 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Iberia, or 16 miles east of Osage Beach, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Iberia.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3828 9216 3801 9208 3801 9214 3802 9214
      3802 9242 3812 9246
TIME...MOT...LOC 1853Z 248DEG 19KT 3806 9236

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Hatch

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
155 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0152 PM     Hail             Lanton                  36.52N 91.80W
04/16/2026  E1.00 Inch       Howell             MO   Emergency Mngr

            Hail to quarters in size reported.

&&

FEH

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
212 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0148 PM     Hail             1 S Pumpkin Center      37.73N 93.07W
04/16/2026  E0.88 Inch       Dallas             MO   Utility Company

            Image received of approximately nickel-sized
            hail. Location and time estimated via radar.

&&

BIP

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
229 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0227 PM     Hail             Iberia                  38.09N 92.30W
04/16/2026  M1.25 Inch       Miller             MO   Fire Dept/Rescue

&&

TG