Severe Thunderstorm Warning 141, NWS Blacksburg, VA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
149 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued area-wide through 8 PM
this evening.

Another second, more potent round of storms is expected through this
afternoon into evening. Damaging winds will be the main threat, with
a secondary tornado and hail threat.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
Key Message 1: Another round of more potent thunderstorms this
afternoon into evening. Storms have the potential to be
strong/severe.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Key Message 1: Another round of more potent thunderstorms this
afternoon into evening. Storms have the potential to be
strong/severe.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch in effect until 8 PM this evening area-
wide.

First impulse and associated rain has largely exited the area. Much
of the previous activity was stratiform while more cellular
development occurred near the western CWA. Some segments of strong
storms have quickly triggered across WV and will enter our NW
shortly. This was supported earlier this morning with decent CAM
consensus and some scattering of the cloud deck has occurred
allowing for destabilization. The upper NW flow looks to still
support some shortwave impulse influencing dynamic forcing for
continued development. Shear parameters look quite favorable for
organized storm modes along with possible supercells interacting
with low level helicity. Still thinking damaging winds are the
primary threat then large hail and isolated tornadoes as secondary
threats.

As far as the flash flooding threat, there was already some training
cells in the west earlier that prompted and verified warning
issuance. This could continue to be an issue for other areas that
see similar cell trends with the transition into the afternoon round
of convection. The morning sounding indicated about a 1.5 inch PWAT
so these storms should be efficient precip producers.

By later this evening activity should wane and exit southward, then
much of the rest of this week should be dry and dominated with an
upper ridge of high pressure. The next main chance for precip looks
to hold off until next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...

While some shower and thunderstorm activity has pushed
southeastward, another round of development is possible through the
afternoon that could have strong to severe VRB gusts and reduced
vsbys. Some clearing could occur later this evening into the
overnight, while cigs of MVFR and lower could form near BLF to LWB.
Outside of any storms, winds this afternoon should be west to SW 12-
14 kts gusting to the low 20s, then shift NW this evening through
Wednesday with enhanced gusts again during the daytime.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK... Gusty, post frontal winds are expected
Wednesday, but VFR. The rest of the week through Friday will also be
mainly VFR, outside of any morning fog. Precipitation chances
increase again by Saturday.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...AB
AVIATION...AB/BMG

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
208 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-
WVZ042>044-507-508-291815-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Watauga-Wilkes-
Yadkin-Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Montgomery-Grayson-
Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge-
Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-Henry-Pittsylvania-Campbell-
Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte-Mercer-Summers-Monroe-
Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
208 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 526 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, central Virginia, south central Virginia,
southwest Virginia, west central Virginia and southeast West
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

A second round of strong to severe storms will be capable of
producing damaging winds, hail, and isolated tornadoes this afternoon
into evening. Flash flooding is also a threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are requested to report hail of any size, as well
as any damage caused by thunderstorm winds in their area.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
131 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     Flash Flood      1 WSW Atkins            36.86N 81.43W
07/28/2026                   Smyth              VA   Public

            911 Call Center reported Nicks Creek Road
            was closed due to water over the roadway.

&&

EB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
133 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1132 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 NW Troutdale          36.72N 81.47W
07/28/2026                   Smyth              VA   911 Call Center

            Numerous trees were reported down along
            Sugar grove highway in Smyth County
            Virginia.

&&

EB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
213 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

NCZ019-281845-
Wilkes NC-
213 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT
SOUTHWESTERN WILKES COUNTY THROUGH 245 PM EDT...

At 213 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Elkville, or 8 miles west of Boomer, moving southeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Boomer...
Wilkesboro Reservoir...
and Elkville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
northwestern North Carolina.

&&

LAT...LON 3604 8138 3604 8140 3605 8139 3607 8141
      3608 8143 3607 8144 3609 8146 3609 8147
      3617 8139 3604 8112 3603 8116 3604 8120
      3603 8127 3600 8132
TIME...MOT...LOC 1813Z 309DEG 22KT 3606 8139

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

AS

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