Flash Flood Warning 19, NWS Blacksburg, VA

950 
WGUS71 KRNK 281657
FFSRNK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1257 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

NCC009-VAC035-640-281707-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FF.W.0019.000000T0000Z-260728T2230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Ashe NC-Carroll VA-City of Galax VA-
1257 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR NORTHEASTERN ASHE AND 
SOUTHWESTERN CARROLL COUNTIES AND THE CITY OF GALAX...

Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to 
heed remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3681 8114 3691 8109 3679 8106 3656 8093
      3647 8096 3645 8098 3641 8096 3637 8103
      3641 8104 3644 8109 3643 8116 3644 8117
      3637 8125 3639 8125 3641 8127 3645 8127
      3648 8132 3655 8135 3657 8135 3678 8148

$$

NCC005-VAC077-173-197-282230-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0019.000000T0000Z-260728T2230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Alleghany NC NC-Grayson VA-Smyth VA-Wythe VA-
1257 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM EDT THIS 
EVENING FOR ALLEGHANY NC, GRAYSON, SOUTHEASTERN SMYTH AND SOUTH 
CENTRAL WYTHE COUNTIES...

At 1257 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 0.5 and 1.5 inches of 
rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 2 inches in 1 
hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1 inch are possible in 
the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Sparta...                          Independence...
Mouth Of Wilson...                 Ennice...
Sugar Grove...                     Troutdale...
Bridle Creek...

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Blue Spring Creek, Bear Branch, Comers Rock Branch, Bridle Creek, 
  Brush Creek, Crab Fork, Beaverdam Creek, Cove Creek, Bull Run, 
  Basin Creek, Cripple Creek, Beaver Creek, Big Sandy Creek, Cold 
  Run and Big Pine Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become 
unstable and unsafe.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding, 
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather 
Service by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports 
and pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service 
Blacksburg Facebook page and on X.

&&

LAT...LON 3681 8114 3691 8109 3679 8106 3656 8093
      3647 8096 3645 8098 3641 8096 3637 8103
      3641 8104 3644 8109 3643 8116 3644 8117
      3637 8125 3639 8125 3641 8127 3645 8127
      3648 8132 3655 8135 3657 8135 3678 8148

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...1-2 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

EB

332 
WGUS71 KRNK 281854
FFSRNK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
254 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

NCC005-VAC077-173-197-282230-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0019.000000T0000Z-260728T2230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Alleghany NC NC-Grayson VA-Smyth VA-Wythe VA-
254 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM EDT THIS 
EVENING FOR ALLEGHANY NC, GRAYSON, SOUTHEASTERN SMYTH AND SOUTH 
CENTRAL WYTHE COUNTIES...

At 254 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain have 
fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Sparta...                          Independence...
Mouth Of Wilson...                 Ennice...
Sugar Grove...                     Troutdale...
Bridle Creek...

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Basin Creek, Bridle Creek, Bull Run, Bear Branch, Cripple Creek, 
  Comers Rock Branch, Big Sandy Creek, Blue Spring Creek, Beaverdam 
  Creek, Cold Run, Cove Creek, Brush Creek, Big Pine Creek, Beaver 
  Creek and Crab Fork.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become 
unstable and unsafe.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding, 
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather 
Service by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports 
and pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service 
Blacksburg Facebook page and on X.

&&

LAT...LON 3681 8114 3691 8109 3679 8106 3656 8093
      3647 8096 3645 8098 3641 8096 3637 8103
      3641 8104 3644 8109 3643 8116 3644 8117
      3637 8125 3639 8125 3641 8127 3645 8127
      3648 8132 3655 8135 3657 8135 3678 8148

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

CDG

248 
WGUS71 KRNK 282100
FFSRNK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
500 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

NCC005-VAC077-173-197-282110-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FF.W.0019.000000T0000Z-260728T2230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Alleghany NC NC-Grayson VA-Smyth VA-Wythe VA-
500 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR ALLEGHANY NC, GRAYSON, 
SOUTHEASTERN SMYTH AND SOUTH CENTRAL WYTHE COUNTIES...

Flood waters have receded. The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no 
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed remaining 
road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3681 8114 3691 8109 3679 8106 3656 8093
      3647 8096 3645 8098 3641 8096 3637 8103
      3641 8104 3644 8109 3643 8116 3644 8117
      3637 8125 3639 8125 3641 8127 3645 8127
      3648 8131 3648 8132 3657 8135 3678 8148

$$

16

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
653 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Multiple rounds of thunderstorms possible today. First round
possible this morning with a second, more potent round of
storms beginning by the afternoon. Damaging winds will be the
main threat, with a secondary tornado and hail threat.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
Key Message 1: Multiple chances for thunderstorms today. Storms
have the potential to be strong/severe.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Key Message 1: Multiple chances for thunderstorms today. Storms
have the potential to be strong/severe.

A potent upper shortwave will traverse through the Great Lakes
this morning, shifting into New England by this evening. Slight
amplification of this wave will occur by the afternoon, and
multiple waves of storms will be possible.

Current satellite indicates a decaying Mesoscale Convective
System over the Tennessee Valley with some renewed development
now across the upper Ohio Valley. Guidance has development
within this zone continuing over the next few hours, but
confidence in this is still rather uncertain given meager
coverage of storms ongoing when compared to model simulated
reflectivity. Should this area fill in as modeled, it will drop
south into the forecast area around daybreak. Severe threat
with this should be fairly minimal based on limited
instability, however increasing bulk shear could support a few
organized bowing segments capable of strong wind gusts.

A second round of storms will be possible this afternoon
associated with the main frontal passage. Storms this afternoon
will be highly dependent on how the morning convection
progresses through the area. At the moment, it appears there
will at least be some clearing by early afternoon resulting in
marginal surface heating within a moist boundary layer yielding
MLCAPE around 1000 to 1500 J/kg. Increasing deep layer shear
overlapping with favorable instability will likely result in
widely scattered storms capable of all severe modes. 0-6 km
shear (30-40 knots) is also supportive of supercells, which
could produce isolated tornadoes given increasing 0-3 km SRH by
mid- afternoon. Supercells and organized multicell line
segments will also be capable of severe wind gusts.

A localized flash flooding threat also exists within areas of
training/repeated rounds of storms. Overall, storms motions
should help mitigate the flooding threat today.

The front and trough axis moves quickly southeast and out of the
forecast area by midnight. Upslope flow may bring a few showers
to the mountains overnight, but the severe threat will be over.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR this morning with mostly areas of altostratus moving across
from upstream convection over West Virginia. Should see
increasing development of storms throughout the morning,
shifting south into the area arriving sometime around 8AM -
10AM. Some clearing is expected to occur sometime late morning
and into the afternoon with a second round of storms expected to
develop in the afternoon/evening.

After 22Z or so, most models have storms out of southeast WV,
continuing for eastern VA and NC for a few more hours through at
least 00z. Improving conditions expected late tonight as storms
lessen, with perhaps just some residual upslope showers in West
Virginia through midnight.

Winds increasing by mid morning to 10 to 15 knots, with gusts
up to 25 knots possible by the afternoon, turning from
southwesterly to westerly by early afternoon.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
Gusty, post frontal winds are expected Wednesday, but VFR. The
rest of the week through Friday will also be mainly VFR, outside
of any morning fog. Precipitation chances increase again by
Saturday.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...BMG
AVIATION...BMG

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
251 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-
WVZ042>044-507-508-290700-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Watauga-Wilkes-
Yadkin-Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Montgomery-Grayson-
Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge-
Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-Henry-Pittsylvania-Campbell-
Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte-Mercer-Summers-Monroe-
Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
251 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, central Virginia, south central Virginia,
southwest Virginia, west central Virginia and southeast West
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms today. Strong to
severe storms will be capable of producing damaging winds, hail,
and isolated tornadoes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are requested to report hail of any size, as well
as any damage caused by thunderstorm winds in their area.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
1041 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

VAZ007-009-010-012-281545-
Tazewell VA-Bland VA-Wythe VA-Smyth VA-
1041 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT
NORTHERN SMYTH...TAZEWELL...SOUTHWESTERN BLAND AND NORTHWESTERN WYTHE
COUNTIES THROUGH 1145 AM EDT...

At 1041 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Cliffield, or near Cedar Bluff, moving southeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Marion...
Richlands...
Tazewell...
Cedar Bluff...
Ceres...
Burkes Garden...
and Nebo.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3716 8187 3717 8187 3718 8180 3720 8176
      3723 8174 3724 8174 3724 8172 3720 8168
      3721 8156 3706 8120 3681 8146 3695 8178
      3703 8181 3711 8189 3714 8190
TIME...MOT...LOC 1441Z 316DEG 20KT 3711 8171

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

EB