Severe Thunderstorm Warning 126, NWS Pueblo, CO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
524 PM MDT Fri Jun 26 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered showers and thunderstorms through this evening
  across the region, a few may become strong to severe across
  the far Eastern Plains.

- Hot, dry and windy Saturday through Wednesday with high fire
  danger across much of southern Colorado.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 251 PM MDT Fri Jun 26 2026

Updated to issue a Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 9 PM for all
of the southeast Colorado Plains. Thunderstorms have been
developing across the higher terrain, and progressing east into
the lower elevations this afternoon. Moist air with dewpoints in
the 50s to lower 60s, with southerly winds, modest instability
and increasing shear will allow for a few storms to become
severe this afternoon, especially as they track east into a more
favorable environment. There still appears to be a low tornado
risk for areas north of Highway 50 in Bent, Prowers and Kiowa
Counties where surface winds back this afternoon out of the
southeast. Otherwise, hail in excess of 1 inch in diameter and
wind gusts over 60 mph are possible.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1255 PM MDT Fri Jun 26 2026

Currently...satellite imagery this afternoon shows widespread
cumulus development across the Mountains into the I-25 corridor.
Radar shows increasing shower and thunderstorm development,
mainly from the La Garita range, northeast into the Palmer
Divide. Temperatures are warm, with 80s across the Plains and
San Luis Valley.

Rest of today and tonight...an embedded upper wave in
increasingly southwest flow aloft will allow for continued
shower and thunderstorms development this afternoon. The initial
activity over the Mountains, will spread east into the Plains by
late afternoon to early evening. Shear continues to increase,
with around 30-35 kts of 0-6km shear, and modest SBCAPE values
around 1200 j/kg across the Plains. As storms shift east into
the Plains and encounter more favorable conditions, a couple may
become strong to severe. For areas generally north of Highway 50
in Bent, Prowers and Kiowa Counties, surface winds are forecast
to back more southeasterly, enhancing shear and low level
helicity values. Hail to 1.5 inches in diameter and wind gusts
in excess of 65 mph are possible over this area. There is also a
low tornado threat, especially if low level flow backs
southeasterly. Shower and thunderstorm activity will continue
track east across the Plains this evening, clearing into Kansas
after midnight. Outside of the areas mentioned above, hail to
nickels and wind gusts to 50-55 mph may accompany stronger
storms. Overnight lows will fall into the 50s and lower 60s
across the Plains, with 40s across the San Luis Valley.

Saturday...hot and dry conditions return to southern Colorado
beginning on  Saturday, as flow from the southwest ushers in
dry air. PWAT values are forecast to fall to near 0.5 inches. In
addition, widespread southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts in
excess of 35 mph are forecast. Humidity values will fall, to
near 10 percent for much of southern Colorado by the afternoon.
Temperatures will also warm, with 90s to near 100 degrees across
the Plains. Red Flag Warnings are in place for the Mountains
and San Luis Valley. There are concerns across the Plains, where
low humidity values and strong winds are forecast. But, many
areas saw spotty heavy rainfall this past week and it may take a
couple days for fuels to dry out. That being said, not all
areas saw rainfall, and given the conditions, any outdoor
burning should be done with great caution.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1255 PM MDT Fri Jun 26 2026

There is decent agreement among the various models and ensembles
through much of the extended period. The upper pattern will
favor a trough across the western states, with persistent dry
southwest flow across Colorado into the middle of next week.

Saturday night through Wednesday...persistent southwest flow
aloft will favor continued high fire danger across southern
Colorado. Humidity values will remain low, with values at or
under 10 percent each afternoon, with poor humidity recoveries
overnight. Winds will remain gusty each day, with southwest
winds 15-25 mph with gusts 30-40 mph each afternoon. No
precipitation is forecast during this period across southern
Colorado. Daytime highs will remain hot, with 90s to lower 100s
each afternoon, with overnight lows mainly in the 50s across the
lower elevations. A Fire Weather Watch is in place for Sunday
morning into the afternoon, mainly for the Mountains and San
Luis Valley. The Plains continue to reach criteria as well, but
as mentioned above, fuels are in question given recent spotty
heavy rainfall. By Monday, we may need to rethink issuing fire
weather highlights on the Plains as fuels begin to dry out.

Thursday into Friday...the upper pattern still favors southwest
flow across southern Colorado, however, energy in more southerly
flow may move northward across the Colorado-Kansas border. This
may lead in an uptick of showers and thunderstorms near the
border. There are model differences out this far in the
forecast, and confidence is low in shower and thunderstorm
occurrence at this time. Temperatures will remain hot, with 90s
to lower 100s on the Plains.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 524 PM MDT Fri Jun 26 2026

KALS: Mostly VFR expected through 24 hours. Passing showers will
result in brief periods of precip, low clouds, low vis, and some
haze from lofted dust. These showers should leave the area by 03Z,
with VFR after. Expecting gusty southwest winds to around 30 knots
Saturday afternoon.

KCOS and KPUB: Showers and thunderstorms will continue pushing east
for a few more hours this evening. Will need to monitor for outflow
gusts and boundaries, but otherwise conditions should calm later
tonight and last into tomorrow. Breezy southwest winds will set in
at both terminals after 18Z Saturday, with gusts to around 30
knots.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1255 PM MDT Fri Jun 26 2026

High fire danger will spread across southern Colorado beginning
Saturday, and continuing through mid week. A Red Flag Warning is
in effect for tomorrow for the Mountains and San Luis Valley
due to low humidity values and gusty southwest winds. A Fire
Weather Watch is in effect for Sunday for much of the same area.
Dangerous fire weather conditions will also exist on the
Plains, however, recent spotty heavy rainfall may temper briefly
dry fuel conditions. Given the hot temperatures, low humidity
values and gusty winds, we will have to monitor conditions on
the Plains, especially during this prolonged dry, windy period.
All areas on the Plains should be treated with caution with any
outdoor burning activities, as not all areas saw rainfall, and
high fire danger still exists.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 9 PM MDT Saturday for
COZ220>225.
Fire Weather Watch from Sunday morning through Sunday evening
for COZ220>222-224-225.

&&

UPDATE...MOZLEY
SHORT TERM...MOZLEY
LONG TERM...MOZLEY
AVIATION...GARBEROGLIO
FIRE WEATHER...MOZLEY

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1130 AM MDT Fri Jun 26 2026

COZ058>089-093>099-271730-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1130 AM MDT Fri Jun 26 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms will develop this afternoon across the
higher terrain, and spread east across the Plains into this
evening. A few storms that move off the Palmer Divide and track
across the Plains could become strong to severe. Areas north of
Highway 50 across Prowers, Bent and Kiowa Counties have the
highest potential of seeing a severe storm, with hail to 1.5
inches in diameter, wind gusts in excess of 60 mph and an isolated
tornadoes. Elsewhere, storms will be capable of producing nickel
size hail and wind gusts to 55 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Widespread critical fire weather conditions are expected to return
this weekend and into midweek next week as dry and windy conditions
return. The most widespread critical conditions are expected this
weekend and Monday. In addition, dry lightning may be a concern next
week as well.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be possible over portions of the region.

88/88

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
317 PM MDT Fri Jun 26 2026

COZ086-262145-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-
317 PM MDT Fri Jun 26 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN PUEBLO COUNTY
THROUGH 345 PM MDT...

At 317 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles east of Pinon, or 11 miles north of Pueblo Airport, moving
southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Pueblo Depot.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3849 10462 3852 10437 3842 10417 3830 10443
TIME...MOT...LOC 2117Z 313DEG 12KT 3846 10447

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

EP

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
338 PM MDT Fri Jun 26 2026

COZ086-262215-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-
338 PM MDT Fri Jun 26 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN PUEBLO COUNTY
THROUGH 415 PM MDT...

At 337 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Pueblo West, or 13 miles northwest of Pueblo, moving northeast at 25
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Pinon and Pueblo West.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3827 10477 3839 10493 3851 10480 3851 10444
TIME...MOT...LOC 2137Z 221DEG 21KT 3839 10480

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

EP

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
420 PM MDT Fri Jun 26 2026

COZ086-262245-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-
420 PM MDT Fri Jun 26 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL PUEBLO COUNTY
THROUGH 445 PM MDT...

At 420 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Blende, or 8 miles south of Pueblo Airport, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Boone, Avondale, and Pueblo Depot.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3806 10456 3822 10460 3831 10426 3807 10420
TIME...MOT...LOC 2220Z 257DEG 13KT 3817 10449

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

EP

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
451 PM MDT Fri Jun 26 2026

COZ086-093-262315-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-
La Junta Vicinity/Otero County CO-
451 PM MDT Fri Jun 26 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN OTERO AND EAST
CENTRAL PUEBLO COUNTIES THROUGH 515 PM MDT...

At 451 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Avondale, or 11 miles southeast of Pueblo Airport, moving east at 20
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Boone, Avondale, and Pueblo Depot.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3804 10446 3821 10450 3832 10412 3806 10405
TIME...MOT...LOC 2251Z 258DEG 18KT 3815 10439

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

EP

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
707 PM MDT Fri Jun 26 2026

COZ084-085-270145-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below
7400 Ft CO-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Ft
CO-
707 PM MDT Fri Jun 26 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY THROUGH
745 PM MDT...

At 707 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
southern Colorado Springs, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Colorado Springs, Stratmoor, Schriever Space Force Base, Security,
Falcon, Peterson Space Force Base, Cimarron Hills, Fort Carson, and
Security-Widefield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3874 10477 3890 10488 3905 10461 3881 10447
TIME...MOT...LOC 0107Z 247DEG 21KT 3885 10475

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MG

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
717 PM MDT Fri Jun 26 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0717 PM     Hail             9 NW Eads               38.57N 102.90W
06/26/2026  M1.50 Inch       Kiowa              CO   Storm Chaser

            Damage to car windshield.

&&

MG