Special Weather Statement, NWS Mobile, AL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1128 PM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...New DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1124 PM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

 - A line of severe thunderstorms moves eastward through the area
   overnight with the potential of strong, damaging winds
   (70+mph) and perhaps a few strong tornadoes (up to EF2 in
   intensity).

 - High risk of rip currents for coastal Alabama and northwest
   Florida beaches late tonight through Thursday afternoon.

 - Strong marine winds late tonight through Thursday evening will
   create hazardous conditions for small craft operators.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1012 PM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

Southern stream upper level storm system ejects across the Lower
MS River Valley overnight. Along with it, a cold front approaches
from the west sending a convective squall line, potentially
severe in areas producing swaths of damaging winds up to/excess of
70 mph and perhaps a few strong tornadoes, rapidly eastward over
the local area overnight. Timing of the line remains unchanged,
with the severe weather threat ending before sunrise Thursday AM.
The front makes passage by daybreak, bringing wind shift,
strengthening north to northwest flow in its wake, drier and much
cooler and well below normal temperatures Thursday with daytime
highs in the lower 60's interior and mid/upper 60's coast.
Thursday night, lows break into the upper 30s interior to mid 40's
coast. We may need to issue a Frost Advisory for our inland areas
as recent temperatures have been well above normal and Spring
gardens are likely seeing tender growth emerging. The next few
days will be rain-free as axis of high pressure settles across the
area. Daily highs/lows moderating Friday and Saturday. May begin
to see a small chance of rain returning Sunday, with the better
chance perhaps by Sunday night as a large upper trough is expected
to dig south over the entire eastern CONUS, followed by the
passage of a strong cold front Monday. Temperatures early next
week expected to dive to well below normal over the interior with
mid 50's for highs Monday and around 15 degrees below climo. 55 to
60 area-wide Tuesday and 12-17 degrees below normal. Coldest
night next week is Monday night with the potential for freezing
over the interior and mid/upper 30s coast.

Beach Forecast: A HIGH risk of dangerous to potentially deadly
rip currents sets up after midnight through Thursday before
settling back to a LOW risk by Friday through the weekend. Surf
heights up to four feet are also likely prior to the passage of
the cold front. /10

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 637 PM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

MVFR to IFR ceilings will persist through the evening, especially
near the coast. A line of strong to severe storms will quickly
slide across the area this evening and overnight ahead of a cold
front. Expect brief reductions in visibility as this line quickly passes
through the area. Storms will be capable of producing gusty,
erratic winds and a few tornadoes. Southerly winds will increase
with gusts as high as 20-25 knots. Winds quickly become northwesterly
in the wake of the cold front. 07/mb

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 237 PM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

Southerly to southwesterly winds increase through midnight ahead
of a line of strong to severe thunderstorms approaching from the
west. Special Marine Warnings will likely be required for
convective wind gusts in excess of 36 kts. A few tornadoes
possible. This line of storms is expected to pass over the marine
area after midnight through daybreak Thursday. A Small Craft
Advisory remains in effect from overnight tonight into Thursday
evening as winds turn northerly in the wake of a strong cold
front. Seas building and highest beyond 20 NM at 5 to 7' due to
the established northerly fetch. Light easterly flow becomes
established Friday through Saturday morning, followed by a light
onshore flow through the remainder of the weekend with seas
trending lower. /10

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      51  66  42  71 / 100  20   0   0
Pensacola   56  67  47  68 /  90  40   0   0
Destin      59  70  49  67 /  90  40   0   0
Evergreen   50  65  37  73 / 100  30   0   0
Waynesboro  46  62  38  71 / 100  10   0   0
Camden      46  61  38  70 / 100  30   0   0
Crestview   54  69  39  72 /  90  40   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday afternoon for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday afternoon for FLZ202-204-
     206.

MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM CDT Thursday for GMZ630>632.

     Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM to 7 PM CDT Thursday for
     GMZ633>636.

     Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM CDT Friday for GMZ650-655-670-
     675.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1158 PM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

ALZ052>057-120600-
Clarke AL-Wilcox AL-Monroe AL-Conecuh AL-Butler AL-Washington AL-
1158 PM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN BUTLER...MONROE...
EAST CENTRAL WASHINGTON...NORTHEASTERN CLARKE...WILCOX AND CENTRAL
CONECUH COUNTIES THROUGH 100 AM CDT...

At 1157 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 7 miles northeast of Yellow Bluff to 3 miles
east of Wagarville. Movement was east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Monroeville, Jackson, Camden, Frisco City, Grove Hill, Peterman,
Leroy, Whatley, Excel, Beatrice, Vredenburgh, Fulton, Repton, Yellow
Bluff, and Pine Apple.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for south central
and southwestern Alabama. A Tornado Watch also remains in effect
until 700 AM CDT for south central Alabama.

&&

LAT...LON 3214 8725 3212 8726 3208 8719 3205 8718
      3205 8690 3204 8686 3196 8686 3196 8672
      3132 8712 3145 8805 3217 8739
TIME...MOT...LOC 0457Z 286DEG 48KT 3205 8742 3143 8797

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH