Alert archive / Alabama / River Flood Warnings in 2026

River Flood Warning 8, NWS Mobile, AL

March 12, 2026Clarke County, Washington County, Alabama

NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Mar 12, 2026, 9:06 AM CDT for Clarke County, Washington County, Alabama. It took effect at Mar 13, 2026, 1:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 12, 2026, 9:06 AM CDT (14:06 UTC)
In effect from: Mar 13, 2026, 1:00 PM CDT
Expired: Mar 17, 2026, 7:00 PM CDT
In force: 4 days
Issued by: NWS Mobile, AL
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

Counties Clarke County, AL, Washington County, AL

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Tombigbee River near Leroy (LRYA1).

Action stage: 19 ft
Minor stage: 24 ft
Moderate stage: 30 ft
Major stage: 35 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02470050, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

628 
WGUS44 KMOB 121406
FLWMOB

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
906 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...The National Weather Service in Mobile AL has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Washington and Clarke 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Coffeeville Dam 
- upstream, Leroy...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on 
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-131415-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0008.260313T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.260313T1800Z.260316T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
906 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...From Friday afternoon until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground. Water approaches low lying roads on west side of 
  river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 17.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    early tomorrow afternoon and continue rising to 25.5 feet
    early Monday afternoon. Additional rises are possible
    thereafter.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

JP

11 follow-up statements

206 
WGUS84 KMOB 130250
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
950 PM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Coffeeville Dam 
- upstream, Leroy...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on 
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.




&&

ALC025-129-140300-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0008.260314T1630Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.260314T1630Z.260316T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
950 PM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...From Saturday morning until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground. Water approaches low lying roads on west side of 
  river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 19.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late Saturday morning and continue rising to 25.5 feet early
    Monday afternoon. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

035 
WGUS84 KMOB 131817
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
117 PM CDT Fri Mar 13 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Coffeeville Dam 
- upstream, Leroy...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on 
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-141830-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0008.260315T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.260315T0300Z.260316T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
117 PM CDT Fri Mar 13 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...From Saturday evening until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground. Water approaches low lying roads on west side of 
  river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:00 PM CDT Friday the stage was 21.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late tomorrow evening and continue rising to a crest of 24.6
    feet early Monday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

JP

552 
WGUS84 KMOB 140227
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
927 PM CDT Fri Mar 13 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Coffeeville Dam 
- upstream, Leroy...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on 
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.




&&

ALC025-129-150230-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0008.260314T1108Z-260318T1800Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.260314T1108Z.260316T0600Z.260318T1200Z.NO/
927 PM CDT Fri Mar 13 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO EARLY 
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...From Saturday morning to early Wednesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground. Water approaches low lying roads on west side of 
  river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 PM CDT Friday the stage was 22.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage tomorrow
    morning and continue rising to 24.6 feet by early Monday
    morning. It will then fall below flood stage Wednesday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

379 
WGUS84 KMOB 141526
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1026 AM CDT Sat Mar 14 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Washington and Clarke 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Coffeeville Dam 
- upstream, Leroy...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local radio, 
television, or NOAA Weather Radio for further information.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on 
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.




&&

ALC025-129-151530-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260317T0600Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.260316T0000Z.260316T0000Z.260317T0000Z.NO/
1026 AM CDT Sat Mar 14 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until early Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 24 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands 
  begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to higher 
  ground. Water approaches low lying roads on west side of river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 23.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24
    feet tomorrow evening. It will then fall below flood stage
    Monday evening.
  - Flood stage is 24 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

477 
WGUS84 KMOB 150132
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
832 PM CDT Sat Mar 14 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Coffeeville Dam 
- upstream, Leroy...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local radio, 
television, or NOAA Weather Radio for further information.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on 
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-160145-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260318T0336Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.260315T0352Z.260316T0000Z.260317T2136Z.NO/
832 PM CDT Sat Mar 14 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TUESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until late Tuesday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground. Water approaches low lying roads on west side of 
  river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 23.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this evening to a crest of 24.4 feet tomorrow evening.
    It will then fall below flood stage Tuesday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

MM

652 
WGUS84 KMOB 151531
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1031 AM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Washington and Clarke 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Coffeeville Dam 
- upstream, Leroy...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local radio, 
television, or NOAA Weather Radio for further information.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on 
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-161545-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260317T1600Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.260315T0845Z.260316T0600Z.260317T1000Z.NO/
1031 AM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until late Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground. Water approaches low lying roads on west side of 
  river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 24.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.4
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
    flood stage early Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

JP

693 
WGUS84 KMOB 160238
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
938 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Coffeeville Dam 
- upstream, Leroy...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local radio, 
television, or NOAA Weather Radio for further information.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on 
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-170245-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260318T0100Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.260315T0845Z.260316T0600Z.260317T1900Z.NO/
938 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until Tuesday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground. Water approaches low lying roads on west side of 
  river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 24.5 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 PM CDT Sunday was 24.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.5
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
    flood stage early Tuesday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    24.5 feet on 12/31/2012.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

MM

462 
WGUS84 KMOB 161450 RRA
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
950 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Coffeeville Dam 
- upstream, Leroy...Minor flooding is forecast.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on 
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-171500-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260318T0300Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.260315T0845Z.260316T1345Z.260317T2100Z.NO/
950 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TOMORROW EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until late tomorrow evening.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground. Water approaches low lying roads on west side of 
  river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM CDT Monday the stage was 24.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 AM CDT Monday was 24.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    tomorrow afternoon and continue falling to 15.5 feet Saturday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    24.7 feet on 01/01/2015.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

753 
WGUS84 KMOB 170417
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1117 PM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Washington and Clarke 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Coffeeville Dam 
- upstream, Leroy...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on 
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-180300-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260318T0300Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.260315T0845Z.260316T2315Z.260317T2100Z.NO/
1117 PM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TOMORROW EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until late tomorrow evening.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground. Water approaches low lying roads on west side of 
  river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 24.6 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 11:00 PM CDT Monday was 24.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.6
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
    flood stage tomorrow afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

MM

356 
WGUS84 KMOB 171341
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
841 AM CDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Washington and Clarke 
  Counties.

For the Tombigbee River...including Coffeeville Dam, Coffeeville Dam 
- upstream, Leroy...Minor flooding is forecast.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on 
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-129-180200-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260318T0200Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.260315T0845Z.260316T2315Z.260317T2000Z.NO/
841 AM CDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tombigbee River near Leroy.

* WHEN...Until late this evening.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, flooding of low lying farm and 
  pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to 
  higher ground. Water approaches low lying roads on west side of 
  river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 24.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:00 AM CDT Tuesday was 24.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late this afternoon and continue falling to 11.8 feet Sunday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

231 
WGUS84 KMOB 180000
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
700 PM CDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Alabama...

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

ALC025-129-180100-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260318T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.260315T0845Z.260316T2315Z.260317T2015Z.NO/
700 PM CDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 23.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 11.8 feet Sunday
    morning.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793


$$

JP

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 12, 6:43 AM CDT, 2 hours 23 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

Issued at 637 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026
A line of thunderstorms, some severe moves east of I-65 including the northwest Florida Panhandle through early morning.
High risk of rip currents for coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches late tonight through Thursday afternoon.
Strong marine winds set up overnight into Thursday evening creating hazardous conditions for small craft operators.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 12, 6:43 AM CDT, 2 hours 23 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
643 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 637 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

 - A line of thunderstorms, some severe moves east of I-65
   including the northwest Florida Panhandle through early morning.

 - High risk of rip currents for coastal Alabama and northwest
   Florida beaches late tonight through Thursday afternoon.

 - Strong marine winds set up overnight into Thursday evening
   creating hazardous conditions for small craft operators.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1012 PM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

Southern stream upper level storm system ejects across the Lower
MS River Valley overnight. Along with it, a cold front approaches
from the west sending a convective squall line, potentially
severe in areas producing swaths of damaging winds up to/excess of
70 mph and perhaps a few strong tornadoes, rapidly eastward over
the local area overnight. Timing of the line remains unchanged,
with the severe weather threat ending before sunrise Thursday AM.
The front makes passage by daybreak, bringing wind shift,
strengthening north to northwest flow in its wake, drier and much
cooler and well below normal temperatures Thursday with daytime
highs in the lower 60's interior and mid/upper 60's coast.
Thursday night, lows break into the upper 30s interior to mid 40's
coast. We may need to issue a Frost Advisory for our inland areas
as recent temperatures have been well above normal and Spring
gardens are likely seeing tender growth emerging. The next few
days will be rain-free as axis of high pressure settles across the
area. Daily highs/lows moderating Friday and Saturday. May begin
to see a small chance of rain returning Sunday, with the better
chance perhaps by Sunday night as a large upper trough is expected
to dig south over the entire eastern CONUS, followed by the
passage of a strong cold front Monday. Temperatures early next
week expected to dive to well below normal over the interior with
mid 50's for highs Monday and around 15 degrees below climo. 55 to
60 area-wide Tuesday and 12-17 degrees below normal. Coldest
night next week is Monday night with the potential for freezing
over the interior and mid/upper 30s coast.

Beach Forecast: A HIGH risk of dangerous to potentially deadly
rip currents sets up after midnight through Thursday before
settling back to a LOW risk by Friday through the weekend. Surf
heights up to four feet are also likely prior to the passage of
the cold front. /10

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 637 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

IFR to MVFR conditions this morning will become VFR by this
afternoon. Gusty north to northwest winds will continue through
the afternoon. /13

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 237 PM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

Southerly to southwesterly winds increase through midnight ahead
of a line of strong to severe thunderstorms approaching from the
west. Special Marine Warnings will likely be required for
convective wind gusts in excess of 36 kts. A few tornadoes
possible. This line of storms is expected to pass over the marine
area after midnight through daybreak Thursday. A Small Craft
Advisory remains in effect from overnight tonight into Thursday
evening as winds turn northerly in the wake of a strong cold
front. Seas building and highest beyond 20 NM at 5 to 7' due to
the established northerly fetch. Light easterly flow becomes
established Friday through Saturday morning, followed by a light
onshore flow through the remainder of the weekend with seas
trending lower. /10

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      66  42  71  49 /  10   0   0   0
Pensacola   66  47  67  51 /  20   0   0   0
Destin      69  49  66  54 /  40   0   0   0
Evergreen   64  38  73  43 /  10   0   0   0
Waynesboro  62  39  72  45 /  10   0   0   0
Camden      61  38  71  43 /  10   0   0   0
Crestview   68  39  72  45 /  40   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CDT this evening for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CDT this evening for FLZ202-204-
     206.

MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening for GMZ630>632.

     Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for GMZ633>636.

     Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM CDT Friday for GMZ650-655-670-
     675.

&&

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 12, 3:15 AM CDT, 5 hours 51 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mobile AL
315 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0242 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 1 NNE Pensacola Interna 30.48N 87.18W
03/12/2026  M54 MPH          Escambia           FL   ASOS

            ASOS station KPNS Pensacola gusted to 54
            mph.

&&

mb

Local storm report, Mar 12, 3:16 AM CDT, 5 hours 50 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mobile AL
316 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0304 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 8 NW Navarre            30.50N 86.95W
03/12/2026  M51 MPH          Santa Rosa         FL   AWOS

            AWOS station KNFJ 8 NW Navarre gusted to 51
            mph.

&&

mb

Special weather statement, Mar 12, 3:18 AM CDT, 5 hours 48 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
318 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

FLZ203>206-120900-
Okaloosa Inland FL-Okaloosa Coastal FL-Santa Rosa Coastal FL-
Santa Rosa Inland FL-
318 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT OKALOOSA AND SOUTHEASTERN SANTA
ROSA COUNTIES THROUGH 400 AM CDT...

At 318 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 3 miles northeast of Crestview to 6 miles
southwest of Navarre. Movement was east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Wright, Fort Walton Beach, Crestview, Niceville, Destin, Eglin AFB,
Valparaiso, Mary Esther, Ocean City, Lake Lorraine, Navarre,
Shalimar, Cinco Bayou, and Navarre Beach.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 AM CDT for northwestern
Florida.

&&

LAT...LON 3041 8631 3042 8631 3038 8633 3040 8639
      3033 8640 3033 8704 3035 8702 3037 8692
      3036 8701 3084 8660 3083 8639 3046 8639
      3048 8628 3044 8628
TIME...MOT...LOC 0818Z 253DEG 44KT 3079 8654 3032 8695

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

RD

Local storm report, Mar 12, 3:21 AM CDT, 5 hours 45 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mobile AL
321 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0255 AM     Marine Tstm Wind 2 W Gulf Breeze         30.37N 87.21W
03/12/2026  M45 MPH          GMZ634             FL   Mesonet

            WeatherFlow station XFPL Fair Point Light 2
            gusted to 45 mph.

&&

mb

Local storm report, Mar 12, 3:23 AM CDT, 5 hours 43 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mobile AL
323 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0250 AM     Marine Tstm Wind 15 SSE Romar Beach      30.06N 87.55W
03/12/2026  M43 MPH          GMZ650             AL   Buoy

            Buoy 42012 14 SSE Romar Beach gusted to 43
            mph.

&&

mb

Local storm report, Mar 12, 8:36 AM CDT, 30 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mobile AL
836 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0351 AM     Marine Tstm Wind 4 ESE Fort Walton Beach 30.40N 86.57W
03/12/2026  M57 MPH          GMZ635             FL   Mesonet

            WeatherFlow station XFWB Fort Walton Beach
            gusted to 50 knots.

0347 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     2 ENE Eglin Afb         30.47N 86.52W
03/12/2026  M51 MPH          Okaloosa           FL   AWOS

            AWOS station KVPS Eglin AFB Valpar.

0335 AM     Marine Tstm Wind 70 SSE Fort Morgan      29.23N 87.78W
03/12/2026  M41 MPH          GMZ670             AL   AWOS

            AWOS station KVOA Viosca Knoll768.

0330 AM     Marine Tstm Wind 2 SSE Navarre           30.38N 86.86W
03/12/2026  M50 MPH          Santa Rosa         FL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station 0401W 2.0 S Navarre
            (WEATHERSTEM).

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 11, 10:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Choctaw, Clarke, Washington	50 min
Mar 11, 10:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Mobile, Washington	46 min
Mar 11, 10:50 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MOB	Choctaw, Clarke	25 min
Mar 11, 11:10 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MOB	Mobile, Washington	35 min
Mar 11, 11:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Mobile	62 min
Mar 11, 11:13 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MOB	Clarke	28 min
Mar 11, 11:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Clarke, Monroe, Washington, Wilcox	43 min
Mar 11, 11:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Baldwin, Clarke, Mobile, Monroe, Washington	51 min
Mar 11, 11:32 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MOB	Mobile	43 min
Mar 11, 11:40 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MOB	Mobile, Washington	50 min
Mar 11, 11:51 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		84 min
Mar 11, 11:58 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Clarke, Monroe, Wilcox	62 min
Mar 12, 12:00 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	MOB	Mobile	15 min
Mar 12, 12:08 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MOB	Baldwin, Clarke, Escambia, Mobile, Monroe, Washington	52 min
Mar 12, 12:11 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MOB	Baldwin, Mobile	49 min
Mar 12, 12:11 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	MOB	Mobile	30 min
Mar 12, 12:56 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Butler, Conecuh, Escambia, Monroe	49 min
Mar 12, 12:58 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Baldwin	62 min
Mar 12, 1:10 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		95 min
Mar 12, 1:39 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Butler, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw	51 min
Mar 12, 2:08 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Covington, Crenshaw	67 min
Mar 12, 2:24 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Butler, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw	50 min
Mar 12, 3:13 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Covington	32 min
Mar 12, 3:16 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		89 min
Mar 12, 9:05 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	MOB	Choctaw, Clarke, Washington	21 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2026 Every river flood warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.