Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2026

River Flood Warning 38, NWS Mobile, AL

June 19, 2026Okaloosa County, Florida

NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Jun 19, 2026, 9:47 AM CDT for Okaloosa County, Florida. It took effect at Jun 20, 2026, 7:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 19, 2026, 9:47 AM CDT (14:47 UTC)
In effect from: Jun 20, 2026, 7:00 PM CDT
Expired: Jun 24, 2026, 7:57 PM CDT
In force: 4 days
Issued by: NWS Mobile, AL
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

County Okaloosa County, FL

The radar

The Eglin Afb radar (KEVX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Shoal River near Crestview (CRVF1). The gauge peaked at 8.43 ft at Jun 22, 2026, 5:00 AM CDT.

Action stage: 6 ft
Minor stage: 8 ft
Moderate stage: 12 ft
Major stage: 15 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02369000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

934 
WGUS44 KMOB 191447
FLWMOB

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
947 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Florida...

  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County.

For the Shoal River...including Crestview...Minor flooding is
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

FLC091-200300-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0038.260621T0600Z-260622T0000Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.260621T0600Z.260621T0600Z.260621T1800Z.NO/
947 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT TO SUNDAY
EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Shoal River near Crestview.

* WHEN...From late Saturday night to Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, minor flooding of low lying areas.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:15 AM CDT Friday the stage was 5.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 8.0 feet
    early Sunday morning. It will then fall below flood stage early
    Sunday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
      3070 8663 3070 8655


$$

JGC

12 follow-up statements

682 
WGUS84 KMOB 200201
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
901 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Florida...

  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County.

For the Shoal River...including Crestview...Minor flooding is
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

FLC091-201415-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0038.260621T0000Z-260623T0800Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.260621T0000Z.260621T1800Z.260623T0200Z.NO/
901 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING TO LATE MONDAY
NIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Shoal River near Crestview.

* WHEN...From Saturday evening to late Monday night.

* IMPACTS...At 8.5 feet, Water in yards on Sowel Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 PM CDT Friday the stage was 6.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    tomorrow evening to a crest of 8.7 feet early Sunday afternoon.
    It will then fall below flood stage late Monday evening.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
      3070 8663 3070 8655


$$

10

102 
WGUS84 KMOB 201303
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
803 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County.

For the Shoal River...including Crestview...Minor flooding is
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

FLC091-210115-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0038.260621T0000Z-260623T0300Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.260621T0000Z.260621T1800Z.260622T2100Z.NO/
803 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO MONDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Shoal River near Crestview.

* WHEN...From this evening to Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 8.5 feet, Water in yards on Sowel Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:15 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 7.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage this
    evening to a crest of 8.7 feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will
    then fall below flood stage Monday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
      3070 8663 3070 8655


$$

870 
WGUS84 KMOB 201459
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
959 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County.

For the Shoal River...including Crestview...Minor flooding is
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

FLC091-210300-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0038.260621T0000Z-260623T0300Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.260621T0000Z.260621T1800Z.260622T2100Z.NO/
959 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO MONDAY
EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Shoal River near Crestview.

* WHEN...From this evening to Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 8.5 feet, Water in yards on Sowel Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:15 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 7.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage this
    evening to a crest of 8.6 feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will
    then fall below flood stage Monday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
      3070 8663 3070 8655


$$

389 
WGUS84 KMOB 210317
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1017 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Florida...

  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County.

For the Shoal River...including Crestview...Minor flooding is
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

FLC091-211530-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-260623T0600Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.260621T0145Z.260621T1800Z.260623T0000Z.NO/
1017 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Shoal River near Crestview.

* WHEN...Until late Monday night.

* IMPACTS...At 8.5 feet, Water in yards on Sowel Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:15 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 8.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 8.6 feet
    early Sunday afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage
    Monday evening.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
      3070 8663 3070 8655


$$

933 
WGUS84 KMOB 211529
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1029 AM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County.

For the Shoal River...including Crestview...Minor flooding is
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

FLC091-220330-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-260623T0300Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.260621T0145Z.260621T1800Z.260622T2100Z.NO/
1029 AM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Shoal River near Crestview.

* WHEN...Until Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 8.5 feet, Water in yards on Sowel Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:15 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 8.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 8.4 feet
    this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow
    afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
      3070 8663 3070 8655


$$

926 
WGUS84 KMOB 220253
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
953 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Florida...

  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County.

For the Shoal River...including Crestview...Minor flooding is
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

FLC091-221500-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-260624T0900Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.260621T0145Z.260622T0600Z.260624T0300Z.NO/
953 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Shoal River near Crestview.

* WHEN...Until late Tuesday night.

* IMPACTS...At 8.5 feet, water in yards on Sowel Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:15 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 8.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 8.4 feet
    just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage
    late Tuesday evening.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
      3070 8663 3070 8655


$$

JGC

407 
WGUS84 KMOB 221430
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
930 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in
Florida...

  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County.

For the Shoal River...including Crestview...Minor flooding is
forecast.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

FLC091-230230-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-260624T1200Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.260621T0145Z.260622T1115Z.260624T0600Z.NO/
930 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Shoal River near Crestview.

* WHEN...Until Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, minor flooding of low lying areas. At 8.5
  feet, water in yards on Sowel Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 AM CDT Monday the stage was 8.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
    at 8:15 AM CDT Monday was 8.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early
    Wednesday morning and continue falling to 6.6 feet Saturday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
      3070 8663 3070 8655


$$

292 
WGUS84 KMOB 230205
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
905 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County.

For the Shoal River...including Crestview...Minor flooding is
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

FLC091-231415-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-260624T0600Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.260621T0145Z.260622T1115Z.260624T0000Z.NO/
905 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Shoal River near Crestview.

* WHEN...Until late Tuesday night.

* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, Minor flooding of low lying areas.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 PM CDT Monday the stage was 8.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Tuesday evening and continue falling to 6.5 feet Saturday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
      3070 8663 3070 8655


$$

SS

625 
WGUS84 KMOB 231358
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
858 AM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in
Florida...

  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County.

For the Shoal River...including Crestview...Minor flooding is
forecast.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

FLC091-240200-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-260625T0000Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.260621T0145Z.260622T1115Z.260624T1800Z.NO/
858 AM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Shoal River near Crestview.

* WHEN...Until Wednesday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, minor flooding of low lying areas.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 8.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
    at 8:15 AM CDT Tuesday was 8.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early
    tomorrow afternoon and continue falling to 6.4 feet Sunday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
      3070 8663 3070 8655


$$

360 
WGUS84 KMOB 240125
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
825 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Florida...

  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County.

For the Shoal River...including Crestview...Minor flooding is
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

FLC091-241330-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-260625T0600Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.260621T0145Z.260622T1115Z.260625T0000Z.NO/
825 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Shoal River near Crestview.

* WHEN...Until late Wednesday night.

* IMPACTS...At 8.5 feet, water in yards on Sowel Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:15 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 8.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    tomorrow evening and continue falling to 6.6 feet Sunday evening.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
      3070 8663 3070 8655


$$

203 
WGUS84 KMOB 241512
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1012 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Florida...

  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County.

For the Shoal River...including Crestview...Minor flooding is
forecast.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

FLC091-250315-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-260625T0600Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.260621T0145Z.260622T1115Z.260625T0000Z.NO/
1012 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Shoal River near Crestview.

* WHEN...Until late tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, minor flooding of low lying areas is
  occuring.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:15 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 8.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
    at 9:15 AM CDT Wednesday was 8.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage this
    evening and continue falling to 6.5 feet Monday morning.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
      3070 8663 3070 8655


$$

210 
WGUS84 KMOB 250057
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
757 PM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Florida...

  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County.

FLC091-250200-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-260625T0057Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.260621T0145Z.260622T1115Z.260624T2215Z.NO/
757 PM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:15 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 7.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 6.5 feet Monday
    evening.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
      3070 8663 3070 8655


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 19, 7:07 AM CDT, 2 hours 40 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

Issued at 706 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026
Moderate Risk of Flash Flooding today for much of the local area, lessens to Slight Risk over the interior Saturday.
There remains a HIGH RISK of rip currents through Saturday for Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.
A few storms could become marginally severe today.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 19, 7:07 AM CDT, 2 hours 40 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
707 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 706 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

 - Moderate Risk of Flash Flooding today for much of the local
   area, lessens to Slight Risk over the interior Saturday.

 - There remains a HIGH RISK of rip currents through Saturday for
   Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.

 - A few storms could become marginally severe today.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 706 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

Area radars are only detecting spotty showers at the moment, but
high resolution models are picking up on numerous to widespread
showers with scattered thunderstorms redeveloping around mid-
morning and continuing until mid-evening. Flash flooding caused by
excessive rainfall continues to be possible. Nearly the entire
area remains under a Moderate Risk of rainfall exceeding flash
flood guidance today. Widespread 1-2 inches with locally higher
amounts of 2-4 inches are expected. /22

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1204 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

19.00Z upper air maps reflect a short-wave, albeit vigorous trof
at low to mid levels ejecting across northern GA. At the base of
this feature, rounds of deep convection tracks east and southeast.
In combination with forced ascent from rain cooled outflow
boundaries, sufficient instability and deep layer moisture (PWAT's
~2.3"), storms have a had a history of high rain rates and this
is expected to continue in the near-term. Flash flood risk remains
moderate to high tonight.

Although the short-wave trof moves off the Mid-Atlantic coast
Friday, the orientation of the flow between a ridge over the Gulf
and the adjacent westerlies holding over the deep south keeps the
environment unsettled as a series of embedded mid-level impulses
will be passing through. This combined with the presence of
mesoscale boundaries south of a front sagging southward over the
deep south supports modest ascent within a deeply moist tropical
airmass during peak instability. Numerous to categorical PoPs are
supported. Will continue to watch for storms that move repeatedly
over the same areas, resulting in a flash flood threat. A moderate
risk of flooding remains over much of the area Friday. A few
storms could become marginally severe Friday too. The current
Flash Flood watch goes through Friday afternoon, but may need to
be extended into Saturday as the overall convective pattern
remains in a persistence type pattern. The front becomes diffuse
or will lift north Saturday night as south to southwesterly flow
is established over the area. Scattered to numerous showers and
storms looks to continue into Sunday before a relatively flat mid-
level ridge over the Gulf coast early next week would favor lower
PoPs then. Heat indices edge upward with highest values 102 to
107 Monday and Tuesday.

...BEACH FORECAST...

A HIGH risk of dangerous to potentially deadly rip currents
continues for all Florida and Alabama beaches through Saturday
afternoon. Breakers of 5 to 8 feet through AM subside to 4 to 6
feet by afternoon. High surf advisory continues through 6 PM this
evening. /10

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 706 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

Numerous to widespread showers with scattered thunderstorms are
expected to redevelop around mid-morning and continue until mid-
evening. While mod of the convection will remain across inland
areas, it is possible that some of storms will move closer to the
coast and affect the TAF sites mainly later this morning through
early afternoon. LIFR visibilites with perhaps instances of VLIFR
visibilities due to very heavy rain are possible. Ceilings will
be variable, hovering between MVFR/to IFR categories. /22

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 328 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

Small Craft Should Exercise Caution on the Gulf this morning.
Light to occasional moderate mainly southwesterly flow will occur
through early next week shifting to a more westerly component on
Tuesday. Seas around 6 feet this morning will slowly subside to 2
to 3 feet by the end of the week. /22

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      90  76  89  75 /  70  60  70  50
Pensacola   90  78  88  78 /  50  60  70  40
Destin      88  78  87  78 /  60  70  70  30
Evergreen   86  72  86  72 /  90  60  80  40
Waynesboro  87  73  86  73 /  90  60  90  50
Camden      83  71  83  71 /  90  50  80  30
Crestview   88  74  88  73 /  80  70  80  20

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Flood Watch until 6 PM CDT this evening for ALZ051>060-261>266.

     High Rip Current Risk through Saturday afternoon for ALZ265-266.

     High Surf Advisory until 6 PM CDT this evening for ALZ265-266.

FL...Flood Watch until 6 PM CDT this evening for FLZ201>206.

     High Rip Current Risk through Saturday afternoon for FLZ202-204-
     206.

     High Surf Advisory until 6 PM CDT this evening for FLZ202-204-
     206.

MS...Flood Watch until 6 PM CDT this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078-
     079.

GM...None.
&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 18, 7:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Escambia	40 min
Jun 18, 7:40 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MOB	Escambia	20 min
Jun 18, 7:50 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MOB	Escambia	3 hr
Jun 18, 7:55 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Escambia	50 min
Jun 18, 7:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Escambia, Santa Rosa	31 min
Jun 18, 8:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Escambia, Santa Rosa	40 min
Jun 18, 8:27 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Santa Rosa	48 min
Jun 18, 8:42 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Escambia	33 min
Jun 18, 8:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Okaloosa, Santa Rosa	54 min
Jun 18, 9:25 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Okaloosa	35 min
Jun 19, 9:44 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	MOB	Escambia	47 hr
Jun 19, 11:13 AM CDT	Heat Advisory	MOB	Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa	7 hr
Jun 19, 1:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Okaloosa	42 min
Jun 19, 2:11 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MOB	Okaloosa	4 hr
Jun 19, 2:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Okaloosa	55 min
Jun 19, 3:37 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MOB	Santa Rosa	4 hr
Jun 19, 4:21 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Santa Rosa	39 min
Jun 19, 4:36 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MOB	Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa	3 hr
Jun 19, 6:08 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MOB	Okaloosa	3 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2026 Every river flood warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.