Flash Flood Warning 70, NWS Louisville, KY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
710 AM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* The risk for heavy rainfall and flash flooding continues today
  across southern IN and central KY. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3
  inches are possible, with locally higher amounts due to training
  storms. Isolated significant flash flooding is possible.

* Summer heat and humidity build across the region next week, with
  triple digit heat indices likely (70-90% chance) west of I-65 on
  Monday and area-wide Tuesday through at least Friday. This will
  pose a risk for heat-related illness, especially among vulnerable
  populations.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 413 AM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026

A significant rainfall and flash flooding event is in progress
across southern Indiana, and the heavy rainfall threat is set to
shift southward later today. Early this morning, scattered storms
producing highly efficient rainfall are moving west to east across
southern IN and north-central KY. A 25-30 kt WSW low-level jet
continues to funnel moisture up the Lower OH River Valley. PW values
approaching 2.2 inches and deep warm cloud depths are supporting
more tropical rainfall processes. New Flash Flood Warnings are in
effect for Dubois, Perry, Crawford, and Meade counties, and
additional warnings are possible downstream (including in the
Louisville Metro).

By 7-11 AM EDT this morning, convective clusters are forecast to
have congealed more over central KY ahead of a convectively-
generated wave/MCV. The 25 kt westerly LLJ weakens slightly and
shifts ever so slightly south over central KY during the late
morning and early afternoon hours. This trend continues, with the 25-
30 kt LLJ responding across south-central KY this evening in the
left exit region of a 40 kt mid-level jet over TN. This should give
southern IN a brief respite, with swaths of heavier rainfall
shifting into central and southern KY from mid-morning into early
afternoon.

Scattered showers and storms will remain possible in southern KY
into the evening hours. However, the lull in the action along and
north of I-64 will allow the northern areas to destabilize during
peak heating. Scattered convective redevelopment appears likely
across southern IN and northern KY by early to mid-afternoon. The
still moist environment will still support locally heavy rainfall,
so we have extended the Flood Watch for areas along and north of I-
64 through 8 PM EDT this evening. The Flood Watch for areas south of
I-64 continues through 8 AM EDT Sunday.

Additional rainfall amounts of 1-3 inches appear possible early this
morning through Sunday. Localized higher totals of 3-5 inches will
be possible across south-central KY today into tonight. In addition
to heavy rainfall today, some stronger storms will be capable of
locally strong wind gusts. We do see a modest increase in low-level
SRH this evening across southern KY, but overall the tornado threat
is fairly low.

Overnight into early Sunday, shower and thunderstorm coverage should
decrease over much of the area with the highest PoPs consolidating
in a NW to SE oriented warm advection wing over western and south-
central KY. Mid and upper level ridging amplifies over the MS Valley
on Sunday, and increasing subsidence aloft will lessen precipitation
chances and coverage. However, at least isolated showers and storms
will remain possible into Sunday afternoon. Highs in the low 80s
will be common today, with temperatures rising into the mid 80s to
near 90 on Sunday.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 413 AM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026

A dramatic pattern change is still expected next week. Models
suggest substantial amplification of an upper level ridge over the
eastern CONUS. We expect to transition to a stretch of hot and
oppressively humid conditions. For those currently experiencing
flooding, it will be a notably drier stretch. Afternoon high
temperatures are forecast to reach the low to mid 90s. With
lingering humidity (sfc dewpoints in the mid 70s, heat indices of
100-110+ are likely each day.

Strong ridging aloft should keep us mostly dry through Thursday,
though there is a 10% chance for isolated pulse convection by
Thursday. There are signals the ridge may weaken somewhat heading
into next weekend. Hot and humid conditions are likely to linger
into the Fourth of July holiday, but we have a 30-40% chance for
showers and storms on Friday and Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 709 AM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026

Multiple waves of showers and storms are moving west to east across
Kentucky and southern Indiana Saturday morning. These will bring
occasional visibility drops and perhaps (40-50% chance)
lightning strikes to the airfields - both are included in PROB30
groups. The area should have a short lull in activity early
this afternoon, though MVFR ceilings may linger. Another round
of showers and thunderstorms is forecast to develop during the
late afternoon and linger through the evening, possibly into the
overnight period. Confidence is highest in this second wave at
BWG where another PROB30 group was added, but there is a low
(20-30%) chance at the other terminals as well. Winds will
become predominantly southwesterly at 8-12kt by around 15z/11am
EDT.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...Flood Watch through this evening for KYZ030>043-049.
     Flood Watch through Sunday morning for KYZ023>029-045>048-
     053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082.
IN...Flood Watch through this evening for INZ076>079-083-084-
     089>092.

&&

SHORT TERM...EBW
LONG TERM...EBW
AVIATION...JRB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Louisville KY
652 AM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0641 AM     Flash Flood      3 SSW Brooks            38.03N 85.74W
06/27/2026                   Bullitt            KY   Emergency Mngr

            Multiple roads flooded in northern Bullitt
            County, with several water rescues.

&&

JRB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Louisville KY
711 AM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0901 PM     Tornado          1 N Memphis             38.50N 85.77W
06/26/2026                   Clark              IN   NWS Storm Survey

            EF0 Tornado with 85 mph winds was on the
            ground for 0.3 miles and had a width of 25
            yards.

&&

JRB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1122 AM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0921 AM     Flash Flood      1 WSW New Pekin         38.50N 86.04W
06/27/2026                   Washington         IN   Emergency Mngr

            Roadway flooded on Martinsburg Rd near the
            Blue River.

&&

BEN

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1125 AM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0921 AM     Flash Flood      2 NNW Martinsburg       38.48N 86.05W
06/27/2026                   Washington         IN   Emergency Mngr

            Roadway flooded on Trainor Lane near the
            Blue River.

&&

BEN

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1127 AM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0921 AM     Flash Flood      2 NNW Martinsburg       38.48N 86.05W
06/27/2026                   Washington         IN   Emergency Mngr

            Corrects previous flash flood report from 2
            NNW Martinsburg. Roadway flooded on Trainer
            Lane near the Blue River.

&&

BEN

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>