Severe Thunderstorm Warning 194, NWS Jackson, MS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
317 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

...New DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms will be possible this
  afternoon into tonight; with a Slight Risk across the north and
  a Marginal Risk for severe storms over central and southern portions
  of the area.

- There is a Limited threat for dangerous heat stress today with
  heat index values peaking near 105 degrees.

- Seasonal temps (highs: low/mid 80s & lows: ranging in the 60s) and
  dry air will follow post frontal boundary Tuesday night.

- Rain potential will return over the weekend

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 303 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

Through Tuesday: Latest satellite imagery/RAP analysis showed a mid
level ridge axis to our west that was resulting in a northwest flow
across the CWA. This northwest flow was supporting an MCS moving
south across northern Alabama. The western portions of this MCS was
spreading into our northeast most zones. Severe storms capable of
damaging wind gusts and some hail will be possible with this
activity this afternoon. Elsewhere across the CWA microburst pulse
severe storms are possible as local microburst checklist showed
microbursts will be likely this afternoon considering the
anticipated atmospheric parameters. In addition latest guidance
still showed additional development across the northern portions of
our CWA this evening along the boundary leftover by the current MCS.
The main threat for severe through this evening will remain damaging
wind gusts although hail and locally heavy downpours.  A Severe
Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for our northeast this afternoon
but an additional Watch or an expansion of the current Watch is
possible this evening due to the potential of more organized
convection dropping through our CWA. In addition, with the heat and
humidity across the CWA away from convection, peak heat index values
will be around 105F in may areas this afternoon. This area is
outside of our northeast due to the ongoing convection.

It's possible the convection tonight will last past midnight across
the southern portions of our CWA. Tuesday a >1028mb high will drop
out of Canada and become centered over the Great Lakes region. This
will bring cooler and drier air into the northern portions of our
CWA. This will result in the highest heat indices and greatest rain
chances across our southern zones Tuesday afternoon. /22/

Tuesday Night through Sunday:

Once the trough shifts south, the frontal boundary will push through
the region Tuesday afternoon. Drier air will provide relief from the
heat over the last few days as high/low temps feel closer to early
June (near seasonal average). High pressure will settle over the
Great Lakes, traversing southward over the week and provide a
ridging pattern for our region. Heading into the weekend, the high
will shift towards the east, winds will shift to the
south/southeast, increasing humidity across the area. With
increasing humidity, 40-75% rain chances return over the weekend
with the greatest chances in the south/southwestern portion of the
ArkLaMiss region. /SW/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1253 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

VFR conditions wl prevail through the aftn into the evening but
local radars were showing isolated to scattered SHRA/TSRA
developing across the north that wl increase in coverage and
affect TAF sites. Once the TSRA dissipate toward 06Z VFR
conditions wl prevail until 11Z when MVFR cigs wl develop. MVFR
cigs wl prevail until improving after 16Z. /22/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       73  90  68  82 /  20  40  10   0
Meridian      72  89  66  81 /  20  40  10   0
Vicksburg     74  90  69  84 /  30  30  10  10
Hattiesburg   73  91  68  81 /  40  60  30  20
Natchez       74  92  70  85 /  20  50  20  10
Greenville    73  88  66  84 /  50  30   0   0
Greenwood     72  88  65  84 /  60  20   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

22/SW/22

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
541 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

MSZ045-046-012345-
Kemper MS-Neshoba MS-
541 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN KEMPER AND NORTHEASTERN
NESHOBA COUNTIES THROUGH 645 PM CDT...

At 541 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Burnside, or near Philadelphia, moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Philadelphia, Tucker, and Forestdale around 545 PM CDT.
  Bethsaida around 555 PM CDT.
  House around 615 PM CDT.
  Herbert Springs and Bluff Springs around 625 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3258 8899 3284 8926 3293 8906 3292 8893
      3259 8839 3258 8839
TIME...MOT...LOC 2241Z 311DEG 13KT 3282 8907

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SAS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
554 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

MSZ035-036-041-042-020000-
Sharkey MS-Humphreys MS-Yazoo MS-Holmes MS-
554 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN HOLMES...NORTH
CENTRAL YAZOO...HUMPHREYS AND NORTHEASTERN SHARKEY COUNTIES THROUGH
700 PM CDT...

At 554 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms over Thornton, or 10 miles southeast of Belzoni, moving
east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Tchula, Thornton, and Tolarville around 600 PM CDT.
  Coxburg around 625 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3326 9021 3293 9017 3293 9068 3310 9069
      3310 9068 3311 9068 3312 9069 3314 9070
      3315 9069 3317 9068 3319 9069
TIME...MOT...LOC 2254Z 276DEG 7KT 3311 9034

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SAS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
606 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

MSZ049-020000-
Rankin MS-
606 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN RANKIN COUNTY
THROUGH 700 PM CDT...

At 606 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Fannin, or near Brandon, moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Jackson and Brandon around 610 PM CDT.
  Pelahatchie around 615 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3219 8998 3238 9010 3239 9009 3239 9007
      3241 9007 3239 8999 3252 8993 3249 8976
      3236 8973 3222 8973
TIME...MOT...LOC 2306Z 322DEG 14KT 3237 8996

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SAS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
611 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

MSZ044-050-020000-
Scott MS-Leake MS-
611 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN LEAKE AND NORTH
CENTRAL SCOTT COUNTIES THROUGH 700 PM CDT...

At 610 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Lena, or 10 miles southwest of Carthage. This thunderstorm was nearly
stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southwestern Leake
and north central Scott Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3266 8953 3255 8951 3253 8966 3263 8969
TIME...MOT...LOC 2310Z 075DEG 2KT 3260 8961

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SAS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
614 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

MSZ043-044-049-050-020015-
Scott MS-Leake MS-Rankin MS-Madison MS-
614 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN LEAKE...NORTHEASTERN
RANKIN...NORTHWESTERN SCOTT AND EAST CENTRAL MADISON COUNTIES THROUGH
715 PM CDT...

At 614 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms near Pisgah, or 11 miles southeast of Canton, moving
northeast at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southwestern Leake,
northeastern Rankin, northwestern Scott and east central Madison
Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3249 8976 3253 9000 3275 8991 3268 8970
      3251 8965
TIME...MOT...LOC 2314Z 220DEG 6KT 3252 8989

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SAS