Severe Thunderstorm Warning 192, NWS Jackson, MS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
317 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

...New DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms will be possible this
  afternoon into tonight; with a Slight Risk across the north and
  a Marginal Risk for severe storms over central and southern portions
  of the area.

- There is a Limited threat for dangerous heat stress today with
  heat index values peaking near 105 degrees.

- Seasonal temps (highs: low/mid 80s & lows: ranging in the 60s) and
  dry air will follow post frontal boundary Tuesday night.

- Rain potential will return over the weekend

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 303 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

Through Tuesday: Latest satellite imagery/RAP analysis showed a mid
level ridge axis to our west that was resulting in a northwest flow
across the CWA. This northwest flow was supporting an MCS moving
south across northern Alabama. The western portions of this MCS was
spreading into our northeast most zones. Severe storms capable of
damaging wind gusts and some hail will be possible with this
activity this afternoon. Elsewhere across the CWA microburst pulse
severe storms are possible as local microburst checklist showed
microbursts will be likely this afternoon considering the
anticipated atmospheric parameters. In addition latest guidance
still showed additional development across the northern portions of
our CWA this evening along the boundary leftover by the current MCS.
The main threat for severe through this evening will remain damaging
wind gusts although hail and locally heavy downpours.  A Severe
Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for our northeast this afternoon
but an additional Watch or an expansion of the current Watch is
possible this evening due to the potential of more organized
convection dropping through our CWA. In addition, with the heat and
humidity across the CWA away from convection, peak heat index values
will be around 105F in may areas this afternoon. This area is
outside of our northeast due to the ongoing convection.

It's possible the convection tonight will last past midnight across
the southern portions of our CWA. Tuesday a >1028mb high will drop
out of Canada and become centered over the Great Lakes region. This
will bring cooler and drier air into the northern portions of our
CWA. This will result in the highest heat indices and greatest rain
chances across our southern zones Tuesday afternoon. /22/

Tuesday Night through Sunday:

Once the trough shifts south, the frontal boundary will push through
the region Tuesday afternoon. Drier air will provide relief from the
heat over the last few days as high/low temps feel closer to early
June (near seasonal average). High pressure will settle over the
Great Lakes, traversing southward over the week and provide a
ridging pattern for our region. Heading into the weekend, the high
will shift towards the east, winds will shift to the
south/southeast, increasing humidity across the area. With
increasing humidity, 40-75% rain chances return over the weekend
with the greatest chances in the south/southwestern portion of the
ArkLaMiss region. /SW/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1253 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

VFR conditions wl prevail through the aftn into the evening but
local radars were showing isolated to scattered SHRA/TSRA
developing across the north that wl increase in coverage and
affect TAF sites. Once the TSRA dissipate toward 06Z VFR
conditions wl prevail until 11Z when MVFR cigs wl develop. MVFR
cigs wl prevail until improving after 16Z. /22/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       73  90  68  82 /  20  40  10   0
Meridian      72  89  66  81 /  20  40  10   0
Vicksburg     74  90  69  84 /  30  30  10  10
Hattiesburg   73  91  68  81 /  40  60  30  20
Natchez       74  92  70  85 /  20  50  20  10
Greenville    73  88  66  84 /  50  30   0   0
Greenwood     72  88  65  84 /  60  20   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

22/SW/22

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Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
307 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0212 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 N Woodlawn            33.63N 88.31W
06/01/2026                   Lowndes            MS   Emergency Mngr

            Tree down along Hwy 12 at Caldwell Rd.

&&

CE

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
319 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0150 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 S Flint Hill          33.70N 88.28W
06/01/2026                   Lowndes            MS   Local Official

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 1
            S Flint Hill. Several trees blown down
            reported by Red Cross.

&&

OAJ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
404 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

MSZ032-033-038-012200-
Oktibbeha MS-Winston MS-Choctaw MS-
404 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN CHOCTAW...
SOUTHWESTERN OKTIBBEHA AND NORTHERN WINSTON COUNTIES THROUGH 500 PM
CDT...

At 404 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms over Ackerman, moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Sturgis and Mcmillan around 410 PM CDT.
  Louisville and Betheden around 420 PM CDT.
  Craig Springs around 435 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for
northeastern and east central Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3328 8881 3309 8902 3305 8915 3326 8926
      3343 8910 3329 8880
TIME...MOT...LOC 2104Z 306DEG 13KT 3330 8913

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SAS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
411 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

LAZ016-012215-
Madison LA-
411 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL MADISON PARISH THROUGH
515 PM CDT...

At 411 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Tallulah. This thunderstorm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Tallulah around 415 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Richmond.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3250 9135 3245 9109 3225 9117 3224 9121
      3230 9147
TIME...MOT...LOC 2111Z 024DEG 0KT 3244 9126

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SAS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
418 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

MSZ062-012215-
Lincoln MS-
418 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY THROUGH
515 PM CDT...

At 418 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Brookhaven. This thunderstorm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Brookhaven around 425 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3158 9063 3159 9063 3170 9055 3170 9042
      3169 9041 3169 9037 3162 9024 3144 9041
TIME...MOT...LOC 2118Z 211DEG 2KT 3159 9046

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SAS