Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
215 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

 - Isolated damaging winds will be a threat with any storms that
   develop through this evening. Frequent lightning and locally
   heavy rainfall will also be threats.

 - Elevated temperatures, humidity and daily chances for showers
   and thunderstorms continue over the next week for North and
   Central Georgia.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday)
Issued at 213 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

A very warm and humid airmass remains in place across North and
Central Georgia through the short term with heat and the chance for
thunderstorms as the primary weather concerns.

Looking aloft, troughing to our west extends up the MS Valley Region
and has allowed for increasing SW flow and a steady stream of
moisture return back into our area. Several disturbances within the
SW flow have acted and will continue to act to enhance storm
development and coverage through the short term across the western
two-thirds of the forecast area. Elsewhere, storms will generally be
more diurnally driven. Overall, coverage of scattered showers and
thunderstorms will be greater compared to yesterday namely due to
our synoptic environment. However, the smaller scale features such
as outflow from a fairly impressive cluster of storms in south-
central TN will ultimately dictate where things ramp up through
early evening. Per this mornings FFC sounding, we do have a bit more
DCAPE (just under 1000J/kg) to work with, winds from the sfc upward
are slightly more organized, and PWs sit at 1.77 inches which is
well above the daily mean per SPC climatology. Thus, the primary
threat for storms today will be the potential for isolated damaging
winds. The two areas to watch for the remainder of today include: 1)
North GA, where outflow from a strong cluster of storms in TN pushes
southeastward. This may enhance convection that's already ongoing.
2) A corridor from Columbus to Macon to Sandersville southward where
storms have started to become a bit more organized amidst a highly
unstable environment. An isolated downburst threat will be something
to watch out for with these storms through early evening. Localized
flooding will be a secondary risk for any storms given slower storm
motion.

Convection is likely to linger after the sun goes down but
forecaster confidence remains low on exactly where and for how long.
It will largely depend on how convection evolves through the
remainder of the afternoon. For now maintain lower chances (15-20%)
through 11PM. Patchy fog is likely to develop early Monday morning
particularly in locations that saw any heavy rainfall in the
afternoon.

Aside from thunderstorms, heat will continue to remain a threat
through Monday. A Heat Advisory remains in effect for most of east-
central Georgia through 8 PM this evening. Temperatures have risen
into the mid to upper 90s with heat indices hovering right around
104-106F. At this time, opted to hold off on another Heat Advisory
for Monday given higher coverage of storms and cloud cover (similar
to today). Regardless it will be hot and quite uncomfortable.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday morning through next Saturday)
Issued at 213 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

Summer-like heat and diurnally driven thunderstorm chances will
prevail through the rest of this week.

Broad troughing continues over the Mid-Atlantic region through the
long term period. The upper level ridge remains adjacent to our CWA,
but mostly to our south this week. Recent 00Z and 06Z model data
shows a weak, closed upper level low that sets up just south of the
Ohio River Valley and remains anchored there for the first several
days of the extended period. This H250 low should eventually be
pulled back into the jetstream and the upper level pattern should
stay zonal through the rest of the forecast period.

Maximum heat index values will still be near or just above advisory
criteria for us this week. The locations most favored to meet or
exceed 105 degrees are still across southeast Georgia. PoPs towards
the mid-week have trended downward due to the new positions of the
upper level low. Though the better forcing for thunderstorms has
shifted north, isolated thunderstorms are still possible across the
area each day as long as convective temperatures are being met.
Damaging winds, heavy rainfall, and frequent lightning persist as
the main hazards from this pulse-type convection.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 118 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

Primarily VFR thru the period. SCT tsra is ongoing with slightly
better coverage around CSG to MCN. Chances are likely to persist
at most airfields until at least 00z, though isolated chances
could linger in the vicinity as late as 04z. Confidence in later
timing/chances are low. W to SW winds 5-10kts with vrb gusts with
any tsra. SCT Cu 3-6kts and SCT to BKN clouds above 10kft with any
decaying tsra.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...

Low to medium on tsra.
High confidence remaining elements.

07

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          74  94  73  92 /  30  60  20  30
Atlanta         75  92  75  91 /  30  70  30  30
Blairsville     68  86  67  85 /  30  80  30  40
Cartersville    73  91  73  90 /  40  70  40  30
Columbus        75  93  75  92 /  30  50  40  30
Gainesville     74  93  73  92 /  30  60  30  20
Macon           75  94  75  93 /  20  30  20  30
Rome            73  91  72  90 /  40  70  30  30
Peachtree City  73  91  73  90 /  30  60  30  30
Vidalia         77  97  77  96 /  30  20  20  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for GAZ036>039-047>051-
059>062-071>076-080>086-092>098-104>113.

&&

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....Rangel
AVIATION...07

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
212 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-061815-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
212 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north and central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

A Heat Advisory remains in effect through this evening, with heat
index values forecast to reach as high as 106 degrees this
afternoon.

An isolated damaging wind threat exists with any storms that
develop through this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

Hot conditions persist, with heat index values forecast to be in
the upper 90s to low 100s over the next five to seven days.

Daily rain and thunderstorm chances are possible each afternoon
through at least the middle of the week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta. Please relay any information about observed
severe weather to the NWS.

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
518 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

GAZ042-052145-
Carroll GA-
518 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Carroll
County through 545 PM EDT...

At 518 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Tyus, or 9 miles
southwest of Carrollton, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, up to penny sized hail and frequent
         cloud to ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Carrollton, Bowdon, Mount Zion, Roopville, Clem, John Tanner State
Park, Lowell, Bowdon Junction, Tyus, and Blackjack Mountain.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3369 8512 3370 8511 3348 8492 3343 8525
      3343 8529 3353 8531 3354 8531
TIME...MOT...LOC 2118Z 231DEG 23KT 3350 8522

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
540 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

GAZ022-023-034-052215-
Hall GA-Forsyth GA-Gwinnett GA-
540 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern
Forsyth, north central Gwinnett and southwestern Hall Counties
through 615 PM EDT...

At 539 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Lake Lanier Islands, or
near Cumming. This storm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Gainesville, Cumming, Sugar Hill, Buford, Flowery Branch, Oakwood,
Rest Haven, Candler, Buford Dam-Lake Lanier Parks, Coal Mountain,
Aqualand Park, Chestatee, Chestnut Mountain, Oscarville, and Lake
Lanier Islands.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3420 8377 3408 8405 3425 8416 3434 8400
      3433 8396 3434 8396 3434 8397 3435 8397
      3438 8392
TIME...MOT...LOC 2139Z 027DEG 1KT 3421 8404

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
548 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

GAZ044-054-052215-
Fayette GA-South Fulton GA-
548 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northern Fayette and
south central Fulton Counties through 615 PM EDT...

At 548 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Fayetteville. This
storm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Fayetteville, City of South Fulton, Union City, Fairburn, Tyrone, and
Sandy Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3356 8463 3355 8444 3354 8443 3352 8443
      3351 8442 3350 8442 3349 8440 3348 8439
      3344 8439 3345 8459
TIME...MOT...LOC 2148Z 185DEG 4KT 3349 8449

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH