Severe Thunderstorm Warning 331, NWS Kansas City, MO

910 
WWUS53 KEAX 102107
SVSEAX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
407 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

MOC227-102117-
/O.CAN.KEAX.SV.W.0331.000000T0000Z-260610T2130Z/
Worth MO-
407 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN WORTH COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for north central
and northwestern Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 4004 9377 3994 9442 4018 9439 4049 9405
      4058 9377
TIME...MOT...LOC 2107Z 245DEG 43KT 4047 9396 4003 9411 

$$

MOC061-063-075-081-102130-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0331.000000T0000Z-260610T2130Z/
Daviess MO-Gentry MO-Harrison MO-DeKalb MO-
407 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN DAVIESS...SOUTHEASTERN GENTRY...HARRISON AND
NORTHEASTERN DEKALB COUNTIES...

At 407 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Eagleville to Pattonsburg, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Bethany, Albany, Ridgeway, Gilman City, Pattonsburg, Eagleville, New
Hampton, Cainsville, Blythedale, Coffey, Jameson, Mcfall, Mount
Moriah, Fairport, Martinsville, and Santa Rosa.

This includes Interstate 35 in Missouri between mile markers 72 and
109.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for north central
and northwestern Missouri.

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4004 9377 3994 9442 4018 9439 4049 9405
      4058 9377
TIME...MOT...LOC 2107Z 245DEG 43KT 4047 9396 4003 9411 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

CMS

126 
WWUS53 KEAX 102117
SVSEAX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
417 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

MOC061-063-075-081-102130-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0331.000000T0000Z-260610T2130Z/
Daviess MO-Gentry MO-Harrison MO-DeKalb MO-
417 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN DAVIESS...SOUTHEASTERN GENTRY...SOUTHERN HARRISON AND
NORTHEASTERN DEKALB COUNTIES...

At 417 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 9 miles west of
Pattonsburg, or 11 miles south of Albany, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Bethany, Gilman City, Pattonsburg, Coffey, Jameson, Mcfall, Mount
Moriah, Fairport, and Santa Rosa.

This includes Interstate 35 in Missouri between mile markers 72 and
95.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for north central
and northwestern Missouri.

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4004 9377 3994 9442 4018 9439 4041 9377
TIME...MOT...LOC 2117Z 246DEG 41KT 4009 9429 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

CMS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
311 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Tornado Watch in effect for northern Missouri through 9PM tonight.
Multiple severe thunderstorms are expected through tonight, capable
of very large hail, damaging wind gusts, and a few strong tornadoes.

- Enhanced Risk (level 3 of 5) for severe weather tomorrow afternoon
as a cold front slides through the area. All severe hazards remain
possible for tomorrow afternoon and evening.

- Additional severe weather looks possible for Saturday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 309 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

===== Enhanced Risk for Severe Storms Today =====

Sfc temps across the area have reached the mid to upper 80s, though
we are within a very moist environment with dew points in the low to
mid 70s. While this yields heat indices in the upper 90s to lower
100s, this heat is not the main hazard for today.

Scattered to numerous severe storms are developing across
northwestern MO this afternoon, and will continue to increase in
intensity through the afternoon and be capable of producing damaging
winds, large hail, and a few (possibly strong) tornadoes. SPC
Mesoanalysis depicts an extremely unstable environment with SBCAPE
values around 4500-5000 J/kg over northeastern KS. With a 35kt LLJ
over the area, shear parameters are favorable for organized
convection, with enough curvature in the lowest 3km to support a
supercell/tornado threat through the evening hours.

A deepening sfc trough is extending through western Iowa and
southeastern Nebraska. Combined with a remnant boundary from
convection from earlier this morning, we are seeing convection
initiation take place across northwestern Missouri. The 18z sounding
from Topeka shows a loaded gun profile, with very large CAPE and no
capping, strong shear, and low level helicity exceeding 200 m2/s2.
Expect to see low level shear continue to increase through this
evening, supporting HP supercells that could congeal somewhat into a
larger cluster of organized severe storms. If storms can remain
somewhat discrete, the tornado risk will be greater. The significant
tornado parameter could increase this evening, leading to greater
concern for strong tornado potential. Aside from the tornado risk,
there is a damaging wind and large hail threat as well. The WoFs
ensemble for greater than 1 inch hail is more than 60% across the
Tornado Watch area. The Tornado Watch runs through 02z tonight.

===== Flood Watch until Thursday Morning =====

Incredibly high PWATs are observed across the area, with TOP 18z
special sounding recording a PW value just below 2". SPC
Mesoanalysis depicts upwards of 2.2 inches. CAM runs throughout
today have shown a very consistent signal for very high rainfall
from thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. There is considerable
concern for widespread 2-4+ inches of rainfall within the Flood
Watch, and the possibility of isolated 6+ inches of rain generally
along HWY 36 and northward. Per the 12z HREF LPMM, there is a
growing concern for flash flooding across northern MO through the
overnight. The Flood Watch runs until 12z Thursday.

===== Enhanced Risk for Severe Storms Thursday =====

The cold front is not expected to pass through our area tonight, and
will again be a focus area for strong to severe storms tomorrow
afternoon and evening. CAMs have consistently shown the cold front
lighting up with a line of convection tomorrow afternoon, likely not
until after 18z. Hi-res soundings continue to show very strong CAPE
profiles for tomorrow, possibly exceeding SBCAPE exceeding 4000
J/kg. PWATs will still be quite saturated ahead of the front,
possibly north of 1.8", which will again lead to very heavy
rainfall. Damaging winds and large hail are the main concerns for
tomorrow, but cannot rule out another tornado risk for later
tomorrow.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 309 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

===== Friday and Saturday =====

Dry weather returns for Friday as low-amplitude mid-level ridging
and sfc high pressure move across the region. Cool air advection
will support temps to peak in the low 80s Friday afternoon.
Dewpoints will also be slightly more pleasant than in recent days,
with max dewpoints in the upper 50s and lower 60s.

Multiple rounds of shower and storm chances return on Saturday as a
sfc low moves across the central Plains. The primary upper low will
be situated across Ontario, with the belt of westerlies over the
northern Plains through the Great Lakes. With moisture transport
increasing across the area, and temps expected to warm into the mid
to upper 80s, CAPE profiles are expected to become quite unstable.
With favorable lapse rates and deep layer shear, the environment on
Saturday appears favorable for strong to severe storms. Multiple
models showcase soundings with impressive dry air in place to
increase forecast DCAPE values, possibly exceeding 1400 J/kg
Saturday afternoon. This would pose a risk for damaging wind gusts,
large hail, and a few tornadoes possible. SPC has highlighted the
region with an area of focus for Saturday.

===== Sunday into Early Next Week =====

The cold front will likely linger across the south on Sunday,
leading to lingering precip chances south of I-70. Overall, a
slightly drier trend is expected on Sunday as the upper wave moves
east.  While there are some isolated chances into next week, the
greater confidence is in the pleasant temperatures. Highs for Sun-
Tue are mostly in the 70s, with lower dewpoints in the 50s and 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1251 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

Main concern with TAFs for the next 24 hours is the chances for
storms late this afternoon and evening. Storms are expected to
develop quickly in northeast Kansas and northern Missouri
between 18z and 21z, slowly propagating southeastward for the
rest of the afternoon into the evening. STJ will likely be
affected by storms during the late afternoon, with torrential
rainfall and potential for severe weather. Things become more
uncertain for MCI, with most models keeping convection just to
the north before dissipating it during the evening. However,
given the proximity of the storms to the northern KC metro and
the favorable environment, do expect at least a period in which
thunderstorms affect the terminal, most likely from 23z to 03z.
Kept a TEMPO group at MCI for now. At MKC and IXD, chances for
storms are lower, so PROB30 groups were included here for now.
Outside of storms, VFR conditions are expected with south to
southwest winds of 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30+ kt this
afternoon and evening and once again by late Thursday morning.
Winds should diminish to around 10 kt overnight.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flood Watch through Thursday morning for MOZ002>008-011>017-
     020>025.
KS...Flood Watch through Thursday morning for KSZ025-102.

&&

SHORT TERM...Padgett
LONG TERM...Padgett
AVIATION...CMS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0505 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-111005-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0505 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Enhanced Risk (level 3 of 5) for severe weather this
  afternoon and evening. Large hail and damaging winds are the
  primary concerns, but can't rule out the possibility of
  tornadoes.

* Enhanced Risk for severe weather again Thursday afternoon and
  early evening. Large hail, damaging winds, and a couple
  tornadoes are possible.

* Another round of precipitation this weekend, then much cooler
  next week.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1134 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

MOZ001-002-101700-
Atchison MO-Nodaway MO-
1134 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN ATCHISON AND
NORTHWESTERN NODAWAY COUNTIES THROUGH NOON CDT...

At 1134 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Fairfax, or 9 miles southeast of Tarkio, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Fairfax, Burlington Junction, Hopkins, Braddyville, Clearmont, Elmo,
Pickering, and Quitman.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4057 9463 4026 9518 4026 9538 4033 9545
      4058 9509
TIME...MOT...LOC 1634Z 230DEG 33KT 4032 9530

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

CMS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant HIll MO
1257 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1253 PM     Flood            2 N Excello             39.67N 92.47W
06/10/2026                   Macon              MO   Public

            Report from mPING: Street/road flooding;
            Street/road closed; Vehicles stranded.

&&

CMS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant HIll MO
111 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1129 AM     Flood            1 S Macon               39.73N 92.47W
06/10/2026                   Macon              MO   Public

            Report from mPING: River/Creek overflowing;
            Cropland/Yard/Basement Flooding.

&&

CMS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant HIll MO
112 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0109 PM     Flood            1 NW Moberly            39.44N 92.44W
06/10/2026                   Randolph           MO   Public

            Report from mPING: River/Creek overflowing;
            Cropland/Yard/Basement Flooding.

&&

CMS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant HIll MO
123 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0119 PM     Flash Flood      2 E Cairo               39.51N 92.41W
06/10/2026                   Randolph           MO   Public

            Report from mPING: Street/road flooding;
            Street/road closed; Vehicles stranded.

&&

CMS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant HIll MO
140 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0110 PM     Flash Flood      1 NNE Bevier            39.76N 92.56W
06/10/2026                   Macon              MO   Public

            Social media report. Several roads washed
            out near Bevier. Time estimated from radar.

&&

CMS