Flash Flood Warning 31, NWS Kansas City, MO

609 
WGUS53 KEAX 110144
FFWEAX
MOC061-063-075-079-081-117-110400-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FF.W.0031.000000T0000Z-260611T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
844 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Northern Daviess County in north central Missouri...
  Western Grundy County in north central Missouri...
  Southern Harrison County in north central Missouri...
  Northwestern Livingston County in north central Missouri...
  Northeastern DeKalb County in northwestern Missouri...
  Southeastern Gentry County in northwestern Missouri...

* Until 1100 PM CDT.

* At 844 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1.5 and 3 inches of rain
  have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 2 inches are
  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected
  to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
           highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
           drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Trenton, Jamesport, Gilman City, Pattonsburg, Spickard, Coffey,
  Jameson, Mcfall, Tindall, Brimson and Santa Rosa.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 4004 9429 4017 9429 4021 9422 4025 9387
      4026 9354 3994 9356 3993 9429

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

73

559 
WGUS53 KEAX 110350
FFWEAX
MOC061-063-075-079-081-117-110500-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FF.W.0031.000000T0000Z-260611T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1050 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Northern Daviess County in north central Missouri...
  Western Grundy County in north central Missouri...
  Southern Harrison County in north central Missouri...
  Northwestern Livingston County in north central Missouri...
  Northeastern DeKalb County in northwestern Missouri...
  Southeastern Gentry County in northwestern Missouri...

* Until midnight CDT.

* At 1050 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2.5 and 4 inches of rain
  have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to 1 inch are possible
  in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
  shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
           highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
           drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Trenton, Jamesport, Gilman City, Pattonsburg, Spickard, Coffey,
  Jameson, Mcfall, Tindall, Brimson and Santa Rosa.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 4004 9429 4017 9429 4021 9422 4025 9387
      4026 9354 3994 9356 3993 9429

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

73

933 
WGUS53 KEAX 110450
FFWEAX
MOC061-063-075-079-081-117-110700-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FF.W.0031.000000T0000Z-260611T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1150 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Northern Daviess County in north central Missouri...
  Western Grundy County in north central Missouri...
  Southern Harrison County in north central Missouri...
  Northwestern Livingston County in north central Missouri...
  Northeastern DeKalb County in northwestern Missouri...
  Southeastern Gentry County in northwestern Missouri...

* Until 200 AM CDT.

* At 1150 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2.5 and 4 inches of rain
  have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to 0.5 inches are
  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected
  to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
           highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
           drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Trenton, Jamesport, Gilman City, Pattonsburg, Spickard, Coffey,
  Jameson, Mcfall, Tindall, Brimson and Santa Rosa.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 4004 9429 4017 9429 4021 9422 4025 9387
      4026 9354 3994 9356 3993 9429

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

73

766 
WGUS73 KEAX 110659
FFSEAX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
159 AM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

MOC061-063-075-079-081-117-110709-
/O.EXP.KEAX.FF.W.0031.000000T0000Z-260611T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Daviess MO-DeKalb MO-Gentry MO-Grundy MO-Harrison MO-Livingston
MO-
159 AM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 2 AM CDT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
NORTHERN DAVIESS, WESTERN GRUNDY, SOUTHERN HARRISON, NORTHWESTERN
LIVINGSTON, NORTHEASTERN DEKALB AND SOUTHEASTERN GENTRY COUNTIES...

The heavy rain has ended however, flooding is occurring thus the
flash flood warning has been replaced by an areal flood warning.
Please continue to heed remaining road closures and do not drive into
water covered roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4004 9429 4017 9429 4021 9422 4025 9387
      4026 9354 3994 9356 3993 9429

$$

73

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
311 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Tornado Watch in effect for northern Missouri through 9PM tonight.
Multiple severe thunderstorms are expected through tonight, capable
of very large hail, damaging wind gusts, and a few strong tornadoes.

- Enhanced Risk (level 3 of 5) for severe weather tomorrow afternoon
as a cold front slides through the area. All severe hazards remain
possible for tomorrow afternoon and evening.

- Additional severe weather looks possible for Saturday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 309 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

===== Enhanced Risk for Severe Storms Today =====

Sfc temps across the area have reached the mid to upper 80s, though
we are within a very moist environment with dew points in the low to
mid 70s. While this yields heat indices in the upper 90s to lower
100s, this heat is not the main hazard for today.

Scattered to numerous severe storms are developing across
northwestern MO this afternoon, and will continue to increase in
intensity through the afternoon and be capable of producing damaging
winds, large hail, and a few (possibly strong) tornadoes. SPC
Mesoanalysis depicts an extremely unstable environment with SBCAPE
values around 4500-5000 J/kg over northeastern KS. With a 35kt LLJ
over the area, shear parameters are favorable for organized
convection, with enough curvature in the lowest 3km to support a
supercell/tornado threat through the evening hours.

A deepening sfc trough is extending through western Iowa and
southeastern Nebraska. Combined with a remnant boundary from
convection from earlier this morning, we are seeing convection
initiation take place across northwestern Missouri. The 18z sounding
from Topeka shows a loaded gun profile, with very large CAPE and no
capping, strong shear, and low level helicity exceeding 200 m2/s2.
Expect to see low level shear continue to increase through this
evening, supporting HP supercells that could congeal somewhat into a
larger cluster of organized severe storms. If storms can remain
somewhat discrete, the tornado risk will be greater. The significant
tornado parameter could increase this evening, leading to greater
concern for strong tornado potential. Aside from the tornado risk,
there is a damaging wind and large hail threat as well. The WoFs
ensemble for greater than 1 inch hail is more than 60% across the
Tornado Watch area. The Tornado Watch runs through 02z tonight.

===== Flood Watch until Thursday Morning =====

Incredibly high PWATs are observed across the area, with TOP 18z
special sounding recording a PW value just below 2". SPC
Mesoanalysis depicts upwards of 2.2 inches. CAM runs throughout
today have shown a very consistent signal for very high rainfall
from thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. There is considerable
concern for widespread 2-4+ inches of rainfall within the Flood
Watch, and the possibility of isolated 6+ inches of rain generally
along HWY 36 and northward. Per the 12z HREF LPMM, there is a
growing concern for flash flooding across northern MO through the
overnight. The Flood Watch runs until 12z Thursday.

===== Enhanced Risk for Severe Storms Thursday =====

The cold front is not expected to pass through our area tonight, and
will again be a focus area for strong to severe storms tomorrow
afternoon and evening. CAMs have consistently shown the cold front
lighting up with a line of convection tomorrow afternoon, likely not
until after 18z. Hi-res soundings continue to show very strong CAPE
profiles for tomorrow, possibly exceeding SBCAPE exceeding 4000
J/kg. PWATs will still be quite saturated ahead of the front,
possibly north of 1.8", which will again lead to very heavy
rainfall. Damaging winds and large hail are the main concerns for
tomorrow, but cannot rule out another tornado risk for later
tomorrow.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 309 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

===== Friday and Saturday =====

Dry weather returns for Friday as low-amplitude mid-level ridging
and sfc high pressure move across the region. Cool air advection
will support temps to peak in the low 80s Friday afternoon.
Dewpoints will also be slightly more pleasant than in recent days,
with max dewpoints in the upper 50s and lower 60s.

Multiple rounds of shower and storm chances return on Saturday as a
sfc low moves across the central Plains. The primary upper low will
be situated across Ontario, with the belt of westerlies over the
northern Plains through the Great Lakes. With moisture transport
increasing across the area, and temps expected to warm into the mid
to upper 80s, CAPE profiles are expected to become quite unstable.
With favorable lapse rates and deep layer shear, the environment on
Saturday appears favorable for strong to severe storms. Multiple
models showcase soundings with impressive dry air in place to
increase forecast DCAPE values, possibly exceeding 1400 J/kg
Saturday afternoon. This would pose a risk for damaging wind gusts,
large hail, and a few tornadoes possible. SPC has highlighted the
region with an area of focus for Saturday.

===== Sunday into Early Next Week =====

The cold front will likely linger across the south on Sunday,
leading to lingering precip chances south of I-70. Overall, a
slightly drier trend is expected on Sunday as the upper wave moves
east.  While there are some isolated chances into next week, the
greater confidence is in the pleasant temperatures. Highs for Sun-
Tue are mostly in the 70s, with lower dewpoints in the 50s and 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1251 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

Main concern with TAFs for the next 24 hours is the chances for
storms late this afternoon and evening. Storms are expected to
develop quickly in northeast Kansas and northern Missouri
between 18z and 21z, slowly propagating southeastward for the
rest of the afternoon into the evening. STJ will likely be
affected by storms during the late afternoon, with torrential
rainfall and potential for severe weather. Things become more
uncertain for MCI, with most models keeping convection just to
the north before dissipating it during the evening. However,
given the proximity of the storms to the northern KC metro and
the favorable environment, do expect at least a period in which
thunderstorms affect the terminal, most likely from 23z to 03z.
Kept a TEMPO group at MCI for now. At MKC and IXD, chances for
storms are lower, so PROB30 groups were included here for now.
Outside of storms, VFR conditions are expected with south to
southwest winds of 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30+ kt this
afternoon and evening and once again by late Thursday morning.
Winds should diminish to around 10 kt overnight.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flood Watch through Thursday morning for MOZ002>008-011>017-
     020>025.
KS...Flood Watch through Thursday morning for KSZ025-102.

&&

SHORT TERM...Padgett
LONG TERM...Padgett
AVIATION...CMS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0505 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-111005-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0505 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Enhanced Risk (level 3 of 5) for severe weather this
  afternoon and evening. Large hail and damaging winds are the
  primary concerns, but can't rule out the possibility of
  tornadoes.

* Enhanced Risk for severe weather again Thursday afternoon and
  early evening. Large hail, damaging winds, and a couple
  tornadoes are possible.

* Another round of precipitation this weekend, then much cooler
  next week.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant HIll MO
346 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     Tornado          4 E Mercer              40.51N 93.45W
06/10/2026                   Mercer             MO   Public

            Public recorded video of tornado on the
            ground. Approximate location estimated by
            radar.

&&

SPG

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant HIll MO
354 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     Tornado          3 ENE Princeton         40.41N 93.55W
06/10/2026                   Mercer             MO   Public

            Corrects previous tornado report from 4 E
            Mercer. Public recorded video of tornado on
            the ground. Approximate location estimated
            by radar.

&&

SPG

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant HIll MO
424 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0412 PM     Tornado          7 E Lucerne             40.47N 93.16W
06/10/2026                   Putnam             MO   Public

            Public called in report of a tornado on the
            ground near Lucerne, ground truth confirmed
            via live stream.

&&

SPG

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant HIll MO
425 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0416 PM     Hail             4 NE Pattonsburg        40.07N 94.08W
06/10/2026  M1.50 Inch       Daviess            MO   Public

            Report from mPING: Ping Pong Ball (1.50
            in.).

&&

CMS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant HIll MO
429 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0403 PM     Tornado          2 S Santa Rosa          39.95N 94.20W
06/10/2026                   Daviess            MO   Public

            Public reported tornado on the ground,
            time/location confirmed by radar.

&&

SPG

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant HIll MO
441 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     Tornado          5 ENE Jameson           40.03N 93.89W
06/10/2026                   Daviess            MO   Public

            Several spotters called in to report tornado
            on the ground, time confirmed by
            radar/reports, location approximated by
            radar/reports.

&&

SPG