Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Flash Flood Warnings in 2026

Flash Flood Warning 43, NWS State College, PA

July 28, 2026Adams County, Franklin County, Pennsylvania

NWS State College, PA issued this flash flood warning at Jul 28, 2026, 4:23 PM EDT for Adams County, Franklin County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 3 hr. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 28, 2026, 4:23 PM EDT (20:23 UTC)
Expired
Jul 28, 2026, 7:30 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS State College, PA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Adams County, PA, Franklin County, PA

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 28, 4:27 PM EDTFLASH FLOODWaynesboro, PAReport of residential flooding on South Potomac Street.
Jul 28, 4:42 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD1 Ene Waynesboro, PAFlooding reported on Picadilly Circle.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 4 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 94 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2026-07-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 710 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2026-07-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 45 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
710 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-79 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
968 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
45 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
174 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

147 
WGUS51 KCTP 282023
FFWCTP
PAC001-055-282330-
/O.NEW.KCTP.FF.W.0043.260728T2023Z-260728T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service State College PA
423 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

The National Weather Service in State College has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Southwestern Adams County in south central Pennsylvania...
  Southeastern Franklin County in south central Pennsylvania...

* Until 730 PM EDT.

* At 423 PM EDT, local law enforcement reported thunderstorms
  producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches
  of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches
  are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or
  expected to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Law enforcement reported.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
           highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
           drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Waynesboro, Greencastle, Carroll Valley, Wayne Heights, Mont Alto,
  Rouzerville, Marion, State Line, Fairfield, Quincy, Penn State Mont
  Alto and Liberty Mountain Resort.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3972 7782 3986 7775 3989 7748 3972 7717

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED

$$

Evanego
1 follow-up statement
054 
WGUS71 KCTP 282321
FFSCTP

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
721 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

PAC001-055-282331-
/O.EXP.KCTP.FF.W.0043.000000T0000Z-260728T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Adams PA-Franklin PA-
721 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 730 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
SOUTHWESTERN ADAMS AND SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES...

The heavy rain has ended. Flood waters are receding. Flooding is no
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed remaining
road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3972 7782 3986 7775 3989 7748 3972 7717

$$

Banghoff

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 28, 1:54 PM EDT, 2 hours 29 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • 1) Severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds and heavy rainfall remain possible today into this evening. An isolated tornado will also be possible.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 28, 1:54 PM EDT, 2 hours 29 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
154 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
* Flood Watch expanded to include portions of south-central
  Pennsylvania until 1 AM tonight.
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch in effect for south-central and
  southeastern Pennsylvania until 8 PM this evening.
* Increasing chance for some tornadoes across southeastern
  Pennsylvania this evening.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds and heavy
rainfall remain possible today into this evening. An isolated
tornado will also be possible.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds
and heavy rainfall remain possible today into this evening. An
isolated tornado will also be possible.

Current radar outlines a cluster of showers and thunderstorms
generally south of a FIG-UNV-AVP line, generally moving east-
southeastward as we move into the mid-afternoon hours. Some
breaks in the clouds during the late morning and early afternoon
hours has allowed for destabilization across this region, which
will allow for some severe potential throughout the rest of the
evening hours. Recent SPC Mesoanalysis maximized SBCAPE in the
1500-2000 J/kg range across southeastern Pennsylvania, which is
more than sufficient for some strong-to-severe thunderstorms in
the near-term. Shear remains the main question mark with regards
to a more organized severe threat with recent bulk shear values
topping out closer to 20 knots across south-central PA. Despite
this lack of shear, damaging winds will remain possible over
the next couple of hours and into the evening as more shear is
present closer to southeastern Pennsylvania. Of note, 0-1 km
shear on most recent SPC Mesoanalysis appears to be sufficient
for some tornadic potential as storms move further southeast
into slightly more favorable shear. In fact, the best storm (as
of 1PM EDT) across Huntingdon County did show some history of
rotation, and will be moving into a slightly more favorable
environment this afternoon. Given all these factors, Severe
Thunderstorm Watch will be in effect for portions of southern
and eastern Pennsylvania until 8PM this evening.

Heavy rainfall signal remains concerning for much of central
Pennsylvania with some gauge reports in Clearfield County and
Cambria County reporting fairly widespread 3-5" and have
prompted two Flash Flood Warnings this afternoon. HREF PWATs
near the 90th percentile will warrant some watching of areas
that receive either multiple rounds of thunderstorms and/or
slow-moving thunderstorms this evening. Overall, cells appear
that they will be moving, thus locations would ultimately need
to receive multiple rounds of this heavy rainfall in order for
problems to arise. That being said, instantaneous rainfall rates
between 2-4"/hr could cause some issues in the more urbanized
areas of southeastern Pennsylvania and the rolling hills of
south-central Pennsylvania where water will drain towards the
lowest locations. Thus, have expanded the Flood Watch a tier of
counties northward and eastward to grab the south-central
mountains to cover this threat.

Given the dual hydrology and severe threat this evening, have
multiple ways to receive warnings! If outdoors this afternoon
and evening, continue to monitor your local forecasts and have
plans in case a severe storms and/or flooding occurs. Some
storms will produce damaging winds and/or potentially a tornado
this afternoon/evening, while some will not. Flooding will also
be possible this evening given the ample rainfall rates, so if
you are located near smaller streams and/or urbanized areas, be
sure to monitor nearby surroundings if a thunderstorm moves over
your area.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Current forecast package will deal primarily with -SHRA and
TSRA moving across the forecast area through late evening. Very
moist atmosphere is currently producing MVFR to IFR conditions
in heavy rain and embedded TSRA. There is plenty of instabiity
but cloud cover from earlier has kept any of the storms from
becoming severe so far. This instability should be realized
into stronger storms over southern PA and would affect KMDT and
KLNS. Skies have cleared in this area and sun will help kick
start convection which will likely be severe by late afternoon.

Convection will wane later this evening as a cold front pushes
through the region. A result of the heavy rain will be a
lowering of conditions to MVFR and possible IFR in BR or FG.
Confidence is low to medium (20-40%) of any one location
dropping to LIFR at this time, so made a mention of a drop to
MVFR with VCFG wording overnight.

Behind the front on Wednesday, a BKN stratus layer will slowly
dissipate through the day on a breezy to gusty northwest wind.
Gusts will approach 20-25KTS during the afternoon.

Outlook...

Thu...Improving conditions with lingering -SHRA. Patchy AM fog.

Fri...Mainly VFR.

Sat and Sun...Patchy AM fog. Restrictions possible in isolated
showers/storms mainly in the south.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through late tonight for PAZ026>028-035-036-
056>059-063>066.

&&

WHAT HAS CHANGED...Beaty
KEY MESSAGES...Beaty
DISCUSSION...Beaty
AVIATION...Tyburski
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 28, 12:57 PM EDT, 3 hours 26 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
1257 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024-025-033-034-037-041-042-045-046-
291700-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-
Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Somerset-Bedford-Tioga-
Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-
1257 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms, capable of damaging wind
gusts and localized heavy rainfall of 1 to 2 inches per hour are
possible today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability of widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ026>028-035-036-056>059-063>066-291700-
Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Fulton-Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-
Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
1257 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 525 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability of widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PAZ049>053-291700-
Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-
1257 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 525 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability of widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

Beaty

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 28, 3:52 PM EDT, 31 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
352 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     5 ESE Newville          40.15N 77.31W
07/28/2026                   Cumberland         PA   911 Call Center

            Tree down on Interstate 81 at MM 39.4.

&&
Local storm report, Jul 28, 3:54 PM EDT, 29 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
354 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 WNW Newburg           40.14N 77.59W
07/28/2026                   Cumberland         PA   Utility Company

            Trees down on wires along Clover Hill Road.

&&
Local storm report, Jul 28, 3:58 PM EDT, 25 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
358 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     4 NE Walnut Bottom      40.13N 77.30W
07/28/2026                   Cumberland         PA   911 Call Center

            Trees down on wires along Route 174 at Lebo
            Road.

&&
Local storm report, Jul 28, 4:06 PM EDT, 17 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
406 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 WSW Pine Grove Furnac 40.04N 77.31W
07/28/2026                   Cumberland         PA   911 Call Center

            Trees down on wires along Old Carlisle Road.

&&
Local storm report, Jul 28, 4:09 PM EDT, 14 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
409 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     4 SSW Carlisle          40.15N 77.23W
07/28/2026                   Cumberland         PA   Utility Company

            Trees down on wires along Adams Road.

&&
Local storm report, Jul 28, 4:23 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
423 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 NW Shiremanstown      40.24N 76.99W
07/28/2026                   Cumberland         PA   Utility Company

            Trees down on wires along Donald Street.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 27, 10:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPWarren32 min
Jul 27, 11:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPMcKean, Potter61 min
Jul 28, 12:05 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPJuniata, Perry55 min
Jul 28, 12:43 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPAdams47 min
Jul 28, 1:05 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPMcKean55 min
Jul 28, 1:25 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPAdams65 min
Jul 28, 1:41 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPMcKean79 min
Jul 28, 1:54 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPMcKean3 hr
Jul 28, 2:00 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPAdams, Franklin45 min
Jul 28, 2:20 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPAdams, Cumberland, Franklin3 hr
Jul 28, 2:34 AM EDTFlood WatchCTPAdams, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon and 7 more18 hr
Jul 28, 3:14 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPCentre61 min
Jul 28, 3:22 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPColumbia, Montour, Northumberland, Schuylkill, Snyder, Union53 min
Jul 28, 8:37 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPMcKean3 hr
Jul 28, 9:54 AM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatCTPMcKean2 hr
Jul 28, 11:21 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningCTPMcKean, Potter, Warren114 min
Jul 28, 12:22 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPBlair, Cambria, Clearfield3 hr
Jul 28, 12:46 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPBlair, Huntingdon3 hr
Jul 28, 12:59 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPHuntingdon31 min
Jul 28, 1:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPHuntingdon, Mifflin33 min
Jul 28, 1:59 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPHuntingdon, Juniata31 min
Jul 28, 2:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPCumberland33 min
Jul 28, 3:02 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningCTPBlair, Cambria, Centre, Clearfield118 min
Jul 28, 3:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCumberland, Perry, York63 min
Jul 28, 3:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPAdams, Cumberland, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon, York53 min
Jul 28, 3:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPAdams, Franklin, York47 min
Jul 28, 3:37 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningCTPBlair, Centre, Huntingdon83 min
Jul 28, 4:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCumberland, Dauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, York66 min
Jul 28, 4:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPAdams, Franklin30 min
Jul 28, 4:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPAdams, Lancaster, York61 min
Jul 28, 5:00 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPDauphin, Lebanon2 hr
Jul 28, 5:20 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningCTPCambria, Clearfield3 hr
Jul 28, 5:39 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPLancaster, Lebanon3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2026Every flash flood warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.