Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2026
Lake Effect Snow Warning 2, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this lake effect snow warning at Jan 26, 2026, 1:05 AM EST for 5 counties in New York. It took effect at Jan 27, 2026, 7:00 AM EST. It was in force for 54 hr. 37 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 26, 2026, 1:05 AM EST (06:05 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 27, 2026, 7:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Jan 29, 2026, 12:49 PM EST
- In force
- 54 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
Counties Cayuga County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Wayne County, NY
The radar
The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 1.4 | 1 Ssw Watertown, NY | Cocorahs station NY-JF-47 Watertown 0.9 SSW. |
| Jan 27, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 6 | 2 Nne Richland, NY | Cocorahs station NY-OS-1 Lacona 3.6 SSE. |
| Jan 27, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 6.5 | 2 Sw Mexico, NY | CO-OP Observer station MXON6 Mexico 2SW. |
| Jan 27, 7:20 AM EST | SNOW 4.8 | 4 Nw Constantia, NY | Cocorahs station NY-OS-45 West Monroe 1.6 NNE. |
| Jan 27, 7:30 AM EST | SNOW 3 | 2 N Richland, NY | Snowfall since 6PM on January 26th. Very light and fluffy. |
| Jan 27, 8:00 AM EST | SNOW 2.7 | 2 Nw Deferiet, NY | CO-OP Observer station GTBN6 Fort Drum. |
| Jan 27, 8:00 AM EST | SNOW 3 | 4 Nw Copenhagen, NY | Cocorahs station NY-JF-59 Copenhagen 3.7 NW. |
| Jan 27, 3:55 PM EST | SNOW 4.9 | Watertown, NY | Snowfall since 6 am. |
| Jan 27, 4:45 PM EST | SNOW 4 | 1 Ese Calcium, NY | Snowfall since 1 pm. |
| Jan 27, 5:13 PM EST | SNOW 4 | 5 Se Black River, NY | Snowfall this afternoon. |
| Jan 27, 7:28 PM EST | SNOW 9.7 | Watertown, NY | Snowfall since 6 am. 4.8 inches fell in the last 3 hours. |
| Jan 28, 6:00 AM EST | SNOW 1.5 | 5 W Constableville, NY | CO-OP Observer station HGHN6 Highmarket 2W. |
| Jan 28, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 3.5 | 2 Nne Richland, NY | Cocorahs station NY-OS-1 Lacona 3.6 SSE. |
| Jan 28, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 7 | 2 Sw Mexico, NY | CO-OP Observer station MXON6 Mexico 2SW. |
| Jan 28, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 7.1 | 1 Ssw Watertown, NY | Cocorahs station NY-JF-47 Watertown 0.9 SSW. |
| Jan 28, 7:35 AM EST | SNOW 4.6 | 4 Nw Constantia, NY | Cocorahs station NY-OS-45 West Monroe 1.6 NNE. |
| Jan 28, 8:00 AM EST | SNOW 1.5 | 2 N Richland, NY | Snowfall since 4PM 1/27. |
| Jan 28, 8:00 AM EST | SNOW 3.7 | 4 Nw Copenhagen, NY | Cocorahs station NY-JF-59 Copenhagen 3.7 NW. |
| Jan 28, 8:00 AM EST | SNOW 8 | 2 Nw Deferiet, NY | CO-OP Observer station GTBN6 Fort Drum. |
| Jan 28, 8:00 AM EST | SNOW 8 | Minetto, NY | Cocorahs station NY-OS-15 Minetto 0.1 SE. |
| Jan 28, 8:30 AM EST | SNOW 2.6 | West Carthage, NY | Cocorahs station NY-JF-30 West Carthage 0.3 ENE. |
| Jan 28, 9:00 AM EST | SNOW 5.7 | 2 Wsw Oswego, NY | Two bursts of overnight lake effect snow dropped 3.1 inches and 2.6 inches, each in about one hour. |
| Jan 28, 4:00 PM EST | SNOW 3.4 | Watertown, NY | Daytime snowfall as of 4 pm. |
| Jan 28, 6:00 PM EST | SNOW 9.2 | Adams, NY | Fell from 6 am-6 pm today. |
| Jan 28, 8:30 PM EST | SNOW 11.4 | Watertown, NY | Updated report; fell since 8 am. |
| Jan 28, 8:52 PM EST | SNOW 7 | 5 Se Black River, NY | |
| Jan 29, 6:00 AM EST | SNOW 1.6 | 2 Sse Palermo, NY | Cocorahs station NY-OS-16 Phoenix 7.0 NNE. |
| Jan 29, 6:00 AM EST | SNOW 1.6 | 2 Sse Palermo, NY | CO-OP Observer station PLMN6 Palermo 2SSE. |
| Jan 29, 6:00 AM EST | SNOW 17.2 | Adams, NY | |
| Jan 29, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 3 | 2 Nne Richland, NY | Cocorahs station NY-OS-1 Lacona 3.6 SSE. |
| Jan 29, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 5.8 | 2 Sw Mexico, NY | CO-OP Observer station MXON6 Mexico 2SW. |
| Jan 29, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 10.8 | 1 Ssw Watertown, NY | Cocorahs station NY-JF-47 Watertown 0.9 SSW. |
| Jan 29, 7:30 AM EST | SNOW 12.9 | Watertown, NY | |
| Jan 29, 8:00 AM EST | SNOW 7.4 | Minetto, NY | Cocorahs station NY-OS-15 Minetto 0.1 SE. |
| Jan 29, 8:00 AM EST | SNOW 8.2 | 4 Nw Copenhagen, NY | Cocorahs station NY-JF-59 Copenhagen 3.7 NW. |
| Jan 29, 8:00 AM EST | SNOW 18 | 1 S Oswego, NY | Cocorahs station NY-OS-46 Oswego 1.3 S. |
| Jan 29, 8:57 AM EST | SNOW 2.6 | West Carthage, NY | Cocorahs station NY-JF-30 West Carthage 0.3 ENE. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 6.1 hours before the alert went out and 207 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 623 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 87 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 740 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 950 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
444 WWUS41 KBUF 260605 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 105 AM EST Mon Jan 26 2026 NYZ005>008-261900- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0002.260127T1200Z-260130T0000Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260127T1200Z/ Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Fair Haven, Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville 105 AM EST Mon Jan 26 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, periods of snow and lake enhanced snow. Additional snow accumulations 4 to 7 inches across Oswego and northern Cayuga counties, and 2 to 4 inches across Jefferson and Lewis counties today through tonight. For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations 1 to 2 feet possible in the most persistent lake snows across Oswego County, with 8 to 14 inches possible across far northern Cayuga, southern Jefferson, and far western Lewis counties. * WHERE...Northern Cayuga, Oswego, Jefferson, and Lewis Counties. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, until 7 AM EST Tuesday. For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, from 7 AM Tuesday to 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult at times with snow covered roads and poor visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow will oscillate north and south multiple times Tuesday through Thursday. This will bring very changeable conditions, and also allow for cleanup between rounds of lake effect snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Consider delaying travel. If you must travel, drive with extreme caution. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. && $$ NYZ001-002-010-011-261900- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260127T0000Z/ Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee- Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Buffalo, and Batavia 105 AM EST Mon Jan 26 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Occasional light snow, with moderate lake enhanced snow along the south shore of Lake Ontario at times. Additional snow accumulations 1 to 3 inches, greatest near Lake Ontario. * WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Northern Erie, and Genesee Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Plan on snow covered and slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. Consider delaying travel. If you must travel, drive with extreme caution. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. && $$ NYZ003-004-261900- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260127T1200Z/ Monroe-Wayne- Including the cities of Rochester and Newark 105 AM EST Mon Jan 26 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Occasional light to moderate snow. Additional snow accumulations 3 to 6 inches across Wayne County, and 1 to 3 inches across Monroe County. * WHERE...Monroe and Wayne Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on snow covered and slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. Consider delaying travel. If you must travel, drive with extreme caution. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. && $$ NYZ012>014-019>021-085-261900- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260127T0000Z/ Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany- Southern Erie- Including the cities of Warsaw, Geneseo, Canandaigua, Jamestown, Olean, Wellsville, Orchard Park, and Springville 105 AM EST Mon Jan 26 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Occasional light snow. Additional snow accumulations 1 to 3 inches, greatest across the higher terrain of the Boston Hills and Chautauqua Ridge. * WHERE...Wyoming, Livingston, Ontario, Chautauqua, Cattaraugus, Allegany, and Southern Erie Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Plan on snow covered and slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. Consider delaying travel. If you must travel, drive with extreme caution. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. && $$ Hitchcock/JM
16 follow-up statements
262 WWUS41 KBUF 261026 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 526 AM EST Mon Jan 26 2026 NYZ013-014-021-261130- /O.CAN.KBUF.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260127T0000Z/ Livingston-Ontario-Allegany- Including the cities of Geneseo, Canandaigua, and Wellsville 526 AM EST Mon Jan 26 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... Some on and off light snow showers will continue through the day with additional accumulations generally an inch or less. $$ NYZ005>008-262230- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260127T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.260127T1200Z-260130T0000Z/ Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Fair Haven, Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville 526 AM EST Mon Jan 26 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, periods of snow and lake enhanced snow. Additional snow accumulations 4 to 6 inches across Oswego and northern Cayuga counties, and 2 to 4 inches across Jefferson and Lewis counties today through tonight. For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations 1 to 2 feet possible in the most persistent lake snows across Oswego County, with 8 to 14 inches possible across far northern Cayuga, southern Jefferson, and far western Lewis counties. * WHERE...Northern Cayuga, Oswego, Jefferson, and Lewis Counties. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, until 7 AM EST Tuesday. For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, from 7 AM Tuesday to 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult at times with snow covered roads and poor visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow will oscillate north and south multiple times Tuesday through Thursday. This will bring very changeable conditions, and also allow for cleanup between rounds of lake effect snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. Consider delaying travel. If you must travel, drive with extreme caution. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. && $$ NYZ001-002-010-011-262230- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260127T0000Z/ Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee- Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Buffalo, and Batavia 526 AM EST Mon Jan 26 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Occasional light snow, with moderate lake enhanced snow along the south shore of Lake Ontario at times. Additional snow accumulations 1 to 3 inches, greatest near Lake Ontario. * WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Northern Erie, and Genesee Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Plan on snow covered and slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. Consider delaying travel. If you must travel, drive with extreme caution. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. && $$ NYZ003-004-262230- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260127T1200Z/ Monroe-Wayne- Including the cities of Rochester and Newark 526 AM EST Mon Jan 26 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Occasional light to moderate snow. Additional snow accumulations 3 to 6 inches across Wayne County, and 1 to 3 inches across Monroe County. * WHERE...Monroe and Wayne Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. Consider delaying travel. If you must travel, drive with extreme caution. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. && $$ NYZ012-019-020-085-262230- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260127T0000Z/ Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Warsaw, Jamestown, Olean, Orchard Park, and Springville 526 AM EST Mon Jan 26 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Occasional light snow. Additional snow accumulations 1 to 3 inches, greatest across the higher terrain of the Boston Hills and Chautauqua Ridge. * WHERE...Wyoming, Chautauqua, Cattaraugus, and Southern Erie Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. Consider delaying travel. If you must travel, drive with extreme caution. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. && $$ JM
429 WWUS41 KBUF 261458 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 958 AM EST Mon Jan 26 2026 NYZ010>012-019-020-085-261600- /O.CAN.KBUF.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260127T0000Z/ Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Jamestown, Olean, Orchard Park, and Springville 958 AM EST Mon Jan 26 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... Widespread snow has ended and significant accumulations are no longer expected, therefore the Winter Storm Warning has been cancelled. $$ NYZ005>008-270300- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260127T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.260127T1200Z-260130T0000Z/ Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Fair Haven, Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville 958 AM EST Mon Jan 26 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, periods of snow and lake enhanced snow. Additional snow accumulations 4 to 6 inches across Oswego and northern Cayuga counties, and 2 to 4 inches across Jefferson and Lewis counties today through tonight. For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations 1 to 2 feet possible in the most persistent lake snows across Oswego County, with 8 to 14 inches possible across far northern Cayuga, southern Jefferson, and far western Lewis counties. * WHERE...Northern Cayuga, Oswego, Jefferson, and Lewis Counties. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, until 7 AM EST Tuesday. For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, from 7 AM Tuesday to 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult at times with snow covered roads and poor visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the Monday evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow will oscillate north and south multiple times Tuesday through Thursday. This will bring very changeable conditions, and also allow for cleanup between rounds of lake effect snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. Consider delaying travel. If you must travel, drive with extreme caution. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. && $$ NYZ001-002-270000- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260127T0000Z/ Niagara-Orleans- Including the cities of Niagara Falls and Medina 958 AM EST Mon Jan 26 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Occasional light snow, with moderate lake enhanced snow along the south shore of Lake Ontario at times. Additional snow accumulations 1 to 3 inches, greatest near Lake Ontario. * WHERE...Niagara and Orleans Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. Consider delaying travel. If you must travel, drive with extreme caution. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. && $$ NYZ003-004-270300- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260127T1200Z/ Monroe-Wayne- Including the cities of Rochester and Newark 958 AM EST Mon Jan 26 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Occasional light to moderate snow. Additional snow accumulations 3 to 6 inches across Wayne County, and 1 to 3 inches across Monroe County. * WHERE...Monroe and Wayne Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on snow covered and slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Monday evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. Consider delaying travel. If you must travel, drive with extreme caution. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. && $$ HSK
353 WWUS41 KBUF 262359 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 659 PM EST Mon Jan 26 2026 NYZ007-008-271200- /O.CAN.KBUF.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260127T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.260127T1200Z-260130T0000Z/ Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville 659 PM EST Mon Jan 26 2026 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow expected Tuesday through Thursday. Total snow accumulations 8 to 14 inches in the most persistent lake snows across southern Jefferson and far western Lewis counties. * WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis Counties. * WHEN...From 7 AM Tuesday to 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult at times with snow covered roads and poor visibility. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow will oscillate north and south multiple times Tuesday through Thursday. This will bring very changeable conditions, and also allow for cleanup between rounds of lake effect snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ001-002-270100- /O.EXP.KBUF.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260127T0000Z/ Niagara-Orleans- Including the cities of Niagara Falls and Medina 659 PM EST Mon Jan 26 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... Snow showers will continue across parts of the area this evening, but accumulations will be light. Therefore, the Winter Storm Warning has been allowed to expire. $$ NYZ005-006-271200- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260127T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.260127T1200Z-260130T0000Z/ Northern Cayuga-Oswego- Including the cities of Fair Haven and Oswego 659 PM EST Mon Jan 26 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations up to 3 inches. For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations 1 to 2 feet possible in the most persistent lake snows across Oswego County, with 8 to 14 inches possible across far northern Cayuga county. * WHERE...Northern Cayuga and Oswego Counties. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, until 7 AM EST Tuesday. For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, from 7 AM Tuesday to 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult at times with snow covered roads and poor visibility. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow will oscillate north and south multiple times Tuesday through Thursday. This will bring very changeable conditions, and also allow for cleanup between rounds of lake effect snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. Consider delaying travel. If you must travel, drive with extreme caution. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. && $$ NYZ003-004-271200- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260127T1200Z/ Monroe-Wayne- Including the cities of Rochester and Newark 659 PM EST Mon Jan 26 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations up to 3 inches, mainly through the early overnight. * WHERE...Monroe and Wayne Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions with snow covered roads. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ TMA
630 WWUS41 KBUF 270545 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1245 AM EST Tue Jan 27 2026 NYZ004-271900- /O.CAN.KBUF.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260127T1200Z/ /O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0002.260128T0200Z-260128T1800Z/ Wayne- Including the cities of Newark 1245 AM EST Tue Jan 27 2026 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations 5 to 9 inches in the most persistent lake snows. * WHERE...Wayne County. The heaviest lake effect snow will be in the far northeast corner of the county. * WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult with snow covered roads and poor visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ003-270645- /O.CAN.KBUF.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260127T1200Z/ Monroe- Including the cities of Rochester 1245 AM EST Tue Jan 27 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... Lake effect snow has moved northeast of the area, bringing and end to accumulating snow. $$ NYZ005-006-271900- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260127T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.260127T1200Z-260130T0000Z/ Northern Cayuga-Oswego- Including the cities of Fair Haven and Oswego 1245 AM EST Tue Jan 27 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow that will fall in multiple different rounds as the band of snow oscillates north and south numerous times over the next few days. Three day accumulations may reach 2 to 3 feet where the bands persist the longest. * WHERE...Northern Cayuga and Oswego Counties. The greatest accumulations are expected across western Oswego and far northern Cayuga counties. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, until 7 AM EST this morning. For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, from 7 AM this morning to 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult at times with deep snow cover on roads and very poor visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow will oscillate north and south multiple times today through Thursday. This will bring very changeable conditions, and also allow for cleanup between rounds of lake effect snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. Consider delaying travel. If you must travel, drive with extreme caution. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. && $$ NYZ007-008-271900- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.260127T1200Z-260130T0000Z/ Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville 1245 AM EST Tue Jan 27 2026 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow that will fall in multiple different rounds as the band of snow oscillates north and south numerous times over the next few days. Three day accumulations may reach 8 to 16 inches where the bands persist the longest. * WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis Counties. The greatest accumulations are expected across central and southern Jefferson County and far western Lewis County. * WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult at times with snow covered roads and poor visibility. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow will oscillate north and south multiple times today through Thursday. This will bring very changeable conditions, and also allow for cleanup between rounds of lake effect snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ Hitchcock
906 WWUS41 KBUF 270706 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 206 AM EST Tue Jan 27 2026 NYZ005-006-271900- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260127T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.260127T1200Z-260130T0000Z/ Northern Cayuga-Oswego- Including the cities of Fair Haven and Oswego 206 AM EST Tue Jan 27 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow that will fall in multiple different rounds as the band of snow oscillates north and south numerous times over the next few days. Three day accumulations may reach 2 to 3 feet where the bands persist the longest. * WHERE...Northern Cayuga and Oswego Counties. The greatest accumulations are expected across western Oswego and far northern Cayuga counties. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, until 7 AM EST this morning. For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, from 7 AM this morning to 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult at times with deep snow cover on roads and very poor visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow will oscillate north and south multiple times today through Thursday. This will bring very changeable conditions, and also allow for cleanup between rounds of lake effect snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. Consider delaying travel. If you must travel, drive with extreme caution. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. && $$ NYZ007-008-271900- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.260127T1200Z-260130T0000Z/ Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville 206 AM EST Tue Jan 27 2026 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow that will fall in multiple different rounds as the band of snow oscillates north and south numerous times over the next few days. Three day accumulations may reach 8 to 16 inches where the bands persist the longest. * WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis Counties. The greatest accumulations are expected across central and southern Jefferson County and far western Lewis County. * WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult at times with snow covered roads and poor visibility. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow will oscillate north and south multiple times today through Thursday. This will bring very changeable conditions, and also allow for cleanup between rounds of lake effect snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ004-271900- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.260128T0200Z-260128T1800Z/ Wayne- Including the cities of Newark 206 AM EST Tue Jan 27 2026 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations 5 to 9 inches in the most persistent lake snows. * WHERE...Wayne County. The heaviest lake effect snow will be in the far northeast corner of the county. * WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult with snow covered roads and poor visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ001-002-010>012-085-271900- /O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0008.260127T0706Z-260128T0300Z/ Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Orchard Park, and Springville 206 AM EST Tue Jan 27 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Lake effect snow and blowing snow. Snow accumulations 2 to 4 inches in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph will produce considerable blowing and drifting snow, especially in open areas. * WHERE...The Niagara Frontier. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Plan on snow covered and slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the Tuesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ Hitchcock
476 WWUS41 KBUF 270855 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 355 AM EST Tue Jan 27 2026 NYZ005-006-271900- /O.CAN.KBUF.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260127T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.260127T1200Z-260130T0000Z/ Northern Cayuga-Oswego- Including the cities of Fair Haven and Oswego 355 AM EST Tue Jan 27 2026 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow that will fall in multiple different rounds as the band of snow oscillates north and south numerous times over the next few days. Three day accumulations may reach 2 to 3 feet where the bands persist the longest. * WHERE...Northern Cayuga and Oswego Counties. The greatest accumulations are expected across western Oswego and far northern Cayuga counties. * WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult at times with deep snow cover on roads and very poor visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow will oscillate north and south multiple times today through Thursday. This will bring very changeable conditions, and also allow for cleanup between rounds of lake effect snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ007-008-271900- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.260127T1200Z-260130T0000Z/ Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville 355 AM EST Tue Jan 27 2026 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow that will fall in multiple different rounds as the band of snow oscillates north and south numerous times over the next few days. Three day accumulations may reach 8 to 16 inches where the bands persist the longest. * WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis Counties. The greatest accumulations are expected across central and southern Jefferson County and far western Lewis County. * WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult at times with snow covered roads and poor visibility. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow will oscillate north and south multiple times today through Thursday. This will bring very changeable conditions, and also allow for cleanup between rounds of lake effect snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ004-271900- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.260128T0200Z-260128T1800Z/ Wayne- Including the cities of Newark 355 AM EST Tue Jan 27 2026 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations 5 to 9 inches in the most persistent lake snows. * WHERE...Wayne County. The heaviest lake effect snow will be in the far northeast corner of the county. * WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult with snow covered roads and poor visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ001-002-010>012-085-271900- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-260128T0300Z/ Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Orchard Park, and Springville 355 AM EST Tue Jan 27 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Lake effect snow and blowing snow. Snow accumulations 2 to 4 inches in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph will produce considerable blowing and drifting snow, especially in open areas. * WHERE...The Niagara Frontier. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Plan on snow covered and slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the Tuesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ Hitchcock
463 WWUS41 KBUF 271756 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1256 PM EST Tue Jan 27 2026 NYZ005>008-280600- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260130T0000Z/ Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Fair Haven, Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville 1256 PM EST Tue Jan 27 2026 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, periods of snow and lake enhanced snow. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches across Jefferson and Lewis counties through tonight. For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations 1 to 2 feet possible in the most persistent lake snows across Oswego County, with 8 to 14 inches possible across far northern Cayuga, southern Jefferson, and far western Lewis counties. * WHERE...Northern Cayuga, Oswego, Jefferson, and Lewis Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult at times with snow covered roads and poor visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the Monday evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow will oscillate north and south multiple times through Thursday. This will bring very changeable conditions, and also allow for cleanup between rounds of lake effect snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ004-280600- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.260128T0200Z-260128T1800Z/ Wayne- Including the cities of Newark 1256 PM EST Tue Jan 27 2026 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations 5 to 9 inches in the most persistent lake snows. * WHERE...Wayne County. The heaviest lake effect snow will be in the far northeast corner of the county. * WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult with snow covered roads and poor visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ001-002-010>012-085-280300- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-260128T0300Z/ Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Orchard Park, and Springville 1256 PM EST Tue Jan 27 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Lake effect snow and blowing snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph will produce considerable blowing and drifting snow, especially in open areas. * WHERE...The Niagara Frontier. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Plan on snow covered and slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ AR
608 WWUS41 KBUF 280258 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 958 PM EST Tue Jan 27 2026 NYZ001-002-010>012-085-280400- /O.EXP.KBUF.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-260128T0300Z/ Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Orchard Park, and Springville 958 PM EST Tue Jan 27 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... Lake effect snow has diminished, therefore the Winter Weather Advisory will be allowed to expire. Snow showers will continue across portions of the area at times, however, accumulations will be light, with less than an inch of snow expected. $$ NYZ004-281500- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260128T1800Z/ Wayne- Including the cities of Newark 958 PM EST Tue Jan 27 2026 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations 8 to 14 inches in the most persistent lake snows. * WHERE...Wayne County. The heaviest lake effect snow will be in the far northeast corner of the county. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult with snow covered roads and poor visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ005>008-281500- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260130T0000Z/ Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Fair Haven, Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville 958 PM EST Tue Jan 27 2026 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations 1 to 2 feet possible in the most persistent lake snows across southwest Oswego County and extreme northern Cayuga County, with 8 to 14 inches possible across southern Jefferson, and far western Lewis counties. * WHERE...Northern Cayuga, Oswego, Jefferson, and Lewis Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow will oscillate north and south multiple times through Thursday. This will bring very changeable conditions, and also allow for cleanup between rounds of lake effect snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ SJW
083 WWUS41 KBUF 280556 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1256 AM EST Wed Jan 28 2026 NYZ004-281800- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260128T1800Z/ Wayne- Including the cities of Newark 1256 AM EST Wed Jan 28 2026 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations 4 to 7 inches in the most persistent lake snows. * WHERE...Wayne County. The greatest additional accumulations will likely be along and north of Route 104. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult with snow covered roads and poor visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the Wednesday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ005>008-281800- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260130T0000Z/ Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Fair Haven, Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville 1256 AM EST Wed Jan 28 2026 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional two day snow accumulations of 1 to 2 feet likely in the most persistent lake snows across Oswego County. Addtional accumulations of 6 to 12 inches likely in the most persistent lake snows across northern Cayuga, southern Jefferson, and far western Lewis counties. * WHERE...Northern Cayuga, Oswego, Jefferson, and Lewis Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult with snow covered roads and very poor visibility at times. The hazardous conditions will impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow will oscillate north and south multiple times through Thursday. This will bring very changeable conditions, and also allow for cleanup between rounds of lake effect snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ Hitchcock
699 WWUS41 KBUF 281456 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 956 AM EST Wed Jan 28 2026 NYZ004-281600- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260128T1800Z/ Wayne- Including the cities of Newark 956 AM EST Wed Jan 28 2026 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... Lake effect snow has exited the area, therefore the Lake Effect Snow Warning has been cancelled. $$ NYZ005>008-290300- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260130T0000Z/ Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Fair Haven, Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville 956 AM EST Wed Jan 28 2026 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Addtional accumulations of 9 to 18 inches in the most persistent lake snows through Thursday. Lake snows will move north across Oswego county this morning and then into Jefferson by this afternoon. This is where the band will have its greatest impact through this evening and higher snowfall amounts. Elsewhere...little additional accumulation is anticipated through Wednesday night (N. Cayuga), until Thursday when the band will return south and produce additional accumualations. * WHERE...Northern Cayuga, Oswego, Jefferson, and Lewis Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult with snow covered roads and very poor visibility at times. The hazardous conditions will impact the Wednesday evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow will oscillate north and south through Thursday. This will bring very changeable conditions, and also allow for cleanup between rounds of lake effect snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ AR
316 WWUS41 KBUF 281632 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1132 AM EST Wed Jan 28 2026 NYZ005>008-290445- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260130T0000Z/ Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Fair Haven, Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville 1132 AM EST Wed Jan 28 2026 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Addtional accumulations of 10 to 20 inches in the most persistent lake snows through Thursday. Lake snows will move north across Oswego county this morning and then into Jefferson by this afternoon. This is where the band will have its greatest impact through this evening and higher snowfall amounts. Elsewhere...little additional accumulation is anticipated through Wednesday night (N. Cayuga), until Thursday when the band will return south and produce additional accumualations. * WHERE...Northern Cayuga, Oswego, Jefferson, and Lewis Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult with snow covered roads and very poor visibility at times. The hazardous conditions will impact the Wednesday evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow will oscillate north and south through Thursday. This will bring very changeable conditions, and also allow for cleanup between rounds of lake effect snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ001-010-290300- /O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0009.260128T1632Z-260129T0300Z/ Niagara-Northern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls and Buffalo 1132 AM EST Wed Jan 28 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...The combination of lake effect Snow and blowing snow. Snowfall accumulations of 2 to 4inches in the most persistent snows. * WHERE...Niagara and Northern Erie Counties. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Wednesday evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Periods of snow will result in snow covered roads and limited visibilities. Slow down and use caution while driving. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ AR
729 WWUS41 KBUF 281858 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 158 PM EST Wed Jan 28 2026 NYZ005>008-290700- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260130T0000Z/ Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Fair Haven, Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville 158 PM EST Wed Jan 28 2026 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Addtional accumulations of 6 to 12 inches possible in the most persistent lake snows across Jefferson, Lewis, and Northern Cayuga counties. An additional 1-2 feet possible across Oswego County through Thursday. * WHERE...Northern Cayuga, Oswego, Jefferson, and Lewis Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact the Wednesday evening and Thursday morning commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake snows will continue to impact Jefferson County through the evening, then move back southward across the Tug Hill and into Oswego County where it will reside tonight with the greatest impacts. Additional lake snows continue southeast of the lake on Thursday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ001-010-290300- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-260129T0300Z/ Niagara-Northern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls and Buffalo 158 PM EST Wed Jan 28 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...The combination of lake effect Snow and blowing snow. Additional snowfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches in the most persistent snows through this evening. * WHERE...Niagara and Northern Erie Counties. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Wednesday evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake snows will be light to moderate this afternoon across far northern Erie, Grand Island, and southern Niagara County. The lake snow band is expected to re-intensify late this afternoon and evening, then diminish as it moves south of the Buffalo Metro area. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Periods of snow will result in snow covered roads and limited visibilities. Slow down and use caution while driving. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ PP
662 WWUS41 KBUF 290249 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 949 PM EST Wed Jan 28 2026 NYZ001-010-290400- /O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-260129T0300Z/ Niagara-Northern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls and Buffalo 949 PM EST Wed Jan 28 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Lake effect snow has greatly weakened, therefore the Winter Weather Advisory has been cancelled. $$ NYZ005>008-291500- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260130T0000Z/ Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Fair Haven, Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville 949 PM EST Wed Jan 28 2026 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Addtional accumulations of 3 to 5 inches possible across Jefferson and Lewis counties, with 6 to 12 inches possible in the most persistent lake snows across Northern Cayuga county. An additional 1 to 2 feet across Oswego County through Thursday. * WHERE...Northern Cayuga, Oswego, Jefferson, and Lewis Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact the Thursday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake snows will continue to impact Jefferson and Lewis Counties late this evening, then will move back southward across the Tug Hill and into Oswego County where it will reside overnight with the greatest impacts. Additional lake snows will continue southeast of the lake on Thursday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$
821 WWUS41 KBUF 290603 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 103 AM EST Thu Jan 29 2026 NYZ007-008-290715- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260130T0000Z/ Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville 103 AM EST Thu Jan 29 2026 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... The lake effect snow band has settled south of Jefferson, while weaker wind flow is contracting the band closer to the shoreline. $$ NYZ005-006-291915- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260130T0000Z/ Northern Cayuga-Oswego- Including the cities of Fair Haven and Oswego 103 AM EST Thu Jan 29 2026 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional 1 to 2 feet across Oswego County, with greatest amounts expected closer to the shoreline. An additional 6 to 12 inches for northern Cayuga in the most persistent snowbands. * WHERE...Northern Cayuga and Oswego Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact the Thursday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowband will continue to yield snowfall rates up to 3 inches per hour near the Lake Ontario shoreline through this morning, before weakening through the afternoon hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ002>004-291915- /O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0010.260129T1500Z-260131T1500Z/ Orleans-Monroe-Wayne- Including the cities of Medina, Rochester, and Newark 103 AM EST Thu Jan 29 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations 6 to 12 inches in the most persistent snowbands. * WHERE...Orleans, Monroe, and Wayne Counties. Greatest snowfall amounts will be closer to the Lake Ontario shoreline and across eastern Monroe to Wayne County. * WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 10 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact the Thursday evening and Friday morning commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A fluffy snow is expected, with 12- hour period to period amounts of several inches adding up to 6 to 12 inches over the course of the advisory. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally heavy snow with greatly reduced visibilities to dry conditions just a few miles away. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, visibility, and road conditions. && $$ DRT
449 WWUS41 KBUF 291426 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 926 AM EST Thu Jan 29 2026 NYZ005-006-300000- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260130T0000Z/ Northern Cayuga-Oswego- Including the cities of Fair Haven and Oswego 926 AM EST Thu Jan 29 2026 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional 1 to 2 feet across Oswego County, with greatest amounts expected closer to the shoreline. An additional 6 to 12 inches for northern Cayuga in the most persistent snowbands. * WHERE...Northern Cayuga and Oswego Counties. The greatest accumulations are expected across western Oswego and far northern Cayuga counties. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowband will continue to yield snowfall rates up to 3 inches per hour near the Lake Ontario shoreline through this morning, before weakening through the afternoon hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ001-010-011-300230- /O.EXB.KBUF.WW.Y.0010.260129T1426Z-260130T0600Z/ Niagara-Northern Erie-Genesee- Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Buffalo, and Batavia 926 AM EST Thu Jan 29 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations 3 to 6 inches in the most persistent lake snows. * WHERE...Niagara, Northern Erie, and Genesee Counties. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Thursday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow bands will impact Orleans, Genesee and the far northeast portion of Northern Erie County at time through this evening. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally heavy snow with greatly reduced visibilities to dry conditions just a few miles away. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, visibility, and road conditions. && $$ NYZ002>004-300230- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0010.260129T1500Z-260131T1500Z/ Orleans-Monroe-Wayne- Including the cities of Medina, Rochester, and Newark 926 AM EST Thu Jan 29 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations 6 to 12 inches in the most persistent snowbands. * WHERE...Orleans, Monroe, and Wayne Counties. Greatest snowfall amounts will be closer to the Lake Ontario shoreline and across eastern Monroe to Wayne County. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact the Thursday evening and Friday morning commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A fluffy snow is expected, with 12- hour period to period amounts of several inches adding up to 6 to 12 inches over the course of the advisory. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally heavy snow with greatly reduced visibilities to dry conditions just a few miles away. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, visibility, and road conditions. && $$ AR
359 WWUS41 KBUF 291749 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1249 PM EST Thu Jan 29 2026 NYZ005-006-300600- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260130T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KBUF.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-260131T1500Z/ Northern Cayuga-Oswego- Including the cities of Fair Haven and Oswego 1249 PM EST Thu Jan 29 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations 4 to 7 inches in the most persistent lake snows. * WHERE...Northern Cayuga and Oswego Counties. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday evening and Friday morning commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Additional snowfall over a 12 hour period to period will amount to 4 to 7 inches over the course of the advisory. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ001-010-011-300600- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-260130T0600Z/ Niagara-Northern Erie-Genesee- Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Buffalo, and Batavia 1249 PM EST Thu Jan 29 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations 3 to 6 inches in the most persistent lake snows. * WHERE...Niagara, Northern Erie, and Genesee Counties. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Thursday evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow bands will impact Orleans, Genesee and the far northern portion of Northern Erie County at times through this evening. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally heavy snow with greatly reduced visibilities to dry conditions just a few miles away. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, visibility, and road conditions. && $$ NYZ002>004-300600- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-260131T1500Z/ Orleans-Monroe-Wayne- Including the cities of Medina, Rochester, and Newark 1249 PM EST Thu Jan 29 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations 5 to 10 inches in the most persistent lake snows. * WHERE...Orleans, Monroe, and Wayne Counties. Greatest snowfall amounts will be closer to the Lake Ontario shoreline and across eastern Monroe to Wayne County. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact the Thursday evening and Friday morning commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A fluffy snow is expected, with 12- hour period to period amounts of several inches adding up to 5 to 10 inches over the course of the advisory. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally heavy snow with greatly reduced visibilities to dry conditions just a few miles away. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, visibility, and road conditions. && $$ AR
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Jan 25, 6:39 PM EST, 6 hours 26 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- 1) Widespread snow will continue through tonight, with wrap around lake enhanced snow through Monday night. 2) Increasing confidence in moderate to heavy lake effect snow east and southeast of Lake Ontario Tuesday through Wednesday, though potentially beyond as well. 3) Frigid air will remain locked in across the Great Lakes through the entire week, with a couple of opportunities for headline-worthy wind chills.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 25, 6:39 PM EST, 6 hours 26 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
639 PM EST Sun Jan 25 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Adjustments made to the placement and accumulations of lake effect
snow off Lake Ontario Tuesday through Wednesday night. Totals
notably increased across Oswego County.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Widespread snow will continue through tonight, with wrap around
lake enhanced snow through Monday night.
2) Increasing confidence in moderate to heavy lake effect snow east
and southeast of Lake Ontario Tuesday through Wednesday, though
potentially beyond as well.
3) Frigid air will remain locked in across the Great Lakes through
the entire week, with a couple of opportunities for headline-worthy
wind chills.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Widespread snow will continue through tonight, with
wrap around lake enhanced snow through Monday night.
An area of elongated surface low pressure currently spread from
Alabama to southeastern Kentucky will continue to gradually
strengthen and track northeast this afternoon. Current radar imagery
depicts a band of steadier precipitation across much of western and
central New York as of noon time. This steadier, and efficient
snowfall will continue this afternoon and last well into this
evening across western and central New York, while spreading further
northeast into the eastern Great Ontario region due to the
combination of an area of deeper moisture and strong ascent from the
nose of the low level jet pushing northeast overhead of New York
State. The bulk of the heavier snow will fall through tonight,
before exiting from southwest to northeast as the surface low
traverses from the Mid-Atlantic to the coast of New England.
By Monday morning, wrap around moisture combined with the passage of
a mid-level trough will support some widespread nuisance snow
showers to persist across the region with some embedded upslope/lake
enhancement east of Lake Erie Monday and pure lake enhancement along
the southern shoreline of Lake Ontario Monday and Monday night.
Additionally some Lake Huron lake effect may also reach into the
Niagara Frontier at times Monday afternoon and evening.
This all being said, snowfall amounts from the widespread snow will
range from 9 to 18 inches, with the highest amounts lying across the
higher terrain of the interior Southern Tier and Finger Lakes
region, and southeast of Lake Ontario. Additional snow accumulations
Monday will be minor, generally just 1 to 2 inches in most areas,
with some 3 inch amounts in lake enhancement areas, especially
southeast of Lake Ontario across far northern Cayuga, and into
western Oswego counties.
Outside of the snow, northwest winds will increase some Monday
afternoon with gusts in the 20-30 mph range, producing some limited
blowing and drifting in open areas.
KEY MESSAGE 2...Increasing confidence in moderate to heavy lake
effect snow east and southeast of Lake Ontario Tuesday through
Wednesday, though potentially beyond as well.
The axis of an increasingly positively tilted mid-level trough will
cross the central and eastern Great Lakes Tuesday. This will force a
disorganized clipper sfc low east across southern ON/QC provinces.
Associated weak cold front will extend down into the forecast area,
resulting in a veering of the low level flow from southwesterly
Tuesday morning to northwesterly by Tuesday night. While the front
could bring some nuisance minor snowfall to the entire area, the
main focus will be the invigorated lake response off Lake Ontario.
Strong low-level convergence and increasing saturation will cause
the primary band to strengthen in the vicinity of the
Jefferson/Oswego County border early Tuesday evening before shifting
southward, likely settling between Wayne and southern Oswego
overnight. BUFKIT soundings indicate EQL heights topping out around
13-15kft as this shift occurs with deep lift through the DGZ. This
should allow for a period of 1-2" per hour snowfall rates, though as
as the band moves through Oswego in particular, these rates could be
as high as 2-3" per hour. Still a bit of uncertainty in peak
potential strength, though the main uncertainty here is the timing
and speed of this southward push which will have major implications
on expected snowfall. Significant localized impacts in the area can
still be expected regardless.
The primary lake effect band is expected to remain mobile Wednesday
through Thursday, though with increased uncertainty in placement and
strength. A weak shortwave followed by a closed upper low pivoting
south of James Bay will likely cause the band to wobble back
northwards towards the Tug Hill for a time Wednesday, before yet
another southward push orients the main lake effect area southeast
of the lake Wednesday night into Thursday. Thereafter, long range
ensembles indicate a prevailing northwesterly flow through the end
of the week with cold air locked in place, which could allow for
continued snows south/southeast of Lake Ontario.
Not to go completely unmentioned, lake effect potential east of Lake
Erie remains questionable at best. Rapid increases in ice coverage
and thickness over the past week should greatly mute any response
from the lake through the week, though some thinner ice between Long
Point and Buffalo could be enough to locally enhance snowfall
downwind of the lake at times. PoPs/QPF are both a bit higher across
the higher terrain compared to surrounding areas to account for this
possibility as well as to catch any potential upslope enhancement.
KEY MESSAGE 3...Frigid air will remain locked in across the Great
Lakes through the entire week, with a couple of opportunities for
headline-worthy wind chills.
In the wake of the major winter storm, the broad-scale longwave
pattern across the CONUS will struggle to significantly change
through the course of the week. Stout ridging will persist west of
the Plains while deep longwave troughing remains locked in across
the Northeastern quadrant. This will allow for a continuous flow of
frigid Canadian air down across the lakes. In addition to the lake
effect snow this will produce, high temps will struggle to escape
the teens and single digits while lows above and below zero in the
single digits will be commonplace.
In regards to temps/wind chills, the first timeframe of elevated
concern this week will be Monday night as colder air is initially
wrapped back in behind the current major winter system and winds
pick up in strength overnight. Wind chills of -10F to -20F look
plausible into early Tuesday. As a deep closed low drags an even
colder airmass southward after midweek, it's not out of the question
that wind chills in this range return Wednesday night, though
Thursday night could be even more frigid as the airmass moves more
solidly overhead. Wind chills of -20F to -30F are possible in this
timeframe, especially if lake effect clouds manage to clear out in
some areas.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Widespread moderate to heavy snow impacting all TAF sites
supporting IFR/LIFR in steady snow. These conditions will
persist tonight before gradually improving to some MVFR
overnight, as the steadier synoptic snow pulls northeast into
New England. In the wake of the departing system, areas of lake
enhanced snow south and southeast of the lakes will support IFR
conditions to persist overnight through Monday.
Outlook...
Monday Night...IFR in localized lake enhanced snow southeast of
Lakes Erie and Ontario.
Tuesday and Wednesday...Localized lake effect snow and IFR southeast
of Lake Ontario.
Thursday and Friday...Chance of snow, locally heavier near the
Lakes. IFR or below is possible.
&&
.MARINE...
Fresh easterlies/northeasterlies lie across Lake Ontario this
afternoon due to a tight pressure gradient between departing high
pressure over New England and incoming low pressure from the
southwest. These easterlies will remain elevated through tonight
before backing to the north and weakening late tonight into Monday
morning as low pressure pulls northeast off the New England coast. A
Small Craft Advisory has been issued for the western half of Lake
Ontario from later this morning through mid morning Monday.
Following a brief lull in the winds first half of Monday, winds will
freshen on both lakes Monday afternoon and remain elevated, with
small craft conditions possible through at least mid week on both
lakes, possibly persisting over Lake Ontario for much of the
upcoming week. Of note...most, if not all of the Lake Erie nearshore
waters are now ice covered.
&&
.CLIMATE...
Buffalo
Record low minimum temperature Record low high temperature
January 25 -14 (1884) 5 (1884)
Rochester
Record low minimum temperature Record low high temperature
January 25 -6 (1945) 7 (1884)
Watertown
Record low minimum temperature Record low high temperature
January 25 -18 (2007) 3 (1992)
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Winter Storm Warning until 7 PM EST Monday for NYZ001-002-
010>014-019>021-085.
Winter Storm Warning until 7 AM EST Tuesday for NYZ003>008.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Monday for LOZ042-043.
&&
DISCUSSION...EAJ/PP
AVIATION...EAJ/TMA
MARINE...EAJ/JM
CLIMATE...HSKHazardous weather outlook, Jan 25, 1:36 PM EST, 11 hours 29 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 136 PM EST Sun Jan 25 2026 NYZ001-002-010-011-261845- Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee- 136 PM EST Sun Jan 25 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Warning. Wind chills may approach 15 below zero Monday night through Tuesday morning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ012>014-019>021-085-261845- Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany- Southern Erie- 136 PM EST Sun Jan 25 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Warning. Wind chills may approach 20 below zero Monday night through Tuesday morning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ003>005-261845- Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga- 136 PM EST Sun Jan 25 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north central New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ006>008-261845- Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- 136 PM EST Sun Jan 25 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Warning. Lake effect snow will continue Tuesday through Tuesday night, with additional moderate accumulations possible in persistent bands. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ040-041-261845- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 136 PM EST Sun Jan 25 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LOZ042>045-062>065-261845- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 136 PM EST Sun Jan 25 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ020-LOZ030-261845- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 136 PM EST Sun Jan 25 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf SLZ022-024-261845- Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 136 PM EST Sun Jan 25 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of the Saint Lawrence River. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jan 25, 7:32 PM EST, 5 hours 33 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
732 PM EST Sun Jan 25 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0710 PM Snow 1 ESE Amherst 43.00N 78.75W
01/25/2026 M7.5 Inch Erie NY Trained Spotter
0700 PM Snow 1 NW Williamsville 42.97N 78.77W
01/25/2026 M5.3 Inch Erie NY NWS Employee
0700 PM Snow 2 NNE Constantia 43.28N 75.99W
01/25/2026 M7.5 Inch Oswego NY Trained Spotter
0645 PM Snow 2 NE Stafford 43.00N 78.05W
01/25/2026 M7.3 Inch Genesee NY NWS Employee
0645 PM Snow Cassadaga 42.34N 79.32W
01/25/2026 M5.0 Inch Chautauqua NY CO-OP Observer
0600 PM Snow 1 S Spencerport 43.17N 77.81W
01/25/2026 M6.0 Inch Monroe NY Public
Town of Ogden.
0600 PM Snow 1 S Honeoye Falls 42.94N 77.59W
01/25/2026 M7.0 Inch Livingston NY Public
0600 PM Snow Lima 42.91N 77.61W
01/25/2026 M7.0 Inch Livingston NY Public
0600 PM Snow Sardinia 42.54N 78.50W
01/25/2026 M6.0 Inch Erie NY Trained Spotter
3 inches since 1 pm.
0600 PM Snow Corfu 42.96N 78.40W
01/25/2026 M6.0 Inch Genesee NY Trained Spotter
0530 PM Snow 2 NW Rochester 43.19N 77.65W
01/25/2026 M5.0 Inch Monroe NY Trained Spotter
0500 PM Snow 4 NW Eden 42.69N 78.97W
01/25/2026 M8.4 Inch Erie NY Public
0500 PM Snow 4 NW North Tonawanda 43.08N 78.92W
01/25/2026 M5.0 Inch Niagara NY Trained Spotter
&&Local storm report, Jan 25, 7:34 PM EST, 5 hours 31 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
734 PM EST Sun Jan 25 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0654 PM Snow Buffalo Airport 42.94N 78.73W
01/25/2026 M5.1 Inch Erie NY Official NWS Obs
0654 PM Snow Rochester Airport 43.12N 77.67W
01/25/2026 M6.4 Inch Monroe NY Other Federal
&&Local storm report, Jan 25, 7:56 PM EST, 5 hours 9 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
756 PM EST Sun Jan 25 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0715 PM Snow 2 E Stafford 42.98N 78.03W
01/25/2026 M9.0 Inch Genesee NY Trained Spotter
0730 PM Snow 1 WNW Colden 42.66N 78.70W
01/25/2026 M4.1 Inch Erie NY Cocorahs
0730 PM Snow Watertown 43.97N 75.91W
01/25/2026 M3.4 Inch Jefferson NY Trained Spotter
&&Local storm report, Jan 25, 8:42 PM EST, 4 hours 23 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
842 PM EST Sun Jan 25 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 PM Snow Perrysburg 42.46N 79.00W
01/25/2026 M8.2 Inch Cattaraugus NY CO-OP Observer
0800 PM Snow 5 NNW Eden 42.72N 78.93W
01/25/2026 M7.5 Inch Erie NY Trained Spotter
0750 PM Snow 2 S Brighton 43.09N 77.57W
01/25/2026 M8.5 Inch Monroe NY Public
0745 PM Snow Jamestown 42.10N 79.24W
01/25/2026 M11.0 Inch Chautauqua NY Public
0734 PM Snow 2 NNW East Rochester 43.14N 77.50W
01/25/2026 M7.5 Inch Monroe NY Trained Spotter
0730 PM Snow 3 NW Cleveland 43.27N 75.94W
01/25/2026 M7.5 Inch Oswego NY Trained Spotter
0720 PM Snow Orchard Park 42.76N 78.75W
01/25/2026 M8.0 Inch Erie NY Public
0700 PM Snow Lancaster 42.90N 78.67W
01/25/2026 M6.0 Inch Erie NY Public
0640 PM Snow Victor 42.98N 77.41W
01/25/2026 M10.0 Inch Ontario NY Public
0615 PM Snow Belmont 42.22N 78.04W
01/25/2026 M6.3 Inch Allegany NY Trained Spotter
&&Local storm report, Jan 25, 9:20 PM EST, 3 hours 45 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
920 PM EST Sun Jan 25 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0915 PM Snow Geneva 42.87N 76.98W
01/25/2026 M9.5 Inch Ontario NY Trained Spotter
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 12:57 AM EST | Cold Weather Advisory | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Niagara and 2 more | 57 hr |
| Jan 26, 3:46 AM EST | Small Craft Advisory | BUF | 5 days |
Nearby
Lake Effect Snow Warnings in New York, 2026Every lake effect snow warning in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.