Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2026
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 47, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 16, 2026, 6:58 PM EDT for Arenac County, Iosco County, Ogemaw County, Michigan. It was in force for 22 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 16, 2026, 6:58 PM EDT (22:58 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 16, 2026, 7:20 PM EDT
- In force
- 22 min
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 1.0 in
- Wind
- 60.0 mph
Counties Arenac County, MI, Iosco County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 23 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -151 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1674 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 39 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 124 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 131 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
888
WUUS53 KAPX 162258
SVRAPX
MIC011-069-129-162345-
/O.NEW.KAPX.SV.W.0047.260616T2258Z-260616T2345Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
658 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026
The National Weather Service in Gaylord has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Arenac County in northern Michigan...
Southeastern Ogemaw County in northern Michigan...
Southwestern Iosco County in northern Michigan...
* Until 745 PM EDT.
* At 657 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Omer, or 7
miles northeast of Sterling, moving northeast at 35 mph.
HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage
to roofs, siding, and trees.
* This severe thunderstorm will be near...
Twining and Turner around 705 PM EDT.
Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include
Prescott.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
&&
LAT...LON 4410 8405 4424 8395 4424 8388 4417 8356
4405 8359 4405 8366 4402 8369 4399 8368
4400 8374 4399 8374 4398 8377 4400 8383
4396 8389
TIME...MOT...LOC 2257Z 231DEG 28KT 4408 8389
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH
$$
FEF1 follow-up statement
628
WWUS53 KAPX 162320
SVSAPX
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
720 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026
MIC011-069-129-162329-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SV.W.0047.000000T0000Z-260616T2345Z/
Arenac MI-Ogemaw MI-Iosco MI-
720 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR ARENAC...SOUTHEASTERN OGEMAW
AND SOUTHWESTERN IOSCO COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.
&&
LAT...LON 4410 8405 4424 8395 4424 8388 4417 8356
4405 8359 4405 8366 4402 8369 4399 8368
4400 8374 4399 8374 4398 8377 4400 8383
4396 8389
TIME...MOT...LOC 2319Z 231DEG 28KT 4419 8370
$$
FEFWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 16, 4:01 PM EDT, 2 hours 57 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Scattered to numerous showers and storms continue into this evening.
- Strong storm system with potential for locally heavy rain Wednesday night into early Thursday.
- Below normal temperatures likely to persist through at least the weekend into early next week.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 16, 4:01 PM EDT, 2 hours 57 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
401 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Scattered to numerous showers and storms continue into this
evening.
- Strong storm system with potential for locally heavy rain
Wednesday night into early Thursday.
- Below normal temperatures likely to persist through at least the
weekend into early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 401 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026
Pattern Synopsis/Forecast: Closed upper-level low pressure continues
to spin near/just south of Hudson Bay this afternoon -- likely to
remain in a similar position for much of the week ahead. Longwave
troughing evident across the eastern half of NOAM with an embedded
shortwave digging into the western Great Lakes this afternoon. This
will aid in support relatively weak pressure falls along a slow-
moving cold front set to cross the area this afternoon/evening.
Low amplitude shortwave ridging briefly slides overhead during the
day Wednesday in advance of an impressive mid-June system expected
to cross the Great Lakes later Wednesday into Thursday. As has been
alluded to sufficiently by the previous several shifts, the strength
of this system is noteworthy for mid-June. Sub-700mb heights and
MSLP progged to be lower/deeper than any comparison from the 1979-
2009 Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) climatology for a
several week period centered on June 18th. Vast majority of ensemble
members continue to prog a ~990mb low, yielding fairly high
confidence, as has been the case for the last couple of days.
Beyond Thursday, broad troughing likely to persist across the Great
Lakes through at least the upcoming weekend with at least slightly
below normal temperatures expected to continue.
Forecast Details: Scattered showers and storms are underway across
parts of northern MI as of early this afternoon, most numerously
exiting east off into Lake Huron as of 20z. Lots of large hail
producers in the strongest storms so far this afternoon. Some strong
to severe threat continues through early evening, propelled by
continued 500+ J/kg MLCAPE across parts of northern lower MI. That
said, the areal coverage of any strong to severe storms should be
far less than earlier this afternoon. Otherwise, locally heavy
downpours expected to continue under any more robust cells with
localized additional rain amounts in excess of 1.50" possible.
Relatively tranquil conditions expected to return for the second
half of tonight through much of the day on Wednesday. However, focus
quickly transitions to the late Wednesday afternoon/evening time
frame for additional, more widespread, rain to arrive from the west-
southwest. While higher end severe/heavy rain impacts will focus to
our south, at least low potential still exists locally for periods
of steady rain to add up to 1"+ over a 12+ hour period across
parts of the forecast area. PWs ranging from 1-1.5" help to support
that thought, but do have some concern that convection to our south
late Wednesday/Wednesday evening may "rob" some of our moisture and
prevent a truly steady shield of rain from materializing this far
north.
Winds turn out of the north-northwest Thursday morning through the
remainder of the day with a rather cool/fall-like day anticipated.
High temperatures may struggle to reach much above the low-mid 60s
for much of the forecast area under lots of clouds and occasional
continued showery conditions. A gradual drying trend anticipated
thereafter for late in the work week into the weekend with more
sunshine and daytime temperatures slowly moderating a handful of
degrees for the weekend.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 109 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026
Clouds will continue to increase through the day as
shower/storm chances increase, though VFR is expected to prevail
through at least 02z. The potential for storms exists for all
northern Lower sites this afternoon into the evening, with the
possibility of brief lowered visibilities from heavier rain as
well as some gustier winds if a storm passes over a terminal...
With storms already currently popping up on radar. Lingering
low-level moisture will lead to an increase in low clouds
through the overnight hours, eventually turning conditions MVFR
to possibly even IFR ~10z with decreasing winds. Condtions look
to temporarily improve from west to east through Wednesday
morning back to VFR with increasing winds.
&&
.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for LHZ349.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for LMZ345-
346.
&&
DISCUSSION...MJG
AVIATION...NSCIn the hours before
Local storm report, Jun 16, 4:13 PM EDT, 2 hours 45 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
413 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0354 PM Hail Mikado 44.57N 83.42W
06/16/2026 M0.70 Inch Alcona MI Public
&&Special weather statement, Jun 16, 4:35 PM EDT, 2 hours 23 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
435 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026
MIZ021-099-162115-
Antrim MI-Charlevoix MI-
435 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN ANTRIM AND
SOUTHEASTERN CHARLEVOIX COUNTIES THROUGH 515 PM EDT...
At 434 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Jordan Township, or near East Jordan, moving northeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Boyne City, East Jordan, Warner Township, and Jordan Township
around 440 PM EDT.
Boyne Falls and Young State Park around 445 PM EDT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4529 8506 4522 8474 4499 8505 4505 8522
TIME...MOT...LOC 2034Z 210DEG 24KT 4507 8512
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
NSCLocal storm report, Jun 16, 4:59 PM EDT, 1 hour 59 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report...Summary
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
459 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1240 PM Marine Tstm Wind 6 S Cathro 45.07N 83.57W
06/16/2026 M40 MPH Alpena MI ASOS
ASOS station KAPN Alpena - Phelps Collins
Field.
1250 PM Marine Tstm Wind 1 SE Alpena 45.06N 83.42W
06/16/2026 M39 MPH LHZ348 MI Mesonet
Mesonet station APNM4 1 SE Alpena.
0100 PM Hail 2 SW Alpena 45.05N 83.48W
06/16/2026 M0.25 Inch Alpena MI Public
0115 PM Hail 9 N Saint Helen 44.49N 84.41W
06/16/2026 E1.00 Inch Roscommon MI Law Enforcement
Time estimated by radar.
0150 PM Hail 3 SSE Luzerne 44.58N 84.25W
06/16/2026 M1.00 Inch Oscoda MI Public
Time estimated by radar.
0158 PM Hail Clear Lake 44.42N 84.25W
06/16/2026 E1.00 Inch Ogemaw MI Law Enforcement
Time estimated by radar.
0158 PM Hail 2 NE Luzerne 44.64N 84.24W
06/16/2026 M0.50 Inch Oscoda MI Trained Spotter
0201 PM Hail 2 NNE Twin Lakes Area 44.26N 84.43W
06/16/2026 E1.00 Inch Roscommon MI Public
Time estimates by radar.
0201 PM Hail Comins 44.80N 84.05W
06/16/2026 M1.00 Inch Oscoda MI Trained Spotter
Caller reports quarter size hail covering
the ground.
0211 PM Hail 6 W Gladwin 43.99N 84.61W
06/16/2026 M0.75 Inch Gladwin MI Trained Spotter
0220 PM Hail 2 S Comins 44.77N 84.05W
06/16/2026 M1.00 Inch Oscoda MI Trained Spotter
0225 PM Hail 4 NW Hockaday 44.13N 84.47W
06/16/2026 E1.00 Inch Gladwin MI Law Enforcement
Time estimated by radar.
0229 PM Hail 2 E Atlanta 45.00N 84.11W
06/16/2026 M0.70 Inch Montmorency MI Trained Spotter
0230 PM Hail 4 SW Glennie 44.52N 83.78W
06/16/2026 E1.00 Inch Alcona MI Law Enforcement
Time estimated by radar.
0237 PM Hail Gladwin 43.98N 84.49W
06/16/2026 M0.50 Inch Gladwin MI Emergency Mngr
0245 PM Hail West Branch 44.27N 84.24W
06/16/2026 E0.50 Inch Ogemaw MI Public
Report from mPING: Half-inch (0.50 in.).
0251 PM Hail 2 E Atlanta 45.00N 84.11W
06/16/2026 M1.25 Inch Montmorency MI Trained Spotter
0258 PM Hail 3 S Rose City 44.39N 84.12W
06/16/2026 M1.00 Inch Ogemaw MI Trained Spotter
0323 PM Hail 6 SW Hawks 45.27N 83.93W
06/16/2026 E1.50 Inch Presque Isle MI Trained Spotter
0354 PM Hail Mikado 44.57N 83.42W
06/16/2026 M0.70 Inch Alcona MI Public
&&Special weather statement, Jun 16, 5:42 PM EDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
542 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026
MIZ041-162230-
Gladwin MI-
542 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT GLADWIN COUNTY THROUGH 630 PM
EDT...
At 541 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms from near Clare to west of Gladwin, moving northeast
at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Gladwin, Beaverton, Wooden Shoe Village, Skeels, Hockaday, and
Winegars.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4382 8460 4412 8460 4416 8454 4416 8449
4401 8424 4381 8437
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 220DEG 21KT 4385 8467
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPHLocal storm report, Jun 16, 5:54 PM EDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
554 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0325 PM Tstm Wnd Gst 1 W Ossineke 44.91N 83.45W
06/16/2026 M39 MPH Alpena MI Trained Spotter
Time estimated by radar.
&&
JZLocal storm report, Jun 16, 6:10 PM EDT, 48 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
610 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0558 PM Rain 2 SW Alpena 45.05N 83.47W
06/16/2026 M0.98 Inch Alpena MI Mesonet
Mesonet station GW0478 Alpena. 12 hour
total.
&&
JZThe office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 3:29 AM EDT | Small Craft Advisory | APX | 17 hr | |
| Jun 16, 11:44 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | Alpena | 46 min |
| Jun 16, 12:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Alcona, Alpena | 43 min |
| Jun 16, 12:14 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 72 min | |
| Jun 16, 12:42 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | Alpena | 63 min |
| Jun 16, 12:48 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 57 min | |
| Jun 16, 1:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Crawford, Ogemaw, Oscoda, Roscommon | 51 min |
| Jun 16, 1:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Ogemaw, Oscoda | 41 min |
| Jun 16, 1:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Montmorency, Oscoda | 64 min |
| Jun 16, 1:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Gladwin, Ogemaw, Roscommon | 26 min |
| Jun 16, 1:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Ogemaw, Oscoda | 47 min |
| Jun 16, 2:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Arenac, Gladwin, Ogemaw, Roscommon | 44 min |
| Jun 16, 2:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Alcona, Alpena, Iosco | 80 min |
| Jun 16, 2:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Montmorency | 49 min |
| Jun 16, 2:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Iosco, Ogemaw, Oscoda | 36 min |
| Jun 16, 3:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Montmorency, Presque Isle | 58 min |
| Jun 16, 3:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Alcona | 54 min |
| Jun 16, 3:23 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 112 min | |
| Jun 16, 4:03 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | Kalkaska | 42 min |
| Jun 16, 4:35 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | Antrim | 40 min |
| Jun 16, 5:42 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | Gladwin | 48 min |
| Jun 16, 7:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Grand Traverse, Kalkaska | 48 min |
| Jun 16, 7:13 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 63 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Michigan, 2026Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.