Severe Thunderstorm Warning 18, NWS Gaylord, MI

254 
WWUS53 KAPX 140922
SVSAPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
522 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

MIC051-140945-
/O.CON.KAPX.SV.W.0018.000000T0000Z-260414T0945Z/
Gladwin MI-
522 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 AM EDT
FOR GLADWIN COUNTY...

At 522 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Beaverton, or 7
miles south of Gladwin, moving east at 65 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe storm will be near...
  Gladwin, Beaverton, Wooden Shoe Village, and Winegars around 525 
  AM EDT.
  Rhodes around 530 AM EDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
Gaylord.

&&

LAT...LON 4401 8460 4409 8417 4383 8417 4383 8436
      4381 8437 4382 8460
TIME...MOT...LOC 0922Z 248DEG 57KT 4387 8450 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Dippman

957 
WWUS53 KAPX 140938
SVSAPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
538 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

MIC051-140945-
/O.CON.KAPX.SV.W.0018.000000T0000Z-260414T0945Z/
Gladwin MI-
538 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 AM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN GLADWIN COUNTY...

At 538 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Bentley, or 8
miles southwest of Sterling, moving east at 70 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
southern Gladwin County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
Gaylord.

&&

LAT...LON 4409 8417 4383 8417 4383 8436 4381 8437
      4382 8446 4402 8456
TIME...MOT...LOC 0938Z 252DEG 61KT 4395 8415 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Dippman

160 
WWUS53 KAPX 140945
SVSAPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
545 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

MIC051-140954-
/O.EXP.KAPX.SV.W.0018.000000T0000Z-260414T0945Z/
Gladwin MI-
545 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN GLADWIN COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 545 AM EDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Gaylord.

&&

LAT...LON 4409 8417 4383 8417 4383 8436 4381 8437
      4382 8446 4402 8456
TIME...MOT...LOC 0944Z 253DEG 71KT 4398 8403 

$$

Dippman

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
256 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Ongoing flooding may worsen with additional rain and storms
  through daybreak. Highest rainfall expected south of M-72.

- Severe thunderstorm chances tonight and again Tuesday
  evening/Tuesday night with primary hazards of damaging winds
  and large hail.

- Additional rounds of rain and mild temperatures through this
  week before turning cold late this weekend.

&&

.PREVIOUS UPDATE...
Issued at 1045 PM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026

This section covers the forecast for the rest of tonight. For
latest Area Forecast Discussion addressing the remainder of the
forecast period, see the next section.

Current forecast theme remains in good standing. Warm frontal
boundary draped over the southern reaches of the region will
remain the focus for convection as we head through the evening
into tonight. Better instability remains to our west, with
vigorous convection underway across north-central into northeast
Wisconsin. Strengthening low level jet will drive an expanding
instability axis into areas along and south of M-72. This
particular region will be the primary focus for deeper
convection, while more efficient stratiform rainfall occurs
elsewhere. Severe potential trends are tending to favor southern
and western reaches of the APX footprint, with primary hazards
being hail and gusty winds (some of which could have an
amplified impact with water-logged soils compromising root
integrity on trees).

The biggest story from this episode of convection is most
certainly the flooding potential. Two different modes of
flooding may materialize tonight. For areas north of M-32,
lighter but still efficient stratiform rainfall on saturated
soils and what is left of the snowpack may still lead to
elevated water levels... including the highly sensitive
Cheboygan River basin in far northern lower Michigan, along with
the Chain of Lakes watershed in northwest lower. In general,
this area could see 0.50 to 1.25" of rain by Tuesday morning.

The farther south one goes (M-32 and south), the potential for
repeated rounds of thunderstorms increases considerably.
Torrential rainfall rates may drive a potentially higher end
impact flash flooding event, as soils will fail to absorb all
that water. Low lying and flood prone areas may be subject to
rapid inundation from floodwaters in the event that the worst
case scenario arises... which would be rainfall in excess of
2.50" in a short period of time. In addition... with the
placement of this rainfall potentially encompassing large
portions of the Manistee and Au Sable watersheds, river level
rises may be in order again... even with these rivers already
exceeding record levels. Much to monitor tonight.

Rainfall looks to exit across the board into Tuesday morning.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 128 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Pattern Synopsis:

Continued active pattern consisting of troughing over the western
CONUS and ridging anchored over the eastern seaboard. This will
continue to result in an active, southern stream wave dominant
pattern that leads to numerous disturbances riding into the Great
Lakes region, focused along a stationary boundary draped over
Michigan. A direct Gulf moisture tap will continue to lead to
anomalously moist airmasses moving into Michigan, and thus continues
a heavy rain and thunderstorm threat through the end of the week.
Some signs of a pattern breakdown with cooler weather through the
weekend into next week... with perhaps a brief reprieve from the wet
conditions as well.

Details:

Ongoing convection to continue through roughly daybreak. Warm /
stationary frontal boundary draped from Frankfort to
Harrisville, which will continue to be the focus for deeper
convection. Strong low level jet (LLJ) intrusion driving
elevated convection north into the Tip of the Mitt as well.
Heaviest rainfall rates and severe threat (hail and wind) will
still favor areas near and south of M-32, though with the
ongoing high water situation across the far northern reaches of
northern lower, there will continue to be flooding issues there
as well. Rainfall will diminish into the morning hours, giving a
temporary break to the area.

Dry weather to prevail through Tuesday, with the warm front sliding
just south owing to the ongoing convection. Another wave riding this
front will traverse lower Michigan. With much more instability to
play with, we may be looking at another round of severe storms and
heavy rain... but initial thinking from guidance is that this will
be suppressed downstate for the most part... perhaps scraping the M-
55 corridor. This will be an all hazards type setup, and
unfortunately will have to be refined with time based on where the
warm front goes. Nonetheless... it does appear the farther north one
goes, there should be a lesser risk of rain and thunderstorms later
tonight.

Additional waves of energy will barge through the region and deliver
more rounds of rainfall. Still a bit fuzzy on the details for the
time being... but timing is coming into focus. Additional showers
and storms will be possible south on Wednesday, overspreading much
of northern lower into Wednesday night - Thursday. Another reprieve
likely comes Friday before a larger system passes through the
region, delivering yet another round of rain and thunder Friday
night through Saturday. This will bring about colder temperatures to
the region... with the temperature contrast of colder in eastern
upper and mild / 70s south coming to a conclusion. Highs by Sunday
will be in the 30s to near 40 across the board with snow chances.
The chill will moderate some into midweek next week... with highs
possibly reaching back into the 50s.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 125 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Another round of showers/embedded thunderstorms and MVFR to IFR
producing low cigs/areas of mist will continue to pivot east
across the area early this morning. While showers do end this
morning, low clouds and mist will take until late morning and
afternoon to lift/scour out. Perhaps more MVFR producing cigs
and showers/thunderstorms return again this evening. Some gusty
winds and brief periods of heavy rain are possible with any
stronger storms this morning. Otherwise, winds will remain
light.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for MIZ016>018-020>036-
     041-042-086>088-095-096-099.
MARINE...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...HAD
AVIATION...MSB

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
331 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-086>088-095>099-150745-
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-
Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
331 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for Eastern Upper Michigan and
Northern Lower Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Thunderstorms are possible again tonight, primarily across
northern lower Michigan. Severe storms are possible with the
primary hazard being damaging winds. Large hail will also be
possible, along with potential for a tornado south of M-72.

Heavy rainfall will likely exacerbate high flows on area
watersheds. Localized flooding along inland lakeshores,
riverbanks, and other low-lying areas is possible. Potential for
flash flooding in areas that see torrential rainfall from
thunderstorms south of M-72.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

There is a chance of thunderstorms again Wednesday into Thursday
night. Severe thunderstorms are not expected but a gustier storm
is possible.

Heavy rainfall potential exacerbate high flows on area
watersheds. Localized flooding along inland lakeshores,
riverbanks, and other low-lying areas is possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-150745-
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
331 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for the northern Michigan
nearshore waters of Lake Huron, Lake Michigan and Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Thunderstorms are possible again tonight, primarily across the
nearshore waters off northern lower Michigan. Severe storms are
possible, with primary hazards being gusty winds and large hail
with a low chance for a waterspout.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

There is a chance of thunderstorms again Wednesday into Thursday,
primarily across the nearshore waters off northern lower
Michigan. Severe storms are not expected, but a gustier storm is
possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
330 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0314 AM     Rain             2 SE Traverse City      44.73N 85.57W
04/14/2026  M1.29 Inch       Grand Traverse     MI   ASOS

            ASOS station KTVC Traverse City - Cherry
            Capital Airport.

0312 AM     Rain             2 E Parkdale            44.27N 86.25W
04/14/2026  M1.51 Inch       Manistee           MI   AWOS

            AWOS station KMBL Manistee - Blacker
            Airport.

0308 AM     Rain             4 S Empire              44.76N 86.06W
04/14/2026  M1.35 Inch       Benzie             MI   Mesonet

            Mesonet station SBDM4 Bear.

0223 AM     Rain             1 NE Wellston           44.22N 85.94W
04/14/2026  M1.77 Inch       Manistee           MI   Mesonet

            Mesonet station WLLM4 Wellston.

&&

FEF