Flash Flood Warning 10, NWS Gaylord, MI

144 
WGUS53 KAPX 150458
FFWAPX
MIC031-151400-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FF.W.0010.000000T0000Z-260415T1400Z/
/00000.U.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1258 AM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026

The National Weather Service in Gaylord has extended the

* **UNRELATED TO CURRENT ACTIVITIES AT THE CHEBOYGAN DAM**

Flash Flood Warning for...
A Levee Failure in the Little Black River Watershed in...
Northern Cheboygan County in northern Michigan...

* Until 1000 AM EDT Wednesday.

* At 1258 AM EDT, a failure of a Levee in the Little Black River 
  Watershed continues with flash flooding of immediately surrounding 
  areas. This is unrelated to current activities at the Cheboygan 
  Dam.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding from a levee failure.

  SOURCE...Law enforcement reported.

  IMPACT...Flooding of areas near the levee break.

* US-23 shoreline from approximately Pries Landing south to the 
  Cheboygan River, down to Lincoln St, back along Count St, to 
  Levering Rd, and Inverness Trail, up to the US-23 shoreline.

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  South Br Little Black River, West Br Little Black River, and 
  Little Black River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you are in low lying areas along the Levee Breach of the Little 
Black River Watershed you should move to higher ground immediately. 
Follow evacuation instructions provided by your local emergency 
officials. Do not attempt to drive across flooded roadways.

Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.

Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become 
unstable and unsafe.

&&

LAT...LON 4569 8452 4566 8447 4565 8448 4563 8448
      4565 8453 4568 8452

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
LEVEE FAILURE...OCCURRING

$$

JLD

275 
WGUS73 KAPX 151359
FFSAPX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
959 AM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026

MIC031-151409-
/O.EXP.KAPX.FF.W.0010.000000T0000Z-260415T1400Z/
/00000.U.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cheboygan MI-
959 AM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FAILURE OF LEVEE BREACH OF THE LITTLE 
BLACK RIVER WATERSHED ON THE LITTLE BLACK RIVER WATERSHED AT 10 AM 
EDT THIS MORNING FOR NORTHERN CHEBOYGAN COUNTY HAS BEEN REPLACED 
WITH A FLOOD WARNING...

&&

LAT...LON 4569 8452 4566 8447 4565 8448 4563 8448
      4565 8453 4568 8452

$$

Cornish

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
409 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Ongoing flooding may worsen with additional rain and storms
  this evening and tonight. Heaviest rain expected south of
  M-72, especially along/south of M-55 where 1"+ is possible.

- Strong to severe storms are possible again this evening into
  tonight. Primary hazards will be damaging winds and large
  hail.

- Additional rounds of rain and mild temperatures through this
  week before turning cold late this weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 400 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Pattern Synopsis:

Subtle shortwave/jet max embedded in southwest mid/upper-level flow
will punch overhead this evening and tonight. At the surface, a
stationary boundary draped across the middle of the state and back
across portions of the Midwest will provide the focus for
thunderstorms over the next several hours. Little substantial
airmass change should allow these boundaries to hang across the area
into Thursday before eventually working south. Ridging looks to
slide overhead for a brief time Friday before strong troughing digs
across the central CONUS and Great Lakes this weekend.

Forecast Details:

Primary concern will be another expected round of thunderstorms
later this evening and early tonight. Current confidence is that
storms will fire much further upstream across parts of the Midwest
this afternoon and eventually work east into Michigan -- similar to
last night. That said, expectation is that strongest storms and
heaviest rainfall will track slightly further south than what
was observed last night. Highest threat area for strong storms
and associated heavy rainfall will be south of M-72, and
specifically along and south of M-55. This corridor has the
potential to see additional rainfall totals of 1"+ overnight.
Rainfall amounts taper off from south to north, ranging from
0.25"-0.5" near M-72 to around 0.10" across the Tip of the Mitt.
Locally higher amounts are possible with any stray storms that
track across this area. Any additional rainfall tonight will
only exacerbate ongoing flooding across northern Michigan -- the
magnitude and widespread nature of which is particularly
impressive for the area.

Storms this evening will also carry the potential of producing
severe weather. The most likely corridor of potential strong/severe
storms will also be along/south of M-72 between 8 PM and 1 AM
Wednesday. The primary concerns with any strong storms this evening
on top of additional flooding will be damaging winds and large hail.
Storm chances look to move out a few hours after midnight.

After tonight, patchy dense fog will be possible Wednesday morning
again along with isolated light rain chances through most of the day
before much better rain/storm chances return again late Wednesday
into Thursday. A break in rain chances is anticipated on Friday with
aforementioned ridging before more showers and storms are expected
again on Saturday. Unfortunately for those across impacted flood
areas, additional rain chances will likely only prolong impacts over
the next several days as water levels try to come down. Now for the
exciting part -- after a stretch of mild temperatures in the 60s and
70s, snow chances make a triumphant return on Sunday as temperatures
plunge back into the 20s and 30s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 132 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

General trends point towards bettering conditions (MVFR to high
end IFR) across terminals this afternoon/evening ahead of an
additional wave of showers and thunderstorms expected to pass
through tonight generally after 00z. Conditions will deteriorate
through the night with melting snow creating areas of BR and FG
and showers dropping ceilings and visibilities as well.
Thinking it will be similar to what we saw this morning. Wind
gusts up to 15 knots will be possible through the period (higher
within any stronger storms, especially TVC and MBL).

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...Flood Watch through late Thursday night for MIZ016>018-020>036-
     041-042-086>088-095-096-099.
MARINE...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...DJC
AVIATION...NSC

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
423 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-086>088-095>099-152030-
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-
Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
423 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for Eastern Upper Michigan and
Northern Lower Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Thunderstorms are possible again this evening and tonight,
primarily across northern lower Michigan. Strongest storms are
expected to stay south of M-72 with the primary hazards being
damaging winds and large hail.

Heavy rainfall potential with these storms would worsen ongoing
flooding across impacted areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

There is a chance of thunderstorms again Wednesday into Thursday
morning. Severe thunderstorms are not expected.

Ongoing flooding is expected to continue across parts of northern
Michigan over the next several days as water levels slowly come
down.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is possible this evening and tonight.
Reports of wind damage, hail, and flooding are always
appreciated.

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-152030-
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
423 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for the northern Michigan
nearshore waters of Lake Huron, Lake Michigan and Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Thunderstorms are possible again this evening and tonight,
primarily over the nearshore waters off northern lower Michigan.
Severe storms are possible, with primary hazards being gusty winds
and large hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

There is a chance of thunderstorms again Wednesday into Thursday
morning, primarily over the nearshore waters off northern lower
Michigan.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
221 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0216 PM     Flood            1 WNW Traverse City     44.76N 85.62W
04/14/2026                   Grand Traverse     MI   Public

            Facebook report of high water levels along
            the Boardman River in Downtown Traverse City
            with water over nearby properties.

&&

SJC

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
227 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0225 PM     Flood            2 N Wolverine           45.30N 84.61W
04/14/2026                   Cheboygan          MI   Public

            Numerous Facebook reports of standing water
            against homes and businesses along the
            Sturgeon River near Wolverine.

&&

SJC

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
231 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0228 PM     Flood            Presque Isle            45.31N 83.48W
04/14/2026                   Presque Isle       MI   Public

            Numerous reports along Presque County of
            high water levels and flooding impacting
            multiple roadways. Images and videos show
            roads washed out and water moving over
            roadways.

&&

SJC

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
256 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0254 PM     Flood            2 S Brethren            44.27N 86.01W
04/14/2026                   Manistee           MI   Public

            Report on Facebook of partial soil erosion
            along High Bridge Rd near the Manistee
            River.

&&

SJC

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
257 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0256 PM     Flood            Cadillac                44.25N 85.42W
04/14/2026                   Wexford            MI   Public

            Multiple reports on Facebook of
            standing/high water in the Cadillac area.

&&

SJC

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
259 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0258 PM     Flood            Roscommon               44.50N 84.59W
04/14/2026                   Roscommon          MI   Public

            Reports on Facebook of standing/high water
            across properties near the
            Roscommon/Roscommon County area.

&&

SJC