Flood Watch 7, NWS Tulsa, OK

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
524 PM CDT Sun May 18 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
524 PM CDT Sun May 18 2025

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma.
	ONSET...After 9 PM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
A cluster of severe thunderstorms currently across northwest
Arkansas will move east of the area early this evening. Isolated
thunderstorm development remains possible this evening across
eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas, and if storms do develop,
they will have a high probability of being severe.

The more likely scenario is for severe storms developing across
parts of western Oklahoma to move east and possibly affect parts
of our area by late this evening into the overnight hours. It is
uncertain if these storms will maintain themselves long enough to
make it into eastern Oklahoma, but if they do, all severe hazards
will be possible.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...
         Heavy Rain Potential.
TUESDAY...High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY...No Hazards.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY and SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
The threat for severe weather increases further on Monday.
Unstable air is forecast to overspread the entire area as a
storm system approaches from the west. The degree of forecast
instability and the pattern of the winds aloft suggest the
potential for very large hail, damaging winds, and a few
tornadoes. The higher-end potential on Monday and Monday evening
is forecast to be over most of eastern Oklahoma and northwest
and west central Arkansas.

Low to medium thunderstorm chances, including a limited risk of
severe weather, are reintroduced late this week after a couple of
days of dry weather.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Emergency management and response agencies should be prepared for
severe weather operations for the next couple of days and be
ready to respond to impacts.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
839 PM CDT Sun May 18 2025

OKZ049-053-076-190245-
Choctaw OK-Pushmataha OK-Le Flore OK-
839 PM CDT Sun May 18 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW AND
SOUTHERN LE FLORE COUNTIES THROUGH 945 PM CDT...

At 837 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated strong gusty winds due
to distant thunderstorms across portions of southeast Oklahoma.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects.

Locations in or near the path include...
Ord...                            Octavia...
Snow...                           Rattan...
Fallon...                         Sobol...
Tuskahoma...                      Sawyer...
Frogville...                      Big Cedar...
Hugo Lake State Park...           Darwin...
Stanley...                        Kiamichi...
Whitesboro...                     Kellond...
Unger...                          Eubanks...
Grant...                          Clayton Lake State Park...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3388 9554 3394 9560 3387 9578 3394 9594
      3412 9594 3415 9598 3416 9578 3450 9578
      3451 9567 3459 9567 3468 9506 3483 9445
      3451 9447 3450 9505 3425 9505 3424 9515
      3394 9516 3396 9523 3387 9529 3387 9542
TIME...MOT...LOC 0137Z 257DEG 33KT 3407 9561

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

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