Severe Thunderstorm Warning 142, NWS Topeka, KS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Topeka KS
1211 PM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Several rounds of showers and storms through this evening.
  Heavy rainfall likely this afternoon with localized flooding
  possible especially in northeast and east-central Kansas.

- Some storms may be severe today with hail around 1" and wind
  gusts to 65 MPH, mainly in northeast and east-central Kansas
  in the afternoon.

- More showers and storms Thursday into Friday and again around
  Saturday night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 333 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

Initial band of more robust convection on mid-level moistening and
upglide has exited to the east. Another round of more tame
convection was moving in with the upper wave still upstream and the
cold front through northwest Kansas at 07Z. Precipitation likely
will be at least scattered this morning but become more robust in
the midday to early evening as at least modest instability builds
along the front. The front is somewhat slower and this may bring a
slightly more intense convective scenario to the local area, though
the NAM and GFS seems too strong with MLCAPE values. Still expect
around 1500 J/kg with around 30 knots of deep layer shear ahead of
the front for mainly a wind and hail concern, though a more linear
storm mode with time could lead to brief spin-ups in southeastern
areas. PW values still stay around 2 inches with warm cloud depths
and storm motions not far from paralleling the front so some locally
heavy rainfall is likely in mainly eastern areas. HREF 6-hour QPFs
of 2"+ are rather limited in potential but the setup suggests this
could easily be too modest. The Flood Watch remains appropriate into
this evening.

A dry period should come tonight into Wednesday evening but more
shortwave energy comes in by Thursday afternoon. Deep moisture won't
be far away and PW values push back to around 1.5 inches. The
surface front should remain south but moisture advection/isentropic
lift should support some showers and storms into at least Thursday
evening. There will be training potential again but southern Kansas
into northern Oklahoma seems to be more likely for the heavier
precip. Could see a few stronger storms in southern areas with
MUCAPE approaching 1000 J/kg again but this could be overdone. The
next upper wave remains on track to come in around Saturday
night though details are murky.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1208 PM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

MVFR at all TAF sites through this evening in rain and
thunderstorms. Heavy rain and thunderstorms will continue over
the next several hours at all terminals. A cold front is slowly
progressing southeast across the area. As the front passes
(early this afternoon), thunderstorm chances decrease.
Later this evening rain will come to an end and give way to VFR
conditions.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for KSZ011-KSZ012-KSZ023-
KSZ024-KSZ026-KSZ037-KSZ038-KSZ039-KSZ040-KSZ054-KSZ055-KSZ056-
KSZ058-KSZ059.

&&

DISCUSSION...Poage
AVIATION...Jones

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
349 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-040900-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
349 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
east central Kansas, north central Kansas, and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Periods of showers and thunderstorms are expected today into this
evening. Some of the storms may be severe, with the greatest
potential coming this afternoon in east-central Kansas. Hail
around an inch in diameter and wind gusts up to 65 MPH will be the
main severe weather threats. Some of the storms may also produce
heavy rainfall rates and impact the same location multiple times
that may result in flooding. A Flood Watch is in effect for much
of northeast and east-central Kansas through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to relay reports of hail, damaging
wind, tornadoes and flooding.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Topeka KS
734 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0733 AM     Rain             4 W Emporia             38.40N 96.25W
06/03/2025  M2.60 Inch       Lyon               KS   Broadcast Media

&&

AJ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Topeka KS
1004 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

KSZ054-031530-
Lyon-
1004 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN LYON COUNTY THROUGH
1030 AM CDT...

At 1004 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 13
miles southwest of Olpe, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects. Minor damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Emporia, Americus, and Olpe.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 35 between mile markers 128 and 139.
 Kansas Turnpike between mile markers 117 and 132.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3853 9635 3842 9601 3817 9627 3817 9636
TIME...MOT...LOC 1504Z 213DEG 45KT 3818 9640

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Flanagan

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Topeka KS
1056 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1055 AM     Flash Flood      4 E Garnett             38.28N 95.17W
06/03/2025                   Anderson           KS   Emergency Mngr

            Two water rescues ongoing east of Garnett.

&&

AJ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Topeka KS
1201 PM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

KSZ054-055-058-031730-
Coffey-Lyon-Osage-
1201 PM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN OSAGE...
NORTHWESTERN COFFEY AND CENTRAL LYON COUNTIES THROUGH 1230 PM CDT...

At 1201 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Emporia, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects. Minor damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Emporia, Lebo, Americus, Olpe, Neosho Rapids, Reading, Admire, and
Melvern Lake.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 35 between mile markers 128 and 153.
 Kansas Turnpike between mile markers 122 and 150.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3821 9627 3854 9633 3873 9592 3844 9574
TIME...MOT...LOC 1701Z 230DEG 37KT 3842 9616

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Flanagan

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Topeka KS
1227 PM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

KSZ038-039-054-055-058-031800-
Coffey-Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Lyon-Osage-
1227 PM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN SHAWNEE...
SOUTHEASTERN WABAUNSEE...OSAGE...NORTHWESTERN COFFEY AND NORTHEASTERN
LYON COUNTIES THROUGH 100 PM CDT...

At 1227 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Harveyville to 5 miles southwest of Osage
City to 3 miles west of Lebo. Movement was northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects. Minor damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Southern Topeka, Osage City, Carbondale, Auburn, Overbrook, Lyndon,
Lebo, Burlingame, Scranton, Harveyville, Olivet, Pomona Lake,
Berryton, and Melvern Lake.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 35 between mile markers 143 and 150.
 Kansas Turnpike between mile markers 150 and 170.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3899 9563 3877 9554 3856 9554 3836 9596
      3855 9594 3879 9605
TIME...MOT...LOC 1727Z 231DEG 36KT 3876 9598 3859 9590 3843 9592

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Flanagan

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>