River Flood Warning 16, NWS Topeka, KS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Topeka KS
209 PM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Heavy rain and flooding continue across portions of central
  and eastern Kansas through this evening.

- More showers and storms Thursday into Friday and again around
  Saturday night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 153 PM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

Heavy rain and flooding continue this afternoon across portions
of eastern Kansas. The cold front is currently just northwest of
Topeka and is slowly moving southeast. Ahead of the front,
strong forcing and moisture advection is leading to repeated
rounds of thunderstorms. These thunderstorms are very efficient
rain producers with up to around three inch-an-hour rainfall
rates. Widespread flooding is ongoing from Wichita up through
Kansas City. Several more hours of rain is expected across areas
that already received upwards of 5-7 inches of rain today
(south and east of the Turnpike). The front will finally exit
the area around 7 pm tonight.

A reprieve from the rain is in store for tomorrow with a cool
and dry day. However, this break will be short-lived. Another
round of rain is expected to develop across the central Plains
Thursday into Friday. A more diffuse pattern is expected for
this round compared to the well organized and strongly forced
system we experienced today. But with PWATs still near the
climatological max for this time of year given the continued
Gulf moisture transport, we could see heavy rain once again.
Model guidance varies greatly in timing, location and amount of
rain given the more weakly forced nature of this event, but
around an of rain is possible across portions of central and
eastern Kansas Thursday into Friday. Cooler temperatures (70s to
low 80s) will prevail through the rest of the week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1208 PM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

MVFR at all TAF sites through this evening in rain and
thunderstorms. Heavy rain and thunderstorms will continue over
the next several hours at all terminals. A cold front is slowly
progressing southeast across the area. As the front passes
(early this afternoon), thunderstorm chances decrease.
Later this evening rain will come to an end and give way to VFR
conditions.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for KSZ011-KSZ012-KSZ023-
KSZ024-KSZ026-KSZ037-KSZ038-KSZ039-KSZ040-KSZ054-KSZ055-KSZ056-
KSZ058-KSZ059.

&&

DISCUSSION...Jones
AVIATION...Jones

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
349 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-040900-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
349 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
east central Kansas, north central Kansas, and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Periods of showers and thunderstorms are expected today into this
evening. Some of the storms may be severe, with the greatest
potential coming this afternoon in east-central Kansas. Hail
around an inch in diameter and wind gusts up to 65 MPH will be the
main severe weather threats. Some of the storms may also produce
heavy rainfall rates and impact the same location multiple times
that may result in flooding. A Flood Watch is in effect for much
of northeast and east-central Kansas through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to relay reports of hail, damaging
wind, tornadoes and flooding.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Topeka KS
1004 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

KSZ054-031530-
Lyon-
1004 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN LYON COUNTY THROUGH
1030 AM CDT...

At 1004 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 13
miles southwest of Olpe, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects. Minor damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Emporia, Americus, and Olpe.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 35 between mile markers 128 and 139.
 Kansas Turnpike between mile markers 117 and 132.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3853 9635 3842 9601 3817 9627 3817 9636
TIME...MOT...LOC 1504Z 213DEG 45KT 3818 9640

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Flanagan

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Topeka KS
1056 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1055 AM     Flash Flood      4 E Garnett             38.28N 95.17W
06/03/2025                   Anderson           KS   Emergency Mngr

            Two water rescues ongoing east of Garnett.

&&

AJ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Topeka KS
1201 PM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

KSZ054-055-058-031730-
Coffey-Lyon-Osage-
1201 PM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN OSAGE...
NORTHWESTERN COFFEY AND CENTRAL LYON COUNTIES THROUGH 1230 PM CDT...

At 1201 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Emporia, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects. Minor damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Emporia, Lebo, Americus, Olpe, Neosho Rapids, Reading, Admire, and
Melvern Lake.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 35 between mile markers 128 and 153.
 Kansas Turnpike between mile markers 122 and 150.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3821 9627 3854 9633 3873 9592 3844 9574
TIME...MOT...LOC 1701Z 230DEG 37KT 3842 9616

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Flanagan

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Topeka KS
1227 PM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

KSZ038-039-054-055-058-031800-
Coffey-Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Lyon-Osage-
1227 PM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN SHAWNEE...
SOUTHEASTERN WABAUNSEE...OSAGE...NORTHWESTERN COFFEY AND NORTHEASTERN
LYON COUNTIES THROUGH 100 PM CDT...

At 1227 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Harveyville to 5 miles southwest of Osage
City to 3 miles west of Lebo. Movement was northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects. Minor damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Southern Topeka, Osage City, Carbondale, Auburn, Overbrook, Lyndon,
Lebo, Burlingame, Scranton, Harveyville, Olivet, Pomona Lake,
Berryton, and Melvern Lake.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 35 between mile markers 143 and 150.
 Kansas Turnpike between mile markers 150 and 170.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3899 9563 3877 9554 3856 9554 3836 9596
      3855 9594 3879 9605
TIME...MOT...LOC 1727Z 231DEG 36KT 3876 9598 3859 9590 3843 9592

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Flanagan

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