Alert archive / Tennessee / Tornado Watches in 2025

Tornado Watch 9

February 15, 202524 counties in Kentucky; 26 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 15, 2025, 6:37 PM CST for 24 counties in Kentucky; 26 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 15, 2025, 6:37 PM CST (00:37 UTC)
Expired
Feb 16, 2025, 1:00 AM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 50 counties

Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Barren County, KY, Butler County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Casey County, KY, Christian County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hart County, KY, Logan County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Russell County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Warren County, KY, Bedford County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Clay County, TN, Davidson County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Giles County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Macon County, TN, Marshall County, TN, Maury County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Perry County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Smith County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Wayne County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Ft Campbell radar (KHPX), 35 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 15, 7:08 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHCalloway29 min
Feb 15, 7:25 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCalloway, Trigg35 min
Feb 15, 7:30 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXStewart30 min
Feb 15, 7:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHChristian, Trigg48 min
Feb 15, 7:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXStewart52 min
Feb 15, 8:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXHouston, Humphreys, Stewart43 min
Feb 15, 8:06 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLMKBoyle, Casey, Garrard, Lincoln, Madison, Marion and 1 more114 min
Feb 15, 8:24 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHChristian, Todd36 min
Feb 15, 8:34 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXMontgomery41 min
Feb 15, 8:39 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXHouston, Humphreys51 min
Feb 15, 8:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHChristian, Todd33 min
Feb 15, 9:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCheatham, Dickson, Houston, Montgomery31 min
Feb 15, 9:16 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLMKLogan, Simpson, Warren29 min
Feb 15, 9:46 PM CSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLMKAllen, Butler, Logan, Simpson, Warren6 hr
Feb 15, 9:46 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBarren, Edmonson, Metcalfe, Warren44 min
Feb 15, 9:51 PM CSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLMKAdair, Allen, Barren, Casey, Clinton, Cumberland and 10 more6 hr
Feb 15, 10:10 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLMKAnderson, Boyle, Bullitt, Casey, Clark, Garrard and 13 more5 hr
Feb 15, 10:26 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningOHXCheatham, Davidson, Sumner, Wilson5 hr
Feb 15, 11:25 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningOHXMacon, Sumner, Trousdale4 hr
Feb 15, 11:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXGiles, Lawrence32 min
Feb 16, 12:05 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXBedford, Giles, Marshall40 min
Feb 16, 12:39 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXBedford, Coffee36 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 0.6 hours before the alert went out and 58 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2025-02-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 5 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2025-02-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 590 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
5 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-203 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
708 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
66 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
590 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
660 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

740 
WWUS20 KWNS 160035
SEL9  
SPC WW 160035
KYZ000-TNZ000-160700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 9
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
640 PM CST Sat Feb 15 2025

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  South Central Kentucky
  Middle Tennessee

* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 640 PM
  until 100 AM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Fast-moving thunderstorms over west Tennessee will track
into the watch area this evening, posing a risk of locally damaging
wind gusts and a few tornadoes.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 60 miles southwest of Clarksville TN
to 70 miles east of Bowling Green KY. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 8...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 15, 6:09 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Fulton, Graves and 8 more96 min
Feb 15, 9:13 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Barren, Edmonson, Logan, Metcalfe, Monroe and 2 more62 min
Feb 15, 9:11 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCFranklin, Lincoln, Moore9 hr
Feb 16, 12:51 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley, Hamilton, Marion, Polk114 min
Feb 16, 1:02 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBradley, Hamilton, Marion, Sequatchie7 hr
Feb 16, 1:40 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bledsoe, Blount, Cocke, Cumberland, Jefferson and 9 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2025Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2025Every tornado watch in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.