Alert archive / Tennessee / Mesoscale Discussions in 2025

Mesoscale Discussion 71

February 6, 20254 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 6, 2025, 4:10 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 6, 2025, 4:10 PM CST (22:10 UTC)
Expired
Feb 6, 2025, 6:15 PM CST
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch possible
Chance of a watch
40%
All 88 counties

Allen County, KY, Bell County, KY, Clay County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Knox County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Russell County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Haywood County, NC, Madison County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Swain County, NC, Yancey County, NC, Anderson County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Cannon County, TN, Carter County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Clay County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Cumberland County, TN, Davidson County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Johnson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Macon County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Overton County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Smith County, TN, Sullivan County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Unicoi County, TN, Union County, TN, Van Buren County, TN, Warren County, TN, Washington County, TN, White County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN, Buchanan County, VA, City of Bristol, VA, City of Norton, VA, Dickenson County, VA, Lee County, VA, Russell County, VA, Scott County, VA, Smyth County, VA, Tazewell County, VA, Washington County, VA, Wise County, VA

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 141 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 145 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2025-02-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 426 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2025-02-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 345 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
426 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-28 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
809 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
345 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
388 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.0
Supercell composite
7.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 6, 12:08 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Bell, Butler, Calloway and 36 more2 hr
Feb 6, 4:19 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Bourbon and 61 more86 min
Feb 6, 5:13 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Bell, Boyle, Breathitt and 51 more5 hr
Feb 6, 7:12 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Barren, Breathitt, Casey, Clay, Clinton and 24 more93 min
Feb 6, 8:52 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Clay, Harlan, Knox, Leslie, Letcher and 3 more83 min
Feb 6, 1:21 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalloway, Carlisle, Fulton, Graves, Hickman, McCreary and 1 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2025Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2025Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2025Every mesoscale discussion in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.