Alert archive / Kentucky / Mesoscale Discussions in 2025

Mesoscale Discussion 67

February 6, 202567 counties in Kentucky

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 6, 2025, 4:19 AM CST for 67 counties in Kentucky. It was in force for 86 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 6, 2025, 4:19 AM CST (10:19 UTC)
Expired
Feb 6, 2025, 5:45 AM CST
In force
86 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch possible
Chance of a watch
40%
All 67 counties

Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bath County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Carter County, KY, Casey County, KY, Christian County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clay County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Larue County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Lee County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Logan County, KY, Madison County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Marion County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Todd County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Woodford County, KY

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 183 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2025-02-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 114 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2025-02-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 230 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
114 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-52 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
700 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
230 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
326 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 6, 12:08 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Bell, Butler, Calloway and 36 more2 hr
Feb 6, 5:13 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Bell, Boyle, Breathitt and 51 more5 hr
Feb 6, 7:12 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Barren, Breathitt, Casey, Clay, Clinton and 24 more93 min
Feb 6, 8:52 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Clay, Harlan, Knox, Leslie, Letcher and 3 more83 min
Feb 6, 1:21 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalloway, Carlisle, Fulton, Graves, Hickman, McCreary and 1 more2 hr
Feb 6, 4:10 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Bell, Clay, Clinton, Cumberland, Harlan and 13 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2025Every mesoscale discussion in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.