Alert archive / Kentucky / Mesoscale Discussions in 2025

Mesoscale Discussion 65

February 6, 202542 counties in Kentucky; 42 counties in Tennessee; Lee County, Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 6, 2025, 12:08 AM CST for 42 counties in Kentucky; 42 counties in Tennessee; Lee County, Virginia. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 6, 2025, 12:08 AM CST (06:08 UTC)
Expired
Feb 6, 2025, 2:15 AM CST
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch possible
Chance of a watch
40%
All 85 counties

Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bell County, KY, Butler County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Casey County, KY, Christian County, KY, Clay County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Graves County, KY, Green County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Hart County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Knox County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Logan County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Russell County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Warren County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Anderson County, TN, Benton County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Cannon County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Clay County, TN, Cumberland County, TN, Davidson County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Henry County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Macon County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Overton County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Scott County, TN, Smith County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Union County, TN, Weakley County, TN, White County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN, Lee County, VA

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 6.1 hours before the alert went out and 69 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2025-02-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 114 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2025-02-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 230 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
114 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-52 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
700 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
230 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
326 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 6, 4:19 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Bourbon and 61 more86 min
Feb 6, 5:13 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Bell, Boyle, Breathitt and 51 more5 hr
Feb 6, 7:12 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Barren, Breathitt, Casey, Clay, Clinton and 24 more93 min
Feb 6, 8:52 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Clay, Harlan, Knox, Leslie, Letcher and 3 more83 min
Feb 6, 1:21 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalloway, Carlisle, Fulton, Graves, Hickman, McCreary and 1 more2 hr
Feb 6, 4:10 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Bell, Clay, Clinton, Cumberland, Harlan and 13 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2025Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2025Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2025Every mesoscale discussion in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.