Tornado Warning 53, NWS Springfield, MO

538 
WWUS53 KSGF 302314
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
614 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

MOC215-302330-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0053.000000T0000Z-250430T2330Z/
Texas MO-
614 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS COUNTY...

At 614 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 10 miles east of Cabool, or 11 miles south of Houston,
moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Elk Creek, Solo, and Houston.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3717 9202 3733 9196 3719 9171 3712 9190
TIME...MOT...LOC 2314Z 211DEG 24KT 3716 9191 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

Nelson

233 
WWUS53 KSGF 302326
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
626 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

MOC215-302335-
/O.EXP.KSGF.TO.W.0053.000000T0000Z-250430T2330Z/
Texas MO-
626 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
630 PM CDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

&&

LAT...LON 3717 9202 3733 9196 3719 9171 3712 9190
TIME...MOT...LOC 2325Z 211DEG 24KT 3722 9186 

$$

Nelson

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
202 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Flood Watch continues through 7 AM Thursday with another round
  of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon into tonight.

- Shower and thunderstorm chances continue during the day
  Thursday. Therefore, any lingering flood impacts may continue
  for areas receiving more heavy rainfall.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 201 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

Synoptic overview and current conditions:  Water vapor imagery and
upper level analysis show a large scale trough shifting into the
central and southern plains, and another shortwave trough
shifting southeast across Montana and northwest Wyoming.
Regional radar shows a thunderstorm complex over eastern
Oklahoma into Texas shifting east northeast, with the northern
edge of precipitation shifting into southwest Missouri. A
stationary boundary was located along the MO/AR border.
Temperatures were ranging from the mid 60s to mid 70s with the
warmer conditions in areas across southern Missouri which have
broken out of the cloud cover.

Rest of this afternoon into tonight: The thunderstorm complex
should continue shifting east-northeast with the northern
portions of this pushing across mostly southern Missouri within
our CWA. Some instability has crept into far southern Missouri
and will need to monitor this area for potential strong to
severe wind gusts. Can't entirely rule out a brief spin-up
tornado given near the surface front. The better severe weather
chances will occur further south of the CWA within a higher area
of instability. CAMS shift the majority of this convection to
the east of the CWA by 04-06z, so most of the precipitation will
occur in the remainder of the afternoon and evening. During the
overnight hours, the southern/central plains shortwave should
shift into the area. Pops will continue, but should be lower
behind the MCS. We are expecting low stratus to build into the
area overnight tonight.

Thursday-Thursday night: The shortwave will continue to lift
northeast through the area while the northern stream system will
drop southeast into the mid and upper Mississippi valley
regions. Additional rain chances will continue through Thursday
night, however the risk for the heavy rain/flood potential
should come to an end by Thursday morning.

Will continue the flood watch through 7 AM Thursday.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 201 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

The upper trough will then begin to shift into the area from the
northwest on Friday into Friday night. This will keep at least
low pops in the forecast through Friday night. Differences are
showing up in how the trough is handled over the weekend. Some
of the models start to cut off the low east of the area and may
linger low precipitation chances over the area through the
weekend. Some of the models are pushing a more progressive
trough trough which would keep generally dry conditions in
through the weekend as high pressure builds into the area. We
will likely keep in some low pops in at least our eastern CWA
through the weekend and diminish pops below 15% over the west.

We should get some upper level ridging in between two trough
axis early next week with a dry and slightly warmer
temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1209 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

For the 18z TAFS, a thunderstorm complex was over eastern
Oklahoma and will continue to lift northeast and into southern
Missouri this afternoon and evening. Will likely see MVFR
within the convection. The convection should clear east of the
TAF sites by 02z and then stratus builds back into the area
overnight with MVFR and IFR conditions. Some of the winds within
the convection may gust up to 45 to 50 kts.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Flood Watch through Thursday morning for KSZ073-097-101.
MO...Flood Watch through Thursday morning for MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

&&

SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Lindenberg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
208 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-011915-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
208 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Marginal tornado risk.
  Marginal hail risk.
  Marginal thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Elevated excessive rainfall risk

DISCUSSION...

A thunderstorm complex will move into the area this afternoon and
evening, with a risk of heavy rainfall and potentially some
localized flooding. In addition, some of the stronger storms will
be capable of hail to the size of quarters, damaging wind gusts in
excess of 60 mph and a low end risk of a spin-up tornado.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Additional scattered showers and thunderstorms will bring
more rainfall and lightning risk to the region through Thursday
into the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Lindenberg

Preliminary Local Storm Report...Corrected
National Weather Service Springfield MO
121 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 S Aurora              36.96N 93.72W
04/29/2025                   Lawrence           MO   Public

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 1
            S Aurora for time. Facebook photo of
            significant roof damage to Aurora Church of
            Christ. Time based on radar.

&&

TEO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
426 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

MOZ066-077-088-093-101-302200-
Vernon MO-Barton MO-Jasper MO-Newton MO-McDonald MO-
426 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT BARTON...NEWTON...WESTERN
MCDONALD...SOUTHEASTERN VERNON AND JASPER COUNTIES THROUGH 500 PM
CDT...

At 425 PM CDT, weather observation equipment measured strong winds
along a line extending from near Sheldon to Duquesne to near Lanagan.
Movement was northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Weather instruments.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Fidelity, Duquesne, Sarcoxie, Lamar Heights, Carthage, Fairview,
Joplin, Prairie State Park, South West City, Iron Gates, Racine,
Neosho, Boston, Atlas, Oakton, Seneca, Golden City, Nashville,
Ritchey, and Brooklyn Heights.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 44 between mile markers 0 and 30.
 Interstate 49 between mile markers 4 and 77.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3650 9462 3761 9462 3770 9407 3735 9409
      3680 9407 3650 9459
TIME...MOT...LOC 2125Z 229DEG 34KT 3761 9423 3709 9445 3662 9441

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Nelson

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
450 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Dmg Baxter Springs          37.02N 94.74W
04/30/2025                   Cherokee           KS   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Baxter Springs Fire Department measured 53
            mph non-thunderstorm wind gust and has
            received reports of trees and power lines
            down.

&&

Titus

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
452 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 NE Airport Drive      37.15N 94.50W
04/30/2025                   Jasper             MO   ASOS

            KJLN ASOS measured a peak non-thunderstorm
            wind gust of 60 mph.

&&

Titus

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
536 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0527 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Dmg Mount Vernon            37.10N 93.82W
04/30/2025                   Lawrence           MO   911 Call Center

            Large tree down due to non-thunderstorm wind
            damage.

&&

Titus

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
537 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0527 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 N Monett              36.93N 93.93W
04/30/2025                   Barry              MO   Public

            Non-thunderstorm wind gust downed a tree on
            powerlines.

&&

Titus