Severe Thunderstorm Warning 151, NWS Springfield, MO

393 
WWUS53 KSGF 302154
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
454 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

MOC067-153-213-302215-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0151.000000T0000Z-250430T2215Z/
Ozark MO-Douglas MO-Taney MO-
454 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN OZARK...SOUTHWESTERN DOUGLAS AND NORTHEASTERN TANEY
COUNTIES...

At 453 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 13 miles east of
Taneyville, or 15 miles southwest of Ava, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Brownbranch and Rome.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3670 9279 3675 9290 3688 9287 3679 9263
TIME...MOT...LOC 2153Z 207DEG 29KT 3675 9280 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Nelson

722 
WWUS53 KSGF 302205
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
505 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

MOC067-153-213-302215-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0151.000000T0000Z-250430T2215Z/
Ozark MO-Douglas MO-Taney MO-
505 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN OZARK...
SOUTHWESTERN DOUGLAS AND NORTHEASTERN TANEY COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT
515 PM CDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will
be allowed to expire.

&&

LAT...LON 3670 9279 3675 9290 3688 9287 3679 9263
TIME...MOT...LOC 2205Z 207DEG 29KT 3683 9275 

$$

Nelson

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
202 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Flood Watch continues through 7 AM Thursday with another round
  of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon into tonight.

- Shower and thunderstorm chances continue during the day
  Thursday. Therefore, any lingering flood impacts may continue
  for areas receiving more heavy rainfall.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 201 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

Synoptic overview and current conditions:  Water vapor imagery and
upper level analysis show a large scale trough shifting into the
central and southern plains, and another shortwave trough
shifting southeast across Montana and northwest Wyoming.
Regional radar shows a thunderstorm complex over eastern
Oklahoma into Texas shifting east northeast, with the northern
edge of precipitation shifting into southwest Missouri. A
stationary boundary was located along the MO/AR border.
Temperatures were ranging from the mid 60s to mid 70s with the
warmer conditions in areas across southern Missouri which have
broken out of the cloud cover.

Rest of this afternoon into tonight: The thunderstorm complex
should continue shifting east-northeast with the northern
portions of this pushing across mostly southern Missouri within
our CWA. Some instability has crept into far southern Missouri
and will need to monitor this area for potential strong to
severe wind gusts. Can't entirely rule out a brief spin-up
tornado given near the surface front. The better severe weather
chances will occur further south of the CWA within a higher area
of instability. CAMS shift the majority of this convection to
the east of the CWA by 04-06z, so most of the precipitation will
occur in the remainder of the afternoon and evening. During the
overnight hours, the southern/central plains shortwave should
shift into the area. Pops will continue, but should be lower
behind the MCS. We are expecting low stratus to build into the
area overnight tonight.

Thursday-Thursday night: The shortwave will continue to lift
northeast through the area while the northern stream system will
drop southeast into the mid and upper Mississippi valley
regions. Additional rain chances will continue through Thursday
night, however the risk for the heavy rain/flood potential
should come to an end by Thursday morning.

Will continue the flood watch through 7 AM Thursday.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 201 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

The upper trough will then begin to shift into the area from the
northwest on Friday into Friday night. This will keep at least
low pops in the forecast through Friday night. Differences are
showing up in how the trough is handled over the weekend. Some
of the models start to cut off the low east of the area and may
linger low precipitation chances over the area through the
weekend. Some of the models are pushing a more progressive
trough trough which would keep generally dry conditions in
through the weekend as high pressure builds into the area. We
will likely keep in some low pops in at least our eastern CWA
through the weekend and diminish pops below 15% over the west.

We should get some upper level ridging in between two trough
axis early next week with a dry and slightly warmer
temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1209 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

For the 18z TAFS, a thunderstorm complex was over eastern
Oklahoma and will continue to lift northeast and into southern
Missouri this afternoon and evening. Will likely see MVFR
within the convection. The convection should clear east of the
TAF sites by 02z and then stratus builds back into the area
overnight with MVFR and IFR conditions. Some of the winds within
the convection may gust up to 45 to 50 kts.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Flood Watch through Thursday morning for KSZ073-097-101.
MO...Flood Watch through Thursday morning for MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

&&

SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Lindenberg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
208 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-011915-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
208 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Marginal tornado risk.
  Marginal hail risk.
  Marginal thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Elevated excessive rainfall risk

DISCUSSION...

A thunderstorm complex will move into the area this afternoon and
evening, with a risk of heavy rainfall and potentially some
localized flooding. In addition, some of the stronger storms will
be capable of hail to the size of quarters, damaging wind gusts in
excess of 60 mph and a low end risk of a spin-up tornado.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Additional scattered showers and thunderstorms will bring
more rainfall and lightning risk to the region through Thursday
into the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Lindenberg

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1044 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0935 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 SW Strafford          37.25N 93.16W
04/29/2025                   Greene             MO   Public

            Delayed report. Branches down even some
            trees down. Only one critical damage spotted
            so far was one shed destroyed by fallen
            trees.

&&

TEO

Preliminary Local Storm Report...Corrected
National Weather Service Springfield MO
121 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 S Aurora              36.96N 93.72W
04/29/2025                   Lawrence           MO   Public

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 1
            S Aurora for time. Facebook photo of
            significant roof damage to Aurora Church of
            Christ. Time based on radar.

&&

TEO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
426 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

MOZ066-077-088-093-101-302200-
Vernon MO-Barton MO-Jasper MO-Newton MO-McDonald MO-
426 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT BARTON...NEWTON...WESTERN
MCDONALD...SOUTHEASTERN VERNON AND JASPER COUNTIES THROUGH 500 PM
CDT...

At 425 PM CDT, weather observation equipment measured strong winds
along a line extending from near Sheldon to Duquesne to near Lanagan.
Movement was northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Weather instruments.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Fidelity, Duquesne, Sarcoxie, Lamar Heights, Carthage, Fairview,
Joplin, Prairie State Park, South West City, Iron Gates, Racine,
Neosho, Boston, Atlas, Oakton, Seneca, Golden City, Nashville,
Ritchey, and Brooklyn Heights.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 44 between mile markers 0 and 30.
 Interstate 49 between mile markers 4 and 77.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3650 9462 3761 9462 3770 9407 3735 9409
      3680 9407 3650 9459
TIME...MOT...LOC 2125Z 229DEG 34KT 3761 9423 3709 9445 3662 9441

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Nelson