Alert archive / Tennessee / River Flood Warnings in 2025

River Flood Warning 3, NWS Nashville, TN

February 15, 2025Montgomery County, Tennessee

NWS Nashville, TN issued this river flood warning at Feb 15, 2025, 2:59 PM CST for Montgomery County, Tennessee. It took effect at Feb 15, 2025, 10:06 PM CST. It was in force for 71 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Feb 15, 2025, 2:59 PM CST (20:59 UTC)
In effect from: Feb 15, 2025, 10:06 PM CST
Expired: Feb 18, 2025, 8:49 PM CST
In force: 71 hr
Issued by: NWS Nashville, TN
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Moderate

County Montgomery County, TN

The radar

The Ft Campbell radar (KHPX), 28 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Cumberland River at Clarksville (CKVT1).

Action stage: 40 ft
Minor stage: 46 ft
Moderate stage: 50 ft
Major stage: 55 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03436500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 15, 11:16 AM CST, 3 hours 43 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

Updated at 1116 AM CST Sat Feb 15 2025
Significant flooding (both river and flash flooding) is expected in middle Tennessee today, mainly in northwestern middle Tennessee.
Severe weather is expected this evening into tonight. Main impacts are damaging winds and tornadoes, with the greatest threat area west of I-24.
Temperatures plummet next week, with a chance for snow entering the forecast. Confidence is on the low side with specifics currently.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 15, 11:16 AM CST, 3 hours 43 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1116 AM CST Sat Feb 15 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1116 AM CST Sat Feb 15 2025

- Significant flooding (both river and flash flooding) is expected
  in middle Tennessee today, mainly in northwestern middle
  Tennessee.

- Severe weather is expected this evening into tonight. Main
  impacts are damaging winds and tornadoes, with the greatest
  threat area west of I-24.

- Temperatures plummet next week, with a chance for snow entering
  the forecast. Confidence is on the low side with specifics
  currently.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Sunday)
Issued at 1116 AM CST Sat Feb 15 2025

Rain has been falling already for most of the morning in middle
Tennessee, with some thunderstorms embedded in these warm frontal
showers. This axis of precipitation is expected to shift more NW as
the stationary front to our north wobbles throughout the day. This
will leave a period of clearing for our potential severe threat this
evening. As the low pressure system approaches from the west, moist
dewpoints are expected to drive north into Tennessee. With the surge
of moisture, the instability axis in current guidance also appears
to be further north than previous guidance. The LLJ continues to be
screaming its presence over the state with wind speeds of 70 knots,
providing ample shear into the setup. Considering that instability
is the parameter I was least confident on yesterday, I would say
that the severe threat overall has increased. This is reflected by
the enhanced risk now touching portions of Humphreys, Perry, and
Wayne counties this afternoon and evening. Main impacts I am
concerned about would be damaging wind gusts up to 70 MPH possible
and tornadoes. These would be greatest in any discrete cells that
form in the warm sector ahead of the cold front this evening, but we
cannot rule out QLCS tornadoes with such a stout cold front
approaching a favorable environment. Expect for the severe weather
to begin in the west around 4PM, and exiting middle Tennessee in the
early morning hours Sunday. With a nocturnal severe threat, remember
to have multiple ways of receiving warnings and be weather aware.

Another layer of complexity to this threat today is the flooding
risk. The moist airmass continues to crank out rainfall totals
exceeding expectations this morning, with some locations in the
north already receiving 3 inches of precipitation. As the front
wobbles, highest QPF will shift to the northwestern area of middle
Tennessee. Rainfall totals in this area are expected to be in the
range of 5 to 7 inches, with areas north of I-40 looking at 3 to 5
inches of accumulation. The remaining areas south of I-40 can expect
1 to 3 inches of rainfall. We already have several flash flood and
flood products out this morning, and expect to continue to be
issuing those. Remember in flooding, if you encounter areas of
moving or standing water on your commute, TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN!
Rainfall should dwindle as the cold front pushes through Tennessee
tonight into early Sunday.

Behind this stout cold front, temperatures will fall so rapidly that
it is possible to see some flurries or wintry mix with wrap-around
moisture after the rain has passed. We are not expecting any
accumulations or impacts with this wintry precipitation.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1116 AM CST Sat Feb 15 2025

We will (thankfully) have an opportunity to dry out into mid week
with quiet weather but chilly temperatures with highs in the 30s and
40s. Our next chance for precipitation comes in the form of wintry
precipitation mid-week. Guidance continues to come into agreement
about the potential for accumulating snowfall in middle Tennessee
next week,  with another cold front that will plunge our
temperatures even further below normal. In regards to the snow,
confidence is low in specifics currently, so stay tuned to the
forecast as it becomes more clear in guidance.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1103 AM CST Sat Feb 15 2025

LIFR/IFR conditions expected across the area with moderate to
heavy rain. There will be some breaks for BNA/MQY/SRB/CSV this
afternoon when MVFR conditions could occur. These will be short
lived.

A strong cold front will push through middle TN this evening and
overnight. LLWS has been mentioned in the TAFs along with winds
gusts to 25-30 kts. Winds will start out southerly and veer to the
northwest as the cold front approaches by 16/12Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      68  37  45  23 / 100 100  10   0
Clarksville    64  33  38  21 / 100 100  10   0
Crossville     59  34  51  19 /  80 100  40   0
Columbia       67  35  46  23 /  80 100  10   0
Cookeville     62  35  51  21 /  90 100  40   0
Jamestown      60  33  51  19 / 100 100  40   0
Lawrenceburg   66  37  48  23 /  60 100  10   0
Murfreesboro   67  36  49  22 /  90 100  10   0
Waverly        65  32  39  21 / 100 100  10   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Sunday morning for TNZ005>011-023>034-
056>066-075-077>080-093>095.

Wind Advisory from midnight tonight to noon CST Sunday for
TNZ011-032>034-065-066-077>080.

&&

SHORT TERM...Holley
LONG TERM....Holley
AVIATION.....99

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 15, 12:42 PM CST, 2 hours 17 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1242 PM CST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 AM     Flash Flood      Clarksville             36.56N 87.35W
02/15/2025                   Montgomery         TN   Public

            Social Media picture of water over the
            roadway with a car struck on Saratoga Drive.
            Time is estimated.

&&

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Local storm report, Feb 15, 12:46 PM CST, 2 hours 13 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1246 PM CST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1145 AM     Flash Flood      5 SW Woodlawn           36.49N 87.56W
02/15/2025                   Montgomery         TN   Public

            Social media picture of water covering a
            field.

&&

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Local storm report, Feb 15, 12:52 PM CST, 2 hours 7 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1252 PM CST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1145 AM     Flash Flood      Portland                36.59N 86.52W
02/15/2025                   Sumner             TN   Emergency Mngr

            EM reported numerous roads in and around
            Portland covered with water and closed. Jim
            Courtney Rd; KDF Bridge; Highway 259.

&&

fb

Local storm report, Feb 15, 1:08 PM CST, 1 hour 51 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
108 PM CST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     Flash Flood      1 NNE Gallatin          36.39N 86.45W
02/15/2025                   Sumner             TN   Public

            EM reported several roads with water over
            them and closed due to flooding. Lower
            Station Camp Creek Rd; Liberty LN, Carellton
            Dr.

&&

fb

Local storm report, Feb 15, 1:27 PM CST, 1 hour 32 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
127 PM CST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0127 PM     Flash Flood      9 ESE Livingston        36.32N 85.18W
02/15/2025                   Overton            TN   Public

            EM reported water over the roadway.

&&

fb

Local storm report, Feb 15, 1:28 PM CST, 1 hour 31 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
128 PM CST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0116 PM     Rain             5 NW Gallatin           36.44N 86.51W
02/15/2025  M2.26 Inch       Sumner             TN   Public

            Public report of 2.26 inches of measured
            rainfall.

&&

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Nashville, TN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Feb 15, 1:36 AM CST	Wind Advisory	OHX	Cannon, Coffee, Cumberland, DeKalb, Fentress, Grundy and 9 more	34 hr
Feb 15, 2:54 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	OHX	Cheatham, Dickson, Houston, Montgomery, Robertson, Stewart	3 hr
Feb 15, 5:14 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	OHX	Montgomery, Robertson, Stewart	7 hr
Feb 15, 6:28 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	OHX	Robertson, Sumner	4 hr
Feb 15, 7:34 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	OHX	Davidson, Sumner, Trousdale, Wilson	25 min
Feb 15, 7:51 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	OHX	Robertson, Sumner	10 hr
Feb 15, 7:59 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	OHX	Davidson, Sumner, Trousdale, Wilson	6 hr
Feb 15, 8:38 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	OHX	Davidson, Rutherford, Smith, Trousdale, Wilson	3 hr
Feb 15, 8:42 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	OHX	Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Houston, Montgomery, Robertson and 1 more	3 hr
Feb 15, 8:50 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	OHX	Macon, Robertson, Sumner, Trousdale	9 hr
Feb 15, 8:52 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	OHX	Clay, Fentress, Jackson, Overton, Pickett	3 hr
Feb 15, 8:55 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	OHX	Stewart	6 hr
Feb 15, 10:21 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	OHX	Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Houston, Humphreys, Montgomery and 2 more	3 hr
Feb 15, 10:40 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	OHX	Cumberland, DeKalb, Fentress, Jackson, Overton, Putnam and 1 more	6 hr
Feb 15, 11:32 AM CST	River Flood Advisory	OHX	Davidson	5 days
Feb 15, 11:35 AM CST	River Flood Advisory	OHX	Decatur, Hardin, Perry, Wayne	6 days
Feb 15, 11:38 AM CST	River Flood Advisory	OHX	Cheatham	31 hr
Feb 15, 11:46 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	OHX	Clay, Fentress, Jackson, Overton, Pickett	5 hr
Feb 15, 12:03 PM CST	River Flood Advisory	OHX	Davidson	4 days
Feb 15, 12:06 PM CST	River Flood Warning	OHX	Stewart	3 days
Feb 15, 12:12 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning Considerable damage threat	OHX	Cheatham, Houston, Montgomery, Robertson, Stewart	17 hr
Feb 15, 12:12 PM CST	River Flood Warning	OHX	Montgomery, Robertson	63 hr
Feb 15, 1:24 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	OHX	Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Houston, Humphreys, Montgomery and 2 more	5 hr
Feb 15, 1:46 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	OHX	Davidson, Macon, Sumner, Trousdale, Wilson	3 hr
Feb 15, 5:45 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	OHX	Cheatham, Dickson, Houston, Humphreys, Montgomery	11 hr
Feb 15, 5:46 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	OHX	Cheatham, Davidson, Robertson, Sumner	11 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Tennessee, 2025 Every river flood warning in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.