River Flood Warning 13, NWS Morristown, TN

392 
WGUS84 KMRX 152257
FLSMRX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
557 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Tennessee...Virginia...

  Powell River Near Jonesville VA affecting Hancock and Lee 
  Counties.

For the Powell River...including Jonesville VA...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Sunday morning at 900 AM EST.

&&

TNC067-VAC105-161400-
/O.EXT.KMRX.FL.W.0013.250216T0218Z-250216T2100Z/
/JNSV2.1.ER.250216T0218Z.250216T0600Z.250216T1500Z.NO/
557 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO TOMORROW 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Powell River near Jonesville VA.

* WHEN...From this evening to tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, The river invades several fields and 
  reaches a few farm buildings.
  At 21.0 feet, Low lying sections of Cooney Hollow Road and Route 
  783 are affected and some private driveways are flooded. The 
  driveway to a dwelling just upstream from Hurricane Bridge Road 
  bridge on the left bank begins to flood. The gravel parking area 
  for the Poteet Ferry Public Access beneath the Hwy 58 bridge 
  begins to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 4:00 PM EST Saturday the stage was 11.3 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this evening to a crest of 20.4 feet just after midnight
    tonight. It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3653 8339 3658 8344 3671 8310 3686 8285
      3680 8282 3666 8302


$$

GC

154 
WGUS84 KMRX 160153
FLSMRX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
853 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Tennessee...Virginia...

  Powell River Near Jonesville VA affecting Hancock and Lee 
  Counties.

For the Powell River...including Jonesville VA, Arthur TN...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Sunday afternoon at noon EST.

&&

TNC067-VAC105-161700-
/O.EXT.KMRX.FL.W.0013.250216T0153Z-250217T1016Z/
/JNSV2.1.ER.250215T2352Z.250216T1200Z.250217T0416Z.NO/
853 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO EARLY MONDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Powell River near Jonesville VA.

* WHEN...From this evening to early Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 21.0 feet, Low lying sections of Cooney Hollow Road 
  and Route 783 are affected and some private driveways are flooded. 
  The driveway to a dwelling just upstream from Hurricane Bridge 
  Road bridge on the left bank begins to flood. The gravel parking 
  area for the Poteet Ferry Public Access beneath the Hwy 58 bridge 
  begins to flood.
  At 25.0 feet, A few homes are slightly affected and about 100 
  acres are flooded. The gravel parking lot for the Flanary Bridge 
  Boat Launch Access begins to flood. The residence just upstream 
  from Hurricane Bridge Road bridge on the left bank is at risk of 
  taking water and the driveway is inundated with several feet of 
  water.
  At 30.0 feet, About a half dozen isolated homes along the river 
  are affected and 200 acres around Highway 70 are flooded.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 PM EST Saturday the stage was 18.3 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:00 PM EST Saturday was 18.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.7
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    late tomorrow evening.
  - Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3653 8339 3658 8344 3671 8310 3686 8285
      3680 8282 3666 8302


$$

GC

059 
WGUS84 KMRX 161249
FLSMRX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
749 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  Clinch River At Cleveland VA affecting Wise, Scott and Russell 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Tennessee...Virginia...

  Clinch River Above Tazewell TN affecting Claiborne, Grainger and 
  Hancock Counties.

  North Fork Holston River Near Gate City VA affecting Hawkins, 
  Sullivan and Scott Counties.

  Powell River Near Jonesville VA affecting Lee and Hancock 
  Counties.

  Powell River Near Arthur TN affecting Union and Claiborne 
  Counties.

For the Clinch River...including Cleveland VA, Speers Ferry VA, 
Tazewell TN, NORRIS DAM TAILWATER, NORRIS DAM RESERVOIR, MELTON HILL 
DAM RESERVOIR, MELTON HILL DAM TAILWATER...Moderate flooding is 
forecast.
For the North Fork Holston River...including Gate City VA...Moderate 
flooding is forecast.
For the Powell River...including Jonesville VA, Arthur TN...Major 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 1100 PM EST.

&&

TNC073-163-VAC169-170400-
/O.EXT.KMRX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-250217T2008Z/
/GATV2.2.ER.250216T0734Z.250216T1800Z.250217T1408Z.NO/
749 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...North Fork Holston River near Gate City VA.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 10.0 feet, Caution stage.
  At 12.0 feet, Water begins to cover River Road and some low lying 
  county roads.
  At 14.0 feet, Flooding begins on North Holston River Drive beneath 
  the West Carters Valley Road bridge. County Road 614 is cut off 1 
  1/2 miles downstream from the Highway 23 bridge.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:15 AM EST Sunday the stage was 13.7 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:15 AM EST Sunday was 13.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 15.5
    feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late
    tomorrow morning.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3641 8283 3651 8288 3673 8235 3662 8233


$$

TNC067-VAC105-170400-
/O.EXT.KMRX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-250217T1000Z/
/JNSV2.1.ER.250215T2352Z.250216T1100Z.250217T0400Z.NO/
749 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Powell River near Jonesville VA.

* WHEN...Until late tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, The river invades several fields and 
  reaches a few farm buildings.
  At 21.0 feet, Low lying sections of Cooney Hollow Road and Route 
  783 are affected and some private driveways are flooded. The 
  driveway to a dwelling just upstream from Hurricane Bridge Road 
  bridge on the left bank begins to flood. The gravel parking area 
  for the Poteet Ferry Public Access beneath the Hwy 58 bridge 
  begins to flood.
  At 25.0 feet, A few homes are slightly affected and about 100 
  acres are flooded. The gravel parking lot for the Flanary Bridge 
  Boat Launch Access begins to flood. The residence just upstream 
  from Hurricane Bridge Road bridge on the left bank is at risk of 
  taking water and the driveway is inundated with several feet of 
  water.
  At 30.0 feet, About a half dozen isolated homes along the river 
  are affected and 200 acres around Highway 70 are flooded.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:00 AM EST Sunday the stage was 28.1 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 6:00 AM EST Sunday was 28.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late this evening and continue falling to 3.6 feet Friday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3653 8339 3658 8344 3671 8310 3686 8285
      3680 8282 3666 8302


$$

VAC167-169-195-170400-
/O.EXT.KMRX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-250217T1315Z/
/CLVV2.2.ER.250215T2242Z.250216T0800Z.250217T0715Z.NO/
749 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Clinch River at Cleveland VA.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Flooding affects the pumping station for 
  the water treatment plant.
  At 16.0 feet, Approximately 10 acres are flooded, including at the 
  ballpark.
  At 18.0 feet, Water begins to affect a few houses immediately 
  along the river downstream from the ballpark, flooding 
  approximately 25 acres. The ballpark is mostly inundated.
  At 19.0 feet, Water affects a few houses both on Main Street and 
  adjacent to the ballpark entrance, and approximately 35 acres 
  about two miles up- and downstream from the Highway 82 bridge.
  At 21.0 feet, The water treatment plant and several houses are 
  flooded, along with about 100 acres in the area around Cleveland.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:00 AM EST Sunday the stage was 20.1 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 6:00 AM EST Sunday was 20.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    just after midnight tonight and continue falling to 4.6 feet
    Friday morning.
  - Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3680 8247 3687 8251 3707 8185 3700 8182


$$

TNC025-173-170400-
/O.EXT.KMRX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-250218T1543Z/
/ARTT1.3.ER.250216T0157Z.250217T1200Z.250218T0943Z.NO/
749 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Powell River near Arthur TN.

* WHEN...Until late Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 15.0 feet, Action stage.
  At 17.0 feet, Minor flooding begins.
  At 20.0 feet, Water covers roads along both banks of the river.
  At 25.0 feet, Parking lot of restaurant along the river upstream 
  from the gage floods. Flooding also of recreation rental 
  structures nearby.
  At 29.5 feet, Water might begin to enter the restaurant along the 
  river upstream from the gage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:15 AM EST Sunday the stage was 18.8 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 17.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:15 AM EST Sunday was 18.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 29.0
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3658 8344 3651 8337 3649 8360 3637 8382
      3643 8388 3657 8365


$$

TNC025-057-067-170400-
/O.EXT.KMRX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-250218T2200Z/
/TAZT1.2.ER.250214T1215Z.250217T1200Z.250218T1600Z.NO/
749 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Clinch River above Tazewell TN.

* WHEN...Until Tuesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 10.0 feet, Action stage.
  At 12.0 feet, Flooding of pasture land near Grissom Island begins. 
  The city of Tazewell, Tennessee is not affected by flooding of the 
  Clinch River.
  At 13.0 feet, The road within a quarter mile of the gage begins to 
  flood.
  At 16.0 feet, Extensive flooding of pasture land around Grissom 
  Island occurs. The city of Tazewell, Tennessee is not affected by 
  flooding of the Clinch River.
  At 21.0 feet, Backwater moving upstream begins to affect the town 
  of Sneedville, Hancock County, Tennessee. The city of Tazewell, 
  Tennessee is not affected by flooding of the Clinch River.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 AM EST Sunday the stage was 14.3 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:30 AM EST Sunday was 14.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.0
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    late Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3631 8356 3637 8359 3659 8308 3659 8296


$$

19

180 
WGUS84 KMRX 170348
FLSMRX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1048 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Virginia...Tennessee...

  Clinch River At Cleveland VA affecting Wise, Scott and Russell 
  Counties.

  Clinch River Near Speers Ferry VA affecting Scott and Hancock 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Tennessee...Virginia...

  Clinch River Above Tazewell TN affecting Hancock, Claiborne and 
  Grainger Counties.

  North Fork Holston River Near Gate City VA affecting Scott, 
  Hawkins and Sullivan Counties.

  Powell River Near Jonesville VA affecting Hancock and Lee 
  Counties.

  Powell River Near Arthur TN affecting Claiborne and Union 
  Counties.

For the Clinch River...including Cleveland VA, Speers Ferry VA, 
Tazewell TN...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the North Fork Holston River...including Gate City VA...Minor 
flooding is forecast.
For the Powell River...including Jonesville VA, Arthur TN...Major 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Flooding is occurring or is imminent. Most flood related deaths 
occur in automobiles. Do not attempt to cross water covered bridges, 
dips, or low water crossings. Never try to cross a flowing stream, 
even a small one, on foot. To escape rising water find another route 
over higher ground.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by 2 PM EST on Monday.late tonight 
at 315 AM EST.

&&

TNC073-163-VAC169-171900-
/O.EXT.KMRX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-250217T1952Z/
/GATV2.2.ER.250216T0734Z.250217T0315Z.250217T1352Z.NO/
1048 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and minor flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...North Fork Holston River near Gate City VA.

* WHEN...Until early tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 10.0 feet, Caution stage.
  At 12.0 feet, Water begins to cover River Road and some low lying 
  county roads.
  At 14.0 feet, Flooding begins on North Holston River Drive beneath 
  the West Carters Valley Road bridge. County Road 614 is cut off 1 
  1/2 miles downstream from the Highway 23 bridge.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:15 PM EST Sunday the stage was 15.3 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:15 PM EST Sunday was 15.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    tomorrow morning and continue falling to 3.8 feet Friday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3641 8283 3651 8288 3673 8235 3662 8233


$$

TNC067-VAC105-170815-
/O.EXT.KMRX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-250217T0805Z/
/JNSV2.1.ER.250215T2352Z.250216T1100Z.250217T0205Z.NO/
1048 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Powell River near Jonesville VA.

* WHEN...Until late tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, The river invades several fields and 
  reaches a few farm buildings.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 PM EST Sunday the stage was 18.1 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 PM EST Sunday was 28.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 3.5 feet Friday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3653 8339 3658 8344 3671 8310 3686 8285
      3680 8282 3666 8302


$$

VAC167-169-195-171730-
/O.EXT.KMRX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-250217T1728Z/
/CLVV2.2.ER.250215T2242Z.250216T1700Z.250217T1128Z.NO/
1048 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Clinch River at Cleveland VA.

* WHEN...Until early tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Flooding affects the pumping station for 
  the water treatment plant.
  At 16.0 feet, Approximately 10 acres are flooded, including at the 
  ballpark.
  At 18.0 feet, Water begins to affect a few houses immediately 
  along the river downstream from the ballpark, flooding 
  approximately 25 acres. The ballpark is mostly inundated.
  At 19.0 feet, Water affects a few houses both on Main Street and 
  adjacent to the ballpark entrance, and approximately 35 acres 
  about two miles up- and downstream from the Highway 82 bridge.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 PM EST Sunday the stage was 17.2 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 PM EST Sunday was 20.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    tomorrow morning and continue falling to 4.9 feet Friday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3680 8247 3687 8251 3707 8185 3700 8182


$$

TNC025-173-171900-
/O.EXT.KMRX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-250218T1500Z/
/ARTT1.3.ER.250216T0157Z.250217T1200Z.250218T0900Z.NO/
1048 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and major flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Powell River near Arthur TN.

* WHEN...Until late Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 15.0 feet, Action stage.
  At 17.0 feet, Minor flooding begins.
  At 20.0 feet, Water covers roads along both banks of the river.
  At 25.0 feet, Parking lot of restaurant along the river upstream 
  from the gage floods. Flooding also of recreation rental 
  structures nearby.
  At 29.5 feet, Water might begin to enter the restaurant along the 
  river upstream from the gage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:15 PM EST Sunday the stage was 23.6 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 17.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:15 PM EST Sunday was 23.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 29.1
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3658 8344 3651 8337 3649 8360 3637 8382
      3643 8388 3657 8365


$$

TNC067-VAC169-171900-
/O.EXT.KMRX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-250218T0502Z/
/SFYV2.1.ER.250215T2301Z.250216T2100Z.250217T2302Z.NO/
1048 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Clinch River near Speers Ferry VA.

* WHEN...Until early Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Copper Creek Road at the Rexrena Access 
  floods.
  At 18.0 feet, Low spots along Waters Edge Road flood. Most 
  structures along Waters Edge Road are opposite the river and 
  uphill from the road.
  At 18.5 feet, Bridge Street floods off of Clinch River Hwy near 
  the suspension foot bridge. The grassy lot portion of an RV 
  campground 0.8 miles upstream from the Clinchport Boat Ramp floods.
  At 19.5 feet, The gravel lot portion of an RV campground 0.8 miles 
  upstream from the Clinchport Boat Ramp floods.
  At 21.0 feet, Additional flooding on Waters Edge Road. Low spots 
  on Anglers Way Rd flood. One or two houses are threatened. Most 
  riverside dwellings along Anglers Way Road are in the flood plain, 
  lower than the road, but are mobile such as campers or 
  fifth-wheelers. The parking lot of the Clinchport Boat Ramp off of 
  Clinch River Hwy floods.
  At 24.0 feet, A few additional homes are affected. Evacuations are 
  possible.
  At 28.0 feet, Several homes are flooded. Evacuations are likely.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:15 PM EST Sunday the stage was 27.8 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:15 PM EST Sunday was 28.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    tomorrow evening and continue falling to 7.0 feet Friday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3654 8295 3658 8302 3683 8252 3676 8245


$$

TNC025-057-067-171900-
/O.EXT.KMRX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-250218T2100Z/
/TAZT1.2.ER.250214T1215Z.250217T1200Z.250218T1500Z.NO/
1048 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Clinch River above Tazewell TN.

* WHEN...Until Tuesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 10.0 feet, Action stage.
  At 12.0 feet, Flooding of pasture land near Grissom Island begins. 
  The city of Tazewell, Tennessee is not affected by flooding of the 
  Clinch River.
  At 13.0 feet, The road within a quarter mile of the gage begins to 
  flood.
  At 16.0 feet, Extensive flooding of pasture land around Grissom 
  Island occurs. The city of Tazewell, Tennessee is not affected by 
  flooding of the Clinch River.
  At 21.0 feet, Backwater moving upstream begins to affect the town 
  of Sneedville, Hancock County, Tennessee. The city of Tazewell, 
  Tennessee is not affected by flooding of the Clinch River.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:30 PM EST Sunday the stage was 18.5 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:30 PM EST Sunday was 18.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.0
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    late Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3631 8356 3637 8359 3659 8308 3659 8296


$$

JLB

071 
WGUS84 KMRX 170645
FLSMRX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
145 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Tennessee...Virginia...

  Powell River Near Jonesville VA affecting Hancock and Lee 
  Counties.

TNC067-VAC105-170745-
/O.CAN.KMRX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-250217T0645Z/
/JNSV2.1.ER.250215T2352Z.250216T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
145 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Powell River Near Jonesville VA.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 12:00 AM Midnight EST Monday morning the stage was 16.3
    feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 3.5 feet Friday
    evening.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3653 8339 3658 8344 3671 8310 3686 8285
      3680 8282 3666 8302


$$

TD

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1254 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1025 AM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

Overall, the forecast is in pretty good shape I think. Main
adjustment for the morning update was to try and fine tune PoPs
through the afternoon hours. Radar trends over the last few hours
has shown widespread rainfall covering much of Kentucky, and
extending south into the northern parts of Middle Tennessee, east
northeast into the northern Cumberland plateau and far southwest
Virginia. Radar estimates are that roughly 1.5" to 2" of rain have
fallen across areas from Scott county eastward through Claiborne
and Hancock county so far this morning. That looks reasonable
based on observations. High res models continue to indicate that
this area of rain will shift north by this afternoon, moving
squarely into Kentucky and southern West Virginia and exiting our
forecast area entirely. Timing would indicate that this happens by
21z or so, and have adjusted PoPs accordingly. The question then
is, how much more rain will we receive before that happens and
what the flooding implications are. Currently have some areal
flood warnings out covering those counties mentioned above as well
as Lee, Wise, and western Scott counties in Virginia. This should
cover things nicely for the time being, but any heavier convective
elements embedded in the area of broader rainfall will have to be
watched for flash flooding potential. Currently these areas are
saturated so heavy precip could result in flash flooding issues.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 336 AM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

Key Messages:

1. Rain will spread into the area this morning, heavy at times in
northern sections where flooding will be a potential threat.

2. High mountain wave winds in the mountains and foothills today and
continuing into Sunday; strong winds area wide tonight and Sunday
morning.

3. Cold frontal passage Sunday morning followed by cold advection
and NW flow snow showers in the TN mountains and parts of SW VA
during the afternoon.

Discussion:

A dynamic weather system is taking shape this morning over the
central US, which will affect our area through Sunday with multiple
impacts and potential hazards.

Winds: We are already seeing strengthening winds in the higher
elevations of East TN, with gusts observed in the 30-40 mph range.
This will continue to trend upward as the pressure gradient tightens
across the mountains between the CAD ridge to our east and the
deepening low to our west. Gusts in the mountains today will likely
reach 50-60 mph in the usual wind-prone areas, with wind speeds
peaking tonight with gusts around 70 mph as the surface low tracks
into the lower OH Valley region and the LLJ increases to 60-70 kt
over Middle TN. Winds aloft may be able to mix down to the surface
tonight ahead of the approaching cold front, so the entire area will
likely see wind gusts of 35-45 mph, and post-frontal winds may
continue to gust in that range until around noon on Sunday. A Wind
Advisory will be hoisted for the entire area from midnight tonight
to noon Sunday.

Flooding: Not much has changed from previous forecasts regarding
precip amounts and flooding potential. The highest threat area
remains in the northern Cumberland Plateau counties and SW VA, where
FFG values are lowest, just a little over 1 inch for 3 hour FFG, and
around 1.5 for 6 hour FFG. Those areas will likely see around that
much rain today, mainly between 12-18Z. Through the afternoon, the
precip axis will shift north of the area as a deep southerly flow
develops ahead of the approaching upper trough. A second round of
heavy rainfall will come with the frontal passage late tonight and
Sunday morning. An additional 0.5 to 1 inch is expected during this
time.

Severe: The severe threat appears low for our area given that the
limited instability will mainly be elevated, and convection to our
west this afternoon/evening will be weakening as it moves east into
a more stable environment. Still, even with a little elevated
instability, given the strong winds aloft, a few thunderstorms will
be capable of bringing those winds aloft down to the surface at
times. Our southwestern counties will have the highest potential for
thunderstorms tonight. Any tornado threat appears to be well south
of our area where storms will be surface-based.

Snow: Cold advection develops in earnest tomorrow afternoon behind
the cold frontal passage and underneath the deep mid/upper
trough. A 30-40 kt W-NW flow and steepening lapse rates will
create upslope showers in parts of SW VA and the East TN mountains
during the afternoon. Falling temperatures will change these
showers from rain to snow, mainly in the higher elevations where
accumulation up to 1 inch will be possible before sunset.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 336 AM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

Key Messages:

1. A much colder airmass arrives late Sunday with light snow showers
continuing into the evening across northeast TN, southwest VA, and
the southern Appalachians. Snowfall amounts look to be light.

2. Cold temperatures this upcoming week with increasing chance for
another winter system developing to the south with the potential to
bring some snowfall to a significant portion of the area Wednesday
and Wednesday night.

3. An increasing chance of much below normal temperatures Thursday
and Friday with Arctic front moving in behind snowfall and
temperatures mostly below freezing.

Discussion:

In the northwest flow pattern Sunday night there should be low level
hanging around through the evening and the clouds get hung up in the
valley and the cold temperatures will wring out some light snow
showers across extreme northeast Tennessee, southwest Virginia, and
the Appalachians south to the Smokies. The snowfall accumulations
are expected to be light by early Monday as the last few days have
been around 50 degrees ahead of the front. Surface soil temperatures
are estimated to be in the upper 30s in southwest Virginia and lower
40s in east central Tennessee so this will be warm enough to melt
some of the initial snow. But grassy and elevated surfaces could see
a dusting of snow to a few tenths lower elevations, and higher
amounts around an inch or 2 are possible across the highest
elevations near Roan Mountain and the Smoky Mountains by Monday
morning.

For Monday and Tuesday there will be a break from the rain and snow
with higher pressure building southeast from the northern plains
dropping temperatures 20 degrees in the southwest Virginia mountains
to about 10 degrees from Sundays highs in southeast Tennessee.
Northwest winds will continue through the morning with wind chills
in the teens and 20s lower elevations. The upper level eastern US
troughing Sunday will become zonal by Monday night and by Tuesday
another trough develops over the Rockies and Plains states. Winds
will be light Monday night and Tuesday and temperatures should warm
several degrees with mostly sunny skies and the longer day lengths
now. Clouds will increase Tuesday night. Lower pressure is expected
to develop along the Gulf coast with moisture overrunning the
developing system as it spreads into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys.

Uncertainty with the track of this system but with the cold air in
place Tuesday night some light snow is expected across much of the
area into Wednesday morning. It will be colder east of the
Appalachians with likely cold air trapped there and some warming
aloft Wednesday to change the snow to rain. As the system tracks
into Georgia later Wednesday and then reaches the Atlantic coast by
evening colder air will be wrapped behind it and snow levels will
drop.

It looks like the most significant snow for the lower elevations
will be Wednesday night and the higher elevations will see even more
snow. The WPC Day 5 Winter Weather Outlook or Wednesday to Thursday
morning period shows a 10 to 30 percent chance of 0.25 inch liquid
equivalent of snowfall for much of east TN and for the northeast
part, higher elevations of east Tennessee mountains and southwest
Virginia it shows a 30 to 50 percent chance of 0.25 inch liquid
equivalent of snowfall. A significant trough moving into the back
side of the trough with a 1048 high over the plains will usher in
some Arctic air and drop temperatures into the teens and 20s by
Thursday morning with the snow ending. Clouds will likely linger
over much of the area into the afternoon with the strong cold air
advection and give the eastern mountains some more snowfall. Highs
Thursday will be below freezing over much of the region and drop to
frigid levels by Friday only slow warming Friday and any snow cover
could delay warming.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1248 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

Widespread rain across the TN/KY border area will continue to lift
north this afternoon, leaving all terminals dry until the arrival
of SHRA/TSRA with eastward advancing strong cold later tonight.
Expect that to move through KCHA between 08z-10z or so, 09z-12z at
KTYS, and more so 12z-15z further north/east at KTRI. Best chance
of TSRA should be at KCHA. Winds should ramp up this evening ahead
of the front, with gusts continuing into tomorrow after FROPA as
well. Expect gusts of 25-30kt at all sites. Flight categories
likely remain low through the period, with a mix of MVFR and
possibly IFR through late tonight, with KCHA the most likely place
for improvement back to VFR levels behind the front.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             57  52  55  26 /  40 100  40   0
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  62  52  54  25 /  50 100  90  10
Oak Ridge, TN                       55  51  54  24 /  70 100  70  10
Tri Cities Airport, TN              57  51  54  23 /  80  80 100  30

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Wind Advisory from midnight tonight to noon EST Sunday for
     Cherokee-Clay.

TN...Wind Advisory from midnight EST /11 PM CST/ tonight to noon EST
     /11 AM CST/ Sunday for Anderson-Bledsoe-Bradley-Campbell-
     Claiborne-Grainger-Hamblen-Hamilton-Hancock-Hawkins-
     Jefferson-Knox-Loudon-Marion-McMinn-Meigs-Morgan-North
     Sevier-Northwest Blount-Northwest Carter-Northwest Cocke-
     Northwest Greene-Northwest Monroe-Rhea-Roane-Scott TN-
     Sequatchie-Sullivan-Union-Washington TN-West Polk.

     Flood Watch through Sunday morning for Bledsoe-Campbell-
     Claiborne-Hancock-Marion-Morgan-Scott TN-Sequatchie.

     High Wind Warning until noon EST Sunday for Blount Smoky
     Mountains-Cocke Smoky Mountains-East Polk-Johnson-Sevier
     Smoky Mountains-Southeast Carter-Southeast Greene-Southeast
     Monroe-Unicoi.

VA...Wind Advisory from midnight tonight to noon EST Sunday for Lee-
     Russell-Scott VA-Washington VA-Wise.

     Flood Watch through Sunday morning for Lee-Russell-Scott VA-Wise.

&&

SHORT TERM...CD
LONG TERM....TD
AVIATION...CD

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Morristown TN
406 AM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-160900-
Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-
Sullivan-Johnson-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-
Northwest Cocke-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Northwest Greene-
Southeast Greene-Washington TN-Unicoi-Northwest Carter-
Southeast Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-Northwest Blount-
Blount Smoky Mountains-North Sevier-Sevier Smoky Mountains-
Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-
Southeast Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-East Polk-Lee-
Wise-Scott VA-Russell-Washington VA-
406 AM EST Sat Feb 15 2025 /306 AM CST Sat Feb 15 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest North
Carolina...east Tennessee and southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The potential exists for significant flooding as multiple rounds
of rainfall are expected from this morning through Sunday morning,
with heavy rainfall rates possible at times. Total rainfall in
excess of 2 inches is expected in southwest Virginia and the
northern Cumberland Plateau area through Sunday morning. Stream
and river flooding, flooded roads, as well as mud and rock slides
are all possible. A Flood Watch is in effect.

Mountain wave high winds are likely across the Tennessee
mountains and adjacent foothills, where wind gusts up to 70 mph
are possible. In addition, strong wind gusts are expected across
the entire area from midnight tonight until noon Sunday, with
gusts up to 45 mph. This could cause downed trees and power
outages due to saturated grounds.

Southern portions of East Tennessee, including the Chattanooga
area, are highlighted in a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms
Saturday night. Damaging winds will be the main threat from
thunderstorms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Significant flooding through Sunday morning is possible with heavy
rainfall. A Flood Watch is in effect until noon Sunday. Strong
wind gusts are expected across the entire area until noon Sunday,
with gusts up to 45 mph in the advisory area and 70 mph in the
east Tennessee mountains and foothills. This could cause downed
trees and power outages due to saturated grounds.

A developing system along the Gulf coast Tuesday night will
spread moisture north into the Tennessee Valley through Wednesday
night. With a colder airmass in place some light snow is expected
across lower elevations and more significant snowfall across the
higher elevations.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Detailed reports of flooding, severe thunderstorm damage and non
thunderstorm high wind damage this weekend will be appreciated.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1212 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     Flash Flood      3 NE Wise               37.00N 82.54W
02/15/2025                   Wise               VA   911 Call Center

            Reports of 3 to 4 foot deep water over
            intersection of Turkey Branch Road and
            Hurricane Road. Also several reports of
            water over road on Highway 58 between
            Coeburn and Norton.

&&

CED

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1225 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1225 PM     Flash Flood      1 ENE Jonesville        36.69N 83.11W
02/15/2025                   Lee                VA   Public

            social media picture of Town Branch Road
            closed.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Morristown TN
109 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0108 PM     Flash Flood      Oneida                  36.50N 84.52W
02/15/2025                   Scott              TN   Broadcast Media

            Picture of widespread flooding of property
            under several inches of water.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Morristown TN
137 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0136 PM     Flash Flood      Duffield                36.72N 82.80W
02/15/2025                   Scott              VA   Public

            social media picture of fast moving water
            over US23.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Morristown TN
139 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0103 PM     Flood            4 SW Gate City          36.60N 82.65W
02/15/2025                   Scott              VA   Public

            social media pictures of road over low water
            crossing in Stanley Valley.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Morristown TN
241 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0240 PM     Flood            1 NNE Castlewood        36.89N 82.28W
02/15/2025                   Russell            VA   Public

            social media pictures of water covering low
            lying roads.

&&