Alert archive / Virginia / Flash Flood Warnings in 2025

Flash Flood Warning 5, NWS Morristown, TN

February 15, 20254 counties in Virginia

NWS Morristown, TN issued this flash flood warning at Feb 15, 2025, 4:31 PM EST for 4 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Feb 15, 2025, 4:31 PM EST (21:31 UTC)
Expired: Feb 15, 2025, 10:00 PM EST
In force: 5 hr
Issued by: NWS Morristown, TN
Area: Storm-based polygon
Damage threat: Considerable
Flood severity: None

Counties Russell County, VA, Scott County, VA, Washington County, VA, Wise County, VA

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 121 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 232 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1195 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 181 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 210 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Morristown, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Feb 15, 3:29 PM EST, 1 hour 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 15, 3:29 PM EST, 1 hour 2 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 15, 4:00 PM EST, 31 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Morristown TN
400 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-162100-
Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-
Sullivan-Johnson-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-
Northwest Cocke-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Northwest Greene-
Southeast Greene-Washington TN-Unicoi-Northwest Carter-
Southeast Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-Northwest Blount-
Blount Smoky Mountains-North Sevier-Sevier Smoky Mountains-
Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-
Southeast Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-East Polk-Lee-
Wise-Scott VA-Russell-Washington VA-
400 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025 /300 PM CST Sat Feb 15 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest North
Carolina...east Tennessee and southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Significant flooding possible through tonight as another round of
heavy rain is expected with a strong cold front moving through.
Generally speaking, southwest Virginia and areas near the
Tennessee, Kentucky, and Virginia border have seen 2-3" of rain or
more today. These same areas should see an additional 1" of rain
tonight, with locally heavier amounts. As a result, additional
widespread flooding issues are expected to develop tonight.

Mountain wave high winds are likely across the Tennessee
mountains and adjacent foothills, where wind gusts up to 70 mph
are possible. In addition, strong wind gusts are expected across
the entire area from midnight tonight until noon Sunday, with
gusts up to 45 mph. This could cause downed trees and power
outages due to saturated grounds.

Southern portions of East Tennessee, including the Chattanooga
area, are highlighted in a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms
Saturday night. Damaging winds will be the main threat from
thunderstorms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Significant flooding through Sunday morning is possible with heavy
rainfall. A Flood Watch is in effect until noon Sunday. Strong
wind gusts are expected across the entire area until noon Sunday,
with gusts up to 45 mph in the advisory area and 70 mph in the
east Tennessee mountains and foothills. This could cause downed
trees and power outages due to saturated grounds.

A developing system along the Gulf coast Tuesday night will
spread moisture north into the Tennessee Valley through Wednesday
night. With a colder airmass in place some light snow is expected
across lower elevations and more significant snowfall across the
higher elevations.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Detailed reports of flooding, severe thunderstorm damage and non
thunderstorm high wind damage this weekend will be appreciated.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 15, 1:09 PM EST, 3 hours 22 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Morristown TN
109 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0108 PM     Flash Flood      Oneida                  36.50N 84.52W
02/15/2025                   Scott              TN   Broadcast Media

            Picture of widespread flooding of property
            under several inches of water.

&&

Local storm report, Feb 15, 1:37 PM EST, 2 hours 54 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Morristown TN
137 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0136 PM     Flash Flood      Duffield                36.72N 82.80W
02/15/2025                   Scott              VA   Public

            social media picture of fast moving water
            over US23.

&&

Local storm report, Feb 15, 1:39 PM EST, 2 hours 52 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Morristown TN
139 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0103 PM     Flood            4 SW Gate City          36.60N 82.65W
02/15/2025                   Scott              VA   Public

            social media pictures of road over low water
            crossing in Stanley Valley.

&&

Local storm report, Feb 15, 2:41 PM EST, 1 hour 50 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Morristown TN
241 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0240 PM     Flood            1 NNE Castlewood        36.89N 82.28W
02/15/2025                   Russell            VA   Public

            social media pictures of water covering low
            lying roads.

&&

Local storm report, Feb 15, 4:08 PM EST, 23 minutes before

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Local storm report, Feb 15, 4:17 PM EST, 14 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Morristown, TN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Feb 15, 3:26 AM EST	Wind Advisory	MRX	Anderson, Bledsoe, Blount, Bradley, Campbell, Carter and 25 more	33 hr
Feb 15, 9:24 AM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	MRX	Campbell, Claiborne, Morgan, Scott	45 min
Feb 15, 10:08 AM EST	Areal Flood Warning	MRX	Campbell, Claiborne, Morgan, Scott	117 min
Feb 15, 10:16 AM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	MRX	Claiborne, Hancock	108 min
Feb 15, 12:04 PM EST	Flash Flood Warning	MRX	Claiborne, Hancock	10 hr
Feb 15, 12:05 PM EST	Flash Flood Warning	MRX	Campbell, Claiborne, Morgan, Scott	8 hr
Feb 15, 1:23 PM EST	Areal Flood Warning	MRX	Anderson, Campbell, Morgan, Union	6 hr
Feb 15, 1:30 PM EST	Areal Flood Warning	MRX	Hawkins, Sullivan	6 hr
Feb 15, 2:46 PM EST	River Flood Warning	MRX	Hancock	57 hr
Feb 15, 2:46 PM EST	River Flood Warning	MRX	Claiborne, Union	65 hr
Feb 15, 2:46 PM EST	River Flood Warning	MRX	Hancock	35 hr
Feb 15, 2:46 PM EST	River Flood Warning	MRX	Claiborne, Grainger, Hancock	3 days
Feb 15, 5:41 PM EST	Flash Flood Warning	MRX	Sullivan	4 hr
Feb 15, 12:34 PM EST	Areal Flood Warning	MRX	Russell, Scott, Washington, Wise	4 hr
Feb 15, 2:46 PM EST	River Flood Warning	MRX	Russell, Scott, Wise	38 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Virginia, 2025 Every flash flood warning in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.