Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2025

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 56, NWS Twin Cities, MN

June 16, 20254 counties in Minnesota

NWS Twin Cities, MN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 16, 2025, 6:40 PM CDT for 4 counties in Minnesota. It was in force for 50 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 16, 2025, 6:40 PM CDT (23:40 UTC)
Expired: Jun 16, 2025, 7:30 PM CDT
In force: 50 min
Issued by: NWS Twin Cities, MN
Area: Storm-based polygon
Tornado: Possible
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Benton County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 16, 2:52 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 11.7 hours before the alert went out and 113 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 575 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -77 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 874 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 50 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 164 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 2.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

992 
WUUS53 KMPX 162340
SVRMPX
MNC009-059-065-095-170030-
/O.NEW.KMPX.SV.W.0056.250616T2340Z-250617T0030Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
Issued by National Weather Service Denver CO
640 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

The National Weather Service in the Twin Cities has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Southeastern Benton County in central Minnesota...
  Northwestern Isanti County in east central Minnesota...
  Kanabec County in east central Minnesota...
  Southern Mille Lacs County in east central Minnesota...

* Until 730 PM CDT.

* At 640 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line from 
  7 miles north of Quamba to over Foley, or along a line from 33 
  miles north of Cambridge to 17 miles northeast of St. Cloud, 
  moving east at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind
           damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Princeton, Mora, Milaca, Foley, Brunswick, Foreston, Ogilvie, 
  Grasston, Quamba, Bock, Knife Lake, Dalbo, Pease, Oak Park, Lewis 
  Lake, Rum River State Forest, Mora Airport, Warman, Snake River 
  State Forest and Ronneby.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seek shelter inside a well-built structure and stay away from 
windows. These storms are capable of producing damaging winds and 
large hail.

Tornadoes can develop quickly from severe thunderstorms. Seek 
shelter immediately in an interior room on the lowest floor of a 
well-built structure.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for portions of 
central and east central Minnesota.

&&

LAT...LON 4559 9409 4582 9377 4582 9376 4583 9376
      4610 9339 4616 9330 4616 9305 4598 9306
      4598 9314 4573 9314 4559 9351
TIME...MOT...LOC 2339Z 272DEG 31KT 4602 9319 4582 9357 4566 9388

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Schlatter

2 follow-up statements

341 
WWUS53 KMPX 170009
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
Issued by National Weather Service Denver CO
709 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

MNC009-170019-
/O.CAN.KMPX.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-250617T0030Z/
Benton MN-
709 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR SOUTHEASTERN BENTON 
COUNTY...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the area. 
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

&&

LAT...LON 4559 9376 4563 9376 4590 9327 4598 9314
      4573 9314 4559 9351
TIME...MOT...LOC 2340Z 272DEG 31KT 4602 9318 4582 9356 4566 9387

$$


MNC059-065-095-170030-
/O.CON.KMPX.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-250617T0030Z/
Isanti MN-Kanabec MN-Mille Lacs MN-
709 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT 
FOR NORTHWESTERN ISANTI, SOUTHERN KANABEC AND SOUTHEASTERN MILLE 
LACS COUNTIES...

At 709 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line from 
near Grasston to near Princeton, or along a line from 22 miles north 
of Cambridge to 15 miles west of Cambridge, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage
         to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
  Princeton, Mora, Brunswick, Ogilvie, Grasston, Quamba, Dalbo, 
  Lewis Lake and Mora Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seek shelter inside a well-built structure and stay away from 
windows. These storms are capable of producing damaging winds and 
large hail.

Tornadoes can develop quickly from severe thunderstorms. Seek 
shelter immediately in an interior room on the lowest floor of a 
well-built structure.

&&

LAT...LON 4559 9376 4563 9376 4590 9327 4598 9314
      4573 9314 4559 9351
TIME...MOT...LOC 2340Z 272DEG 31KT 4586 9348 4582 9356 4561 9390

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Schlatter

546 
WWUS53 KMPX 170026
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
Issued by National Weather Service Denver CO
726 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

MNC059-065-095-170036-
/O.EXP.KMPX.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-250617T0030Z/
Isanti MN-Kanabec MN-Mille Lacs MN-
726 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 730 PM CDT FOR 
NORTHWESTERN ISANTI, SOUTHERN KANABEC AND SOUTHEASTERN MILLE LACS 
COUNTIES...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the area. 
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for a portion of 
east central Minnesota.

&&

LAT...LON 4559 9376 4563 9376 4590 9327 4598 9314
      4573 9314 4559 9351
TIME...MOT...LOC 0009Z 273DEG 31KT 4585 9310 4580 9318 4560 9353

$$

Schlatter

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Twin Cities, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 16, 3:22 PM CDT, 3 hours 18 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

Additional thunderstorm development likely this afternoon across western & central Minnesota. Thunderstorms will move into the Twin Cities late afternoon/early evening and into western Wisconsin this evening.
A few severe thunderstorms are possible capable of large hail, damaging winds, and a couple tornadoes this afternoon into the evening hours. An active pattern continues through the week with additional thunderstorm chances.
Increasing signal for above-normal temperatures for the weekend.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 16, 3:22 PM CDT, 3 hours 18 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
Issued by National Weather Service La Crosse WI
322 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Additional thunderstorm development likely this afternoon
  across western & central Minnesota. Thunderstorms will move
  into the Twin Cities late afternoon/early evening and into
  western Wisconsin this evening.

- A few severe thunderstorms are possible capable of large hail, damaging
  winds, and a couple tornadoes this afternoon into the evening
  hours. An active pattern continues through the week with
  additional thunderstorm chances.

- Increasing signal for above-normal temperatures for the
  weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 320 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

Current regional radar mosaic shows a broken line of thunderstorms
over east-central Minnesota and isolated thunderstorms over
southeastern Minnesota. Our immediate concern is tied to the storms
over EC MN that produced damaging winds in & around St. Cloud
earlier this afternoon. These storms are moving east into a less
favorable environment as the exit MN and into W WI where the storms
should begin to dissipate. Temperatures are in the low to upper 80s
with low 70s dew points across W/C MN and upper 70s with low 70s dew
points in E MN and W WI.

Our attention turns to the next round of thunderstorms slated to
develop mid-late afternoon along & ahead of a surface cold front
across western Minnesota. A complex severe weather set up is in
place with a few key unknowns that I will try to expand on below. A
brief mesoscale analysis highlights a plume of moderate instability
3000 to 4000 J/Kg, 35 to 45 kts bulk shear, favorable low level
shear with backed southeasterly sfc winds ahead of the front over
W/SW MN. Lapse rates aren’t ideal, around 7.0 to 7.5 c/km. Another
concern is the upper & mid-level wind profile may limit the
potential for higher end severe weather. Hi-res guidance split into
two groups: two areas of convection with one in central MN & one in
southern MN but nothing in the Twin Cities metropolitan area. The
second group develops storms along the entire boundary and brings it
through the Twin Cities. There is still a large amount of
uncertainty with what unfolds this afternoon, but we are certain
we’ll see thunderstorms develop and impact C & S MN and W WI.
Furthermore, there isn’t anything that jumps out to us that would
signal which evolution is correct. There is limited capping & plenty
of instability across the area. Ultimately, we will likely see
smaller scale features influence the exact evolution that isn’t as
straightforward. Any thunderstorm that does develop will be capable
of producing large hail, damaging winds, and a tornado or two. The
better shear environment across our central Minnesota counties will
favor the better environment for tornado potential.

Our confidence in timing has improved though. The latest hi-res runs
have trended toward a line of thunderstorms developing between 20Z-
21Z across western Minnesota that gradually builds south into
southern Minnesota by 23-00Z. Our current timing would support the
2p-4p window across our western CWA with storms moving east into the
western Twin Cities around 5 to 6pm & eastern Twin Cities metro 7 to
8pm. All storms will produce brief downpours & heavy rain with
localized flooding possible, especially for those who have had heavy
rain earlier today.

For the rest of the forecast period - the pattern will remain active
across the Upper Midwest but we’ll experience a bit of a lull
Tuesday & Wednesday as slightly drier air settles in behind the cold
front tonight into Tuesday. Storm chances increase for the end of
the work week. Temperatures will return to the 70s & low 80s through
Wednesday before warming into the 90s this weekend. Global guidance
signals an impressive mid level ridge building into the Great Lakes
region for the weekend. This should lead to the return of Summer
heat & humidity Saturday & Sunday. The building ridge will place the
Upper Midwest in the Ring of Fire-type pattern that will usher in
additional thunderstorm chances into early next week. The broad
pattern should support severe chances too, but it’s much too early
to pin those down 5 to 7 days out.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

As MVFR ceilings slowly lift or scatter out, full attention
turns to TS, both ongoing west of MSP/STC and with another round
probable to sweep east across the area this afternoon/evening,
potentially affecting all sites, with a greater probability for
TS east of a STC to MKT line. Timing remains uncertain so
amendments will likely be needed. Moving ahead to tonight,
MVFR/IFR is favored to return along and northeast of a LXL-EAU
line, affecting RNH and EAU. These ceilings should break up
west to east Tuesday morning, yielding VFR areawide by the end
of the period.

KMSP...Broken line of TS is present west of MSP at issuance time
with this expected to affect airspace around the terminal over
the next 2 hours, with the window for greatest impacts likely
focusing on 1830-1930 UTC. After these thunderstorms depart to
the east, will monitor likely redevelopment later this afternoon
and evening with potential for a line of TS sweeping eastward.
Timing remains stubbornly uncertain so have elected to cover
this later potential with a TEMPO group covering several hours.
If timing becomes more certain may convert to definite mentions.
MVFR ceilings may return after 06z Tuesday but these will likely
remain to the northeast so have omitted them.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
TUE...VFR/MVFR slgt chc IFR/-TSRA. Wind NW 5-10kts.
WED...MVFR/-SHRA chc IFR/-TSRA. Wind N 5-10kts.
THU...VFR, slgt chc MVFR/-TSRA. Wind W 5-10kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...WFO MPX
AVIATION...WFO MPX

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 16, 3:04 PM CDT, 3 hours 36 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
Issued by National Weather Service La Crosse WI
304 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
172015-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
304 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota, and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon with strong
to severe storms possible. Large hail, damaging winds, tornadoes,
and localized areas of heavy rainfall are possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Multiple rounds of thunderstorms are expected Tuesday through
Wednesday. This will result in additional chances for strong to
severe storms and heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation will likely be needed.

JAW

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 16, 5:44 PM CDT, 56 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
544 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0542 PM     Hail             Springfield             44.24N 94.98W
06/16/2025  M0.50 Inch       Brown              MN   Fire Dept/Rescue

&&

RMD

Local storm report, Jun 16, 5:48 PM CDT, 52 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
548 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0544 PM     Hail             Cokato                  45.08N 94.19W
06/16/2025  M1.00 Inch       Wright             MN   Trained Spotter

&&

RMD

Local storm report, Jun 16, 5:57 PM CDT, 43 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
557 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0546 PM     Hail             2 ESE Cokato            45.07N 94.14W
06/16/2025  M1.75 Inch       Wright             MN   Trained Spotter

&&

RMD

Local storm report, Jun 16, 6:09 PM CDT, 31 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
609 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     Hail             Lafayette               44.45N 94.39W
06/16/2025  M0.50 Inch       Nicollet           MN   Trained Spotter

&&

RMD

Local storm report, Jun 16, 6:29 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
629 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0629 PM     Funnel Cloud     3 WSW Lester Prairie    44.86N 94.10W
06/16/2025                   McLeod             MN   Trained Spotter

            Multiple reports of rotating wall cloud and
            spotted funnel cloud.

&&

RMD

Local storm report, Jun 16, 6:37 PM CDT, 3 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
637 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0636 PM     Tornado          3 N Courtland           44.31N 94.34W
06/16/2025                   Nicollet           MN   Storm Chaser

            Storms chasers confirmed brief tornado
            touched down just north of Courtland.

&&

RMD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Twin Cities, MN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 15, 7:26 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Faribault	49 min
Jun 15, 8:55 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	MPX	Redwood, Renville	6 days
Jun 15, 8:55 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	MPX	Carver	7 days
Jun 16, 5:42 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Freeborn	63 min
Jun 16, 7:00 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MPX	Faribault, Freeborn	3 hr
Jun 16, 7:14 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Freeborn	31 min
Jun 16, 7:41 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Swift	34 min
Jun 16, 9:01 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Kandiyohi	29 min
Jun 16, 9:39 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Blue Earth, Faribault, Waseca	36 min
Jun 16, 9:56 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Rice	34 min
Jun 16, 10:28 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Wright	32 min
Jun 16, 11:14 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	MPX	Faribault, Freeborn	12 hr
Jun 16, 11:49 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Stearns	26 min
Jun 16, 11:57 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Morrison	33 min
Jun 16, 12:27 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Stearns	33 min
Jun 16, 12:57 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Benton	33 min
Jun 16, 1:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Carver, Hennepin, Scott	26 min
Jun 16, 1:26 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Sherburne, Wright	34 min
Jun 16, 2:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Hennepin	29 min
Jun 16, 2:30 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Hennepin	30 min
Jun 16, 2:55 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Ramsey	35 min
Jun 16, 3:42 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	MPX	Todd	33 min
Jun 16, 4:06 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Todd	24 min
Jun 16, 4:54 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Meeker, Stearns	36 min
Jun 16, 5:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Carver, McLeod, Meeker, Wright	40 min
Jun 16, 5:27 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Meeker, Wright	33 min
Jun 16, 5:32 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Meeker, Wright	28 min
Jun 16, 5:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Kanabec, Mille Lacs, Morrison	49 min
Jun 16, 5:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MPX	Carver, Hennepin, McLeod, Wright	48 min
Jun 16, 5:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Hennepin, Sherburne, Wright	13 min
Jun 16, 6:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Carver, McLeod	43 min
Jun 16, 6:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Brown, Nicollet, Sibley	55 min
Jun 16, 6:27 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Nicollet	48 min
Jun 16, 6:28 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Carver, McLeod	32 min
Jun 16, 6:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Carver, Hennepin, Scott	38 min
Jun 16, 6:53 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Nicollet	22 min
Jun 16, 6:58 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Carver	17 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 2025 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.