Flash Flood Warning 4, NWS Miami, FL

476 
WGUS72 KMFL 022010
FFSMFL

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
410 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025

FLC086-022020-
/O.CAN.KMFL.FF.W.0004.000000T0000Z-250602T2045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Miami-Dade FL-
410 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHERN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY HAS BEEN 
REPLACED WITH A FLOOD ADVISORY...

&&

LAT...LON 2596 8028 2597 8015 2590 8015 2587 8020
      2587 8028

$$

CF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
138 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 100 AM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025

Models keep basically a repeating weather pattern in place for
the next couple of days, although the window for the most active
period rain-wise seems to be this afternoon.

Latest Ensembles and CAMS keep a stationary frontal boundary
lingering around central Florida today, with associated cyclogenesis
near Jacksonville. Day-1 Weather Prediction Center (WPC) outlook
highlights the whole SoFlo Atlantic metro area for potential heavy
rain and flash flooding, with a wide window of possible impacts from
8am through 8 pm. Similar to Sunday, both ensemble families and LPMM
6-hr precip products depict another line of broken showers with
embedded thunderstorms bringing multiple rounds of heavy rain,
frequent lightning and gusty winds. The presence of the lingering
boundary will again provide enhanced instability and steep-enough
lapse rates, which combined with 500 mb temps cooling down to around
-11C or -12C will result in increasing favorable conditions for
experiencing a few strong to severe storms. An interesting element
to follow will be the interaction of the predominantly westerly flow
in the morning vs the developing easterly sea breeze along the
Atlantic side. If the sea breeze is strong enough, it could result
in rounds of rain anchoring over some metro areas, which will
require very close monitoring for localized flooding and/or flash
flooding potential.

Although most of the day will remain cloudy with passing showers,
latest HREF/LPMM estimates suggest possible heavy precip rounds as
late as 8-9pm and right over the Miami-Dade metro areas, with
localized amounts upwards of 5-6 inches. This coincides with WPCs
outlook placing most of the eastern half of SoFlo under a Slight
Risk of Excessive Rainfall through Tue/12Z, along with a 50% chance
of exceedance (50th percentile) of 2-3 inches, and a 10% chance of
exceedance (10th percentile) of 3-4 inches for that 24-hour period,
including the overnight hours into Tue morning.

Models suggest a possible break Tuesday after sunrise as latest
model sfc analyses push the aforementioned boundary further north
into the FL/GA border while breaking down.  However, enough
lingering deep moisture should remain in place for another round of
heavy showers and potential for localized flooding/flash flooding
for the late morning/afternoon hours. A few storms may become strong
or severe, with possible large hail, gusty winds, and frequent
lightning.

Despite the increased cloud cover and shower activity, afternoon
temperatures today are expected to again reach 90 over much of the
area, then cooling down into the low-mid 80s by Tuesday afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 100 AM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025

Latest long range solutions keep abundant deep moisture over
SoFlo through the middle of the week, with scattered to numerous
showers and storms likely on Wednesday afternoon and evening.

For the end of the work week and into the weekend, models depict a
gradual decrease in shower storm coverage as weak ridging tries to
establish over the west Atlantic, and with its associated ridge axis
extending into the northern half of the peninsula. This synoptic
setup will bring back generally SE winds through much of the long
term with speeds around 10 mph and afternoon periods of higher gusts
along the coasts. It will also keep most showers and thunderstorms
over inland areas of SoFlo. Model PWATs drop to around 1.5 inches
each afternoon, which could still support localized heavy rain.
Returning afternoon sea breeze boundaries will again become focal
points for deeper convection. However, with warmer 500mb
temperatures (-6C to -8C), and a more stable air mass, thunderstorm
potential will be more limited.

Temperatures will return to near or at normals with afternoon highs
in the upper 80s to low 90s across much of the area. Morning lows
will also remain near or at normals.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 137 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025

Periods of MVFR/IFR likely this afternoon and evening across the
east coast terminals as multiple rounds of scattered to numerous
showers and storms move through the area. Variable gusts to 25-30
kts or higher will be possible as well with these storms. RA/SHRA
could persist overnight, but there is expected to a break in
activity late tonight and tomorrow morning. Another round of
scattered showers and thunderstorms tomorrow, but only VCSH for now
as confidence is lower.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 100 AM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025

A stalled frontal boundary stalls just north of the coastal waters
will keep elevated chances for showers and storms through the middle
of the work week. Seas across the Atlantic waters will remain at 3
feet or less through the forecast period and 2 feet or less over the
Gulf waters. Only exception will be with any thunderstorm that
develops, which may produce brief periods of rough seas and gusty
winds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            74  81  76  85 /  90  90  90  90
West Kendall     71  83  73  87 /  90 100  90  90
Opa-Locka        74  84  75  87 /  90  90  90  90
Homestead        73  82  76  87 /  90 100  90  80
Fort Lauderdale  74  81  74  84 /  90  90  90  90
N Ft Lauderdale  74  81  74  84 /  90  90  90  90
Pembroke Pines   75  86  76  90 /  90  90  90  90
West Palm Beach  72  82  73  84 /  90  90  80  90
Boca Raton       73  84  73  85 /  90  90  90  90
Naples           72  84  73  87 /  90  90  90  90

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...Redman

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
111 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025

FLZ066-070-071-021745-
Inland Broward County FL-Hendry FL-Inland Collier County FL-
111 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central
Collier, southern Hendry and central Broward Counties through 145 PM
EDT...

At 111 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm 12 miles southeast of Hendry Correctional, or
23 miles southeast of Ave Maria, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 45 to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Miccosukee Indian Reservation and Big Cypress National Preserve.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

&&

LAT...LON 2608 8113 2616 8119 2635 8102 2614 8084
TIME...MOT...LOC 1711Z 236DEG 12KT 2615 8112

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

GR

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
114 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025

FLZ072-074-172-173-021745-
Coastal Broward County FL-Metro Broward County FL-
Metropolitan Miami Dade FL-Coastal Miami Dade County FL-
114 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northern Miami-Dade
and southern Broward Counties through 145 PM EDT...

At 114 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm over North Miami Beach, or near Miami Gardens.
This storm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 45 to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Hollywood, Miramar, Hallandale, Miami Gardens, North Miami, North
Miami Beach, Aventura, Sunny Isles Beach, Opa-Locka, West Park, Miami
Shores, Hard Rock Stadium, Golden Glades, Ojus, Westview, Pembroke
Park, Bay Harbor Islands, Biscayne Park, Bal Harbour, and Golden
Beach.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

&&

LAT...LON 2590 8011 2589 8013 2591 8012 2593 8013
      2590 8013 2591 8014 2590 8014 2590 8015
      2589 8014 2587 8017 2590 8027 2604 8019
      2601 8011 2592 8012
TIME...MOT...LOC 1714Z 219DEG 1KT 2592 8018

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

GR

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
131 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025

FLZ074-173-021745-
Metropolitan Miami Dade FL-Coastal Miami Dade County FL-
131 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northern Miami-Dade
County through 145 PM EDT...

At 131 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm over Westview, or near Hialeah. This storm was
nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 45 to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Miami, Hialeah, North Miami, Doral, Hialeah Gardens, Opa-Locka, Miami
Springs, Miami Shores, El Portal, Medley, West Little River,
Gladeview, Westview, Liberty City, Miami International Airport,
Pinewood, Little Haiti, Marlins Park, Biscayne Park, and Virginia
Gardens.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

&&

LAT...LON 2585 8017 2584 8017 2584 8018 2582 8018
      2581 8019 2580 8019 2577 8020 2577 8027
      2581 8033 2586 8033 2591 8028 2587 8016
      2586 8018 2585 8016
TIME...MOT...LOC 1731Z 211DEG 4KT 2589 8024

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

GR

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
142 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025

FLZ073-074-173-174-021815-
Metropolitan Miami Dade FL-Far South Miami-Dade County FL-
Inland Miami-Dade County FL-Coastal Miami Dade County FL-
142 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Miami-Dade
County through 215 PM EDT...

At 142 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm over Homestead. This storm was nearly
stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 45 to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Homestead, Homestead Miami Speedway, Black Point, The Redland,
Florida City, Homestead Base, Naranja, Princeton, Leisure City,
Cutler Bay, Zoo Miami, Goulds, West Perrine, Homestead Bayfront Park,
Richmond Heights, Richmond West, Palmetto Bay, South Miami Heights,
Palmetto Estates, and Three Lakes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

&&

LAT...LON 2545 8055 2555 8047 2564 8038 2559 8031
      2557 8030 2555 8032 2555 8031 2554 8031
      2554 8032 2553 8033 2551 8033 2550 8034
      2546 8034 2544 8032 2543 8033 2542 8033
      2536 8041
TIME...MOT...LOC 1742Z 212DEG 3KT 2548 8046

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

GR

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
146 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025

FLZ071-072-074-021815-
Inland Broward County FL-Metro Broward County FL-
Metropolitan Miami Dade FL-
146 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of north central
Miami-Dade and southern Broward Counties through 215 PM EDT...

At 145 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm near Intersection Krome And U.S. 27, or near
Pembroke Pines. This storm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 45 to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Pembroke Pines, Miramar, Davie, Sunrise, Weston, Cooper City, Royal
Palm Ranches, Sunshine Acres, and Intersection I-75 And Griffin Road.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

&&

LAT...LON 2594 8036 2602 8048 2614 8039 2605 8023
TIME...MOT...LOC 1745Z 212DEG 2KT 2600 8041

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

GR

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
156 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025

FLZ066-070-071-073-021830-
Inland Broward County FL-Hendry FL-Inland Collier County FL-
Inland Miami-Dade County FL-
156 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central
Collier, northern Miami-Dade, southeastern Hendry and Broward
Counties through 230 PM EDT...

At 156 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm near Miccosukee Indian Reservation, or 35 miles
northeast of Everglades City, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 45 to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Mile Marker 30 On Alligator Alley, Miccosukee Indian Reservation,
Intersection Alligator Alley And Miami Canal, Miccosukee Service
Plaza, Big Cypress National Preserve, and West Broward Rec. Area On
Alligator Alley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

&&

LAT...LON 2598 8085 2611 8105 2631 8088 2624 8065
      2608 8045 2596 8061
TIME...MOT...LOC 1756Z 239DEG 18KT 2612 8090

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

GR