Severe Thunderstorm Warning 229, NWS Atlanta, GA

456 
WWUS52 KFFC 272310
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
710 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

GAC023-091-175-272320-
/O.EXP.KFFC.SV.W.0229.000000T0000Z-250527T2315Z/
Laurens GA-Dodge GA-Bleckley GA-
710 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL LAURENS... 
NORTHWESTERN DODGE AND SOUTHEASTERN 
BLECKLEY COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT
715 PM EDT...

The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe 
limits, and have exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning 
will be allowed to expire.  However, gusty winds are still 
possible with these thunderstorms.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT 
for central Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3228 8331 3245 8329 3248 8308 3235 8303
      3223 8308
TIME...MOT...LOC 2310Z 274DEG 23KT 3244 8316 3225 8316 

$$

Culver

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
306 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

...Morning Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 303 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

At a glance:

- Strong to Severe storms are possible this afternoon and into
tonight.

- Thunderstorm chances will continue tomorrow.

An unseasonable wedge has set itself up over NE Georgia which ix
mixing with a stationary front that's draped across the SE. As a
result, we have a bit of a mess with low clouds and misty conditions
along and north of I-20. The warm sector is pretty clear just
looking at satellite and obs with only a few counties separating 50
and 70 dewpoints. The big question is whether or not the wedge will
erode, and if it does how far the warm sector will expand to the
north.

The warm sector should be able to build some modest instability
especially now that some of the clouds are beginning to lift. Some
thunderstorms have already begun to form across western Alabama and
they're moving into an environment that has already started to see
some cloud breaks with daytime heating. SBCAPE values between 1000-
1500 J/KG are expected south of a line from Columbus to Macon and
that's where we're beginning to develop more confidence in the
potential for strong to severe storms this afternoon. Shear values
aren't terribly impressive north or south of the wedge, with
effective shear values around 30kts.

North of I-20 is nearly a completely different air mass. Low cloud
coverage continues to linger. This morning sounding showed an
impressive inversion with CIN values near 200 J/KG. Obs are showing
that dewpoint values in the wedged area haven't even gotten out of
the 50s yet and it's hard to imagine these values will improve or
that the inversion will break down enough to pop the cap over the
wedged air mass. Any storms that do make it into this area, are
likely to encounter a hostile environment. So while a couple of
rumbles of thunder are possible our primary concern remains across
the central and southern parts of our CWA.

For tomorrow, the stationary front will continue to slowly sink
southward setting up along and west of I-16 and be our source of
lift again for what looks like a daytime heating thunderstorm event.
While the likelihood of organized severe weather tomorrow appears
low, any storms that form along the stationary front could have
strong to severe winds.

Vaughn

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday morning through next Monday)
Issued at 303 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

Wet conditions are expected to remain across north and central
Georgia on Thursday and Friday. Model guidance continues to come
into better agreement with respect to the upper level flow pattern,
with the closed upper low over the Upper Midwest anticipated to open
as it moves eastward over the Great Lakes on Thursday morning. The
open longwave trough will then decouple during the daytime on
Thursday, with the northern portion of the trough moving away to the
northeast and the southern portion of the trough digging
southeastward towards the Midwest. This will force a shortwave
trough the Southeast, with another round of showers and
thunderstorms organized ahead of the feature. The severe
thunderstorm risk will depend on what happens the previous night and
how much diurnal heating occurs. With dewpoints in the upper 60s to
low 70s across the area, ample instability will be present in
central Georgia where temperatures will rise into the mid to upper
80s. Ample moisture and strong destabilization combined with deep-
layer bulk shear between 30-35 kt will combine for robust
convection, with a few storms capable of becoming strong to severe.
Damaging wind gusts appear to be the primary risk with any severe
storms that occur. If the sun is able to break out further to the
north, strong instability and severe weather will become possible
there, as well.

Thursday night into Friday, the aforementioned trough over the
Midwest will continue to deepen as it moves southeastward towards
the Mid-Atlantic coast. A surface low is expected to develop over
Tennessee, which will drive a cold front into north and central
Georgia on Friday. At this time, it appears that a line of showers
and thunderstorms will enter northwest Georgia on Friday morning and
advance southward through the daytime, allowing for more diurnal
instability to develop in portions of central and east Georgia
before the line of storms arrives. At this time, there is a 15% risk
for severe outlined by SPC in portions of central and east Georgia.
Surface high will build into the forecast area behind the front on
Saturday, leading to dry weather and benign weather conditions.
Temperatures should be pleasant for late May/early June, with highs
in the upper 70s to mid 80s (and possibly some 60s in the mountains
in more elevated locations). Another shortwave rotating through the
base of the trough late Saturday night into Sunday morning could
produce showers out over northern GA. Moisture will be lacking with
the system, so showers should remain isolated in coverage. Another
surface high is expected to settle in over the Ohio River Valley on
Monday into Tuesday, which will bring easterly flow off the
Atlantic, a gradual increase in low-level moisture, and subsequently
diurnally driven convection each afternoon.

King

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 143 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

Conditions are difficult. LIFR CIGS continue to linger, though
approaching WX should help to push CIGS into IFR or low MVFR. -TSRA
is expected between 19-00Z this afternoon. Unfortunately, ATL is
unlikely to improve past low MVFR through the TAF period. A
stationary front will continue to cause a combination of low CIGS
and VIS. Winds will be out of the east at 5-10kts with a shift to
the SW expected tomorrow after 15Z.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...

Medium to High on all elements.

Vaughn

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          58  81  63  80 /  70  40  20  70
Atlanta         63  82  66  80 /  70  40  30  80
Blairsville     56  76  58  74 /  70  40  30  70
Cartersville    61  81  63  80 /  70  40  40  80
Columbus        67  86  68  84 /  50  40  30  80
Gainesville     58  79  64  77 /  70  40  30  70
Macon           66  86  67  83 /  70  30  30  80
Rome            62  82  64  79 /  70  40  40  80
Peachtree City  64  83  65  80 /  70  30  30  80
Vidalia         69  89  70  87 /  60  30  30  80

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Vaughn
LONG TERM....King
AVIATION...Vaughn

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1152 AM EDT Tue May 27 2025

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-281600-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1152 AM EDT Tue May 27 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north and central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected to move eastward
through the forecast area this afternoon into tonight. Some of
these storms could become strong to severe and produce damaging
wind gusts and hail. A brief tornado also cannot be ruled out.

Stronger storms could also produce heavy rainfall, which could
lead to localized flash flooding concerns.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected Wednesday
through Friday across much of north and central Georgia. Strong to
severe thunderstorms will be capable of producing gusty to
damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall, and frequent lightning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta. Please relay any information about observed
severe weather to the NWS.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
529 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

GAZ080>082-092>094-104-105-272200-
Macon GA-Schley GA-Peach GA-Dooly GA-Taylor GA-Bibb GA-Sumter GA-
Crawford GA-
529 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Macon,
southwestern Bibb, western Dooly, Peach, Crawford, eastern
Schley, Sumter and central Taylor Counties through 600 PM EDT...

At 528 PM EDT, National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
line of strong thunderstorms along a line extending from near
Lake Tobesofkee to near Croxton Crossroads, and moving east at 30
mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail, frequent cloud to ground
         lightning and increased chance of a brief tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...While winds should result in minor damage to tree limbs and
         blowing around of light, unsecured objects, the leading
         edge of this line of storms has also exhibited areas of
         localized rotation. A brief tornado could quickly form.

Locations impacted include...
Macon, Americus, Fort Valley, Butler, Ellaville, Oglethorpe, Roberta,
Byron, Montezuma, Marshallville, Reynolds, Byromville, Ideal, Leslie,
Andersonville, De Soto, Dooling, Desoto, Cobb, and Sumter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
central and west central Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3191 8433 3263 8427 3269 8420 3280 8415
      3280 8412 3284 8411 3283 8371 3246 8383
      3246 8385 3230 8385 3203 8393 3203 8396
      3198 8394 3191 8397
TIME...MOT...LOC 2128Z 269DEG 27KT 3287 8382 3193 8433

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Culver

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
545 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

GAZ096-097-109-272215-
Bleckley GA-Laurens GA-Dodge GA-
545 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of west central
Laurens, north central Dodge and northeastern Bleckley Counties
through 615 PM EDT...

At 545 PM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Roddy to near Rentz, and moving north at 20
mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, up to penny sized hail and frequent
         cloud to ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Dublin, Chester, Dexter, Dudley, Cadwell, Rentz, Harlow, Yonkers,
Goldsboro, Rebie, and Rowland.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
central Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3237 8331 3253 8328 3250 8284 3233 8300
TIME...MOT...LOC 2145Z 202DEG 15KT 3240 8327 3239 8295

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Culver

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
601 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

GAZ082-083-094-095-105-272230-
Peach GA-Dooly GA-Bibb GA-Houston GA-Twiggs GA-
601 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southeastern
Bibb, southwestern Twiggs, Dooly, southeastern Peach and Houston
Counties through 630 PM EDT...

At 601 PM EDT, National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
line of strong thunderstorms along a line extending from near
Jack Brown Estates to near Drayton, and moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail, frequent cloud to
         ground lightning and increased chance of a brief tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...While winds should result in minor damage to tree limbs and
         blowing around of light, unsecured objects, the leading
         edge of this line of storms has also exhibited areas of
         localized rotation. A brief tornado could quickly form.

Locations impacted include...
Perry, Vienna, Warner Robins, Centerville, Unadilla, Byromville,
Pinehurst, Lilly, Dooling, Robins AFB, Hayneville, Meadowdale, Robins
Air Force Base, Richwood, Houston Lake, Elko, Grove Park, Drayton,
Moss Oak, and Tippettville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
central and west central Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8400 3229 8388 3229 8385 3244 8383
      3245 8380 3251 8379 3251 8375 3253 8375
      3253 8372 3265 8373 3277 8367 3276 8345
      3238 8354 3229 8361 3203 8361 3203 8396
TIME...MOT...LOC 2201Z 263DEG 20KT 3273 8376 3204 8393

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Culver

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
629 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

GAZ083-084-095>097-107-109-272300-
Wilkinson GA-Houston GA-Bleckley GA-Laurens GA-Dodge GA-Twiggs GA-
Pulaski GA-
629 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of south central
Wilkinson, northwestern Laurens, northwestern Dodge, northwestern
Pulaski, southeastern Twiggs, Bleckley and east central Houston
Counties through 700 PM EDT...

At 629 PM EDT, National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
strong thunderstorm over Ocmulgee Public Fishing Area, or near
Hawkinsville, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail, frequent cloud to
         ground lightning and increased chance of a brief tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...While winds should result in minor damage to tree limbs and
         blowing around of light, unsecured objects, this storm has
         also exhibited localized rotation. A brief tornado could
         quickly form.

Locations impacted include...
Dublin, Cochran, Hawkinsville, Chester, Dexter, Dudley, Cadwell,
Danville, Montrose, Allentown, Tarversville, Empire, Roddy, Rowland,
Royal, District Path, Ocmulgee Public Fishing Area, Harlow, Paulk,
and Goldsboro.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
central Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3233 8355 3264 8349 3264 8289 3232 8306
TIME...MOT...LOC 2229Z 264DEG 42KT 3237 8345

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Culver

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
642 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

GAZ112-113-272315-
Toombs GA-Montgomery GA-
642 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern
Toombs and southeastern Montgomery Counties through 715 PM EDT...

At 642 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Alston, or 9 miles
southeast of Mount Vernon, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, up to penny sized hail and frequent
         cloud to ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Uvalda, Alston, South Thompson, English Eddy, Center, Toombs Central,
Grays Landing, Rock Springs, Cedar Crossing, Charlotteville, and
McNatt Falls.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3194 8238 3195 8237 3196 8238 3196 8239
      3195 8239 3196 8240 3195 8240 3197 8244
      3196 8246 3197 8248 3196 8250 3198 8256
      3212 8255 3216 8232 3193 8232
TIME...MOT...LOC 2242Z 271DEG 15KT 3207 8251

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Culver

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
646 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0250 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Washington              33.74N 82.74W
05/21/2025                   Wilkes             GA   Emergency Mngr

            Emergency management reported 4 trees down
            and one tree on powerlines across the
            county.

&&