Severe Thunderstorm Warning 227, NWS Atlanta, GA

863 
WWUS52 KFFC 272050
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
450 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

GAC145-215-263-272100-
/O.EXP.KFFC.SV.W.0227.000000T0000Z-250527T2100Z/
Muscogee GA-Talbot GA-Harris GA-
450 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN MUSCOGEE...
SOUTHWESTERN TALBOT AND SOUTHEASTERN HARRIS COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT
500 PM EDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will
be allowed to expire.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
west central Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3269 8483 3269 8456 3260 8454 3252 8458
      3252 8460 3253 8461 3253 8465 3252 8467
      3258 8486
TIME...MOT...LOC 2050Z 278DEG 13KT 3260 8465 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
306 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

...Morning Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 303 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

At a glance:

- Strong to Severe storms are possible this afternoon and into
tonight.

- Thunderstorm chances will continue tomorrow.

An unseasonable wedge has set itself up over NE Georgia which ix
mixing with a stationary front that's draped across the SE. As a
result, we have a bit of a mess with low clouds and misty conditions
along and north of I-20. The warm sector is pretty clear just
looking at satellite and obs with only a few counties separating 50
and 70 dewpoints. The big question is whether or not the wedge will
erode, and if it does how far the warm sector will expand to the
north.

The warm sector should be able to build some modest instability
especially now that some of the clouds are beginning to lift. Some
thunderstorms have already begun to form across western Alabama and
they're moving into an environment that has already started to see
some cloud breaks with daytime heating. SBCAPE values between 1000-
1500 J/KG are expected south of a line from Columbus to Macon and
that's where we're beginning to develop more confidence in the
potential for strong to severe storms this afternoon. Shear values
aren't terribly impressive north or south of the wedge, with
effective shear values around 30kts.

North of I-20 is nearly a completely different air mass. Low cloud
coverage continues to linger. This morning sounding showed an
impressive inversion with CIN values near 200 J/KG. Obs are showing
that dewpoint values in the wedged area haven't even gotten out of
the 50s yet and it's hard to imagine these values will improve or
that the inversion will break down enough to pop the cap over the
wedged air mass. Any storms that do make it into this area, are
likely to encounter a hostile environment. So while a couple of
rumbles of thunder are possible our primary concern remains across
the central and southern parts of our CWA.

For tomorrow, the stationary front will continue to slowly sink
southward setting up along and west of I-16 and be our source of
lift again for what looks like a daytime heating thunderstorm event.
While the likelihood of organized severe weather tomorrow appears
low, any storms that form along the stationary front could have
strong to severe winds.

Vaughn

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday morning through next Monday)
Issued at 303 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

Wet conditions are expected to remain across north and central
Georgia on Thursday and Friday. Model guidance continues to come
into better agreement with respect to the upper level flow pattern,
with the closed upper low over the Upper Midwest anticipated to open
as it moves eastward over the Great Lakes on Thursday morning. The
open longwave trough will then decouple during the daytime on
Thursday, with the northern portion of the trough moving away to the
northeast and the southern portion of the trough digging
southeastward towards the Midwest. This will force a shortwave
trough the Southeast, with another round of showers and
thunderstorms organized ahead of the feature. The severe
thunderstorm risk will depend on what happens the previous night and
how much diurnal heating occurs. With dewpoints in the upper 60s to
low 70s across the area, ample instability will be present in
central Georgia where temperatures will rise into the mid to upper
80s. Ample moisture and strong destabilization combined with deep-
layer bulk shear between 30-35 kt will combine for robust
convection, with a few storms capable of becoming strong to severe.
Damaging wind gusts appear to be the primary risk with any severe
storms that occur. If the sun is able to break out further to the
north, strong instability and severe weather will become possible
there, as well.

Thursday night into Friday, the aforementioned trough over the
Midwest will continue to deepen as it moves southeastward towards
the Mid-Atlantic coast. A surface low is expected to develop over
Tennessee, which will drive a cold front into north and central
Georgia on Friday. At this time, it appears that a line of showers
and thunderstorms will enter northwest Georgia on Friday morning and
advance southward through the daytime, allowing for more diurnal
instability to develop in portions of central and east Georgia
before the line of storms arrives. At this time, there is a 15% risk
for severe outlined by SPC in portions of central and east Georgia.
Surface high will build into the forecast area behind the front on
Saturday, leading to dry weather and benign weather conditions.
Temperatures should be pleasant for late May/early June, with highs
in the upper 70s to mid 80s (and possibly some 60s in the mountains
in more elevated locations). Another shortwave rotating through the
base of the trough late Saturday night into Sunday morning could
produce showers out over northern GA. Moisture will be lacking with
the system, so showers should remain isolated in coverage. Another
surface high is expected to settle in over the Ohio River Valley on
Monday into Tuesday, which will bring easterly flow off the
Atlantic, a gradual increase in low-level moisture, and subsequently
diurnally driven convection each afternoon.

King

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 143 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

Conditions are difficult. LIFR CIGS continue to linger, though
approaching WX should help to push CIGS into IFR or low MVFR. -TSRA
is expected between 19-00Z this afternoon. Unfortunately, ATL is
unlikely to improve past low MVFR through the TAF period. A
stationary front will continue to cause a combination of low CIGS
and VIS. Winds will be out of the east at 5-10kts with a shift to
the SW expected tomorrow after 15Z.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...

Medium to High on all elements.

Vaughn

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          58  81  63  80 /  70  40  20  70
Atlanta         63  82  66  80 /  70  40  30  80
Blairsville     56  76  58  74 /  70  40  30  70
Cartersville    61  81  63  80 /  70  40  40  80
Columbus        67  86  68  84 /  50  40  30  80
Gainesville     58  79  64  77 /  70  40  30  70
Macon           66  86  67  83 /  70  30  30  80
Rome            62  82  64  79 /  70  40  40  80
Peachtree City  64  83  65  80 /  70  30  30  80
Vidalia         69  89  70  87 /  60  30  30  80

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Vaughn
LONG TERM....King
AVIATION...Vaughn

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1152 AM EDT Tue May 27 2025

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-281600-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1152 AM EDT Tue May 27 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north and central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected to move eastward
through the forecast area this afternoon into tonight. Some of
these storms could become strong to severe and produce damaging
wind gusts and hail. A brief tornado also cannot be ruled out.

Stronger storms could also produce heavy rainfall, which could
lead to localized flash flooding concerns.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected Wednesday
through Friday across much of north and central Georgia. Strong to
severe thunderstorms will be capable of producing gusty to
damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall, and frequent lightning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta. Please relay any information about observed
severe weather to the NWS.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
248 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

GAZ019-020-030>032-042-271915-
Polk GA-Cobb GA-Bartow GA-Carroll GA-Paulding GA-Floyd GA-
248 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Paulding, north
central Carroll, northwestern Cobb, southeastern Floyd, eastern Polk
and southern Bartow Counties through 315 PM EDT...

At 248 PM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Seney to near Van Wert to near Temple, and moving
northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Marietta, Cartersville, Dallas, Kennesaw, Acworth, Powder Springs,
Rockmart, Euharlee, Hiram, Emerson, Aragon, Kingston, Braswell,
Taylorsville, Cassville, Yorkville, Burnt Hickory Ridge, Lost
Mountain Park, Red Top Mountain State Park, and Cross Roads.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
northwestern Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3432 8485 3411 8466 3408 8466 3408 8464
      3386 8457 3376 8501 3387 8504 3390 8504
      3390 8505 3394 8506 3412 8519
TIME...MOT...LOC 1848Z 236DEG 39KT 3410 8515 3395 8504 3378 8499

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
257 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

GAZ066-078-271930-
Harris GA-Troup GA-
257 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Troup and
northwestern Harris Counties through 330 PM EDT...

At 257 PM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Wares Crossroads to State Line Park to Oak
Bowery, and moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
LaGrange, West Point, Hogansville, Piedmont Heights, Cannonville,
Harrisonville, Hillcrest, Wares Crossroads, Louise, State Line Park,
Abbottsford, and Long Cane.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
west central Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3315 8515 3316 8512 3318 8512 3318 8505
      3323 8492 3322 8486 3319 8486 3308 8492
      3280 8515 3281 8517 3285 8515 3286 8519
      3307 8522
TIME...MOT...LOC 1857Z 258DEG 33KT 3315 8511 3302 8521 3277 8542

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
340 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

GAZ067>070-272015-
Lamar GA-Upson GA-Meriwether GA-Pike GA-
340 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of central Meriwether,
Pike, northwestern Upson and western Lamar Counties through 415 PM
EDT...

At 340 PM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from Wooster to Harris City, and moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Thomaston, Barnesville, Zebulon, Greenville, Woodbury, Milner,
Molena, Williamson, Meansville, Aldora, Gay, Sunset Village, Lincoln
Park, The Rock, Concord, Atwater, Hilltop, Hollonville, Sprewell
Bluff State Park, and Sunnyside.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
west central Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3298 8481 3318 8464 3317 8413 3297 8420
      3281 8436 3286 8449 3288 8448 3288 8450
      3287 8452
TIME...MOT...LOC 1940Z 282DEG 44KT 3315 8460 3298 8474

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
403 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

GAZ078-079-089-272030-
Harris GA-Talbot GA-Muscogee GA-
403 PM EDT Tue May 27 2025

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Muscogee,
northwestern Talbot and eastern Harris Counties through 430 PM
EDT...

At 403 PM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from Pine Mountain Valley to near Ellerslie to Vista
Terrace, and moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Columbus, Hamilton, Pine Mountain, Waverly Hall, North Fort Benning,
Bibb City, Upatoi, Shiloh, Ellerslie, Laurel Hills, Green Island
Hills, Vista Terrace, Cataula, Columbus Metropolitan Airport,
Baughville, Rose Hill, Flint Hill, Benning Hills, Avondale, and
Benning Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
west central Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3264 8494 3285 8491 3284 8463 3272 8455
      3243 8478 3241 8484 3241 8488 3237 8496
      3238 8499 3239 8497 3241 8498 3243 8496
      3246 8500 3250 8500 3254 8502
TIME...MOT...LOC 2003Z 241DEG 21KT 3281 8480 3263 8475 3246 8489

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Culver