Severe Thunderstorm Warning 2, NWS Atlanta, GA

596 
WWUS52 KFFC 160812
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
312 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

GAC015-047-055-115-123-129-213-233-295-313-160845-
/O.CON.KFFC.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-250216T0845Z/
Catoosa GA-Gilmer GA-Murray GA-Floyd GA-Whitfield GA-Walker GA-
Gordon GA-Polk GA-Chattooga GA-Bartow GA-
312 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 AM EST
FOR CATOOSA...WEST CENTRAL GILMER...MURRAY...FLOYD...WHITFIELD...
EASTERN WALKER...GORDON...POLK...CENTRAL CHATTOOGA AND BARTOW
COUNTIES...

At 312 AM EST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Villanow to near Coosa to near Spring Garden,
moving northeast at 75 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Rome, Dalton, Cartersville, Calhoun, Cedartown, Lafayette,
Summerville, Chatsworth, Ringgold, Fort Oglethorpe, Adairsville,
Rockmart, Euharlee, Trion, Varnell, Aragon, Cave Spring, Eton, Tunnel
Hill, and White.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 AM EST for north central
and northwestern Georgia.

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. These storms may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

&&

LAT...LON 3461 8463 3424 8477 3402 8496 3393 8539
      3424 8545 3454 8535 3497 8525 3498 8462
TIME...MOT...LOC 0812Z 243DEG 65KT 3472 8513 3431 8528 3398 8561 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

396 
WWUS52 KFFC 160824
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
324 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

GAC015-047-055-115-123-129-213-233-295-313-160845-
/O.CON.KFFC.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-250216T0845Z/
Catoosa GA-Gilmer GA-Murray GA-Floyd GA-Whitfield GA-Walker GA-
Gordon GA-Polk GA-Chattooga GA-Bartow GA-
324 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 AM EST
FOR EASTERN CATOOSA...WEST CENTRAL GILMER...MURRAY...FLOYD...
WHITFIELD...SOUTHEASTERN WALKER...GORDON...POLK...NORTHEASTERN
CHATTOOGA AND BARTOW COUNTIES...

At 324 AM EST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Tilton to near Rome to near Esom Hill, moving east at
60 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Rome, Dalton, Cartersville, Calhoun, Cedartown, Chatsworth, Ringgold,
Adairsville, Rockmart, Euharlee, Varnell, Aragon, Cave Spring, Eton,
Tunnel Hill, White, Cohutta, Kingston, Resaca, and Plainville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 AM EST for north central
and northwestern Georgia.

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3461 8463 3424 8477 3402 8496 3393 8539
      3411 8542 3434 8520 3497 8512 3498 8462
TIME...MOT...LOC 0824Z 268DEG 50KT 3466 8494 3425 8509 3392 8542 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1254 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...New 06Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday night)
Issued at 249 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

Key Messages:

 - A warm front will lift N across the area overnight, which is
   expected to obliterate the CAD wedge.

 - A strong cold front will bring heavy rain and thunderstorms
   tonight into Sunday morning, which could produce additional
   localized flooding and a conditional threat for isolated severe
   weather.

A strong CAD wedge over N and N Central GA is producing widespread
low clouds, fog, and drizzle. A warm front will lift N tonight and
Sat as a storm system develops over the Central Plains and moves E. A
lingering CAD wedge over N and N Central GA will eventually be
eroded by the warmer air and increasing southerly flow.

A potent cold front will be sweeping across the area late tonight
into Sun morning. Increasing wind flow near and above the surface
will bring increasing low-level shear. As a result, a squall line
is expected to develop upstream of the area. The forecast
challenge is what happens to this line of thunderstorms as it
approaches an area that has less and less instability available
due to the existing or recently departed wedge and no available
diurnal heating due to the time of day. The best instability is
forecast to exist over the extreme W portion of the state. This
instability may be surface-based toward the Columbus area, while
locations to the NE will have an increased likelihood of elevated
instability. As a result, we're expecting to N portion of the
squall line to weaken as it spreads into the area late tonight,
while isolated severe storms remain possible farther to the S. The
main threat of these thunderstorms will be damaging winds, but
there will be the threat of an isolated tornado, particularly in
locations with surface-based instability. This threat may be most
pronounced near the warm front/S wedge boundary.

Rainfall rates associated with the cold front will be quite high.
However, the front will be moving at a good clip across the area,
which should keep storm totals in check. In fact, QPF amounts have
continued to slowly trend downward. Still, antecedent conditions
are quite wet due to the recent rains and ongoing river flooding.
In addition, some heavy showers and thunderstorms may train as
they move NE along the line's orientation. So, although widespread
areal flooding is not anticipated, more localized, shorter
duration flooding is certainly possible. Additionally, this will
at least delay the recession of river flood waters. Storm total
amounts are forecast to range from around 1.25" in the NE
mountains to around 2/3" in the Atlanta metro area to about 1/2"
in SE zones. Again, locally higher amounts are very possible.

Low temperatures tonight will range from the lower 40s in the N
to the upper 50s in the extreme SE. The lowest temperatures in
most locations will occur early in the night, with temperatures
rising through the night. Daytime highs on Sun will range from the
upper 50s well behind the surface front to the lower 70s in the
extreme SE. Much colder air will filter in behind the cold front
for Sun night, with lows ranging from near 20 in the NE mountains
to the mid 30s in the extreme SE. /SEC

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday morning through next Friday)
Issued at 249 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

Key Messages:

- The small probability of impactful winter weather on Wednesday in
the north Georgia mountains continues to decrease.

- Significant cold air likely Thursday and Friday, with lows in the
low 20s to mid teens.

Monday and Tuesday:

No precipitation expected through late Tuesday night. Highs climbing
from the 40s on Monday to the 50s and 60s on Tuesday. Overall dry
and clear conditions.

Tuesday night through Friday Morning:

Models have begun to converge on an out of phase solution between
the incoming shortwave and the larger scale wave break feature to
the north. What this means for us is less amplitude to the incoming
wave and warmer conditions for precipitation. The small probability
of impactful winter weather on Wednesday in north Georgia has
continued to decrease, probs of >0.5" in 24 hrs <25%. Current likely
outcome is a brief wintry mix across far north Georgia and
widespread rain from the Atlanta Metro south. A few rumbles of
thunder south of I20 cannot be ruled out at this time. Temperatures
cool off wednesday night with the cold front passage. Lows on
Thursday will be in the 20s and 30s. Dry, post frontal air, moves in
on Friday with a whopping 1040 high over Missouri. Lows on Friday
morning could reach the teens and low 20s, though things should warm
up back to around 40 with clear conditions.

No further systems anticipated through the end of the long term
outlook at this time.

SM

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1246 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

The primary aviation concerns through 14Z Sunday will be fog and
thunderstorms. A line of storms will race through north and
central Georgia between 08Z and 14Z today. Wind gusts between 35
and 55 kt, and hazardous wind shear may accompany this line of
storms. Impacts are expected for all the TAF sites. Fog will
continue to affect portions of north Georgia until the line of
storms passes. Southerly wind gusts between 20 and 30 kt are
possible before the thunderstorms, then westerly gusts in the same
range are anticipated through 00Z Monday.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
High confidence in the timing and occurrence of thunderstorms
High confidence in gusty winds through 00Z Monday.
Moderate confidence in the continuation of fog through 08Z.

Albright

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          28  53  29  58 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         28  50  31  57 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     20  47  25  54 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    26  47  26  57 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        31  55  32  60 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     28  52  31  56 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           30  55  31  60 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            26  47  27  56 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  27  50  28  57 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         34  56  35  64 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until noon EST today for GAZ001>009-011>016-
019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-089>098-102>113.

Dense Fog Advisory until 5 AM EST early this morning for
GAZ013>016-020>025-027-031>039-043>051-055-057-062.

&&

SHORT TERM...SEC
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...Albright

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
758 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-170100-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
758 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north and central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight...

Another storm system will bring a line of thunderstorms and
additional heavy rainfall to the area late tonight into Sunday. There
is a chance that a few thunderstorms with this system could become
strong to severe, capable of producing localized damaging wind gusts.
A brief tornado also cannot be ruled out.

Wind gusts over 35 mph are possible across the area late tonight and
Sunday morning. A Wind Advisory is in effect.

River flooding will also linger through the weekend into early next
week in portions of north Georgia

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

Scattered thunderstorms will continue to move across central and
east Georgia on Sunday morning. Isolated strong to severe storms
could produce localized damaging wind gusts.

There is a chance for light snow across portions of far north
Georgia Wednesday night into early Thursday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Storm spotters are requested to self-activate tonight and Sunday
morning if warnings are issued.