Severe Thunderstorm Warning 1, NWS Atlanta, GA

883 
WWUS52 KFFC 160720
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
220 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

GAC047-055-083-115-129-295-313-160800-
/O.CON.KFFC.SV.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250216T0800Z/
Catoosa GA-Floyd GA-Whitfield GA-Walker GA-Gordon GA-Dade GA-
Chattooga GA-
220 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM EST
FOR CATOOSA...CENTRAL FLOYD...CENTRAL WHITFIELD...WALKER...
NORTHWESTERN GORDON...DADE AND CHATTOOGA COUNTIES...

At 219 AM EST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Sherwood to Martintown to near McVille, moving
east at 65 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Rome, Dalton, Lafayette, Summerville, Ringgold, Trenton, Fort
Oglethorpe, Rossville, Chickamauga, Trion, Varnell, Lookout Mountain,
Tunnel Hill, Cohutta, Resaca, Chattanooga Valley, La Fayette, Lyerly,
Menlo, and Center Post.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 AM EST for northwestern 
Georgia. Tornadoes can develop quickly from severe thunderstorms. 
Although a tornado is not immediately likely, if one is spotted act 
quickly and move to a place of safety inside a sturdy structure, 
such as a basement or small interior room.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. These storms may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

&&

LAT...LON 3459 8493 3417 8526 3416 8543 3498 8560
      3499 8498
TIME...MOT...LOC 0719Z 281DEG 55KT 3512 8589 3472 8590 3432 8613 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

374 
WWUS52 KFFC 160741
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Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
241 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

GAC047-055-083-115-129-295-313-160800-
/O.CON.KFFC.SV.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250216T0800Z/
Catoosa GA-Floyd GA-Whitfield GA-Walker GA-Gordon GA-Dade GA-
Chattooga GA-
241 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM EST
FOR CATOOSA...CENTRAL FLOYD...CENTRAL WHITFIELD...WALKER...
NORTHWESTERN GORDON...DADE AND CHATTOOGA COUNTIES...

At 241 AM EST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Jasper to near Ider to near Sand Rock, moving east at
40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Rome, Dalton, Lafayette, Summerville, Ringgold, Trenton, Fort
Oglethorpe, Rossville, Chickamauga, Trion, Varnell, Lookout Mountain,
Tunnel Hill, Cohutta, Resaca, Chattanooga Valley, La Fayette, Lyerly,
Menlo, and Center Post.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 AM EST for northwestern 
Georgia. Tornadoes can develop quickly from severe thunderstorms. 
Although a tornado is not immediately likely, if one is spotted act 
quickly and move to a place of safety inside a sturdy structure, 
such as a basement or small interior room.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. These storms may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

&&

LAT...LON 3498 8560 3499 8498 3459 8493 3417 8526
      3416 8543
TIME...MOT...LOC 0741Z 283DEG 33KT 3506 8559 3467 8569 3426 8582 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

965 
WWUS52 KFFC 160751
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
251 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

GAC047-055-083-115-129-295-313-160800-
/O.CON.KFFC.SV.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250216T0800Z/
Catoosa GA-Floyd GA-Whitfield GA-Walker GA-Gordon GA-Dade GA-
Chattooga GA-
251 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM EST
FOR CATOOSA...CENTRAL FLOYD...CENTRAL WHITFIELD...WALKER...
NORTHWESTERN GORDON...DADE AND CHATTOOGA COUNTIES...

At 251 AM EST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Hicks Gap State Park to near Sulpher Springs to near
Cedar Bluff, moving east at 65 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Rome, Dalton, Lafayette, Summerville, Ringgold, Trenton, Fort
Oglethorpe, Rossville, Chickamauga, Trion, Varnell, Lookout Mountain,
Tunnel Hill, Cohutta, Resaca, Chattanooga Valley, La Fayette, Lyerly,
Menlo, and Center Post.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 AM EST for northwestern 
Georgia. Tornadoes can develop quickly from severe thunderstorms. 
Although a tornado is not immediately likely, if one is spotted act 
quickly and move to a place of safety inside a sturdy structure, 
such as a basement or small interior room.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. These storms may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

&&

LAT...LON 3498 8560 3499 8498 3459 8493 3417 8526
      3416 8543
TIME...MOT...LOC 0751Z 270DEG 55KT 3504 8541 3465 8551 3424 8564 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

384 
WWUS52 KFFC 160800
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
300 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

GAC047-055-083-115-129-295-313-160809-
/O.EXP.KFFC.SV.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250216T0800Z/
Catoosa GA-Floyd GA-Whitfield GA-Walker GA-Gordon GA-Dade GA-
Chattooga GA-
300 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CATOOSA...CENTRAL FLOYD...
CENTRAL WHITFIELD...WALKER...NORTHWESTERN GORDON...DADE AND CHATTOOGA
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 300 AM EST...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 AM EST for northwestern
Georgia.

Remember, a Severe Thunderstorm Warning still remains in effect for
portions of Catoosa, Walker, Chattooga, and Whitfield counties. 

&&

LAT...LON 3498 8560 3499 8498 3459 8493 3417 8526
      3416 8543
TIME...MOT...LOC 0759Z 281DEG 55KT 3502 8528 3463 8538 3422 8551 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1254 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...New 06Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday night)
Issued at 249 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

Key Messages:

 - A warm front will lift N across the area overnight, which is
   expected to obliterate the CAD wedge.

 - A strong cold front will bring heavy rain and thunderstorms
   tonight into Sunday morning, which could produce additional
   localized flooding and a conditional threat for isolated severe
   weather.

A strong CAD wedge over N and N Central GA is producing widespread
low clouds, fog, and drizzle. A warm front will lift N tonight and
Sat as a storm system develops over the Central Plains and moves E. A
lingering CAD wedge over N and N Central GA will eventually be
eroded by the warmer air and increasing southerly flow.

A potent cold front will be sweeping across the area late tonight
into Sun morning. Increasing wind flow near and above the surface
will bring increasing low-level shear. As a result, a squall line
is expected to develop upstream of the area. The forecast
challenge is what happens to this line of thunderstorms as it
approaches an area that has less and less instability available
due to the existing or recently departed wedge and no available
diurnal heating due to the time of day. The best instability is
forecast to exist over the extreme W portion of the state. This
instability may be surface-based toward the Columbus area, while
locations to the NE will have an increased likelihood of elevated
instability. As a result, we're expecting to N portion of the
squall line to weaken as it spreads into the area late tonight,
while isolated severe storms remain possible farther to the S. The
main threat of these thunderstorms will be damaging winds, but
there will be the threat of an isolated tornado, particularly in
locations with surface-based instability. This threat may be most
pronounced near the warm front/S wedge boundary.

Rainfall rates associated with the cold front will be quite high.
However, the front will be moving at a good clip across the area,
which should keep storm totals in check. In fact, QPF amounts have
continued to slowly trend downward. Still, antecedent conditions
are quite wet due to the recent rains and ongoing river flooding.
In addition, some heavy showers and thunderstorms may train as
they move NE along the line's orientation. So, although widespread
areal flooding is not anticipated, more localized, shorter
duration flooding is certainly possible. Additionally, this will
at least delay the recession of river flood waters. Storm total
amounts are forecast to range from around 1.25" in the NE
mountains to around 2/3" in the Atlanta metro area to about 1/2"
in SE zones. Again, locally higher amounts are very possible.

Low temperatures tonight will range from the lower 40s in the N
to the upper 50s in the extreme SE. The lowest temperatures in
most locations will occur early in the night, with temperatures
rising through the night. Daytime highs on Sun will range from the
upper 50s well behind the surface front to the lower 70s in the
extreme SE. Much colder air will filter in behind the cold front
for Sun night, with lows ranging from near 20 in the NE mountains
to the mid 30s in the extreme SE. /SEC

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday morning through next Friday)
Issued at 249 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

Key Messages:

- The small probability of impactful winter weather on Wednesday in
the north Georgia mountains continues to decrease.

- Significant cold air likely Thursday and Friday, with lows in the
low 20s to mid teens.

Monday and Tuesday:

No precipitation expected through late Tuesday night. Highs climbing
from the 40s on Monday to the 50s and 60s on Tuesday. Overall dry
and clear conditions.

Tuesday night through Friday Morning:

Models have begun to converge on an out of phase solution between
the incoming shortwave and the larger scale wave break feature to
the north. What this means for us is less amplitude to the incoming
wave and warmer conditions for precipitation. The small probability
of impactful winter weather on Wednesday in north Georgia has
continued to decrease, probs of >0.5" in 24 hrs <25%. Current likely
outcome is a brief wintry mix across far north Georgia and
widespread rain from the Atlanta Metro south. A few rumbles of
thunder south of I20 cannot be ruled out at this time. Temperatures
cool off wednesday night with the cold front passage. Lows on
Thursday will be in the 20s and 30s. Dry, post frontal air, moves in
on Friday with a whopping 1040 high over Missouri. Lows on Friday
morning could reach the teens and low 20s, though things should warm
up back to around 40 with clear conditions.

No further systems anticipated through the end of the long term
outlook at this time.

SM

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1246 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

The primary aviation concerns through 14Z Sunday will be fog and
thunderstorms. A line of storms will race through north and
central Georgia between 08Z and 14Z today. Wind gusts between 35
and 55 kt, and hazardous wind shear may accompany this line of
storms. Impacts are expected for all the TAF sites. Fog will
continue to affect portions of north Georgia until the line of
storms passes. Southerly wind gusts between 20 and 30 kt are
possible before the thunderstorms, then westerly gusts in the same
range are anticipated through 00Z Monday.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
High confidence in the timing and occurrence of thunderstorms
High confidence in gusty winds through 00Z Monday.
Moderate confidence in the continuation of fog through 08Z.

Albright

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          28  53  29  58 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         28  50  31  57 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     20  47  25  54 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    26  47  26  57 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        31  55  32  60 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     28  52  31  56 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           30  55  31  60 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            26  47  27  56 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  27  50  28  57 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         34  56  35  64 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until noon EST today for GAZ001>009-011>016-
019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-089>098-102>113.

Dense Fog Advisory until 5 AM EST early this morning for
GAZ013>016-020>025-027-031>039-043>051-055-057-062.

&&

SHORT TERM...SEC
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...Albright

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
758 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-170100-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
758 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north and central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight...

Another storm system will bring a line of thunderstorms and
additional heavy rainfall to the area late tonight into Sunday. There
is a chance that a few thunderstorms with this system could become
strong to severe, capable of producing localized damaging wind gusts.
A brief tornado also cannot be ruled out.

Wind gusts over 35 mph are possible across the area late tonight and
Sunday morning. A Wind Advisory is in effect.

River flooding will also linger through the weekend into early next
week in portions of north Georgia

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

Scattered thunderstorms will continue to move across central and
east Georgia on Sunday morning. Isolated strong to severe storms
could produce localized damaging wind gusts.

There is a chance for light snow across portions of far north
Georgia Wednesday night into early Thursday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Storm spotters are requested to self-activate tonight and Sunday
morning if warnings are issued.