River Flood Warning 48, NWS Atlanta, GA

119 
WGUS82 KFFC 131902
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
202 PM EST Thu Feb 13 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Monroe, Bibb, Twiggs, Jones 
  and Houston Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

&&

GAC021-153-169-207-289-140700-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0048.250214T0049Z-250217T2018Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.250214T0049Z.250215T1200Z.250217T1418Z.NO/
202 PM EST Thu Feb 13 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO MONDAY 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Ocmulgee River near Macon.

* WHEN...From this evening to Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 23 feet, Minor flooding continues to expand. Large 
  portions of the Macon GreenWay Ocmulgee Heritage Trail floods 
  north of the Martin Luther King Boulevard bridge. The flood waters 
  will be up to 3 feet deep on portions of the trail. Large portions 
  of agricultural lands east of Macon and well downstream will be 
  under 1 to 5 feet of water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:30 PM EST Thursday the stage was 17.5 feet and rising.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    this evening to a crest of 23.1 feet Saturday morning. It
    will then fall below flood stage late Monday morning.
  - Flood stage is 18 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363


$$

303 
WGUS82 KFFC 140642
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
142 AM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Bibb, Twiggs, Houston, Monroe 
  and Jones Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&

GAC021-153-169-207-289-141845-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-250218T0000Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.250214T0056Z.250215T1200Z.250217T1800Z.NO/
142 AM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Ocmulgee River near Macon.

* WHEN...Until Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 25.0 feet, Minor flooding expands further into the 
  woodlands and over the Macon GreenWay Ocmulgee Heritage Trail 
  north of the Martin Luther King Boulevard bridge. The flood waters 
  will be up to 5 feet deep on portions of the trail. Large portions 
  of agricultural lands just east and south of Macon will be under 1 
  to 7 feet of water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 12:30 AM EST Friday the stage was 19.6 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 12:30 AM EST Friday was 19.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 25.3
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Monday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    25.3 feet on 12/11/1919.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363


$$

349 
WGUS82 KFFC 141800
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
100 PM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Jones, Twiggs, Houston, Bibb 
  and Monroe Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&

GAC021-153-169-207-289-150600-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-250219T0448Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.250214T0056Z.250215T0600Z.250218T2248Z.NO/
100 PM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding will continue.

* WHERE...Ocmulgee River near Macon.

* WHEN...Until Tuesday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 23 feet, Minor flooding continues to expand. Large 
  portions of the Macon GreenWay Ocmulgee Heritage Trail floods 
  north of the Martin Luther King Boulevard bridge. The flood waters 
  will be up to 3 feet deep on portions of the trail. Large portions 
  of agricultural lands east of Macon and well downstream will be 
  under 1 to 5 feet of water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 12:30 PM EST Friday the stage was 21.3 feet and rising.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 22.8
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
    flood stage Tuesday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 18 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363


$$

368 
WGUS82 KFFC 150132
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
832 PM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Houston, Jones, Monroe, Bibb 
  and Twiggs Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&

GAC021-153-169-207-289-151345-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-250220T0000Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.250214T0056Z.250215T0600Z.250219T1800Z.NO/
832 PM EST Fri Feb 14 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Ocmulgee River near Macon.

* WHEN...Until Wednesday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 23 feet, Minor flooding continues to expand. Large 
  portions of the Macon GreenWay Ocmulgee Heritage Trail floods 
  north of the Martin Luther King Boulevard bridge. The flood waters 
  will be up to 3 feet deep on portions of the trail. Large portions 
  of agricultural lands east of Macon and well downstream will be 
  under 1 to 5 feet of water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 PM EST Friday the stage was 21.9 feet and rising.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 22.2
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
    flood stage early Wednesday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 18 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363


$$

406 
WGUS82 KFFC 151029
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
529 AM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Twiggs, Monroe, Houston, 
  Jones and Bibb Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&

GAC021-153-169-207-289-152230-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-250220T0000Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.250214T0056Z.250215T0930Z.250219T1800Z.NO/
529 AM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Ocmulgee River near Macon.

* WHEN...Until Wednesday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 23.0 feet, Minor flooding continues to expand. Large 
  portions of the Macon GreenWay Ocmulgee Heritage Trail floods 
  north of the Martin Luther King Boulevard bridge. The flood waters 
  will be up to 3 feet deep on portions of the trail. Large portions 
  of agricultural lands east of Macon and well downstream will be 
  under 1 to 5 feet of water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 4:30 AM EST Saturday the stage was 22.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 4:30 AM EST Saturday was 22.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    early Wednesday afternoon and continue falling to 17.4 feet
    Wednesday evening.
  - Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    22.3 feet on 04/21/2020.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363


$$

001 
WGUS82 KFFC 151242
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
742 AM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Bibb, Jones, Twiggs, Monroe 
  and Houston Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

GAC021-153-169-207-289-160200-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-250217T1424Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.250214T0056Z.250215T1115Z.250217T0824Z.NO/
742 AM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Ocmulgee River near Macon.

* WHEN...Until Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 23 feet, Minor flooding continues to expand. Large 
  portions of the Macon GreenWay Ocmulgee Heritage Trail floods 
  north of the Martin Luther King Boulevard bridge. The flood waters 
  will be up to 3 feet deep on portions of the trail. Large portions 
  of agricultural lands east of Macon and well downstream will be 
  under 1 to 5 feet of water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:30 AM EST Saturday the stage was 22.3 feet and falling.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    early Monday morning.
  - Flood stage is 18 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363


$$

250 
WGUS82 KFFC 160057
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
757 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Twiggs, Houston, Bibb, Monroe 
  and Jones Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&

GAC021-153-169-207-289-161300-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-250217T1400Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.250214T0056Z.250215T1115Z.250217T1200Z.NO/
757 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Ocmulgee River near Macon.

* WHEN...Until Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 20.7 feet, Minor flooding continues. Macon GreenWay 
  Ocmulgee Heritage Trail floods north of the Martin Luther King 
  Boulevard bridge. The flood waters will be around one foot deep on 
  portions of the trail and both banks overflow upstream from the 
  bridge. Large portions of agricultural lands well downstream will 
  be under one to three feet of water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 PM EST Saturday the stage was 20.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:30 PM EST Saturday was 22.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Monday morning and continue falling to 15.1 feet Thursday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    20.7 feet on 02/09/1903.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363


$$

110 
WGUS82 KFFC 161140
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
640 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Houston, Bibb, Twiggs, Monroe 
  and Jones Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

GAC021-153-169-207-289-170000-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-250217T1800Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.250214T0056Z.250215T1115Z.250217T1200Z.NO/
640 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Ocmulgee River near Macon.

* WHEN...Until Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 20 feet, Minor flooding expands. An increasing amount 
  of the Macon GreenWay Ocmulgee Heritage Trail floods north of the 
  Martin Luther King Boulevard bridge. The flood waters will be 
  around one foot deep on portions of the trail and both banks 
  overflow upstream from the bridge. Large portions of agricultural 
  lands well downstream will be under one to three feet of water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:30 AM EST Sunday the stage was 20.1 feet and slowly
    falling.
  - Forecast...The river will rise to 20.2 feet this morning. It
    will then fall below flood stage tomorrow morning to 17.1
    feet Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 18 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363


$$

547 
WGUS82 KFFC 162314
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
614 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Twiggs, Houston, Monroe, Bibb 
  and Jones Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&

GAC021-153-169-207-289-171115-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-250217T1800Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.250214T0056Z.250215T1115Z.250219T0925Z.NO/
614 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Ocmulgee River near Macon.

* WHEN...Until Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 20 feet, Minor flooding expands. An increasing amount 
  of the Macon GreenWay Ocmulgee Heritage Trail floods north of the 
  Martin Luther King Boulevard bridge. The flood waters will be 
  around one foot deep on portions of the trail and both banks 
  overflow upstream from the bridge. Large portions of agricultural 
  lands well downstream will be under one to three feet of water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:30 PM EST Sunday the stage was 19.9 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 5:30 PM EST Sunday was 20.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.2
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
    flood stage early Wednesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    20.2 feet on 03/01/1910.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363


$$

899 
WGUS82 KFFC 170846
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
346 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Monroe, Twiggs, Bibb, Jones 
  and Houston Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&

GAC021-153-169-207-289-171800-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-250217T1800Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.250214T0056Z.250215T1115Z.250219T0130Z.NO/
346 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Ocmulgee River near Macon.

* WHEN...Until this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 19 feet, Minor flooding continues. The Macon Greenway 
  Ocmulgee Heritage Trail will begin to flood in areas just north of 
  the Martin Luther King Boulevard bridge. The public should not use 
  this portion of the trail. In addition...the lowest sections of 
  the Charles Jones Gateway Park will flood. Portions of 
  agricultural lands well downstream will be under two feet of water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:30 AM EST Monday the stage was 18.9 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 2:30 AM EST Monday was 20.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    tomorrow evening.
  - Flood stage is 18 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363


$$

413 
WGUS82 KFFC 171622
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1122 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Monroe, Bibb, Twiggs, Jones 
  and Houston Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&

GAC021-153-169-207-289-172245-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-250217T2245Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.250214T0056Z.250215T1115Z.250217T1645Z.NO/
1122 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Ocmulgee River near Macon.

* WHEN...Until this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding 
  begins along the river upstream and downstream from the gage at 
  U.S. Highway 80 or Martin Luther King Boulevard. Portions of the 
  Ocmulgee Riverwalk and agricultural lands well downstream will be 
  under a foot of water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:30 AM EST Monday the stage was 18.1 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:30 AM EST Monday was 20.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late this morning and continue falling to 12.0 feet Saturday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    18.1 feet on 02/04/1932.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363


$$

525 
WGUS82 KFFC 172124
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
424 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Twiggs, Monroe, Bibb, Houston 
  and Jones Counties.

GAC021-153-169-207-289-172230-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-250217T2124Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.250214T0056Z.250215T1115Z.250217T1652Z.NO/
424 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Ocmulgee River near Macon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 3:30 PM EST Monday the stage was 17.7 feet and falling.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 12 feet Saturday
    morning.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363


$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
653 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2025

.UPDATE...
Issued at 652 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2025

Will go ahead and let the Flood Watch expire. The heavy rain has
ended within the watch area. However, rises on creeks, streams and
rivers is expected today.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 332 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2025

Strong wedge is still holding in place across much of north and
central GA early this morning. A cold front is currently situated
across central AL and is pushing east. A line of showers and
thunderstorms has developed out ahead of the front. On the north
side of the wedge, the convection remains elevated. However, along
the entire line heavy rainfall is occurring. So far, the axis of
heavier rainfall has occurred roughly along the Interstate 85
corridor and northward. There is a very narrow band of 4" to 5"
totals that stretches from Haralson County through Polk and Bartow
counties to Cherokee County. River Flood Warnings and Flash Flood
Warnings remain in effect. No changes to the Flood Watch are
anticipated at this time.

Wedge is well depicted in the observations across the CWA this
morning. There has been some erosion on the SW side and the boundary
looks to be just north of CSG. Where the wedge has eroded, storms
will be able to become surface based and tap into a little
instability. South of the wedge, a few strong storms will be
possible early this morning. Strong, gusty winds would be likely
within any of the stronger storms (along with the heavy rainfall).

Line of convection is moving at a fairly decent clip and conditions
should improve from north to south fairly quickly this morning.
Models are indicating clearing skies by early afternoon. High
pressure will build in quickly from the west.

Along with high pressure, a much drier and cooler airmass will also
build into the CWA. MinT values tonight will mostly be in the 20s
and 30s...with some lower 40s in the far SE. These temps are fairly
close to normal for this time of year. MaxT values for Friday will
be near or slightly below normal.

NListemaa

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 332 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2025

Surface high pressure will be exiting off the eastern seaboard with
another CAD wedge developing in northeast GA along the lee side of
the Appalachians Friday night into early Saturday. Meanwhile, a mid-
level trough will dig across the western CONUS and track across the
Southern Plains Saturday into Sunday. At the surface, a low pressure
system and attendant cold front forming in the ArkLaTx tracking
eastward will bring a final round of rain and a conditional severe
threat for our area Saturday Night into Sunday. Latest model runs
have indicated a slightly slower progression of this system.
Nontheless, rain chances will start to increase on Saturday as a
warm front lifts northward and becoming more widespread overnight
into Sunday along and ahead of the cold front. The surface low and
upper level support lifts quickly to the NNE early Sunday while the
cold front moves through and rain chances gradually coming to an
end. Surface high pressure will once again moves back into the
region with quasi-zonal flow aloft. Thus we welcome another period
of dry weather and seasonal temperatures on Monday lasting through
Tuesday. Around mid to late weekend ensembles depict a southern
stream system tracking across the Southern states bringing yet
another round of unsettled weather. Stay tuned...

Weekend Severe Potential: Similar to the Wednesday/Thursday, the
more favorable timeframe for thunderstorms, potentially severe
thunderstorms will be Saturday Night into early Sunday. As we know,
nighttime severe weather can be especially hazardous, so remain
weather aware. As of this update, SPC has painted a Slight Risk
(Level 2 of 5) for North and west-central GA (including the ATL
Metro). Uncertainties in the severe potential still remain. What we
know: The convective mode would likely be linear owing to the high
shear/low CAPE environment. Thus, isolated damaging winds and/or
embedded spin up tornadoes could form within any kinks or breaks in
the line. The area highlighted by the severe risk area (North and
west-central GA including the ATL metro) will be in relatively close
proximity to the surface low and better forcing. The CAD wedge may
limit severe potential for areas east of the ATL metro. What we
don't know: How much instability will be able to materialize at the
surface? Does the lingering CAD wedge inhibit convective
development?

Weekend Rain and flooding chances: Rivers are likely to still be
elevated with soils across the North well saturated and primed prior
to this next round of rainfall this weekend. Minimal changes to the
forecast rainfall totals Saturday through Sunday with values north
of I-20/I-85 corridor ranging from 1 to 1.75 inches with isolated up
to 2 inches at the higher elevations. NBM probabilities of greater
than 1 inch of rainfall for this same region by Monday morning range
from 70% to 90% -- the higher end probabilities in far north GA and
at the highest elevations. Greater than 2 inches for North GA only
still range from 45 to 50%. So while less 'heavy' rainfall with this
system overall it may still be significant given antecedent soil
conditions particularly up in North GA. WPC has painted a Marginal
Risk (Level 1 of 4) for areas north of I-20/I-85 for heavy rainfall
on Saturday.

Long Term Temperature Overview: Seasonal temperatures are forecast
for Friday with highs in the mid 50s to 60s and lows in the mid 30s
to mid 40s. Saturday and Sunday look to be the warmest days in the
period at least for parts of Central GA with highs ranging in the
mid 50s to the north and mid/upper 70s across the south. We cool off
at the start of the work week with morning lows on Monday in the 20s
and 30s with forecast highs in the 40s and 50s and rebounding back
into the 50s and 60s by Tuesday.

07

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 619 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2025

LIFR/IFR cigs may hang around for the next couple of hours before
improving. VFR expected by the early afternoon. Winds should
switch around to the NW side around or just after 12Z. Frequent
gusts to around 25kt likely during the afternoon.

//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
Med confidence cigs. Otherwise, high confidence remaining
elements.

NListemaa

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          62  30  55  36 /  40   0   0  30
Atlanta         58  31  55  40 /  10   0   0  40
Blairsville     51  24  51  32 /  10   0   0  30
Cartersville    55  27  55  39 /  10   0   0  40
Columbus        66  35  61  45 /  40   0   0  30
Gainesville     59  30  52  36 /  10   0   0  30
Macon           67  35  59  41 /  90   0   0  30
Rome            54  27  56  39 /  10   0   0  40
Peachtree City  60  29  57  39 /  10   0   0  40
Vidalia         71  43  61  45 / 100   0   0  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...NListemaa
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...NListemaa

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
436 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2025

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-141015-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
436 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north and central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

A Flood Watch is in effect through Thursday 7 AM this morning
across portions of north and central Georgia. Rainfall will
continue to taper off early this morning, but rises on creeks and
streams are still likely through the day.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

Another storm system will bring more heavy rainfall along with
scattered thunderstorms to the area late Saturday into Sunday. There
is a risk for severe storms with this system, and river flooding may
also linger through the weekend into early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is likely not needed tonight.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
833 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 AM     Flash Flood      2 SSW Arcade            34.05N 83.57W
02/13/2025                   Jackson            GA   Emergency Mngr

            Portions of McCreery Rd closed due to creek
            overtopping bridge.

&&

LNM

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
836 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0802 AM     Flash Flood      3 ENE Rocky Face        34.82N 84.97W
02/13/2025                   Whitfield          GA   Emergency Mngr

            200 block of Haig Mill Rd closed due to
            flooding.

&&

LNM

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
839 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     Flash Flood      3 NE Dawnville          34.85N 84.85W
02/13/2025                   Whitfield          GA   Emergency Mngr

            2300 block of Lower Kings Bridge Rd closed
            due to flooding.

&&

LNM

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
840 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0805 AM     Flash Flood      3 E Dalton              34.76N 84.92W
02/13/2025                   Whitfield          GA   Emergency Mngr

            Intersection of Old Grade Rd and Crook Dr
            closed due to flooding.

&&

LNM

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
842 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0802 AM     Flash Flood      3 E Dalton              34.76N 84.92W
02/13/2025                   Whitfield          GA   Emergency Mngr

            Portions of Jeff Dr closed due to flooding.

&&

LNM

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
845 AM EST Thu Feb 13 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0821 AM     Flash Flood      1 E Lithia Springs      33.79N 84.64W
02/13/2025                   Douglas            GA   Emergency Mngr

            Mount Vernon Rd at Woodrow Wilson Park
            closed due to flooding.

&&

LNM